It seems some are of opinion that the best outcome of stability for Afghanistan is that the NRF becomes contained and therefore yields to Taliban and then China or Russia move in .
Russia or China to Move In?
What are the chances of the NRF to defeat the Taliban and kick them out of their own country?
I would say zero.
What are the chances of them entering a spiral of continuous fighting that gets nastier and more brutal as the years pass?
Pretty damn good.
The alternative, which the US rejected when it arrived in Afghanistan, is to say that the Taliban are Afghans and the NRF are Afghans... and ISIS are not Afghans they are foreigners... the Taliban and NRF should form a government to rule the country but obviously the NRF can't form a major part of the government because they don't hold enough territory to justify that. They can start by working together to deal with ISIS and the work together to create a better future for all Afghans and start to trade with neighbouring countries.
Again this does not reflect reality on the ground or how politics works . The tribes in Afghanistan can not be contained .
Contained is an American term... the way they contain Russia or contain China... and BTW how is that working out at the moment?
Smaller countries are easier to contain of course like North Korea or Iran perhaps?
They exist as a people with own identity . Containment by other tribes means genocide and ethnic cleansing .
You are not listening... I am not suggesting Russia and China go in and carve up all the resources, I am suggesting the Taliban gain a bit of credibility and accept their former enemies into the governing structures of the new country they are creating... Putin has already said if the new government ruling Afghanistan is not an inclusive one that the Taliban will not come off Russias terrorist lists and there will be no good relations.
Tribes in each area need to run their own local affairs and not be controlled by other tribes is a given clearly.
Iran , I doubt will share the same policy as China or Russia or USA . Turn a blind eye and see ethnic cleansing . Neither will it , I think give overt help
The west does not give a shit about ethnic cleansing.... that is their excuse for intervention... but only in places they want to intervene... ethnic cleansing therefore is found in places where it hasn't happened like Kosovo or Syria perhaps, but ignored in places where it actually is but they don't want to send troops like Palestine or Afghanistan now...
And oppose those rejectionists and extremists , standing against peace and progress .
Arming the NRF and continuing this conflict will not create peace or stability and will create more extremists than it kills.
Getting the Taliban to create a government where the locals are responsible for their own affairs or managing themselves with some sort of centralised structure to manage it all is the best they can hope for... but funding internal enemies will just continue what has been for the last 20 years and wont change in the next 20 years.
Iran would benefit from a stable Afghanistan... well Russia and China think the same... it was the US who thought they could snap their fingers and turn it into a carbon copy of the west in a few years... and they clearly failed.
Continual war has been tried too and was not very successful either.
Women will absolutely have no rights under a Taliban government. Their existence is being erased.
That shows you the difference between rights in the west and rights in the rest of the world.
In the rest of the world being able eat and somewhere to live are the rights they want... in the west it is being able to say what you like and getting to vote twice a decade is what they think is their right...
Saifullah Hassanzai, former head of the Parwan tribal affairs, who is on the front lines of the Second Resistance Front in #Panjshir, by Sending these images , saying that Panjshir will not surrender and would continue to resist #Taliban attacks.
Great, so just for a change the future of Afghanistan is going to be more war... just exactly what they need.
Former president Hamid Karzai in a statement asked the Taliban and the "National Resistant Front" in #Panjshir to stop the fighting and resolve their issues through dialogues.
Doesn't the Taliban have him under house arrest in Kabul?
Very funny... this guy suggests peace and dialogue and the response is that he must be forced to say that by the Taliban... because obviously mindless killing is always the answer.... wonder if this person has shares in US MIC companies...
If Tajikistan is supporting Panjshir, and this says it is, then even Russia may end up supporting them. I have thought that governments don't put all their eggs into one basket.
Like Turkey is supporting ISIS and the US is supporting the Kurds in Syria... despite HATO agreements there is no requirement for Russia to support anyone they don't want to support.
The chief of the Bureau of Military-Political Analysis, Alexander Mikhailov, believes that the militias in Panjshir should stand firm in order to "either remain an actor on behalf of the West in this region, or to enter into talks and, if possible, join a coalition government, which would pave the way for peace and prevent another spiral of civil war in Afghanistan."
Of course... funding an opposition to them and fighting them will always result in the Taliban surrendering and doing everything you tell them to do... the solution is always more war.
The Taliban will no doubt be discriminatory towards others
Like everyone in power everywhere...
G20 to meet over Afghanistan
I am sure the G7 have already decided....