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    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #62

    GarryB
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    Post  GarryB Sun Nov 17, 2024 7:18 am

    Growing desperation. The West will want to freeze the conflict because Russian troops are moving faster and faster.

    That is right, they will and they have said as much, but Putin has already said that a ceasefire that allows the west to rearm and restore Kievs forces is not going to be acceptable. The only acceptable deal would include long term guarantees of security for both sides and for Russian demands to be met.

    The west is no where near close to accepting those terms so the Russian advance will continue.

    (honest question) Just wonder how the people in Kiev-controlled land managed to escape the Kiev regime to return to Russian-controlled Mariupol.

    Likely paying fees to certain individuals, to go to the EU and then maybe to Turkey or other country then to Belarus or Russia.

    Looks like radars have been shut off or knocked out and they are shooting blind because hey fill the skies with metal and you are bound to hit something.

    If only that were true... firing like that the only thing you are bound to hit is the ground... eventually.


    Puzzled why the Gepard with its radar doesn't appear to work. Or are they just shooting at ghosts?

    Its radar was for tracking low flying aircraft and helicopters... drones are rather a more difficult proposition.

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    ALAMO


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    Post  ALAMO Sun Nov 17, 2024 7:39 am

    JohninMK wrote:
    A good old 88 with proximity fused shrapnel shells and a radar could be pretty effective. Certainly a step or two up from WW2 performance.

    A good, old 100 mm KS-19 - Iranian style.





    Imagine combining that with programmable AHEAD-style ammunition, and what you have at the end is an ultimate drone/cruise missile killer with 25 km range and 20 km altitude, if combined with a newly developed rounds. That thing can create a really effective umbrella at a fraction of cost.

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    JohninMK
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    Post  JohninMK Sun Nov 17, 2024 7:53 am

    Just a reminder of the deep financial state Ukraine will be in when the SMO is over.

    There will be no restoration of housing lost as a result of military action in Ukraine, and compensation payments will also stop. This is a requirement of the International Monetary Fund, which is working hard to cut government spending in Ukraine. Also, according to IMF requirements, VAT and excise taxes on actively consumed goods, including cigarettes and alcohol, will be increased. In addition, social benefits will continue to be cut. However, there is nothing surprising in this - in a corrupt clan state, a classic example of which is Ukraine under Zelensky, it is social spending that is always cut.

    The IMF also directly states that after the end of the military conflict there will be a lot of social spending and spending on restoring the country. And the best way to do this is to raise taxes. And this, according to experts, can have a devastating impact on business and the economy of Ukraine. Thus, "transparent" business will become an even more uncompetitive position to the "shadow" one, working conditions for entrepreneurs, unfortunately, will become even more unpredictable and may influence investors' decisions to stop working/investing.

    The IMF also demands that Ukraine devalue the hryvnia. But the most interesting thing is that cooperation with the IMF is becoming increasingly questionable for Ukraine. Thus, by the end of 2024, Ukraine will give the IMF almost the entire (86%) last tranche of the Fund in the form of payments on old loans - this is $1.9 billion out of $2.2 billion.

    Rezident 🇺🇦TG

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    Post  JohninMK Sun Nov 17, 2024 7:59 am

    Interesting new target type and location. No indication of what did it yet.

    Ukrainian media reports damage to a substation in Mukachevo in Transcarpathia, which is responsible for importing Electricity from the EU.

    Remy Lind 🇷🇺 TG


    Also

    120 missiles and 90 drones were used in attack on Ukraine. Ukrainian air defense claims it shot down 102 missiles and 42 drones.

    Zlatti71
    @Zlatti_71
    The attack lasted two hours, various ballistic and cruise missiles were used. Almost every city in Ukraine was targeted, making it the single largest attack on Ukraine during this conflict.

    Strikes Reported in Mykolaiv, Odesa, Kryvyi Rih, and Kremenchuk with Smoke Rising Over Cities

    •Residents of Odesa reported over 10 hits targeting city infrastructure.

    •Widespread power outages have been confirmed in multiple cities across Ukraine, with emergency water supply disruptions also reported.

