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    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #56

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    Arrow


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    Post  Arrow Sun May 12, 2024 3:50 pm

    The Russians’ attempts to break through the defenses have been stopped,” Syrsky.
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    Post  JohninMK Sun May 12, 2024 3:54 pm

    Walther von Oldenburg wrote:Kraken regiment apparently redeployed to Kharkov.
    Not sure if this is the same.

    Zlatti71
    @Zlatti_71
    To reclaim lost positions near Volchansk, the adversary is deploying militants from the GUR MO DRB “Solnyshko” of military unit A0656. Some have already been captured. Budanov, soon images of your accomplices will circulate online. Additionally, another group of captured Kraken accomplices, also linked to Budanov's unit, has been detained. Source: ISZ

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    Post  Backman Sun May 12, 2024 4:02 pm

    I haven't been paying much attention. 

    Is the battle for Kharkov on ?
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    Post  Walther von Oldenburg Sun May 12, 2024 4:19 pm

    Backman wrote:I haven't been paying much attention. 

    Is the battle for Kharkov on ?
    The battle for the Kharkov oblast? Yes.

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    SeigSoloyvov
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    Post  SeigSoloyvov Sun May 12, 2024 4:28 pm

    Backman wrote:I haven't been paying much attention. 

    Is the battle for Kharkov on ?

    No its not, this is a an operation meant to establish a small buffer zone and possibly pull reserves out from other areas, Russia only has about 50k troops in play here, thats not enough to seize khrakov.

    So your going to see bitch and moaning from pro russians on why Kharkov wasn't taken and you will see pro ukies gloating "we stopped their offensive hehehe" when the objective was never to move that far into kharkov oblast just up to at most like 12km

    armchair experts and youtubers will be hyping this move up to be something it never was

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    Post  Hole Sun May 12, 2024 5:08 pm

    The Russians have vastly more clout in reserve - emphasis on VASTLY MORE. 
    We currently witness the attack of a small part of one of the three groups which are deployed to the border area.
    As soon as the Banderite reserves arrive in the area, after getting attacked by aviation and artillery the whole time,
    another group will go on the offensive. This will force the Ukros to reshuffle again, exposing them to more attacks
    by aviation, artillery and long-range weapons.

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    Post  Arkanghelsk Sun May 12, 2024 5:09 pm

    SeigSoloyvov wrote:

    No its not, this is a an operation meant to establish a small buffer zone and possibly pull reserves out from other areas, Russia only has about 50k troops in play here, thats not enough to seize khrakov.

    So your going to see bitch and moaning from pro russians on why Kharkov wasn't taken and you will see pro ukies gloating "we stopped their offensive hehehe" when the objective was never to move that far into kharkov oblast just up to at most like 12km

    armchair experts and youtubers will be hyping this move up to be something it never was

    More like 120-160k

    Each section of the front has that number more or less

    That's south, East, west, Dnepr and now North

    50k is what western media reported to downplay numbers and to keep up morale

    You are only seeing a small regiment that just took 50km wide section about 5-7km deep vs 4-5 ukro brigades

    The main forces will easily increase depth, but first identify and draw in Ukro reserves

    Then blast them to bits

    Then clear out the area


    Last edited by Arkanghelsk on Sun May 12, 2024 5:13 pm; edited 1 time in total

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    Post  Arrow Sun May 12, 2024 5:13 pm

    https://t.me/ChDambiev/29729
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    Post  Arkanghelsk Sun May 12, 2024 5:18 pm

    Lol to all the copers

    This offensive will last 3+ months

    You are in only 1 week

    Get some popcorn and enjoy summer

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    Post  SeigSoloyvov Sun May 12, 2024 5:30 pm

    There is not 130k man, you are pulling these numbers from imaginary land.

    But if you want to insist on this fine, where is the proof. Because all sources say 50k
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    Post  Mir Sun May 12, 2024 5:40 pm

    Even if there are only 40k Russians in the field it doesn't matter. What matters is the 1500 meat going through the grinder each and every day.
    Who you're going to call? Ghost Busters? What a Face

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    Post  Arkanghelsk Sun May 12, 2024 5:45 pm

    SeigSoloyvov wrote:There is not 130k man, you are pulling these numbers from imaginary land.

