Reminder]
Refrain from any photos, videos and reports (in any form) about the affected areas and the number of victims that benefit Iran. In case of reporting, follow-up and serious measures will be taken.
So tow the line and don't show our lies about the damage to be lies or we will hunt you down and put you in the ground like we do with anyone who we call enemy.
First point about oil embargo on western participants of war , yes it will cause pain , but it will take time as reserves do exist . Similarly blockade of Iran and air campaign against Iran will cause pain , but it will take time as reserves ( munitions , water , food , fuel ) do exist .
I don't see how the US and the west could blockade Iran... what resources do they have in the Caspian Sea, and who will agree to their international sanctions this time?
The usual G7, EU and HATO countries?
Will that be enough or will that further isolate the west?
The question is who will run out of time first ? If they run out , then they will resort to using Nukes and if Iran runs out then we will resort to ....? Therefore to establish deterrence , Nukes needed . If Iran runs out of SAM and planes and Ships and Subs (they have more stuff ) then sit and wait ? Or charge across and liberate the holly land ? ...........I think liberate the holly land by ground force !
Iran wont get nukes fast enough for that to be an option, but they could enter into a defence agreement with Russia and China.... the US has a military organisation in Europe called HATO aimed at Russia and a military organisation in Asia called AUKUS directed at China and a military agreement with quite a few different countries in the ME that has included in the past Egypt and Turkey and Saudi Arabia and of course Israel and Iraq that has largely directed at Iran. China and Russia don't really need help against the US... neutrality of the rest of the world is enough for them to cope, but Iran needs help against the twin evil empires of Israel and the US of A, and so perhaps a new military organisation with a nuclear basis could be devised to promote peace and stability in the region?
Maybe a TOPOL regiment could be deployed to Iran the way the US deploys nukes to several countries within HATO... right now only Belarus has Russian weapons deployed.
Of course the point is that nuclear weapons used to be a requirement for rockets and missiles because their level of accuracy was simply not good enough to be effective otherwise, but modern missiles are accurate and can be rather powerful. A few missile strikes on their power plants and HQs and government buildings and everywhere there are people who are normally safe would be as effective as a nuclear attack... it would certainly make them realise they are not safe.
They are more vulnerable than Iran is in many ways... if the US abandons them because they go too far they are very much in a corner because they have no allies in the region.
It is believed that since Iran's attack did not cause destruction or casualties in Israel, its response will be the least aggressive.
Israel pretending they give a shit about collateral damage... the US are suckers aren't they... they clearly sniff their own farts.
While the final stage of when the missile comes back down is unpowered, due to hypersonic speed, atmospheric friction ionizes the air around the missile thereby coating it in plasma.
True, but it is not friction, it is compression of the air in front of the missile.
Yes, and that can only be performed by a MaRV. An ordinary warhead that has not been pre programmed to maneuver cannot course correct before impact.
What is your fixation with MaRVs?
Most guided weapons correct their flight path right up to the point of impact. Some use control surfaces, some use thrust vectored engine nozzles and some use solid fuelled rocket thrusters.
Soviet and Russian laser guided bombs and rockets often use side thruster rockets because the laser target marker is only turned on in the last few seconds of the flight of the weapon. Indirect fire weapons like Mortar and artillery bombs guide for 3 seconds and direct fire rounds like direct fire rockets guide for about 1 second... and if they are off target that last one or three second period involves a rather hard turn to get back on target... it is quite normal... it also happens if there are crosswinds near the target.
I would add that if you are going to dodge like that it would only be useful against something that is using guns to try to shoot you down... otherwise it is too close to the target to be worth while bothering.
The underlying premise of your argument is Israel will run out of SAMs before Iran runs out of Ballistic and Cruise missiles. They might run out of some homegrown systems like Arrow 3 and Iron Dome but US will immediately ship in more PAC-3. Already the production of PAC-3 has been increased significantly.
