If for Hungary it is just Transcarpathia, it is a relatively small region and not particularly russophobic. Probably it would not change much. However if Poland would take some of the region's on the north west (Lvov, Ternopol, Ivano-frankovsk, Volyn, parts of Rivne, etc) we are talking at something about 7 millions people (albeit a considerable part of them is already in Poland or in other NATO countries). This is a bit less than 20 % of the polish population (it depends on how many people would like to stay or return to those regions, in case of a polish takeover) and their hate for Poland is not much less than their hate for Russia. Once they will be in the same country as the second enemy, they will create a lot of problems...ALAMO wrote:flamming_python wrote:
The article states that Polish and Hungarian relations have considerably improved
But in fact said relations between Poland Hungary were always close; they always set aside their differences on Russia policy and simply cooperated within the framework of the Visegrad group and against Brussels.
So just from that I would be inclined to dismiss this reportage. As well as due to the authors' privy to these top secret consultations that have not left any other trails it seems
There are no "Polish-Hungarian" relations, and the Visegard Triangle is a non working sofa type organization that can do perfectly shit.
Poles do like Hungarians and vice versa, but that runs on the human factor&level only.
Both Hungary and Poland had their issues with the EU commission, but for both, the cause and goals differ.
Orban won't do anything that will seriously undermine the HU-RUS relations, as they are making very good money from those.
And again, a scenario of partitioning Ukraine using its historical lines&divisions was heavily promoted by the Russian side itself a while ago. It would benefit them - removing the problem of pure hate toward Russian fueling the western Ukrs. Let the Poles and Hungarians pick the hot potatoes. The only risk here would be turning Poland into 50+ mln country, but with our fertility rates that issue is irrelevant, this number will be halved by 2010. Plus causing a massive migration now solves that issue either, as the Ukrs will just spread along the entire Europe.
However, in Rivne Oblast and in the north of Khmelnytskyi Oblast there are two nuclear powerplants. I doubt Russia would leave them to Poland.
Furthermore it would be beneficial for Russia to have a land connection to Hungary (and through Hungary, to Serbia). That means that at least a part of the russophobic regions (e.g. half of Ternopol and Ivano-Frankovsk regions) would have to be kept at least in a sort of Russian protectorate in order to ensure a direct connection with Transcarpathia.
Finally it would not be a bad idea to have control of the pipelines that go into Hungary at least. I know that the pipelines are old and needing maintenance, but being able to provide gas to Hungary and Serbia without having to go through unfriendly countries is definitely an advantage.