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    Russian Economy General News: #7

    kvs
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    Post  kvs Wed Jan 18, 2017 12:03 am

    Austin wrote:What he is saying is Public Debt Can be increased to 25 % of GDP  without risk to Macroincrease stability

    Current debt is 13 % of GDP so increasing to 25 % means 12 % increase.  Every 1 % increase in debt adds 900 billion Rouble.

    So they can easily borrow 10-11 Trillion Roubles  and increase debt to 25 % without any risk to macro economic stability

    Or lets say government can borrow 1 Trillion each year for the next 10 years , Infact they are just doing just that borrowing 1 trillion each year in 2017 ,18,19 to cover budget deficit instead of spending from NWF

    Instead of planning for domestic debt accumulation these idiots should increase tax revenue by stimulating economic activity by
    stopping the CBR interest rate insanity.
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    Post  Austin Wed Jan 18, 2017 4:12 pm

    Net capital outflow from Russia in 2016 fell by almost 4-fold

    Moscow. January 17. INTERFAX.RU - Net capital outflow from Russia in 2016 decreased by 3.7 times, to $ 15.4 billion compared to 2015, when it was $ 57.5 billion, the Bank of Russia materials indicate.

    "Large-scale restriction of net export of capital has developed mainly due to a sharp decline in the intensity of the reduction of external liabilities of the banking sector", - said in a commentary regulator.

    This positive balance of foreign trade of the Russian Federation in 2016 has decreased by 1.7 times, to $ 87.8 billion, compared with $ 148.5 billion in 2015. Direct investments of non-residents in the non-banking sector of the Russian Federation in 2016 were $ 25.8 billion, which is 4.4 times more than in 2015 ($ 5.9 billion).
    http://www.interfax.ru/business/545760
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    Post  Austin Wed Jan 18, 2017 4:15 pm

    Looks like in 2016 FDI in Russia will be $25.8 billion perhaps even more
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    Post  Austin Wed Jan 18, 2017 4:20 pm

    Some informative writeup

    The Secrets Behind Russia’s 2016 Oil Success
    Rmf
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    Post  Rmf Wed Jan 18, 2017 6:43 pm

    fracking only works because of 0% interest rate and tonns of printed cash dumped on it , and low environmental protection. russia production is conventional and they keep finding more resourse so they beat usa anyway they turn it.
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    Post  kvs Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:20 pm

    Austin wrote:Net capital outflow from Russia in 2016 fell by almost 4-fold

    Moscow. January 17. INTERFAX.RU - Net capital outflow from Russia in 2016 decreased by 3.7 times, to $ 15.4 billion compared to 2015, when it was $ 57.5 billion, the Bank of Russia materials indicate.

    "Large-scale restriction of net export of capital has developed mainly due to a sharp decline in the intensity of the reduction of external liabilities of the banking sector", - said in a commentary regulator.

    This positive balance of foreign trade of the Russian Federation in 2016 has decreased by 1.7 times, to $ 87.8 billion, compared with $ 148.5 billion in 2015. Direct investments of non-residents in the non-banking sector of the Russian Federation in 2016 were $ 25.8 billion, which is 4.4 times more than in 2015 ($ 5.9 billion).
    http://www.interfax.ru/business/545760

    Ah yes, repaying foreign bank loans is "capital outflow". Much like borrowing from abroad increases the GDP. So all that Russia needs
    to do is to borrow, borrow and borrow from abroad and get a bigger and bigger GDP.
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    Post  Austin Thu Jan 19, 2017 4:12 am

    kvs wrote:Ah yes, repaying foreign bank loans is "capital outflow".   Much like borrowing from abroad increases the GDP.  So all that Russia needs to do is to borrow, borrow and borrow from abroad and get a bigger and bigger GDP.

    Its kind of good for those priviate companies if they are reservice their debt and delay its payment ...may be they dont have capital today to service those debts and even if they do they are perhaps better off spending on companies investement then paying it off today then doing it two years later
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    Post  Austin Thu Jan 19, 2017 4:14 am

    Nice Interview with Jack Ma


    Davos 2017 - An Insight, An Idea with Jack Ma


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    Post  Austin Fri Jan 20, 2017 7:57 am

    [quote="franco"]I am looking for the 2016 Russian GDP in roubles. Looking for a Russian government figure, not an US$ amount converted to roubles.  Any assistance would be appreciated. [/quote

    I have the official figure of 2016 GDP from Russian Government sources

    http://www.interfax.ru/business/546219

    The volume of GDP in 2016 amounted to 84 trillion 120 billion rubles.
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    Post  Austin Fri Jan 20, 2017 7:59 am

    Russia's budget deficit in 2016 amounted to 3.5% of GDP

    http://www.interfax.ru/business/546219


    Moscow. January 20th. INTERFAX.RU - The federal budget in 2016, according to preliminary Ministry of Finance estimated a deficit of 2 trillion 967.3 billion rubles, or 3.5% of GDP. The volume of GDP in 2016 amounted to 84 trillion 120 billion rubles. Law on Budget for 2016 was provided for a deficit of 3.7% of GDP. The primary deficit was formed in the amount of 2 trillion 346 billion rubles, or 2.8% of GDP.