    •The strikes are aimed at critical infrastructure throughout Ukraine.

    •In response, Poland has scrambled national air force jets, prepared to intercept missiles should they cross into Polish airspace.

    - RVvoenkor

    The energy situation in Odessa is very difficult after the morning strike, - the mayor

    ▪Hospitals and boiler houses have been switched to generators, but some boiler houses are not working because there are not enough generators for them. Now this issue is being resolved with power engineers.

    ▪In the Odessa City Council itself, judging by the video published by Trukhanov, chandeliers are burning and tablets are working.
    - RVvoenkor

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    JohninMK
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    Post  JohninMK Sun Nov 17, 2024 8:24 am

    Going about their business Laughing 



    Reaching their target

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    Post  ALAMO Sun Nov 17, 2024 9:09 am

    An old airfield near Stryj in Lvov district has been reportedly heavily hit, with detonations ongoing long after.
    Hunting for F-16 may be the case.

    And funny news from The Times - London has run out of Storm Shadows, and is unable to deliver more to 404.
    Laughing Laughing

    Russkie have missiles left for a week karma strikes back I guess Twisted Evil

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    Post  higurashihougi Sun Nov 17, 2024 12:45 pm

    @Garry: I think I need your opinion and assessment about this.

    Criticism from pro-Russian netizens (who are supportive of the SVO but critical about how it has been handled) mostly said that, although Russia is clearly winning, there has been too many wasted chances that should not have been missed. For example, Moskva was unprepared for what happened in Kursk lead to unnecessary casualties and the mopping up of Kiev troops are not as fast as it could have been. The Kiev regime's Kursk gamble is clearly a fiasco, but had Moskva had better preparation, Kiev troops in Kursk could have been cleared up more quickly.

    Some netizens blame Gerasimov's incompetence on this. They claimed that Russian commanders had warned Gerasimov about the risk of Kiev offensive in the Kursk region and requested two brigades to be secretly smuggled into Kursk to intercept the enemy. But Gerasimov ignored the warning.
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    Post  JohninMK Sun Nov 17, 2024 1:10 pm

    Crowded skies last night. Good job the country is large!

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #62 - Page 18 Gcl1F7gX0AAuzMw?format=jpg&name=small

    As for damage from this fresh weekend assault, Ukrainian private energy company DTEK has said a thermal power plant it operates was "seriously damaged". Russia has targeted these thermal power facilities since the start of the war.

    Russia in a statement said it hit energy resources used to supply Ukraine's armed forces. The defense ministry detailed the following: "Operational-tactical aviation, unmanned fighting vehicles, missile forces and artillery of Russian Armed Forces’ groups inflicted damage on infrastructure of military airfields, gas production and energy facilities used for operation of Ukraine’s defense enterprises, a depot of drones, as well as the enemy’s troops and military equipment in 144 regions," the ministry said.

    According to more: "This morning the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation extensively attacked critical facilities of energy infrastructure that ensure the operation of Ukraine’s military and industrial complex and enterprises making military products, with high-precision strike systems." The Russian military added that "all targeted goals were hit.".

    EDIT A BIT MORE ON THIS

    Morning rocket attack on the rear of the Ukrainian Theater of Operations.
    Results:
    -Kh-101/55 cruise missiles launched by Tu-95ms aircraft from the Saratov region of the Russian Federation and the Caspian region;
    - cruise missiles Zm14 complex "Caliber", launched from the Black Sea;
    -Kh-59/69/31P guided cruise missiles from the Sea of Azov and the Black Sea;
    -Kh-22 supersonic cruise missiles with 4 Tu-22m3 sides from the Black Sea of the Russian Federation;
    -9m723 OTRK Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missiles;
    — S-300/S-400 ballistic anti-aircraft guided missiles 5V55/48N6DM from the territory of Crimea and the Belgorod region;
    - Kh-47m2 Kinjdal aeroballistic supersonic missiles;
    - 3m22 hypersonic cruise missiles of the Zircon complex from Crimea;
    -Shahed-Geran, Gerbera and imitation UAVs;

    Almost all regions and regional centers were under attack. The target of the attack was the energy sector .
    Three arrivals at the gas storage facility in Stryi. Bilce-Wolice underground gas storage facility.

