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    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #26

    Big_Gazza
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    Post  Big_Gazza Wed Sep 28, 2022 4:23 am

    lyle6 wrote:
    Big_Gazza wrote:
    Why do you think the Russian mobilisation is "chaotic"?  Because the Ukrops or the Western trash MSM and social media echo-chamber says so?   Suspect

    I thought you were smarter than this? dunno
    Its true though, the Russian mobilization lacks the order of the Ukrainian one, which is almost conveyor-like in efficiency in processing Ukrainian meat into fertilizer. Twisted Evil

    Ukropi mobilisation - end result

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #26 - Page 19 Ukrop_10

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    Post  Backman Wed Sep 28, 2022 4:24 am

    Big_Gazza wrote:
    Stealthflanker wrote:Yeah, curiously "Western" news never really brought up anything about How Ukraine Mobilized.  Laughing

    I would assume it's just as chaotic or even more than Russian one.

    Why do you think the Russian mobilisation is "chaotic"?  Because the Ukrops or the Western trash MSM and social media echo-chamber says so?   Suspect

    I thought you were smarter than this? dunno

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    Post  Big_Gazza Wed Sep 28, 2022 4:28 am

    thegopnik wrote:any chances that this pipeline will get sabotaged?

    There certainly is now....  Twisted Evil

    Rules have now been changed, but as usual, the stupid arrogant West doesn't believe or accept that it has set a precedent...

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    Post  Big_Gazza Wed Sep 28, 2022 4:37 am

    d_taddei2 wrote:I personally think no nukes will ever be used this would only further demonize Putin and Russia and play into the hands of the west as big bad Russia worse than Satan image. It would also look very desperate and be seen as Russia throwing it's toys out of the pram very much like what USA did in Japan by using weapons of mass destruction on civilians. Although I do think we might see FOAB  or other heavier bombs being used, and more heavy bombers being used Tu-22M3, Tu-95, Tu-160. If Russia was to use nukes it would be far more useful using in western Ukraine than on the doorstep of newly annexed areas. Nuking western Ukraine would be on the doorstep of countries helping Ukraine and would impede on supplies into Ukraine and Russia will most likely never annex these areas so once the land is contaminated nothing will be able to be planted and the pro Ukrainian and pro neo Nazi civilians will suffer over time with various health issues or the land vacated and those Ukrainians move into Europe and cause Europe more refugee crisis. The no man's land would create another buffer zone. But as I said I highly doubt any nukes will be sent. Maybe the west will use one on civilians and then blame Russians that more likely to happen than Russia using nukes. That's my 10 pence worth lol.

    Russia has made itself abundantly clear on this point. If the survival of the Russian state is in imminent danger from invasion by massed enemy conventional forces, they are prepared to use nukes to defend the state and nation.

    Ukraine simply doesn't pass that threshold, no matter how insane or unhinged they become.

    NATO might, if the US were to fully mobilise on the European continent, but the chances of that happening are IMHO (almost) non-existent.

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    ALAMO


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    Post  ALAMO Wed Sep 28, 2022 4:40 am

    caveat emptor wrote:
    P.S. Interesting thing is that Zaluzhny spoke very highly about Gerasimov in recent interview for TIME magazine.

    There is nothing interesting in that.
    He is a professional army officer in high ranks.
    Old enough to know each other in person, or even served together.
    They mastered the same military education system.
    I have never heard my fellow officers to deny the competence and skill of the potential opforces.
    In some cases, they openly admire the skills, and feel jealous of the equipment.
    It is amateurs' job to run like a headless chicken spreading shit, offence and emotions.

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    Post  caveat emptor Wed Sep 28, 2022 5:01 am

    ALAMO wrote:
    There is nothing interesting in that.
    He is a professional army officer in high ranks.
    Old enough to know each other in person, or even served together.
    They mastered the same military education system.
    I have never heard my fellow officers to deny the competence and skill of the potential opforces.
    In some cases, they openly admire the skills, and feel jealous of the equipment.
    It is amateurs' job to run like a headless chicken spreading shit, offence and emotions.
    It is interesting on the account of complete madness and Russophobia that is going on in Ukrainian society.
    And Zaluzhny is not as old as you think. Age difference is almost 20 years.

