Big_Gazza wrote:There is an alternative view - that while current treaties limit the number of warheads, such a restriction cannot be guaranteed as the US could elect to withdraw from START should relations degrade catastrophically. It makes sense to build SSBNs that can meet peace time treaty limits while only using (for example) 70% of total installed missile throw weight, and which have the option to sacrifice penetration aids to significantly upgrade the warhead load if required.
Cost is probably the major determining factor - ie which is less expensive? Adding 4x tubes to 5x Borei Mk II (ie 20 tubes total) or an extra Borei Mk I+ with the system upgrades but retaining the original complement of 16 tubes? I'd guess the extra boomer is a significantly higher cost? Plus the extra SSBN needs to be operated (extra crew trained) and maintained.
Good point... There is no guarantee that START will still be "enforced" in coming years, so having more missiles with more warheads would be a huge advantage (if this were to occur). I personally think 16 is enough, and that UKSK could go where the other 4 missiles would be for self-defense purposes. What good is 20 missiles if you can't defend them!