Most of the missiles they had for Patriot were either sent to Ukraine and destroyed or used up, or sent to Europe to replace the missiles they sent to Ukraine... they will be mass producing missiles for quite some time before most users are anywhere near restocked but the obvious and clear point is that they never had enough missiles in stock for a real conflict in the first place so their stocks are going to have to be increased probably 10 times if they want them to be actually useful.
More importantly their missiles are not proving to be effective and are likely killing more apartment buildings than they are incoming enemy missiles.
I would say apart from the apartments with foreign mercenaries most of the civilian targets are being hit by western and ex soviet SAMs.
If all these western SAMs can't deal with old Iranian missiles, then it really does not matter how many Israel has does it?
Iran certainly doesn't have a massive arsenal of BM and CM unlike Russia or China so they will have to make the optimum use of its cruise and ballistic missiles.
Why would you think that? Are they too busy making aircraft or aircraft carriers?
I would say Russia will be happy to help them with materials they might have trouble getting on the international market to make certain things like explosives... which would actually put Iran in a better position than the west which is desperate for weapon making materials... hense their claim about processors from washing machines and shovels because obviously if the west can't get this stuff then Russia can't... except Russia is much more serious and pragmatic about its own defence... just like Iran is.
Why do you think in Ukraine even Kh-47M2 Kinzhal, Kh-22 is flying so close to the ground even when it is more than a 100kms away from the target?
Flying either of those missiles close enough to the ground to make any difference at all for air defence systems would slash their effective range by an enormous amount and also reduce their flight speed by a factor of 3 or 4.
There is no way either of those missiles would attack low, it just would not make any sense... especially when operating at their normal altitude of 30 plus kms for Kinzhal and 25km for Kh-22M makes them invulnerable to most western SAMs anyway.
This is why IRIS-T, PAC has not been all that successful against Russian cruise missiles.
IRIS-T and PAC are useless because they were never designed to intercept targets that drop decoys and flares and deploy jammers and are launched with missiles equipped with jamming systems. Western ground based air defence systems are token parade shit because everyone knows the best way to defeat an enemy is to send in the planes and the missiles and destroy them while planes shoot down any enemy aircraft, drones or missiles.
Except the conflict in Ukraine shows aircraft are vulnerable and you never get rid of all the enemy air defence systems because they can play hide and seek and still score kills. Even if those kills don't effect the result they still represent a threat from start to end... I would have thought the HATO countries learned that lesson against Serbia in Kosovo, but apparently not.
A senior Iranian official said the US had asked Iran to accept a symbolic Israeli strike on its territory to allow the Jewish state to save face.
Hahaha... they should reply that of course they would love to help their enemy, Iran gives Israel full permission to strike any secret CIA headquarters in Iran any time they like as long as the operatives inside get no warning.
Israeli response to Iran may include assassination operations
To which Iran could launch ballistic missiles to hit Israeli government buildings and try to take out Israeli officials.
Iran would know where the houses of Israeli officials are and could target those perhaps?
The Kh-22 and Kh-32 never fly close to the ground. Same for the Kh-47M2.
They are diving towards the target from a large height and with insane speed.
Exactly.... flying low would dramatically reduce their effective top speed and their flight range.... they might as well send low flying subsonic cruise missiles with much greater range.
He has the Palestinians, groups from Iraq, Syria, Hezbollah, the Houthis and now Iran joining in against him.
Because they think they are powerful and can dictate terms to everyone... even the US...
They are like Kiev a few months into the war with Russia... when they refused the peace deal they did so because Blowhard johnson told Zelensky that if you surrender the west will drop you like a hot rock and you are on your own, but if you choose to fight Russia you will have the money and weapons and ammo and full political support of the entire west... HATO, EU, US, G7... so he thought he could win it on the battlefield so easy to say no to any peace deal when he thought he would be dictating terms to whoever overthrew Putin. Yeltsin 2.
This missile response from Iran will have rattled them and they are going to try to be clever with an attack that appears dramatic and powerful but ultimately does not do very much at all and hope Iran will back down first... but why would they?