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    thegopnik
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    Post  thegopnik Wed Sep 28, 2022 5:03 am

    4 regions I think will become a part of russia in 2 days and what better way is there to make an example out of an enemy to the world with what your going to do to them next when an enemy is in your territory.(the make lyman fall on purpose story)

    send reservists instead of any number of active duty troops to actually resist supposedly areas of interests that are about to fall when the reservists are fully trained.

    Using drones to bomb Odessa instead of the Kharkov region where supposedly the russians are struggling with ukranian forces.

    I see red flags that Russia is about to stage some kind of shit as their next course of action. Even an idiot might suspect that something doesnt feel right about all of this.

    When the 35k charge happened in a few days we saw the Russians destroy the dam seperating ukraines forces where one group could not retreat and the other had to take a long detour to get to the same place where the other group was seperated and results were over 10k ukrainian troops dead(according to ukrainian sources) which I think the number is a little more horrific than that. Its like Russia just demonstrated that they know more about ukraine than the ukrainians do themselves when they used their own territory and environment against them and sadly no one here gives them enough credit for pulling that shit.

    If anyone feels like doom posting than just leave this place for a bit and come back on september 30th which should be the date russia gets those 4 regions.

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    Post  Backman Wed Sep 28, 2022 5:16 am

    Ukraine News on Twitter says that the US military is concentrating everything on Kaliningrad. What would Russia's plan be if the US tried taking Kaliningrad conventionally ?

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    Post  thegopnik Wed Sep 28, 2022 5:18 am

    Backman wrote:Ukraine News on Twitter says that the US military is concentrating everything on Kaliningrad. What would Russia's plan be if the US tried taking Kaliningrad conventionally ?


    nuclear strike on US bases. I dont think the Russian gov is joking about giving their troops anti-radiation pills for nothing.

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    Post  billybatts91 Wed Sep 28, 2022 5:39 am

    Backman wrote:Ukraine News on Twitter says that the US military is concentrating everything on Kaliningrad. What would Russia's plan be if the US tried taking Kaliningrad conventionally ?


    I think they'd nuke the baltics, wouldn't they?
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    Post  mnztr Wed Sep 28, 2022 5:46 am

    Backman wrote:Ukraine News on Twitter says that the US military is concentrating everything on Kaliningrad. What would Russia's plan be if the US tried taking Kaliningrad conventionally ?


    I am pretty sure there are nuclear tipped Iskanders in Kaliningrad as well as nuclear tipped cruise missiles. Also, did they not base MIG-31s with Kinzhal in Kaliningrad? (prob nukes as well)

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    Post  Scorpius Wed Sep 28, 2022 5:59 am

    According to FB, the crew of the downed SU-34, after ejecting at low altitude, was injured, but got out to their own, having walked more than 30 kilometers. The pilot has a broken arm, the navigator also broke his arm and received a compression fracture of the spine. FB also reports that there is a regiment where every fourth crew has already been shot down.

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    Post  limb Wed Sep 28, 2022 6:02 am

    Scorpius wrote:According to FB, the crew of the downed SU-34, after ejecting at low altitude, was injured, but got out to their own, having walked more than 30 kilometers. The pilot has a broken arm, the navigator also broke his arm and received a compression fracture of the spine. FB also reports that there is a regiment where every fourth crew has already been shot down.
    How is that possible unless the losses in yhat regiment are huge?
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    Post  Airbornewolf Wed Sep 28, 2022 7:00 am

    sepheronx wrote:I see that there still is no real point being in this thread.  Its still filled with doomers.

    People like Khadyrov is definitely right.

