Russian special military operation in Ukraine #19

Very interesting to see, the military analyst Dima

Concluded that after Lisichansk is enveloped

The next place of attack would be Seversk

Supposedly VSU has reinforce seversk to prevent a mass collapse of the front line with 20,000 soldiers

Establishing control of Seversk would mean that bakhmut would be bypassed and enveloped - but also place Slavyansk and Kramatorsk within artillery range

Lisichansk will be concluded within the week

And then seversk and Bakhmut Agglomerations

Interestingly there was a vote to see what followers thought would be the next point of attack

Most said Odessa, he said Kharkov

With the understanding that the mass of forces is already present there to carry out an attack,  and that Ukrainians have withdrawn many forces from Kharkov to plug the seversk gap

https://youtu.be/MM_wlUqbuqk

thegopnik wrote:...

doesnt finland and sweden have to admit being turkey's bitch before getting into NATO?

I don't think Turkey wants them in NATO, the supporting terrorism angle is a reasonable excuse, but I suspect Erdogan sees what NATO are trying to do with surrounding Russia, and doesn't like it.

Arkanghelsk wrote:
Interestingly there was a vote to see what followers thought would be the next point of attack

Most said Odessa, he said Kharkov

With the understanding that the mass of forces is already present there to carry out an attack,  and that Ukrainians have withdrawn many forces from Kharkov to plug the seversk gap

Before going for Odessa, Nikolaev has to be taken. On the other hand, they are already starting probing attacks west of Balakleia.

I doubt the Russians will attempt to seize Khakrov right now, they might be looking to push closer but that's it. Taking Khakrov is going to require immense forces, which would give Ukraine the chance to counterattack other fronts and make some progress aginst a light russian line

Sure people will go "like they did at Kherson hur hur"

No, Ukraine never launched attacks there any reports of it were false.

Other areas needed to be claimed before Khakrov becomes an option

Biden let it slip at the very outset that the U.S was willing to entertain limited territorial concessions as part of the empire stratagems many potential outcomes, and the preferable one.

Biden was part of the team that engineered this whole situation.... he and his regime should have no part or say in the way this ends.

I suspect when Zelensky is eliminated or runs away to the west it will be Ukrainians in the Ukraine that decide its future and its shape and makeup.

The factory was targeted by Russia. Ukraine tried shooting it down and the projectile landed near the pond

The Russian report of the attack mentioned 10 S-300 and BUK missiles being fired at the four Russian missiles that hit the target.

Without an IADS some of the BUK missiles shot down S-300 missiles and likely a few S-300 missiles hit some BUKs too... the rest likely impacted the ground after failing to hit their targets... any one of them could have started the fire or caused damage.

Are you serious ?

Might be the only way to get the attention of the west who still think this is just a game sadly... the western leaders are clearly idiots that are full of themselves.

Here to collect on those who were betting on the Sultan as a last (savior) resort... there were some here. You can't fix stupid... ever.

That was brilliant actually... Finland and Sweden both threw the valiant Syria and Turkish Kurds they were supporting under the bus... they could defend them when they were neutral, but now to gain entry they will throw them under the bus and then after they join HATO they can return to protecting and supporting them like before... Turkey gets screwed again but what is new...

Looking forward to the spin of Finland/Swedish ascention and Russia's "asymmetric" response

Neither country has been neutral for a very long time, this just makes the plans to point nukes at them easier and more concrete.

They are certainly less safe now... but with the idiots in charge of the asylum there is no state of being safe really.

In a position to make everyone else pay for your death is about as good as Russia can hope for and that is what they have now.

Ok, thanks for wasting my time in letting me know.

Never accepting constructive feed back has led to the west being the way it currently is.

Well that is not totally true.... never accepting it.... more like never hearing it because you surround yourself with yes men...

Suggestion to start all out war? I know you're grade A bullshitter but cmon

You have said it yourself... the west does not fear or respect Russia... either is good enough to stop all this bullshit... maybe a hypersonic missile strike on Brussels or London would do the job words seem to repeatedly fail at achieving.

Does the west need to be nuked to get them to take notice?

They don't listen to their own people but being in the opposition in politics is actually fun... you don't do anything and everything that is wrong is the governments fault...

I can't fix stupid... sorry bro....

Calling people stupid who don't follow or agree with your view... classy... obviously a troll here to win hearts and minds...

And some of the 'usual suspects' really thought Turkey would block FI+SW NATO membership because of 'Russian tourists' and a secret Kremlin sponsoring double agenda.