    Budget revenues amounted to 13 trillion last year, 459.500 billion rubles, or 100.7% to the volume of revenues, approved by the Budget Law, the Ministry of Finance said in a report on the results of budget implementation. The volume of oil and gas revenues in 2016 amounted to 4 trillion 831.650 billion rubles, or 101.1% of the forecast for the year, non-oil revenues - 8 trillion 627.850 billion rubles, or 100.4% of the annual forecast.

    Expenditures amounted to $ 16 trillion 426.798 billion rubles, or 100.1% of total expenditures approved by the budget law, and 98.7% of updated painting. The balance of internal and external sources of financing the deficit amounted to 2 trillion 924.499 billion rubles, and 42.798 billion rubles, respectively.

    The Federal Tax Service (FTS) was administered for the year revenue 6 trillion 918.370 billion rubles, or 100.9% of the forecast figure, the Federal Customs Service - at 4 trillion 397.640 billion rubles (100.9%), other federal agencies - 2 trillion 143.491 billion rubles (99.6%). In December, the budget was executed with a deficit of 1 trillion 123.72 billion rubles, or 14.7% of GDP.
    Rmf
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    Post  Rmf Fri Jan 20, 2017 8:06 pm

    https://sputniknews.com/russia/201701121049515068-russian-far-east-free-land/
    free land in siberia project is starting..
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    Post  Austin Sun Jan 22, 2017 1:50 pm

    Energy Stocks 2016

    http://www.niterainbow.com/2016/03/energy-stocks-2016.html
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    Post  whir Sun Jan 22, 2017 2:34 pm

    Rmf wrote:free land in siberia project is starting..
    Surveyed and desire Rolling Eyes.
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    Post  PapaDragon Mon Jan 23, 2017 5:21 pm


    Quite decent panel discussion on Russian economy by Euronews from Davos (not surprising given the participants)

    http://www.euronews.com/2017/01/19/live-debate-from-davos-russias-role-in-the-world

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    Post  Project Canada Tue Jan 24, 2017 1:18 pm


    Central Bank: Recovery of Russian economy opens up room for lower interest rate

    http://tass.com/economy/927042
    kvs
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    Post  kvs Tue Jan 24, 2017 2:05 pm

    Project Canada wrote:
    Central Bank: Recovery of Russian economy opens up room for lower interest rate

    http://tass.com/economy/927042

    Wow. So a recession calls for higher interest rates, following this logic. Anyone who thinks the CBR is run by
    anything other than nutjobs is out to lunch.

    Just to be clear, during recessions/depressions inflationary pressure minimizes unless the government
    prints money like Pancho Villa. At no time over the last 18 years has the Russian government printed money
    to cover its finances. Growth of the money supply reflects macroeconomic growth and not money printing.
    Not allowing the money supply to grow as the GDP expands leads to negative economic impacts. Printing
    money is something altogether different.
    Rmf
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    Post  Rmf Tue Jan 24, 2017 6:42 pm

    whir wrote:
    Rmf wrote:free land in siberia project is starting..
    Surveyed and desire Rolling Eyes.
    yes and regional authoity will give 1 more hectare per person. hectare is 100m x 100m.
    so young couple will have 4 hectares.
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    Post  Austin Wed Jan 25, 2017 10:13 am

    Russian banks in 2016 received 930 billion rubles of profit

    http://www.interfax.ru/business/546904

    Moscow. The 25th of January. INTERFAX.RU - Russian banks in 2016 increased profits by 4.8 times compared to the result for the previous year, accompanied by a deterioration in the quality of loans and an increase in the reserves up to 930 billion rubles, expenses, the statistics on the website of the CBR. In December, the banking sector earned a profit of 141 billion rubles, which is twice as good financial results for December 2015.

    At the same time over the past year we have reduced the volume of loans to legal entities by 9.5% - to 30.135 trillion rubles, but the volume of loans to individuals increased by 1.1% - to 10.804 trillion rubles, according to the Central Bank statistics. The total amount of loans to the economy (non-financial enterprises and households) decreased by 6.9% in 2016 - up to 40.939 trillion rubles.

    The assets of Russian banks decreased by 3.5% in 2016 and amounted to 80.063 trillion rubles. natural persons deposits in Russian banks grew by 4.2% in 2016 - up to 24.200 trillion rubles, funds of legal entities decreased by 10.1% and amounted to 24.322 trillion rubles.
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    Post  whir Wed Jan 25, 2017 6:19 pm

    Rmf wrote:yes and regional authoity will give 1 more hectare per person. hectare is 100m x 100m.
    so young couple will have 4 hectares.
    One hectare equals ten thousand square metres and there's a big difference between willing to own for free some land plot in the middle of nowhere and actually living there.