    But if you want to insist on this fine, where is the proof. Because all sources say 50k

    Ukrainian ones say that, and it references Kharkov

    Remember that prior to recent announcements they said there were over 100k

    https://www.yahoo.com/news/russian-build-east-nearly-125-084000917.html

    So my guess is that an army corps will conduct Kharkov operation

    And the other 1 or 2 will move in Sumy where villages were evacuated on Russian side and possibly Chernigov/Kherson/Pokrovsk depending where Ukraine is tied down

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    Post  mnztr Sun May 12, 2024 6:01 pm

    Karl Haushofer wrote:The downside of Putin's extreme cautiousness and restraint is that Ukraine can murder any amount of Russian civilians while knowing that Russia will not respond in kind.

    It happened in Moscow theater terror attack (which Ukraine was behind) and it happened today in Belgorod.

    If Ukraine knows that Russia would respond with force they would think twice and likely opt not to commit acts of terror.

    Putin is not gonna slaughter Ukrainian civvies just because the AFU kills Russians. It gains them nothing tactically and makes the post war situation more difficult.

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    Post  SeigSoloyvov Sun May 12, 2024 6:09 pm

    Mir wrote:Even if there are only 40k Russians in the field it doesn't matter. What matters is the 1500 meat going through the grinder each and every day.
    Who you're going to call? Ghost Busters? What a Face

    your assuming there will be 1500 a day....the start of operations are always the most bloddy and the ends the middle part is where it slows down a lot
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    Post  SeigSoloyvov Sun May 12, 2024 6:11 pm

    Arkanghelsk wrote:
    SeigSoloyvov wrote:There is not 130k man, you are pulling these numbers from imaginary land.

    But if you want to insist on this fine, where is the proof. Because all sources say 50k

    Ukrainian ones say that, and it references Kharkov

    Remember that prior to recent announcements they said there were over 100k

    https://www.yahoo.com/news/russian-build-east-nearly-125-084000917.html

    So my guess is that an army corps will conduct Kharkov operation

    And the other 1 or 2 will move in Sumy where villages were evacuated on Russian side and possibly Chernigov/Kherson/Pokrovsk depending where Ukraine is tied down

    you really citing yahoo as a source to me yeah that 140k number includes the boarder guards, National guard etc all of that stuff, you got your info wrong
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    Post  ucmvulcan Sun May 12, 2024 6:16 pm

    Arrow wrote:The Russians’ attempts to break through the defenses have been stopped,” Syrsky.

    Well then that settles it, the war is lost.  I have never known Ukraine to lie.   Its only a matter of hours befor Moscow falls and we all have babushka brand canned preserve air defense weapons sponsored in part by the ghost of chicken kiev over Bucha to thank for it, and remember Marioupol will never fall.

    Also lets see where we are in the cycle of war propaganda

    -The town/province will never fall
    - The town/province is still being contested (we are here)
    -The town/province is insignificant
    -Help! We're winning, give us money
    -The town/province will never fall

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    Post  ucmvulcan Sun May 12, 2024 6:23 pm

    SeigSoloyvov wrote:
    Mir wrote:Even if there are only 40k Russians in the field it doesn't matter. What matters is the 1500 meat going through the grinder each and every day.
    Who you're going to call? Ghost Busters? What a Face

    your assuming there will be 1500 a day....the start of operations are always the most bloddy and the ends the middle part is where it slows down a lot

    why wouldn't there be? Remember, Russia's whole MO for the past two years has been take a town or two, dig in, let the Ukrainians come to them, break them, take another town or two, dig in, make Ukraine come to them, break them, repeat.  Sometimes Ukraine takes a town back but the obiect is not the town but to put hohols in bodybags.  No hohols feetilizer, and no sunflowers.  The goal is not yet Kharkov city, though that may be sooner than we think. but Kharkov province.  They are going to make Ukraine pay for its pr stunts against the people of Belgorod and Kursk.

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    Post  Dr.Snufflebug Sun May 12, 2024 7:13 pm

    After being caught by surprise and completely routed, GURs Yusov now assures everybody that the situation is under control and he urges the rapidly advancing Russians to stop and surrender. Seriously, on UNIAN now.

