Military Forum for Russian and Global Defence Issues
Tsavo Lion wrote:Even the Mongol Empire was divided up, with Kublai Khan as it's nominal head.
The largest nation on Earth can stay together only if it federalizes, otherwise there will be separatism, civil war, & break up.
The USSR failed to update its system; the Russian Federation isn't a true federation, with all governors appointed or sacked by Moscow.
Tsavo Lion wrote:It'll be reduced or at least not increase from the internal strife during & after the breakup, if it occurs. Look at disintegrating Ukraine-Ms left & Ks killed.
Tsavo Lion wrote:I'm just answering ur stupid ?. Pl. refrain from making derogatory remarks.
Russia’s Natural Population Decline to Hit 11-Year Record in 2019
Russia’s natural population decline will set an 11-year record this year as the country’s demographic crisis shows no signs of letting up, the RBC news website reported Friday.
Russia’s overall population totaled 146.7 million in January-September 2019, the State Statistics Service Rosstat said in a report last week. While migrant inflows had offset its natural population decline in previous years, in 2018, Russia’s total population dropped for the first time in a decade as migration numbers hit record lows.
In the first 10 months of this year, deaths outnumbered live births by 259,600, RBC cited Rosstat data as saying. It was the highest natural population decline since 2008, when deaths outnumbered births by 362,000.
“Nothing will change until the end of the year, [and] Russia’s population will shrink,” RBC quoted Olga Chudinovskykh, a professor at Moscow State University’s economics department, as saying.
Migrants are unlikely to come to Russia in greater numbers in November and December, Chudinovskykh told the outlet, meaning Russia’s total population is on track to decline for the second year in a row in 2019.
The United Nations has predicted that Russia’s population could halve to fewer than 84 million people by 2100.
Meanwhile, Russian authorities have said that they expect Russia’s population to resume natural growth in 2023-2024.
President Vladimir Putin last year pledged to allocate $8.6 billion on programs including mortgage subsidies and payouts to families to encourage Russians to have more children. His government is also considering attracting migrants from Russian-speaking countries over the next several years to offset the country’s population decline.
“This demographic hole that the president himself and other leaders in the social sector have talked about repeatedly is at its apex,” RBC quoted the Kremlin’s spokesman Dmitry Peskov as saying Friday.
“The situation is certainly very unpleasant,” he added.
GarryB wrote:I think a lot of people are over reacting to a natural thing... they can't change what happened in the 1990s... all they can do is set up a stable strong intelligent democracy that makes people of child bearing age think it would be worth bringing another life in to this world.
Numbers are not a thread... they have the capacity to slaughter billions if they need to use it and in some weird alternative universe where say India and China got together and invaded Russia to seize land, I don't think they would struggle with a purely conventional defence force but with nukes I think they could easily defend territory an enemy wants to take in one piece rather than obliterate with nukes.
The UKs population wasn't that big these last few centuries when their navy dominated much of the worlds oceans and France and other European powers didn't require numbers to dominate the countries they colonised and dominated and exploited... and right now the US has been dominating the whole planet with barely two to three times Russias population and lets face it a lot of Americas population make little difference to its international power one way or the other...
Large populations have advantages but also enormous problems come with that too...
kvs wrote:The hysteria about population decline is based on 18th century notions that population means power. This has not been true since WWII.
Today, a few good missiles can achieve what 100,000s of thousands of soldiers couldn't in the past. It would actually be better to have
fewer children raised in poverty. The only downside is that single child families may result (not guaranteed) in the "spoiling" of the child.
But that is hard to compare to the sibling strife seen in multi-child families. Maybe having "naive" children who do not how to effectively
lie and backstab would actually be better.
Viktor wrote:Strong push towards increasing Russian population is being made
Putin: Pay maternity capital from the first-born and pay off the mortgage for the third child
https://topcor.ru/12736-putin-platit-materinskij-kapital-s-pervenca-i-gasit-ipoteku-za-tretego-rebenka.html?utm_source=politobzor.net
Putin proposes monthly payments for children aged 3-7 starting January 2020
https://tass.com/economy/1108739
par far wrote:
This is great news that steps are being taken to increase the population.
One thing that Russia has to be careful about is don't allow migrants into the country to get advantage of the system like they do in the west.
.
GunshipDemocracy wrote:yup, that's precisely how I see it. Otherwise you need "Nigerian" fertility rates to keep up with population growth
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