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    Su-57 Stealth Fighter: News #7

    TMA1
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    Post  TMA1 Sun Jun 20, 2021 8:00 pm

    LMFS wrote:From our friend Dorfmeister (Red Samovar)

    Su-57 Stealth Fighter: News #7 - Page 28 E4JQuirVEA4Qk1Y?format=jpg&name=large

    https://twitter.com/Strike_Flanker/status/1405775918539309061/photo/1

    Well that puts that previous rumor to rest!

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    Atmosphere
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    Post  Atmosphere Sun Jun 20, 2021 8:17 pm

    I have no idea why is there such attention to production numbers.
    Sukhoi simply makes the amount that is ordered.
    And the amount that is ordered is calculated taking into account the budget and needs of the RuAF in the current situation. That is it.
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    Post  TMA1 Sun Jun 20, 2021 8:58 pm

    Atmosphere wrote:I have no idea why is there such attention to production numbers.
    Sukhoi simply makes the amount that is ordered.
    And the amount that is ordered is calculated taking into account the budget and needs of the RuAF in the current situation. That is it.

    Because they are awesome and want more in the sky right now Cool

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    Post  LMFS Mon Jun 21, 2021 2:44 am

    Su-57 Stealth Fighter: News #7 - Page 28 E4WTWIzX0AIiLAs?format=jpg&name=medium

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    Post  Russian_Patriot_ Thu Jun 24, 2021 6:26 am

    The assembly process of two Su-57 fighters, which were carried out on the territory of the Komsomolsk-on-Amur Aviation Plant. 
    Su-57 Stealth Fighter: News #7 - Page 28 Cpzidg10

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    Post  Mir Thu Jun 24, 2021 5:51 pm

    Not just two but three! russia

    Su-57 Stealth Fighter: News #7 - Page 28 Su57-110

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    Post  ALAMO Thu Jun 24, 2021 6:08 pm

    Mir wrote:Not just two but three! russia

    Su-57 Stealth Fighter: News #7 - Page 28 Su57-110

    I would say, even more.
    This production line is made of stands. You move the frame from one to another, and each next is equipped for another part of the production process. In all factories of this kind I have visited (i.e. wind turbines are made just the same way), there is a common starting point for all the lines, because there is where the connection with the warehouse is made. Komsomolsk has at least 4 production lines, as I saw on the pics.
    My educated guess is, that this line starts more to the left of the pic. As we see the line of Su-30, there is certainly one more, and we do not know if that is even the first one in the line. So, there is something behind the curtain ... Laughing
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    Post  Mir Thu Jun 24, 2021 6:30 pm

    Yes who knows what's behind that screen! Very Happy
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    Post  Russian_Patriot_ Fri Jun 25, 2021 7:24 am

    Mir wrote:Not just two but three! russia

    Su-57 Stealth Fighter: News #7 - Page 28 Su57-110
    Wow, really. I didn't even notice
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    Post  Mir Fri Jun 25, 2021 8:44 am

    It is so nice to see Russia literally getting it's "ducks in a row" after many years of pain.
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    Post  Dorfmeister Fri Jun 25, 2021 8:17 pm

    ALAMO wrote:I would say, even more.
    This production line is made of stands. You move the frame from one to another, and each next is equipped for another part of the production process. In all factories of this kind I have visited (i.e. wind turbines are made just the same way), there is a common starting point for all the lines, because there is where the connection with the warehouse is made. Komsomolsk has at least 4 production lines, as I saw on the pics.
    My educated guess is, that this line starts more to the left of the pic. As we see the line of Su-30, there is certainly one more, and we do not know if that is even the first one in the line. So, there is something behind the curtain ... Laughing

    Even more?

    That wouldn't fit with official contracts related to Su-57 and already announced numbers of aircrafts to be delivered each year. BTW, it makes no sense to produce a big bunch of aircrafts which are not in the "definite" standard (lacking Izd.30, for instance).
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    Post  LMFS Fri Jun 25, 2021 8:47 pm

    If I remember well, they told about 22 units until 2024. They will work slowly at the beginning and faster in the end, so that they can produce ca. 1 sqd per year
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    Post  limb Fri Jun 25, 2021 9:55 pm

    I am still confused, in case of a conflict, would the Su-57 prototypes be used in combat? Could the last few prototypes be considered defacto in combat srrvice?
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    Post  lancelot Fri Jun 25, 2021 10:21 pm

    limb wrote:I am still confused, in case of a conflict, would the Su-57 prototypes be used in combat? Could the last few prototypes be considered defacto in combat srrvice?

