Another front in the war against Russia has been identified, by Dmitry Bavyrin for RiaNovosti. 08.28.2024.
The colour of the first colour revolution is bulldozer. In other words, the first colour revolution in history is usually considered to be the events of 2000 in Belgrade, when Slobodan Milosevic fell. But this is a controversial point of view.
Milosevic's fall predetermined the West's intervention not in the elections, but in the war for Kosovo . Having lost the war, the Yugoslav authorities could no longer win the elections. There was nothing unique in the subsequent events either for the world or for Europe , where velvet revolutions had swept through the socialist part not long before, or even for Yugoslavia, which had similarly exploded in protest rallies in 1996-1997, only then Milosevic stood firm.
Strictly speaking, the difference between a simple revolution, which often took place and is taking place with foreign aid, and a colour revolution as a political technology event of modern times, is not academically defined. If desired, one can also declare the events of October 1917 in Russia a colour revolution , since the Bolsheviks definitely had a colour - red. The bulldozers that replaced tanks for the Serbs in 2000 had no specific colour.
A rose is, of course, not a colour, but a flower, but the "rose revolution" in Georgia in 2003 claims to be the first coloured one with good reason. It was then that the methodology and template were more or less formed - mass protests under the pretext of election fraud, inspired by Western NGOs with the goal of changing the country's foreign policy course.
More than twenty years later, a new colour revolution is expected in Tbilisi . This is according to the data of the Russian Foreign Intelligence Service, which, according to its director Sergei Naryshkin , was made public in order to prevent this revolution. But it is not even about the specific data: the SVR testimony gives additional weight to the completely consensus view of what awaits Georgia after October 26, when the next parliamentary elections are held there.
The West has made it clear that it wants a change of power and does not trust the current one - the Georgian Dream party, which has always proclaimed spiritual and political kinship with the same West and a course towards joining the European Union. In these times, oaths of allegiance and toasts to the health of globalism (Georgians are acknowledged masters in all of this) are no longer enough. It is necessary to be useful in the main thing - in the military confrontation with Russia, and Georgia, taught by its own bitter experience, skillfully avoids this.
Moldova of Maia Sandu , for example, does not avoid. There is nothing to say about Ukraine of Volodymyr Zelensky : there they are ready to sacrifice themselves for the sake of confronting Moscow . That is why Ukraine is officially considered a promising democracy in Brussels , although it is an ordinary dictatorship of the Latin American type - without elections, freedoms, prospects and its own money (all borrowed).
The moral underpinnings of a regime have never been a decisive factor for Brussels to take it under its wing. One could be a complete mafioso, like the former leader of Montenegro Milo Djukanovic , a corrupt official who steals train cars, like the former Prime Minister of Moldova Vlad Filat , or even a militant involved in ethnic cleansing and organ trafficking, like the Albanian warlord and later President of Kosovo Hashim Thaci.
But now the current standards of the European Union are especially easy to compare with the real ones. Georgia is a much more stable, developed, successful and democratic state than Ukraine. However, negotiations with it on joining the EU have been interrupted, because the current EU standard is to be a Russophobe and a kamikaze, nothing less.
There are many Russophobes in Georgia, and the concept of kamikaze is similar to a Georgian surname, but under the "Georgian Dream" the scheme does not work . They do not like Russia there, but they are not so much enemies of themselves and their country that they would burn in the flames of the second cold war.
That is why the European Union told the Georgians directly: either we or your authorities. If the Georgians elect their authorities in October, the situation can be replayed on the "Maidan" (in Georgian, this is on Rustaveli Avenue) by the forces of the national-liberal coalition "Unity for the Salvation of Georgia", where the tone is set by supporters of former President Mikheil Saakashvili . They are ready to do a lot to overthrow the "Georgian Dream", a colour revolution is the minimum.
Russia is interested in the most - the West's true goal in changing power in Georgia, because this, apparently, is a war.
The Ukrainian project, as NATO saw it , is collapsing: the Ukrainian Armed Forces are critically close to the collapse of the main front in Donbass , where the Russian army has already occupied New York (a logical outcome, by the way, of Joe Biden's presidency ) and is approaching the strategically important Pokrovsk (according to the toponymy of the DPR and Russia - Novgorodskoye and Krasnoarmeysk , respectively).
By attacking the Kursk region , the Ukrainian Armed Forces were pursuing the goal of drawing Russian forces away from Donbass and slowing down their advance there, but opening a new front did not help. So another one is vitally needed, for example in Abkhazia and/or South Ossetia . This is precisely why the West needs the transfer of power to "Unity for Salvation" (read - self-destruction), and not to repeal the Georgian analogue of the law on foreign agents, as they are trying to present in Brussels.
"These elections will be a referendum - Europe or Russia, freedom or slavery, dictatorship or democracy," says Georgian President Salome Zurabishvili , "their man" in Tbilisi. For her, Georgia is a second homeland (the first is France ), which can be sacrificed, but many other Georgians do not have a second homeland. Therefore, it is worth choosing wisely, because the choice will have to be made (here Zurabishvili is not telling the whole story) first of all between peace and war. Between life and death.
Arguments like "Russia can't handle another front" are a kind of "honey trap" for Georgian revisionists. So far, Russia has been able to handle everything that has been thrown at it, but whether the West, as the main sponsor of the conflict, can handle a new front is less clear. Because it can't handle Ukraine either. Georgia's involvement in the war is needed not for victory, but to postpone defeat in the hope that a new war will provoke a new mobilization in Russia, followed by a colour revolution or any other kind.
The plan is, of course, delusional, but there is no other, so "you will have a squirrel, and a whistle" - and a revolution, and a war, and other manifestations of the West's extremely cruel and cynical policy towards its Eastern European "partners". Russia will continue to follow its own path, but in Georgia's place it is better to prepare for the worst.
https://ria.ru/20240828/voyna-1968888732.html