    Well, worth a shot I guess? Very Happy

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    Post  Arkanghelsk Sun May 12, 2024 7:39 pm

    SeigSoloyvov wrote:

    you really citing yahoo as a source to me yeah that 140k number includes the boarder guards, National guard etc all of that stuff, you got your info wrong

    Yahoo is citing new voice of Ukraine which itself is citing Ilya Yevlash the spokesman for Khortitsa group in Kharkov

    So it's pretty much the same sources your citing

    Only that it was from March, now that the situation is much worse they try to downplay everything to prevent a collapse of morale

    Not that it matters, they surrender in droves

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    Post  SeigSoloyvov Sun May 12, 2024 7:44 pm

    ucmvulcan wrote:
    SeigSoloyvov wrote:
    Mir wrote:Even if there are only 40k Russians in the field it doesn't matter. What matters is the 1500 meat going through the grinder each and every day.
    Who you're going to call? Ghost Busters? What a Face

    your assuming there will be 1500 a day....the start of operations are always the most bloddy and the ends the middle part is where it slows down a lot

    why wouldn't there be? Remember, Russia's whole MO for the past two years has been take a town or two, dig in, let the Ukrainians come to them, break them, take another town or two, dig in, make Ukraine come to them, break them, repeat.  Sometimes Ukraine takes a town back but the obiect is not the town but to put hohols in bodybags.  No hohols feetilizer, and no sunflowers.  The goal is not yet Kharkov city, though that may be sooner than we think. but Kharkov province.  They are going to make Ukraine pay for its pr stunts against the people of Belgorod and Kursk.

    Yes but that also relies upon the ukies attacking you in mass and they haven't been doing that these days, they are focused on defensive tactics not offensive ones, they might try to retake a small village with a small amount of men here and there but eh.

    So that number seems bloated to me on just the khakrov front.

    I do agree with you the goal is not to seize kharkov here, it never was it was just to buffer and try to pull some reserves out.

    The problem is now many people will take this offensive out of context and thats already happening
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    Post  Karl Haushofer Sun May 12, 2024 7:44 pm

    Arrow wrote:The Russians’ attempts to break through the defenses have been stopped,” Syrsky.
    Russia is not going to Kharkov anyway with this group of soldiers.
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    Post  SeigSoloyvov Sun May 12, 2024 7:49 pm

    Arkanghelsk wrote:
    SeigSoloyvov wrote:

    you really citing yahoo as a source to me yeah that 140k number includes the boarder guards, National guard etc all of that stuff, you got your info wrong

    Yahoo is citing new voice of Ukraine which itself is citing Ilya Yevlash the spokesman for Khortitsa group in Kharkov

    So it's pretty much the same sources your citing

    Only that it was from March, now that the situation is much worse they try to downplay everything to prevent a collapse of morale

    Not that it matters, they surrender in droves

    I don't know if they took her qoute of context or something else, Yahoo isn't exactly the most reliable site, they often miss qoute things etc. So yeah Imma put a question mark next to anything Yahoo.

    Also the point is you made a giant assumption by assuming it was a 140k offensive force when in reality it was all the defensive troops and what not russia had there a rough estimate sure.

    but your numbers where wrong
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    Post  Mir Sun May 12, 2024 8:11 pm

    SeigSoloyvov wrote:
    your assuming there will be 1500 a day....the start of operations are always the most bloddy and the ends the middle part is where it slows down a lot

    Again...even if it's a thousand a day (consistently more than that for days now) and you calculate the number of troops available in a single brigade, you should realize that they will be finished in a matter of days.

    No problem - you will say - we will just call in the reserves.

    Yeah right! Laughing

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    Post  ALAMO Sun May 12, 2024 8:15 pm

    ucmvulcan wrote:
    -Help! We're winning, give us money

    This.

    Mir wrote:
    No problem - you will say - we will just call in the reserves.

    I have just met their reserves.
    Sorry folks, they will be busy for the next 2 weeks reshaping my backyard.
    Go and find some others.

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    Post  GunshipDemocracy Sun May 12, 2024 8:31 pm

    ALAMO wrote:
    Sorry folks, they will be busy for the next 2 weeks reshaping my backyard.
    Go and find some others.

    ust had an appointment with the dentist last week. Her veranda was being rebuilt by a Dutch company. Guess what language those folks were speaking to each other? Smile

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