    It would depend on how bad it got. In the case of modern Russia I doubt the situation would ever get to the point where they needed to use them.
    It is more likely the prototypes will be repurposed and used for weapons integration tests or crew familiarization for training.
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    Post  Atmosphere Sat Jun 26, 2021 2:37 am

    Keep in mind that production when expecting conflict is not like when it is peace time.
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    Post  kvs Sat Jun 26, 2021 2:58 am

    The video posted in the Russian civil aviation thread by Scorpius also covered the Su-57 and the workers at the Sukhoi plant
    were not thinking about some small number. The 76 +/- on order are not hypothetical or some time in the future. They will
    be cranking them out. The video naturally did not give the number per year. But less than 10 does not sound credible to me.
    Various sources and estimates are more than likely FUD. We are dealing with military production and not civilian. Enemies do
    not need to be informed.

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    Post  Atmosphere Sat Jun 26, 2021 6:03 am

    Keep in mind that the Su-57 is 4 times simpler than the si-27 , here we are speaking about parts not how advanced the plane is.

    As technology advanced, you could simplify construction and do with a few parts what would have taken many of them had the technology been worse.
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    Post  ALAMO Sat Jun 26, 2021 10:46 am

    Dorfmeister wrote:
    Even more?

    That wouldn't fit with official contracts related to Su-57 and already announced numbers of aircrafts to be delivered each year. BTW, it makes no sense to produce a big bunch of aircrafts which are not in the "definite" standard (lacking Izd.30, for instance).

    Yes, but not in the meaning that they produce them on other lines that are there.
    We see a line of 57s, and my guess is it starts at the same point as the one next to them. That gives us one more, and we do not know if the photo is angeled to show the start of the line in the front.
    So I would say, there are 4 at least.
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    Post  kvs Sat Jun 26, 2021 4:38 pm

    ALAMO wrote:
    Dorfmeister wrote:
    Even more?

    That wouldn't fit with official contracts related to Su-57 and already announced numbers of aircrafts to be delivered each year. BTW, it makes no sense to produce a big bunch of aircrafts which are not in the "definite" standard (lacking Izd.30, for instance).

    Yes, but not in the meaning that they produce them on other lines that are there.
    We see a line of 57s, and my guess is it starts at the same point as the one next to them. That gives us one more, and we do not know if the photo is angeled to show the start of the line in the front.
    So I would say, there are 4 at least.  

    If we are to trust the "sources", then these 4 frames take almost a year to finish. Does anyone find such insinuations credible?
    I think they are patently moronic. The Su-57 frames likely take similar amounts of time as the frames of the other models being
    built. Obviously they are working on them at the same time.

    https://www.defenseworld.net/news/27634/Russian_MoD_to_Order_Additional_batch_of_Su_35_fighters_worth__927_Million#.YNc5MUwpCUk

    This link claims that 12 Su-35 jets can be assembled in a year. Assuming that the above photograph showing what looks like 4 frames is the limit,
    which it is not by any means, then that implies four months per frame. If we have 12 frames worked on at the same time, then it supposedly
    takes a year per frame. So 12 frames per year is BS. The size of the order has no bearing on the actual production rate for such small orders.
    Four months per frame is very slow and does not make sense. The pipelining of modern production can compact the time to assemble a unit
    dramatically. The assembly itself is not that time consuming since it is just that, assembly.

    But the low order volume does have an impact on production time since the pipeline has to be restarted every year which incurs a time
    penalty. Just not the ridiculous one claimed.

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    Post  ALAMO Sat Jun 26, 2021 4:57 pm

    Not at all Arrow

    This is how this production is arranged.

    Su-57 Stealth Fighter: News #7 - Page 28 5c08924aa310eff36909c5d7

    It is a China-based wind turbine production plant, but I can assure you that all of them, around the world, are made just the same. Been there, saw that Very Happy
    I put it as an example because in opposite to let's say a car plant, those are big objects, that require cage construction for access to them. So the easiest way to imagine the process is the turbine.

    The capacity of this production depends on two major factors.
    How many lines you can have there, and how fast you can finish a stage production, to move the object forward, to the next stand.
    No matter what you produce, line production is all about these two parameters.
    The space in a factory can be easily adjusted to accommodate additional lines. You can hire more staff for each production step, to make it faster. You can improve the production techniques and process, cut some manhours.
    They are making a certain amount of frames per year not because they can't do more, but because they don't need it.
    Sure, they can build extra lines, hire extra staff, and finish the ordered 76 frames in 2 years.
    And what then? Close the lines, fire the folks?
    There must be a constant flow of production, that allows the factory to operate. To improve the production base, manufacturing technology, educate workers, personal skills of theirs, to implement steady updates to the product.
    That is how it works in manufacturing, lads.

