GarryB wrote:
Turkey does not want to grab land. It is totally illogical. It is not like Hatay in 1939. Why would Turkey grab a piece of land whose justification would be very hard and in return gives almost nothing but absolute pain. Hatay was different because it was never handed over Syrian authorities, and it was marked as an autonomous region within French mandate of Syria. Reason that it was made as such was the fact that Hatay is a Turcoman region although some Arabic influence is present. Syria's claim on Hatay refers to a date when there was no Syria at all, so it is harder to claim Hatay as Syrian than it is for, say, Aleppo as Turkish (although Aleppo has some Turkish history)
You start by saying Turkey does not want to steal land and then you say Aleppo has some Turkish history... which is it?
I dont see any contradiction here. Turkish people does have history there. Many Turcomans lived and still live there. Just like Greeks have some history in Anatolia or Russians have some history in Poland, we definitely have some history across all over the MidEast.
But what I meant is that we do not want to incorporate these lands to our country even though justification means are somewhat present. I suspect you had some comprehension problems when reading my post. We are not there to grab land. But we would like to see Syria preserves its Turkish historical entities. Just like Orthodox Christians would like to see Roman Patriarchy is preserved, which Turkey gives an ultimate importance. (Roman Patriarchy's internal issues do not involve Turkish intervention meanwhile Greeks appoint Muslim Mufti's at their will).
GarryB wrote:
Turkey will not be there forever but you can be sure that Turkish army will also not hand over those lands to Assad. Assad was a bad guy for Turkey and he will be so in the future. If everything becomes normal and a new fresh government without Shiite/Alawite zealots is formed, then it will be handed over totally.
So conditions?
Will it be OK therefore for Russia to say that Erdogan is bad and that they will arm the Kurds... but only until he is removed from power and replaced by someone more suitable to Russia... do you really want to play that sort of game?
Are you really as stupid as the US?
Right now you can deal with Assad or you can deal with chaos... chaos might be OK with you... until all those people want to cross into your country to get away from the shithole you have created... Do you want to live next to Libya?
Great training ground for Russian weapons and as long as Tartus and a few key airbases are secure I doubt most Russian people would even care.
Putin wants to help the Syrian people and for the moment that means helping Assad. Assad is not set in stone, but while he is useful he wont be removed by Russia either... that is not up to Russia and it certainly is not up to the US or Turkey or France or the UK or anyone but the Syrian people.
Assad means destabilization in long run even though you might be in deception in war times. I dont say Russians should remove Assad and place someone that will serve US's interests. What I say is that Syrian people will never forget what Assad did to themselves, and this means more than half of the entire population. We are talking about 10 fucking million internally or externally displaced people, mainly because of unconditional Assadist massacres. If you imagine a Syria composed of 5 million Shiite/Alawite population and almost empty for many rural areas, then I would say Assad is the best option. I am talking about long run, not for a few months. When war is over there should be a fully transparent election candidates of which will not have any war-past. (Neither in regime side nor in opposing side(s).) This will be the best option if you dont want any more wars.
Non Middle Easterners talk shit when they really underestimate ethnic complexity in the region. Iran will collapse for the same reason, Iraq will also follow the same path. And it is the same rule for Turkey that secterianism should be diminished. (When compared with SA and Iran, Turkey is really good at secterian balance, better than those two bigot-filled countries)