    Armchair generals not even close to the conflict or not even in any field to speak of, still "debating" and "screaming"

    GarryB has more patience than I do.


    I respect that guys like you, Werewolf, Hole, Etcetera are still trying to point out the immense loads of crap some post here on this thread.
    i made one post, and ill leave it there. Why should i put more energy into these people that have no idea what they are talking about?.
    Only pointless Doomer screaming that mostly has zero info. Perhaps they can better mail their frustrations here: http://en.letters.kremlin.ru/

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #26 - Page 19 Meme_d12

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    Post  sepheronx Wed Sep 28, 2022 7:08 am

    I put most of them in ignore but they flood the thread with some members making half a dozen posts one after another, not bothering to use the edit button.

    Just flooding it honestly. I've resorted to reading telegram over this site.  Which is a farcry from what it used to be.  I may have had my dislike for Vlad to which point I not only lost my mod powers but also was banned. I would say he didn't put up with the amount Gary does.  These "people" should be thanking Gary almost every day for him having patience like a God.

    George doesn't post much anymore and I am hoping he comes back more often but if life stands in the way and he can't, I think we should vote on a new mod to assist Garry in this.  I would vote for you, Werewolf, Auslander, Hole. There are others too but many have either left or are not posting as much.

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    Post  ALAMO Wed Sep 28, 2022 7:21 am

    caveat emptor wrote:
    It is interesting on the account of complete madness and Russophobia that is going on in Ukrainian society.
    And Zaluzhny is not as old as you think. Age difference is almost 20 years.

    Never checked the age, to be honest, a guy looks about the age of my father-in-law. Interesting  Laughing
    Madness and any #phobia are an effects of weak minds.
    Always and in each and any society.
    Zaluzny is a well-educated professional with waste experience. An opposite.
    There most bizarre thing I have observed is the people who deliberately dehumanize all Ukrainians in order to make half-brainers out of them, only to be shocked when they do achieve some operational goals.
    Ukrainians are reversed Russkie, as I have said a long time ago.
    They do know how to fight, and they will fight, even if the cause is wrong, and the chances are miserable.
    The very same kind of people used to die in thousands at Rzhev only to grant some operational space and time to the high command.
    Never underestimate the opponents, because you will look like a fool if they will win.
    Zaluzny is giving high notes to the opponents because it rises his own. As easy as that.

    thegopnik wrote:ces where one group could not retreat and the other had to take a long detour to get to the same place where the other group was seperated and results were over 10k ukrainian troops dead(according to ukrainian sources) which I think the number is a little more horrific than that. Its like Russia just demonstrated that they know more about ukraine than the ukrainians do themselves when they used their own territory and environment against them and sadly no one here gives them enough credit for pulling that shit.
    If anyone feels like doom posting than just leave this place for a bit and come back on september 30th which should be the date russia gets those 4 regions.

    It is a Soviet Union territory to begin with, and the Ukrainians didn't put a single brick on those objects in the whole 30 years.
    The very same was already clear with Dnepr bridge, where they are punching holes in a lane not capable to do much more, as the object was a top class strategic object made in the SU, designed to withstand an atomic blast.
    Sure the Russkie know better, as they build that.

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    Post  Scorpius Wed Sep 28, 2022 7:28 am

    limb wrote:
    Scorpius wrote:According to FB, the crew of the downed SU-34, after ejecting at low altitude, was injured, but got out to their own, having walked more than 30 kilometers. The pilot has a broken arm, the navigator also broke his arm and received a compression fracture of the spine. FB also reports that there is a regiment where every fourth crew has already been shot down.
    How is that possible unless the losses in yhat regiment are huge?

    The term "shot down" does not mean the death of the crew.
    In addition, 1/4 aviation regiment roughly means 5-8 aircraft.