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    Post  kvs Sat Jun 26, 2021 5:01 pm

    Yes, doing it all in half a year is pointless if the order volume is low. But 12 frames per year is not a reflection of intrinsic capacity of
    Sukhoi to produce the Su-35 just as 7 frames per year is not relevant for the Su-57. Some of the discussion in these threads falls
    into the "production capacity limits" zone which is BS.

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    Post  ALAMO Sat Jun 26, 2021 5:07 pm

    I suppose the disputers have never been to a modern factory, so they dispute the things never experienced.
    Lack of experience hardly stops from arguing Laughing , it works opposite.
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    Post  GarryB Sun Jun 27, 2021 6:49 am

    Another factor is that this is a brand new product, and it is during production that shortcuts and improvements are made to production to make it faster or easier or to produce less waste or less waiting time.

    The first few products will be made a specific way but improvements can be introduced at any time to the way it is put together to make if faster and easier and cheaper.

    They will have a plan and they will work to that plan with examination of points where problems can happen or where things need to be done in a specific order, because they are potential bottlenecks if there is a problem.

    In the 1980s there were Su-27 airframes sitting waiting... the engines and airframes were ready but the radar and much of the electronics were running a bit slow which held everything up.

    Making 10 radars for 10 prototypes is one thing but serial producing them for 76 production aircraft is another thing, and at the same time they will of course be working on an export model of the aircraft too which will have different specifications as well.

    The customer will likely want the aircraft to arrive at a specific rate... getting one at a time is not much use because they already did the testing... now they will want to send it to units to formulate training manuals and maintenance manuals to support and operate the aircraft... and of course then they will go to operational units...

    You will notice the Russians seem to be doing the opposite of what the west did with the F-35... they ordered 3500 before the damn thing was even working properly and still haven't solved a lot of major problems with the design despite having over 500 in service...

    Once the aircraft is ready then production will proceed but they are never going to produce 1,000s of these aircraft for themselves... maybe half that eventually if they have a naval shipborne version perhaps...
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    Post  ALAMO Sun Jun 27, 2021 11:57 am

    There is always a huge difference when you are prototyping, and to turn that into serial production.
    One can make several prototypes simply by hand. No specialized tools are needed, no specialized stands, machines etc. Its unit cost is ridiculous, still, you can make few pieces to check if that even works.
    The magic starts when you are to put this product into serial production. The first thing you need there is a comprehensive and complete supply chain established. You need a subsystem's deliveries at the desired rate, date and steady, and that alone requires tons of subcontractors to have desired capacities.
    It is like a river flow, if all the smaller rivers flow as needed, you get a giant at the end. But if not, what you have is flooding in one place and water shortages in the other.
    Just the same story for serial production. You are flooded with unfinished frames lying all around the factory because have not received joints to connect them. If you consider it funny or unrealistic, I can remember when we had a month lasting lag on the slipway, because there were no duplex steel pipes on hand. Ordered with a year advance, still not delivered on time due to the whole cataphract of things that happened all way down the supply chain. 10 pcs of pipes. That was all needed to close the loading system and test it, allowing the next stage of the fitting.
    Amateurs ask for numbers, professionals ask the logistic. Remember that.

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    Su-57 Stealth Fighter: News #7 - Page 28 Empty The Su-57 Fighter's Two Hypersonic Missiles That Could Ruin American F-35 Operations

    Post  Finty Thu Jul 01, 2021 1:49 am

    https://militarywatchmagazine.com/article/two-hypersonic-missiles-on-russia-s-new-su-57-fighter-which-could-shut-down-f-35-operations



    The Su-57 Fighter's Two Hypersonic Missiles That Could Ruin American F-35 Operations

    Entering serial production in June 2019, and subsequently being inducted into the Russian Air Force in December 2020, the Su-57 next generation heavyweight fighter represents product of a highly ambitious program to develop the first entirely new Russian fighter airframe since the Soviet collapse. The fighter is set to replace the Su-27 Flanker and its many advanced derivatives in frontline service over the coming decades, and will integrate a number of sixth generation technologies such as artificial intelligence, laser weapons and powerful Saturn 30 engines - all of which are currently being tested for integration onto the airframe. It has gained considerable attention for features including its three dimensional thrust vectoring engines, its unprecedentedly large internal weapons capacity and its laser defence systems. While the Su-57’s combat capabilities make it a leading potential challenger for new American designs, namely the F-35A and the upcoming F-X sixth generation fighter, an assessment of the aircraft's weaponry, and in particular the two classes of hypersonic missile it fields, indicate a potential to seriously disrupt and potentially collapse altogether combat operations by American stealth fighters without engaging them directly. Such a capability is particularly useful considering that the Su-57 is expected to be overwhelmingly outnumbered in the event of a major war with NATO. The hypersonic weapons in question are the Kh-47M2 Kinzhal air launched ballistic missile and the R-37M air to air missile - both of which are expected to be integrated onto the Su-57 before 2025.