Sweden and Finland have been part of HATO in all but name for quite some time now... apart from now needing to build a 1,350km fence and to only buy US shit not much has changed except now the border with Finland will become very very quiet in terms of trade and cooperation and noisy with exercises...

The hilarious thing is that once these two nations have fully joined HATO they will go back to protecting Kurds the way they are doing now and Turkey can't do anything about that... except leave HATO of course.... hahaha...

How the dimwitts came up with different analysis just highlight their ignorance and wishful thinking... (obviously some of it taken from propagandists mascarading as analysts infecting their brain with garbage) but that exist aplenty with dimwits.

Yeah, of course, people are stupid... has nothing to do with the west spending trillions of dollars a year in their media making shit up... everything is so obvious, no one would lie to them... and they complain about Kremlin propaganda....

But continue to call the ones who come here to find better information dimwits... it is is obviously the average western person who believes their media and their government and thing the difference between what they say and the reality that even the west can't fudge, like Putins popularity in the rest of the world outside of the western propaganda machine.

Symbolically it isn't good for Russia that they are joining. This is why Russia just has to take most of Ukraine and regime change the rest. But I doubt Putin will do that.

They picked sides years ago... the formality of converting the border to open hostility is all that remains... and Finnish and Swedish taxpayers learning the cost of making the bear an enemy instead of just a neighbour.

Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation in Ukraine ( June 29, 2022)

The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation in Ukraine.

The enemy suffers considerable losses.

10th Mountain Assault Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) suffered considerable losses during the offensive near the Lisichansk oil refinery. According to captured servicemen from this brigade, 108th Battalion has been completely defeated. Only 30 from 350 servicemen remain in this unit.

115th Mechanised, 79th Air Assault and 25th Airborne brigade of the AFU that operate towards Lisichansk suffer a critical situation in grocery supply. There are a lot of cases of abandoning positions and desertion due to starving.

Attack launched by Russian artillery near Pitomnik (Kharkov region) has resulted in the elimination of up to 100 militants from Kraken Nazi group and about 10 units of combat equipment. Commanders of the militants have decided to abandon the positions and to withdraw the rest of this unit to Kharkov.

Russian Federation Armed Forces continue launching attacks at military facilities located in Ukraine.

High-precision attacks launched by Russian Aerospace Forces have resulted in the elimination of 4 command posts, including those of Kharkov-1 and Kharkov-2 Territorial Defence battalions near Kharkov, as well as a training base of mercenaries deployed near Nikolayev.

The neutralised targets include: AFU manpower and military equipment in 32 areas, 1 AFU equipment reparation base near Lisichansk, 8 armament and munitions depots near Shevchenkovo (Kherson region), Spornoye (Donetsk People's Republic, Nikolayev and Ochakovo (Nikolayev region), as well as 1 fuel depot near Kulbakino (Nikolayev region).

Within the counter-battery warfare, high-precision armament of Russian Aerospace Forces have neutralised 2 Ukrainian Grad multiple rocket-launching system (MRLS) plattoons near Kalinov, Aleksandrovo-Kalinovsk, as well as 2 artillery plattoons near Avdeyevka that had been shelling the settlements of the Donetsk People's Republic.

Operational-tactical and army aviation, missile troops and artillery have neutralised: 39 command posts, 6 munitions depots, artillery and mortar units in 68 areas, including a unit of French CAESAR self-propelled howitzers at Kubansky island, as well as manpower and military equipment in 216 areas.

Operational-tactical aviation of Russian Aerospace Forces have shot down 1 MiG-29 airplane of Ukrainian Air Force near Bashtanki, Nikolayev region.

In addition, 1 self-propelled launching system of Buk-M1 air defence system near Troitskoye (Odessa region).

Russian air defence means have shot down 2 Su-25 airplanes near Kurulka (Kharkov region), Kvitnevoye (Kherson region) and 1 Mi-8 helicopter of Ukrainian Air Forces near Arkhangelskoye (Nikolayev region).

9 Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles have been shot down near Vesyoloye, Ilyichyovka, Shestakovo, Pitomnik, Liptsy, Ternovaya, Sulinovka (Kharkov region), Tomina Balka (Kherson region), Stakhanov and Kantemirovka (Donetsk People's Republic).

7 Ukrainian Tochka-U ballistic missiles have been intercepted near Peski-Radkovskiye, Kapitolovka, Chervoniy Oskol (Kharkov region), Tyaginka, Novokondakovo (Kherson region) and 8 projectiles launched by a MRLS near Kamenka, Brazhkovka (Kharkov region), Krymki, Novosyolovka, Yarovaka (Donetsk People's Republic) and over Snake Island.

