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    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #24

    Arkanghelsk
    Arkanghelsk


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    Post  Arkanghelsk Mon Sep 12, 2022 6:55 pm

    Amid Ukraine’s effective counter-offensive, Russia’s FM Lavrov proposes negotiations with Kyiv

    Mon, September 12, 2022

    So it's known now, all the noise of Zaporizhia NPP is to prepare us, for inevitable fact that we will see more gestures of goodwill in Kherson and Zaporizhia

    PapaDragon
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    Post  PapaDragon Mon Sep 12, 2022 6:57 pm


    They don't need mobilisation, they just need to use some of the troops they already have

    Any updates on airstrikes? Are they still at it or have they stopped


    After Aleppo I am willing to give Russians benefit of a doubt because they pulled off this apparent trap there successfully despite initial suspicion


    But then again from personal experience I am not discounting possibility of Russia pussying out and selling everyone down the river just like Milosevic did here

    You never know with East Europe...




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    PapaDragon
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    Post  PapaDragon Mon Sep 12, 2022 6:58 pm

    Arkanghelsk wrote:Amid Ukraine’s effective counter-offensive, Russia’s FM Lavrov proposes negotiations with Kyiv

    Mon, September 12, 2022

    So it's known now, all the noise of Zaporizhia NPP is to prepare us, for inevitable fact that we will see more gestures of goodwill in Kherson and Zaporizhia


    Stop whining here and hit the streets

    Like I said before, protests are not just for traitors and hippies




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    Arkanghelsk
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    Post  Arkanghelsk Mon Sep 12, 2022 6:58 pm

    PapaDragon wrote:
    They don't need mobilisation, they just need to use some of the troops they already have

    Any updates on airstrikes? Are they still at it or have they stopped


    After Aleppo I am willing to give Russians benefit of a doubt because they pulled off this apparent trap there successfully despite initial suspicion


    But then again from personal experience I am not discounting possibility of Russia pussying out and selling everyone down the river just like Milosevic did here

    You never know with East Europe...





    Lavrov and Peskov already came out

    It was a goodwill gesture

    That's why it went "according to plan"

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    Post  Arkanghelsk Mon Sep 12, 2022 7:01 pm

    So , Medvedev says "no prospects for talks"

    Lavrov says "let us negotiate"

    Peskov says "no comment"

    I remember this occurred months ago, when all were talking in riddles , kadyrov said one thing, peskov another, lavrov another, Medvedev played tough

    What a circus

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    Post  0nillie0 Mon Sep 12, 2022 7:05 pm

    When you are strong, appear weak.... I guess?!


    Last edited by 0nillie0 on Mon Sep 12, 2022 7:08 pm; edited 1 time in total

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    Arkanghelsk
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    Post  Arkanghelsk Mon Sep 12, 2022 7:08 pm

    0nillie0 wrote:When you are strong, appear week.... I guess?!

    Look , when they say "all tasks set at the beginning of SMO will be achieved "

    What it means?

    Donetsk and Lughansk,

    That's it,

    Russia is leaving Ukraine, and demarcation line with NATO will be the border

    All these statements by officials is to confuse us, the population

    Never let your own eyes deceive you to believe the Bullshit fed by the government

    Since March what they have wanted is a negotiated settlement

    What they will get, is a slap in the face by NATO, and the dishonor to accompany it

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    caveat emptor
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    Post  caveat emptor Mon Sep 12, 2022 7:10 pm

    Arkanghelsk wrote:Look , when they say "all tasks set at the beginning of SMO will be achieved "

    What it means?

    Donetsk and Lughansk,

    That's it,

    Russia is leaving Ukraine, and demarcation line with NATO will be the border

    All these statements by officials is to confuse us, the population

    Never let your own eyes deceive you to believe the Bullshit fed by the government

    Since March what they have wanted is a negotiated settlement

    What they will get, is a slap in the face by NATO, and the dishonor to accompany it

    Where did Lavrov say that? Do you have link?
    caveat emptor
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    Post  caveat emptor Mon Sep 12, 2022 7:13 pm

    Nevermind, found it.
    Arkanghelsk
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    Post  Arkanghelsk Mon Sep 12, 2022 7:14 pm

    caveat emptor wrote:
    Arkanghelsk wrote:Look , when they say "all tasks set at the beginning of SMO will be achieved "

    What it means?

    Donetsk and Lughansk,

    That's it,

    Russia is leaving Ukraine, and demarcation line with NATO will be the border

    All these statements by officials is to confuse us, the population

    Never let your own eyes deceive you to believe the Bullshit fed by the government

    Since March what they have wanted is a negotiated settlement

    What they will get, is a slap in the face by NATO, and the dishonor to accompany it

    Where did Lavrov say that? Do you have link?

    https://rbc-ru.turbopages.org/turbo/rbc.ru/s/politics/11/09/2022/631dc9239a794731f1913559
    Stealthflanker
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    Post  Stealthflanker Mon Sep 12, 2022 7:23 pm

    It's gonna be suck if only Lugansk and Donetsk as these two will be under constant threat By Ukrainian "retaliatory" attempt. Leaving Kherson will also means leaving Crimea as definitely Ukrainian wont just let that peninsula away. They will choke water supply again.

