Honestly if Russia was able to defeat nazis ,after losing millions of soldiers ,losing Belarus ,Ukraine ,Crimea , and after being their most important cities under siege for 2 years ,with people starving to death.. it was a real miracle ,that Russia came on top with their determination and
reinforcements that came from far east and a new wave of planes and tanks. Was able to reverse the tide after a near defeat.
So as bad as the Syrian war looks.. is not anywhere as bad as the Russian vs Nazis war..
the only advantage however here is that soviets have much more unity than Syrians people..
you cannot win difficult wars with a divided nation and even though Assad have the majority
support.. there is a radical opposition that is in the 10% to 15% of the population that cannot be
ignored and could pose a major threat for Syrian Army operations.. the easyness in how at least
10% of civilians population choose to Support Alqaeda or FSA or ISIS. So this is the Elephant
in the room.. that is the massive support the terrorist receive in Syria from a minority that is not insignificant.
About 1,000 Syrian citizens gave their weapons in Souther Syria Daraa.. after Russia began bombing to "reintegrate " in the society. What guarantees the Syrian Government have this people will not continue helping ISIS or ALqaeda and providing intelligence to enemies of Syria ?
or worse that will not take weapons again? So there is a dynamic in Syria..specially in Homs
were the Syrian Army liberate a major zone and later the terrorist take it back again.. also a problem with traitors.. in the Syrian ARmy. is a sectarian war.. and only force will get even the minority anti Assad aligned with the Syrian government.
is very likely that even if Russia defeat in a week all the terrorist ,ISIS ,ALqaeda and FSA..
that United States will still have another card.. is called Kurds.. who wants their independence
and their own state.. and will take most of Norther Syria territory. Which points into question
the risk of Turkey that could end split too.. for the support he give to the American proxy war..
since he have big zones of kurds inside Turkey that will want also independence and Americans support them. The big winners in this war seems to be will be Kurdish people and the creation of Kurdistan.. and Russia have also a big card there against Turkey.. Because Russia can say if Turkey invades Syria that he will provide lethal weapons to Kurds to defend against "ISIS"..but that can also use against Turkey army..
a quick look at Kurds territory in the middle east.. will be easy to see why Turkey policy of
arming jihadist to attack Syria will back fire big time..
because Russia and IRAN can arms Kurds to overthrow Erdogan and truly disband the second most powerful Nato country that pose a major threat to Russia free acess to the mediterranean sea. The kurds zones in TUrkey are the most impossible to conquer since its full of high mountains that tanks cannot climb ,that regular artillery cannot reach and that that can easily allow regular manpads to target planes at any altitude taking advantage of the elevation of their zones.. welcome to afganistan2.
If i were Russia i will arm kurds inside turkey to Fight Turkey with help of special forces if he notice Turkey will not end supporting terrorist.. to pressure them to end their war against Syria.Also open another front in Yemen ,to push toward Saudi Arabia and give scuds to yemenis to Bomb saudi oil fields to get Oil prices at $120 again..
So i predict Turkey will have to pay a real heavy price ,and major blow if continues annoying
Russia ..they will pay back arming Kurds with enough weapons to wipe the Turkey army.
If i were Russia i will use Nukes. or burn whole cities like IDLIB and RAqqa.. where heavy concentrations of terrorist and s upporters are.