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    Post  mnztr Wed Sep 28, 2022 7:42 am

    So is Russias plan now to allow the Ukrainians to keep attacking, until they are stopped by the mud season? Then attack them relentlessly by air and artillery while they are stuck?
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    Post  Rodion_Romanovic Wed Sep 28, 2022 7:54 am

    thegopnik wrote:

    any chances that this pipeline will get sabotaged?

    Germany should take action and ask for answer from US and Poland

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    Post  Big_Gazza Wed Sep 28, 2022 7:54 am

    Backman wrote:Ukraine News on Twitter says that the US military is concentrating everything on Kaliningrad. What would Russia's plan be if the US tried taking Kaliningrad conventionally ?


    Ukraine News on Twitter says [INSERT MINDLESS BULLSHIT HERE] Razz

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    Post  ucmvulcan Wed Sep 28, 2022 8:10 am

    Big_Gazza wrote:
    Backman wrote:Ukraine News on Twitter says that the US military is concentrating everything on Kaliningrad. What would Russia's plan be if the US tried taking Kaliningrad conventionally ?


    Ukraine News on Twitter says [INSERT MINDLESS BULLSHIT HERE] Razz

    Most of the US and NATO would be seeing mushrooms

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    Post  Serberus Wed Sep 28, 2022 8:26 am

    mnztr wrote:So is Russias plan now to allow the Ukrainians to keep attacking, until they are stopped by the mud season? Then attack them relentlessly by air and artillery while they are stuck?

    Plan like that makes sense in Kherson ,minus the mud so far, its open ground, many of those bordering areas i think were emptied of civilians and it worked well so far.

    Whatever their plan is in the North, me the doomer, thinks many civilians are in danger of falling back into the hands of the Nazis in that area, and this time I don’t think any would get away alive, and if we don’t start reversing this push, it wouldn’t surprise me if Lisichansk and Severodonetsk are threatened or even lost considering the ineptitude of the Russians to stop river crossings.


    Last edited by Serberus on Wed Sep 28, 2022 8:28 am; edited 2 times in total
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    Post  Sujoy Wed Sep 28, 2022 8:27 am

    GunshipDemocracy wrote:I heard  this as US soldiers to Iraq , taking into account US gay army it is even funnier lol1 lol1 lol1
    Was posting in the India thread about India's successful VSHORAD test so didn't check what some posters had posted on this thread.

    If RTN posts a similar post about US, UK on a Western forum or SM site he will be banned immediately.

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    Post  sepheronx Wed Sep 28, 2022 8:28 am

    Serberus wrote:
    mnztr wrote:So is Russias plan now to allow the Ukrainians to keep attacking, until they are stopped by the mud season? Then attack them relentlessly by air and artillery while they are stuck?

    Whatever their plan is, me the doomer, thinks many civilians are in danger of falling back into the hands of the Nazis in that area, and this time I don’t think any would get away alive, and if we don’t start reversing this push, it wouldn’t surprise me if Lisichansk and Severodonetsk are threatened or even lost considering the ineptitude of the Russians to stop river crossings.

    Have you submitted your general guidance and experience yet to the Russian MoD? Airbornwolf has provided a link.

    Best of luck. Your experience, field knowledge, military history and the rest is duely respected and needed in this conflict.

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    Post  Ispan Wed Sep 28, 2022 8:28 am

    Since fortunately it's a slow day at work, here's my reply to a comment in my blog, regarding the battle for Krasny Liman, I thought it was worth it translating and posting it here

    The trees don't let us see the forest. The last entries in my war journal are all about reporting the fighting on the northern front because it is the most active, and the one with the most interest, but it is only a small part of the overall picture.

    Yes, it's a difficult situation. But in the grand scheme of things it doesn't matter that much.

    The decisive offensive was to be in Kherson. It's been a bloody failure. To the point that recaps of the month-long fighting are already being published. Yesterday the unjustly reviled Russian aviation was "ironing" with 500 kilo bombs the last Ukro positions at the Andreyevka bridgehead. The Ukrainians have lost the opportunity to force the Ingulets River and launch a maneuvering battle in the steppe to take Kherson.

