AMCXXL wrote:The Su-57 does not replace any aircraft, it is an expansion of the fleet.
In the logic of platform development, Su-57 is the substitute of the T-10 family, you cannot keep updating both lines in parallel. In 15 years time Russia will be turning it into a 6G platform and buying it actively, not Su-35 and Su-30. US wrecked their 5G turning it into a black hole of funding with unreasonable requirements and under the excuse of stealth, Russian military is not like that. LTS is the proof that 5G is not intrinsically unaffordable or just a boutique complement for the fleets. Russia producing planes at the pace of roughly 1 sqd per year means it would take 20 years to reach 200 units, by that time the older Su-35 will already be like 30 years old. What we talk about is a long term replacement program that will take several decades.
In addition, air defense will not only include the hunting of aggressor aircraft , but also the elimination of the ground infrastructure to support these aggressor aircraft in the territories bordering Russia through the use of stealth S-70s (commanded by the Su-57s).
I have always thought that was the plan all along.
When all the necessary Su-35s and Su-57s have been purchased, modernization will proceed next decade, in addition to starting the project of a next-generation aircraft after that.
The 2030s will focus on rebuilding the Navy Air Force (Shipbrne fighters and helicopters, antisubmarine patrol and coastal aviation)
There is a 6G engine being developed on the core of izd. 30 and with the same size, in parallel the development roadmap for Su-57 continues being worked on. It is a late 5G plane and they have said it will be the transition to 6G.
Therefore I see the VKS Air Force equipped with Su-35, Su-57 and S-70, and the Navy Air Force, equipped with Su-30SM and another 5th generation aircraft (Su-75 or MiG 5th generation, in several versions: shipborne, land-based and unmanned)
There is no reason why the VKS would not like a modern cheap plane like LTS to increase numbers. As said, it has practically the same range as Su-30.
Why does Russia need 300 Su-57s if USA operates only 5 combat squadrons with 123 F-22 block 30/35/40 and one training squadron with 28 F-22 block 20 ?
I have said 150-200 Su-57. And of course there are many other planes Russia needs to take care of apart from F-22, like NGAD, F-35, all the European rather modern fighters, Turkey, Eastern Europe, Japan, Korea etc.
aviation is necessary for low and medium intensity conflicts and as a resource to delay the nuclear option in high intensity conflicts
Yes, that is why Russia needs both to grow numbers in the VKS/VMF-MA and also transition to cheaper platforms.
An attempted aggression on a large scale by NATO would require a large concentration of aircraft and material in the bordering countries, which would be detected early.
In the event of hostile movement, NATO facilities in Eastern Europe would be volatilized by nuclear weapons before most NATO airplanes even took off, so it doesn't matter if the USA has 200 or 2000 F-35s.
Russia already has nukes, that does not prevent conventional capabilities needing to be increased to get escalation control.