ult wrote:There are no new orders on Su-30SM and Su-34 because UAC is working on Su-30SM1 and Su-34M. But the production lines won't just suddenly come to a halt. They will order enough to keep yearly production at the same volume as it is right now.
The new SAP is ready, waiting only for the new legislature in Russia. Putin is now in campaign. Do not expect a politician to announce arms purchases on the eve of an election
You can place the order when you want and with the conditions you want
Also the current orders are enough for 2018
miketheterrible wrote:what is your certainty about the numbers of orders you are predicting?
I know for the 2027 budget it is going to increase orders of Su-35 as example, possibly Su-30. But there seems to be a lot of uncertainty other than what Bondarev stated about 700 new fighters.
We can expect the simply replacement of existing units. And without great hurry , at the same rates as now or little more. It's a long-term plan
Every year one squadron of Su-35 and other for VVS (probably only until to 2020), and also othersquadron of Su-30SM for Navy since 2019 .
Of course one sqdn of new version of Su-34 since 2020.
Also small ammounts of Su-57 and MiG-35 , this is all that Russia needs in next 8 years
The Su-35 new contract in no necesary until the begining of 2020 but you can be sure the Su-35 will be in production for Russia at least for 15 years starting since 2011.The prodiction is 20 per year and when China receives its 24, the Russia can reeive 12 or 14 per year, the other 6-8 for export.
About the Su-30SM, VVS need another contract of 28 for end the current deployment. This have no doubt , airplanes for complete Millerovo, Kursk and the two seater for Su-35S squadorns will be purchased. If other regiment is raised, then in 2021
For the Navy "about 50" have been announced , this is just to replace the 4 existing squadrons of Su-24M/MR , if there are other regiment in the Pacific Fleet , then more in 2022.
The matter with Navy is does not had figther pilots, Su-24 is very different. It is different in all aspects, including variable wings , all the squadrosn will be raised staring from zero, so at first you do not need a lot of airplanes, at the moment 20 in 4 years, later it should be a full squadron a year
The Su-34 current contract will be completed in 2019 totalling 10 squadrons and probably the new contract for 5 or 6 more squadrons will follow in late 2019 or 2020 of the new versión Su-34M that it will also cover the task of the Su-24MR.
About the Su-57 , only 12 for 2020 , later a couple of regments until 2025 and perphaps 2 more until 2030
The MiG-35 24 for 2020 replacing Yerevan? and half of Kubinka sq,(single seaters) ,and other small ammount until 2025 for replacement of other squadrons in Astrakah , Lípetsk and Kubinka , some of them UB´s