    It is possible that they will still attempt an offensive in Zaporozhe, on the central front, but the reserves accumulated in the south that were ready to react to a rupture in Kherson, are now available to cope with that threat.

    The Ukrainian Kharkov offensive was successful due to a gift given to them by the Russians, but it has not led anywhere. The Russian group in Izyum escaped from the encirclement. As it was easy to foresee, given Zelensky's psychology and the imperative need to achieve a victory, at any place, at any cost, given the failure of the offensive in Kherson, driven by inertia, the Ukrainian command tried to cross the Oskol river and advance beyond. Enemy has not succeeded in the two most dangerous directions, Kupyansk and Borovaya (where the bridges were located), in the second he has not even tried. Only by going around the Oskol reservoir from the south did they manage to outflank the position of Krasny Liman, but this is because they failed in all direct assaults against the city. They have reached Redkodub, but they have abandoned the attempt to continue East, to Svatovo and this is a familiar pattern for anybody student of the history of war. When an offensive fails, the initial objectives are lowered and then becomes a question of getting the "consolation prize".

    The Oskol offensive so far is a failure. They have not broken the Russian new front at the river, have not managed to penetrate to the rear and encircle the Russian and Novorussian troops in the Seversky Donets, now they only aspire to take the "prestige prize", the city of Krasny Liman. If they have made some tactical advances so far, it is due to the disproportion of forces. The Ukrainians are making their main effort on this front, which is secondary for the Russians. The losses suffered by the Ukrainians, in a terrain that favors defense and the arrival of Russian reinforcements, although in a trickle, are leveling the scales.

    Having failed attempts to attack Liman from the East and from the North, yesterday the Ukrainians made an unexpected move by crossing the Seversky Donets at the eastern end by Belogorovka. Well, they have achieved a bridgehead but they have to go through the "green belt", the forest plantation and its flank and rear are exposed to Russian counterattacks that are attacking the ruins of Spornoye, south of the river. It is unlikely that they will be able to fuel the battle and shift the main effort to this bridgehead.

    Krasny Liman has become a battle for prestige reasons. The logical thing would be that in a few days, when they are ready, the Russians will go on the offensive from Belgorod, between the two reservoirs, to take in the flank and rear the Ukrainians who are worn out in the battle for Kupyansk - Liman, and the more units they put into the bridgeheads, the worse for them.

    The Krasny Liman garrison and the Kupyansk defenders have already fulfilled their purpose, which was to gain time and prevent the Ukrainian Kharkov offensive from going further. I do not know if the Russian command will order a withdrawal to avoid the encirclement, or if to avoid negative repercussions on morale, it will send reinforcements and make counterattacks to maintain the city, for reasons of prestige. From a strict military point of view, Liman and the rivers fronts should be reinforced the longer the resistance lasts, the more losses the enemy will suffer and the more troops it will have committed to the other side of the rivers, leaving it without reserves or forces to face future Russian offensives and without the ability to maneuver, as it it would be difficult to go back across the rivers to face a new threat from another direction. Given the psychology of the "Generalissimo Tshirtov" (Zelensky, for his habit of appearing in a military T-shirt)and the political constraints, the Ukrainian command will cling to its conquests and leave its troops caught in a mousetrap. Even if the hypothetical Russian offensive does not take place behind their backs, the Russians can simply crush the bridgeheads with artillery and gradually wear them out, as they do on the Ingulets river.

    The fall or retreat from Krasny Liman would be regrettable... and likely. But returning to the historical comparisons with the Spanish Civil War, our Spanish military colleagues  I think would agree that there is a parallel with Belchite. After Brunete, Franco this time did not react to the Republican offensive in Aragón and sacrificed the heroic defenders of Belchite so as not to be distracted from his main goal for 1937, to finish off the Northern Front before the arrival of autumn rains. A sacrifice on a secondary front was accepted in order to achieve a decisive victory for the course of the war.


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