Start the reform of the state director of the Center for Strategic Research (CSR), Alexei Kudrin proposes a large-scale change in the state administration system. This system is necessary to do more modern and dynamic, he urged participants Gaidar Forum during his presentation.
Plan Kudrin
CSR is now working on Russian strategic development program for the period 2018-2024 gg. The contours of this program Kudrin and presented today at the Gaidar Forum. The former finance minister has read the report from the podium, and the panelists - ministers of finance and economic development, Anton Siluanov and Maxim Oreshkin, Chairman of the Accounts Chamber Tatyana Golikova, the first deputy chairman and deputy chairman of Xenia Yudaeva VEB Andrei Klepach - listened to him from the hall. Later they went to the Presidium for consideration.
Demographic change, lack of investment, technological backwardness, low productivity and poor quality of public administration - the main challenges for Russia, Kudrin listed. Respond to them, you can use the "state as the platform" approach, the main elements of which - a single state information system services application programming interface. It will integrate government data, reduce costs, increase transparency and speed of decision making, will enable flexible adaptation to changes, he said. While state institutions and public administration do not help carry out reforms, Kudrin complains: "We are the state-centric economy."
Another priority Kudrin - judicial reform, new rules and procedures that protect the rights of the owners, a new system of recruitment, increase the efficiency of courts system. Here you need to consider steps for 6-10 years.
The growth of the budget system expenditure on education up to 4-4.7% of GDP by 2024 (currently 3.7%) and health 4-4.3% of GDP (currently 3.9%) improve the quality of human capital, according to Kudrin: need to create a continuous and flexible education for all ages, including the elderly. Today, no such system, it is necessary to spend money, he said.
We set a goal to achieve inflation at 4% in the three-year term, said Kudrin monetary policy: but in the medium term, you can go down inflation to 2-3%. This will create a long-term money, which needs the economy, he said. After reaching the target with 4% of the Central Bank announced its intention to keep inflation around that level for some time. It must be understood, after 3 years (to reduce inflation to 2-3%) or in the more distant future, retorted Yudaeva.
Seniors and military
In recent years, mainly growing social and defense spending budget, complains Kudrin. To prevent bloating "social" needs a balanced pension system. Raising the retirement age - the only one of the resources, he said: "When talking about raising the age, we talk about how to pay decent pensions in the future."
"Forecast CSR comes from raising the retirement age and the involvement of the working age population - those who are already retiring. In our version, we suggest raising the retirement age for women to 63 years for men - up to 65 years ", - he said.
If we make the pension system more targeted - to pay higher pensions to those who need them, and less to those who least need it - then get more money to send in health and education, agreed Siluanov. Raising the retirement age is not a panacea for all Golikova noted: this is a very delicate matter, which should be viewed in conjunction with disability. "If we do not look at it in the complex, we will not solve the problem of balance between the FIU and the FIU budget depending on transfers from the federal budget", - she said.
Stability and optimization
Priorities - macroeconomic stability and predictability of the tax environment, Oreshkin said. He supported the policy of inflation targeting and the Central Bank noted that due to higher oil prices will be able to partially maintain a reserve fund. The tax burden on the "White sector", according to him, can be reduced, and the overall "tax system and good works."
The tax burden in the 32-33% enough to ensure our basic needs, evaluates Siluanov: The Ministry of Finance may collect more revenue without increasing the tax burden by improving the administration. There are provisions for cost optimization, he said.
Inefficient cost - a consequence of poor governance, Golikova stated: "if we start analyzing, then go out on the quality of institutions, which the government has created and supports." The volume of inefficient budget spending is estimated at 600-650 billion rubles. But we need to change our approach to spending, according to Golikova: abandon FAIP, differently prioritize the budget to working on the economy.
Additional difficulties
Without trust, it is difficult to carry out reforms, Kudrin noted. Lack of confidence - this is an additional tax on any public transaction, said Kudrin, completing its report: we have a high level of confidence in the President, but if you look at the level of confidence in the government, the parliament, the police, it is lower - about 30-20%, sometimes even 15%.
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