In total, 221 airplanes and 134 helicopters, 1,391 unmanned aerial vehicles, 351 air defence missile systems, 3,853 tanks and other armored combat vehicles, 692 combat vehicles equipped with multiple rocket-launching systems, 3,052 field artillery cannons and mortars, as well as 3,907 units of special military equipment have been destroyed during the special military operation.

#MoD #Russia #Ukraine
@mod_russia_en

https://t.me/mod_russia_en/2484

So the "war crime" of the mall is a total fake.

1) The parking lot is empty even though Elensky claimed 1000 people were inside the mall.

2) Not a single video or photo of blood or bodies. No evidence of any women and children.

3) Lots of burly men and men in uniform all over the place.

4) No mass of ambulances taking away the injured. The victims must have all been vapourized.

5) Western media outfits kicking into action 10 hours in advance of the incident.

6) The mall has been mothballed since early March and had no electricity. Phantom shoppers
that are now the phantom victims must have been there.

Territories under the control of Russian troops and allied forces (marked in red), from 28 June

Data are given in percentages.


https://twitter.com/spriteer_774400/status/1542073491771498496/photo/1

Bang on target is what all the videos show. Into the yellow box.

Found this little gem and I had to share it.

 


Translated

This is why Russian Airforce  , in Ukraine have been a colossal failure , making the advances of Russian
military so slow , trying to do it all with cruise missiles and artillery  ,and next to zero true close air support. against moving targets..


This is the "close air support" that Russian airforce  provide to its ground troops.  




This is what Russian  "close air support"   really  means.  Fire  with unguided  rockets ,  at forest  
and hope for  a lucky shot , manage to hit anything.. They not  even had a confirmation of what
they  hit or if they  hit anything at  all.  

They do this retarded tactics with Su-25 all the time , with Ka-52 and mi-35 , this is why Russia
army is soooooooooo SLOWWWW in ukraine and this is why Russia don't have air superiority yet in
the war after more than 120 days .

What this tactics clear show ,is that there are no fly zones inside of ukraine , that their airforce can't fly. THis is not tactics, but desperate fighting. They need to do something similar to what Azerbaijan was doing to armenia.  They got hundreds of remote controlled with directional anthena small transport planes ,used as kamikazi/spy planes ,with a lot of explosives ,with the signal of a combat plane  as targets , to draw fire against them , that allowed them to 1)spy on positions of ukraine army 2)bypass manpads flying above their range 3) draw only the fire ground air defenses like S-300s , buks and Tors, and pantsirs to spot their positions. Later they send loitering munition flying low towards those targets , this were very effective tactics that neutralized Armenian-Russian air defenses  deployed in the battlefield to help nagorno push back azerbaijan airforce.

Some  generals needs to be fired from their positions for allowing so much mediocre tactics.
Russia needs strike drones.. PERIOD.. that hover 24 hours a day in ukraine skies and in big numbers,  remove those stupid unguided rockets , and replace them with tv guided kamikazi drones . Cheap drones enter first , heavy drones in the back.. Saturation fire between super cheap ,small drones and heavy drones strikes ,combined with the use of false targets to spot their positions of airdefenses , always works..  What Russia airforce is doing doesn't work.. This is retarded unguided rocket attacks is not very helpful ,specially when they have no way to know what they hit.  Russian airforce without a doubt is the weakest link in the Russian army.

Vann7 wrote:This is why Russian Airforce  , in Ukraine have been a colossal failure , making the advances of Russian
military so slow , trying to do it all with cruise missiles and artillery  ,and next to zero true close air support. against moving targets..


This is the "close air support" that Russian airforce  provide to its ground troops.  

Just had a funny thought, the only people complaining about Russian military tactics other than you is the Banderite regime who are losing this war badly (1000 troops killed, wounded and captured per day).

The other consequences of anti kurd hatred will be not only Russian support of kurds in upcoming turkish operation

Russia isn't stupid enough to support a Kurdish war against Turkey since the traitorous Kurds are trying to annex 1/3rd of Syria for themselves along with parts of Iraq, Turkey and Iran. A Kurdistan would be no ally of Russia but instead a large, middle-eastern Kosovo firmly on the side of NATO/the US/Israel.

Turkey will never get what it was promised. Once they join everyone will "forget" the promises and Erdogan will keep barking with no real actions. They just finish arming Greeks to win a war against Turks yet Erdogan still do what nato tells him.

Agreed, Turkey is a lot like Israel except they have very little to no influence in US politics (unlike AIPAC) so while they don't always do as the US/NATO tells them to, they don't really have the power to forge their own path geopolitically like Russia does. At best they can play China/Russia off against the collective West and gain as many benefits from both while not committing much to either camp.