    The Kh-47M2 entered service in the Russian Air Force in early 2018, following its announcement in March that year by President Vladimir Putin, and has been integrated onto MiG-31K and Tu-22M supersonic combat aircraft - both of which deploy powerful sensors and have a high endurance. The missile is capable of impacting targets at speeds of up to Mach 10, and range estimates vary from 2000km to 3000km - possibly in reference to different variants integrated onto the MiG-31K and the Tu-22M respectively. Even shorter ranged variants deployed from the shorter ranged MiG-31K, however, would allow the aircraft to strike targets across Western Europe, the Middle East and almost all of East and Southeast Asia without these aircraft needing to deploy from overseas bases. No existing missile defence system is capable of reliably intercepting the Kinzhal, which is highly maenovuraable, and the missile is also capable of targeting enemy warships for potentially devastating effect.

    Plans to develop a variant of the Kh-47M2 for integration onto the Su-57, which will be miniaturised to deploy from its internal bomb bays, were announced near the end of 2018 less than a year after the original missile entered service. This was not the first time a missile developed for the MiG-31 would be miniaturised for the next generation fighter - with the R-37 air to air missile notably undergoing a similar process to later develop the R-37M. Integrating the Kh-47M2 onto the fighter would make the Su-57 the only one in the world capable of delivering hypersonic ballistic missile attacks, which would not only make it an excellent ship hunter but also allow it to deliver strikes against enemy command centres, logistics hubs, airfields and other critical targets deep behind enemy lines. Combined with the high survivability and long range of the Su-57, little would be able to stop the Kh-47M2 from taking enemy runways out of service and neutralising large numbers of enemy fighters on the ground very early in a conflict. The potential implications of this, particularly when considering the extremely high maintenance requirements of American stealth fighters and their need for pristine runways, are huge - with such fighters spending the large majority of their time on the ground. Stealth fighters based on aircraft carriers will, if anything, be more vulnerable to such attacks should the warships be operating within the Kinzhal's engagement range.

    The R-37M hypersonic air to air missile is very likely the most capable in service today, although the upcoming American AIM-260 and Chinese PL-XX could soon challenge its primacy. Paired with the Su-57’s powerful sensors, the missile is capable of engaging aircraft at ranges of up to 400km, and its unrivalled Mach 6 speed and very high manoeuvrability makes it very difficult to evade. While the missile can be used to engage stealth fighters, such aircraft will in most situations not be detectable at more than half the missile’s range even when the Su-57 is sharing tracking data with ground based air defence systems and supporting fighters and AEW aircraft. Where the R-37M could excel against enemy stealth fighters, however, is in neutralising the aircraft critical to supporting their operations. In East Asia in particular, the F-35’s relatively short range compared to heavyweight fighters means it will rely heavily on aerial refuelling to operate offensively - and should these aircraft be destroyed it will seriously impede and possibly halt altogether offensive operations by the fighters. While newer MQ-25 lightweight unmanned tankers have stealth capabilities, these are set to be procured in very limited numbers for the U.S. Navy and have a lower performance than the more widely fielded non-stealth tanker designs. Losing tankers on a long flight over sea can potentially leave fighters stranded and force emergency landings, and even the presence of missiles capable of threatening these aircraft as the R-37M may be enough to end offensive operations by fighters in a particular theatre. This is particularly critical should Russia engage U.S. forces in its Far Eastern regions, or should the Su-57 be sold to Asia-Pacific countries such as China, Vietnam or Myanmar.

    Ultimately while the Su-57 is designed to be able to go head to head with the elite of an enemy fleet, including the F-35A and the more capable upcoming F-X, Penetrating Counter Air Fighter and others, the fighter may well be equally effective at undermining the war efforts of an enemy air fleet in a less direct way without engaging enemy fighters directly. This versatility is unrivalled among fifth generation fighters, with the F-35A lacking comparable weapons, and the air to ground and anti ship capabilities of the F-22 and Chinese J-20 both negligible, while none of these non-Russian aircraft deploy hypersonic air to air missiles. This could change on future, depending on the capabilities of upcoming American sixth generation fighters and the progress made in American hypersonic missile programs.

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