    The whole deal is just another speculative scheme and most of those lands are going to end up in the portfolio of some timber company or agribusiness holding for the greater good of deforesting Siberia.
    kvs
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    Post  kvs Wed Jan 25, 2017 9:51 pm

    Austin wrote:Russian banks in 2016 received 930 billion rubles of profit

    http://www.interfax.ru/business/546904

    Moscow. The 25th of January. INTERFAX.RU - Russian banks in 2016 increased profits by 4.8 times compared to the result for the previous year, accompanied by a deterioration in the quality of loans and an increase in the reserves up to 930 billion rubles, expenses, the statistics on the website of the CBR. In December, the banking sector earned a profit of 141 billion rubles, which is twice as good financial results for December 2015.

    At the same time over the past year we have reduced the volume of loans to legal entities by 9.5% - to 30.135 trillion rubles, but the volume of loans to individuals increased by 1.1% - to 10.804 trillion rubles, according to the Central Bank statistics. The total amount of loans to the economy (non-financial enterprises and households) decreased by 6.9% in 2016 - up to 40.939 trillion rubles.

    The assets of Russian banks decreased by 3.5% in 2016 and amounted to 80.063 trillion rubles. natural persons deposits in Russian banks grew by 4.2% in 2016 - up to 24.200 trillion rubles, funds of legal entities decreased by 10.1% and amounted to 24.322 trillion rubles.

    A clear contraction of the Russian banking industry is clear from these figures, 3.5% in 2016. The CBR is the prime reason for this contraction.
    Loans at 10.5% are not affordable for business even if they are marginally affordable for some consumers.
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    Post  Austin Thu Jan 26, 2017 4:01 am

    Positive news here kvs

    Russia increased agricultural production by 4.8% in 2016


    Production reached 5.626 trillion rubles


    Agricultural production in Russia in 2016 reached 5.626 trillion rubles, which is 4.8% more than in 2015. This is stated in the materials of the Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat).

    Gross grain harvest in Russia in 2016, according to preliminary data, amounted to 119.1 million tons.
    This is 13.7% more than in the previous year.

    In addition, the increased gross harvest of sugar beet (23.8%) and sunflower seeds (15.2%). Gross harvest of potatoes decreased by 7.8%, vegetable collection increased by 0.9%. flax production fell by 8.8%.

    In the structure of grain production in 2016 compared to 2015 increased relative weight of wheat, rye, cereals and legumes, the weight of corn, barley and oats.

    The number of cattle at the end of December 2016, according to estimates, was 18.7 million head, up 1.6% compared with the corresponding date of the previous year.



    Читайте далее: http://izvestia.ru/news/660042#ixzz4WqRASCzz
    Rmf
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    Post  Rmf Thu Jan 26, 2017 7:48 pm

    whir wrote:
    Rmf wrote:yes and regional authoity will give 1 more hectare per person. hectare is 100m x 100m.
    so young couple will have 4 hectares.
    One hectare equals ten thousand square metres and there's a big difference between willing to own for free some land plot in the middle of nowhere and actually living there.

    The whole deal is just another speculative scheme and most of those lands are going to end up in the portfolio of some timber company or agribusiness holding for the greater good of deforesting Siberia.
    it will be monitored and controlled. and the land surface is too low for business to risk taking it.
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    Post  Project Canada Sat Jan 28, 2017 4:27 am



    Russia Becomes One Big Money Magnet

    even Forbes is reporting positive news about Russian economy Laughing



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    Post  miketheterrible Sat Jan 28, 2017 4:49 am

    whir wrote:
    Rmf wrote:yes and regional authoity will give 1 more hectare per person. hectare is 100m x 100m.
    so young couple will have 4 hectares.
    One hectare equals ten thousand square metres and there's a big difference between willing to own for free some land plot in the middle of nowhere and actually living there.

    The whole deal is just another speculative scheme and most of those lands are going to end up in the portfolio of some timber company or agribusiness holding for the greater good of deforesting Siberia.


    Part of the contract in obtaining this land is that you (be it the individual who acquired it) has to live and do something with that land for 5 years. If nothing done, it is taken back by the province. Already honey farms have been set up and other little farms too. 2 Million registered out of the 8 million total who were interested. So 2 million now will develop something in that area. More will follow when things start to kick off. This isn't something that a big company can come in and take. There were a lot of clauses to prevent what you are stating from actually happening.
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    Post  Project Canada Sat Jan 28, 2017 9:02 am


    positive development thanks to NATO sanctions Laughing Laughing


    Sanctions help make Russian fishing boss a billionaire

    Sponsored content


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