Shashank Joshi
@shashj

Interesting new Russian casualty figure from head of British Army (@ArmyCGS) this morning: “Up to 33,000 Russians dead, wounded, missing or captured.” If we assume 1:3 or 1:4 ratio of KIA to wounded, then that would imply fewer than 15,000 dead—lower than previous UK estimate.

https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1541696939212816384

NOTE: wonder if this includes the DLPR's forces too. The West in the past have a tendency to classify them as Russian forces. The only group to have released figures lately has been Donetsk and they listed 2,000 dead plus 8,000 wounded (1:4 ratio)

UK is bullshit. Its estimates are bullshit. Just stop sharing their bullshit stories here no matter what thry say.

franco wrote:Shashank Joshi
@shashj

Interesting new Russian casualty figure from head of British Army (@ArmyCGS) this morning: “Up to 33,000 Russians dead, wounded, missing or captured.” If we assume 1:3 or 1:4 ratio of KIA to wounded, then that would imply fewer than 15,000 dead—lower than previous UK estimate.

https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1541696939212816384

NOTE: wonder if this includes the DLPR's forces too. The West in the past have a tendency to classify them as Russian forces. The only group to have released figures lately has been Donetsk and they listed 2,000 dead plus 8,000 wounded (1:4 ratio)

A BBC article was published with names, less than 3000 names were shown from Russian side

With DPR and LPR figures around the same with margin for more, but LDNR released their own figures

This number is way off, sort of like running out of kalibrs in week 3

British intel should not be taken seriously

I have to agree with ISOS, you are posting bullshit and calling trolls for me to have to rebuff

Vann7 wrote:This is why Russian Airforce  , in Ukraine have been a colossal failure , making the advances of Russian
military so slow , trying to do it all with cruise missiles and artillery  ,and next to zero true close air support. against moving targets..

This is what Russian  "close air support"   really  means.  Fire  with unguided  rockets ,  at forest  
and hope for  a lucky shot , manage to hit anything.. They not  even had a confirmation of what
they  hit or if they  hit anything at  all.  

Nope, you simply don't understand what "close air support" is, or you are simply dumb.
this is a school example of close air support.

Vann7 wrote:
What this tactics clear show ,is that there are no fly zones inside of ukraine , that their airforce can't fly. THis is not tactics, but desperate fighting. They need to do something similar to what Azerbaijan was doing to armenia.  

comparing what Azerbaijan did to Armenia is like comparing MMA fight to a childcare garden incident between boys.
Russia did it to Georgian army in 2008, much faster than Azerbaijan did to Armenia.

Vann7 wrote:
  Russian airforce without a doubt is the weakest link in the Russian army.

It is in fact the strongest part of Russian armed forces and all experts underline that. Russia air force is working in a most protected airspace in Europe with all sorts of AD. Yet they have full air superiority...

Ned86 wrote:

Vann7 wrote:This is why Russian Airforce  , in Ukraine have been a colossal failure , making the advances of Russian
military so slow , trying to do it all with cruise missiles and artillery  ,and next to zero true close air support. against moving targets..

This is what Russian  "close air support"   really  means.  Fire  with unguided  rockets ,  at forest  
and hope for  a lucky shot , manage to hit anything.. They not  even had a confirmation of what
they  hit or if they  hit anything at  all.  

Nope, you simply don't understand what "close air support" is, or you are simply dumb.
this is a school example of close air support.

Following that guys "logic" you don´t need infantry or tanks. Just send in 500 snipers and they will kill 50.000 enemy soldiers in hours. I´m pretty sure he learned all what he "knows" about wars from Hollywood. He propably thinks that Iron Man or Thanos are real.

Cocaine is a powerful drug

: 144 prisoners were exchanged on both sides. Ukraine got

59 - National Guard (43 of which were members of Azov)
30 - Navy Servicemen
28 - Ukrainian Regulars
17 - Border Guards
9 - Territorial Defenders
1 - Policeman

No further details at present.

https://twitter.com/baronichitas/status/1542175129064677376?cxt=HHwWgIC91f2G9OYqAAAA

https://twitter.com/RWApodcast/status/1542167944335171584

According to Pushilin, Azov members were privates and amputees regarding extensive medical care. Russian and Donetsk servicemen were returned including some Russian pilots apparently (other sources). There was a 15 for 16 prisoner exchange yesterday or the day before.

Very insightful read:

https://twitter.com/imetatronink/status/1541780685937332224