    Otherwise.. Lugansk and Donetsk now add Mariupol, Melitopol and Kherson will endure another 8 years of shelling if not more.

    At very least tho.. a landlocked Ukraine must be sought. LInking up with Transistria will be a good bonus.

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    Arkanghelsk
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    Post  Arkanghelsk Mon Sep 12, 2022 7:26 pm

    Stealthflanker wrote:It's gonna be suck if only Lugansk and Donetsk as these two will be under constant threat By Ukrainian "retaliatory" attempt. Leaving Kherson will also means leaving Crimea as definitely Ukrainian wont just let that peninsula away. They will choke water supply again.

    Otherwise.. Lugansk and Donetsk now add Mariupol, Melitopol and Kherson will endure another 8 years of shelling if not more.

    At very least tho.. a landlocked Ukraine must be sought.  LInking up with Transistria will be a good bonus.

    Why would the Kremlin give a shit about it

    Peskov wife is dancing in Greece

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    Post  Backman Mon Sep 12, 2022 7:28 pm

    caveat emptor wrote:
    Arkanghelsk wrote:🇷🇺 Member of the State Duma Security Committee Mikhail Sheremet proposed to introduce full mobilization in Russia

    The determination to win.
    That's crazy talk. What is full mobilization, several million people? And what for?

    For what ? To fight 10's of 000's of nato troops pouring into Ukraine maybe ?
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    Post  Backman Mon Sep 12, 2022 7:35 pm

    Lots of people in Russia watch world news. And in effect , the world news is saying they lost the war. That is why Duma members are calling for mobilization. They have day jobs. I would be too.

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    Post  Firebird Mon Sep 12, 2022 7:36 pm

    Backman wrote:
    caveat emptor wrote:
    Arkanghelsk wrote:🇷🇺 Member of the State Duma Security Committee Mikhail Sheremet proposed to introduce full mobilization in Russia

    The  determination to win.
    That's crazy talk. What is full mobilization, several million people? And what for?

    For what ? To fight 10's of 000's of nato troops pouring into Ukraine maybe ?

    All the more reason to mobilise then. And start hitting Euro and US infrastructures.
    The cocksuckers would soon pipe down... if they had any brain cells left.

    Attack the Russian world, get slaughtered by the Russian world. It should be that simple.

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    Post  Stealthflanker Mon Sep 12, 2022 7:37 pm

    Arkanghelsk wrote:

    Why would the Kremlin give a shit about it


    They better give a shit as the thing has been brewing for over 8 years now since 2014.

    anyway if Putin step down and Medvedev do ascend to replace him.. You think he will finally take of the glove ?
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    Post  ALAMO Mon Sep 12, 2022 7:39 pm

    Backman wrote:
    caveat emptor wrote:
    Arkanghelsk wrote:🇷🇺 Member of the State Duma Security Committee Mikhail Sheremet proposed to introduce full mobilization in Russia

    The  determination to win.
    That's crazy talk. What is full mobilization, several million people? And what for?

    For what ? To fight 10's of 000's of nato troops pouring into Ukraine maybe ?

    You are turning on the lack-of-sense mode again.
    There is no 10s of 000s nato troops.
    Actually, there are fewer of them than before the operation, all the countries involved pulled out the instructing teams and carry the programs in Europe.
    Sure there are hundreds of hired guns from all over the world, but it is nothing new, the same was for all 8 years of civil war. And guess what! On both sides!

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    caveat emptor
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    Post  caveat emptor Mon Sep 12, 2022 7:43 pm

    Backman wrote:
    For what ? To fight 10's of 000's of nato troops pouring into Ukraine maybe ?
    Let's just deploy numbers they had in May. Kharkov didn't happen because Ukrainians did something outstanding, but because it was almost undefended.

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    Post  limb Mon Sep 12, 2022 7:53 pm

    Arkanghelsk wrote:
    Stealthflanker wrote:It's gonna be suck if only Lugansk and Donetsk as these two will be under constant threat By Ukrainian "retaliatory" attempt. Leaving Kherson will also means leaving Crimea as definitely Ukrainian wont just let that peninsula away. They will choke water supply again.

    Otherwise.. Lugansk and Donetsk now add Mariupol, Melitopol and Kherson will endure another 8 years of shelling if not more.

    At very least tho.. a landlocked Ukraine must be sought.  LInking up with Transistria will be a good bonus.

    Why would the Kremlin give a shit about it

    Peskov wife is dancing in Greece
    Well, seems like the Russian government officials with family and real estate in the "civilized world" are the ones most vocal about negotiations and grstures of goodwill. This war proved who traitors with west worshipping daughters and wives are in the Ru government.
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    Post  thegopnik Mon Sep 12, 2022 7:55 pm

    https://twitter.com/mdfzeh?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1569370496554205186%7Ctwgr%5E%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url= 10k personell to ulgedar. Does anyone have a number of how much ukrainians were deployed to make such a push? I want to keep a track of ukrianian bodies.
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    Post  ALAMO Mon Sep 12, 2022 8:01 pm

    caveat emptor wrote:
    Let's just deploy numbers they had in May. Kharkov didn't happen because Ukrainians did something outstanding, but because it was almost undefended.

    Well, they did something outstanding, in a way.
    They have absorbed thousands of KIAs in relatively low importance struggle.
    How is that possible?
    Well, due to total censorship, propaganda, and the internet, which can be used for creating or liquidating the content.
    Ukrainians are fed with such bullshit, that it is hard to imagine and believe, if not seen&heard by yourself.
    A whole Europe is boiling.
    Mass protests are running in Czech, Germany, the Netherlands, France, Bulgaria, Moldova.
    Catalonya walked out to the streets in 700 000 numbers. SEVEN HUNDRED THOUSANDS.
    Scotland is again calling for independence ...
    And there is all quiet on the Western front. Protesters are labeled as Putins agents, and stigmatized.

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    Post  billybatts91 Mon Sep 12, 2022 8:01 pm

    From Slavyangrad -
    A dear friend of mine sent me today news that Russian authorities are preparing to change the status of SMO in Ukraine. When I read the news, I commented " War? That's the way I interpret it". The answer was " basically". So, what this means exactly? Russia can by voting in State Duma proclaim an Anti-terrorist operation in Ukraine. Similar action has been done during the last war in Chechnya. We all know how that ends. It was swift and brutal. You will say, Ukraine is not Chechnya. It's not. But it will be brutal. Not so swift. But another good friend of mine, as well as a good amount of readership is thinking that Russia is withdrawing and searching for an exit from Ukraine. Let's discuss it simply. If Russia withdraws now, or in near future, I believe that her significance in world affairs would be totally diminished, with a big internal crisis which consequence I can't predict at all. Maybe even the existence of Russia as an entity came into question. But, in the last few days, we heard many high-ranking Russian officials simply saying that all goals of SMO would be fulfilled. Certainly, we don't expect them to say, "all is lost, each on his own". But the coldness and tone with which the message is repeated, are entirely different from the slow, annoyingly careful, and patient way and language which characterized the Russian diplomatic approach to affairs. I was thinking, you don't bump yourself into the chest, playing gorilla, and then run away with your tail between your legs like some chihuahua. If the second is in question, we can repeat all negative scenarios about Russia's future. Every single one of them, and each would be perfectly plausible and possible. But if the first option is in case, which I think it is, I expect a significant escalation of hostilities in not so distant future. I don't believe that idiots are sitting in the Kremlin or the General staff of the Ru army. Annoyingly slow, as mentioned above, but far, far away from being idiots. In the end, my friend and I finished the short discussion with " So, the stone age for Ua? ". Answer was 👍

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    Post  Stealthflanker Mon Sep 12, 2022 8:01 pm

    thegopnik wrote:https://twitter.com/mdfzeh?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1569370496554205186%7Ctwgr%5E%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url= 10k personell to ulgedar. Does anyone have a number of how much ukrainians were deployed to make such a push? I want to keep a track of ukrianian bodies.

    at this point, just dont bother as they'll just throw as many as they want as long as they take a land and score some PR victory.

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    Post  limb Mon Sep 12, 2022 8:03 pm

    thegopnik wrote:https://twitter.com/mdfzeh?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1569370496554205186%7Ctwgr%5E%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url= 10k personell to ulgedar. Does anyone have a number of how much ukrainians were deployed to make such a push? I want to keep a track of ukrianian bodies.
    Apparently Ukrainians didnt use all of their resrves in their push in kharkov. Russian amd ldnr trcommanders massively underestimate the amount of equipment and soldiers that Ukraine has. If kalibr strikes actually caused as many casaulties as reported, yhen Ukraine wouldnt be able to casually muster 70000-80000 troops for 2 offensives, while holding the artemovsk line more or pess successfully.
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    Post  nomadski Mon Sep 12, 2022 8:09 pm



    Caveat Emptor wrote " Let's just deploy numbers they had in May .... " Not too difficult to determine the numbers needed . First you need numbers deployed now and square area under control . Then you find out area East of Denieper River , to be captured , and multiply to find number needed to defend area . But ! To capture area at first , you need to multiply number by three . QED . Oh and don't forget Odessa too . About negotiations , there is little to no chance of success . A division of territory and withdrawal of forces along Denieper River . But the negotiations , if they take place , should be made public .

    Guesstimate : ( 120,000 x 2 ) x 3 = 680,000 , to capture East and 240,000 to defend .

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