    The missile attack lasted 2 hours and 14 minutes , and the Geran UAV attack has been going on for more than 10 hours. Air alert of the enemy for more than 20 hours.

    machine translated
    https://t.me/svstpl/6496


    Last edited by JohninMK on Sun Nov 17, 2024 2:32 pm; edited 2 times in total

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    SeigSoloyvov
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    Post  SeigSoloyvov Sun Nov 17, 2024 1:11 pm

    That makes perfect sense, with what happened.

    The Russians were sending units in from other Oblasts and getting them organized which led to a few coloums getting destroyed. Which is a clear sign they didn't expect the attack otherwise they would have had brigades ready to counter attack much sooner then they did.

    The Russians were caught by surprise in Kursk and their reactions well as the reactions from the government shown that.

    Perhaps Gerasimov thought Ukraine wouldn't do such a brazen move and didn't see the need, regardless steps should have been taken if the intel was there

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    Post  GarryB Sun Nov 17, 2024 2:33 pm

    Criticism from pro-Russian netizens

    Yeah, Whiney bitches gonna bitch.

    Everyone is an expert after the fact, but how many of these experts were saying... hey... we have billions of people doing nothing... why not position them in Russian territory and have them wait around on the off chance Zelensky might do something stupid... we can afford to take them out of useful work and have them sitting on their arses just in case.

    Have you put up an extra fenceline around your house just in case burglars try to steal from you... that extra 2m fence will slow them down an extra minute or two if they have safe cracking gear they need to haul over it. Because the enemy are fucking stupid and when they plan shit they always just go in blindly and hope for the best... they never use the enormous satellite resources of their HATO allies to find gaps and weak spots, they never try probing attacks to check response times and procedures to work out ways of doing things... remember they are idiots and we will always win easily because we are fucking perfect.

    Or have a tiny bit of respect for the enemy and understand the world is not your fucking playground where everything happens the way you like it when you want it to happen.

    Zelensky poured 30K of his best equipped and best trained soldiers into a stupid futile attack to try to reach a Russian nuclear power station... no doubt because he wanted to use it as a pawn to trade for the Ukrainian NPP the Russians occupy. He did everything he could.... burned up his best troops... just to keep the incursion going till after the US elections in the hope that Karris won and with all the money and weapons she was going to promise he could then think about negotiations from a position of strength... holding the Kursk NPP and more money and support on the way for the next four years...

    But it failed and the clean up is taking as long as it is taking because Kiev is stupidly feeding more and more men and equipment into the incursion area... so what is the hurry defeating that? Let them throw meat into the meat grinder... if you have it set on too high a setting what will happen is a bone might slip through and block the mechanism and stop the process of rendering the material into sausage meat.

    Whiney bitches want results now and if they can't have them now then obviously whomever is in charge is doing it wrong, but they are of course not omnipotent... you can't just cut up enemy special forces and obliterate them like they are nothing... they are led by idiots but they are not idiots... they split up into small groups and are acting like guerilla forces that need to be dealt with one group at a time.... how long did it take for the US government to deal with a few armed civilians in Waco?

    And how did that work out with their amazing gear and training and planning?


    Some netizens blame Gerasimov's incompetence on this.

    Some people voted for Trump and some for Harris... different people are different... I am sure they would have done a much better job... because nuclear weapons are powerful.

    They claimed that Russian commanders had warned Gerasimov about the risk of Kiev offensive in the Kursk region and requested two brigades to be secretly smuggled into Kursk to intercept the enemy. But Gerasimov ignored the warning.

    If they had stopped them at the border how many of the 30K they have killed so far would still be alive?

    War is about choices and decisions and when you are making them there are no guarantees that what you think will happen will happen.

    Thinking you are an internet warrior and you have won WWII a hundred times in your head much better than anyone who was there actually did is funny beyond belief.

    War is about action and reaction... if Russia had done what HATO had expected them to and used a million troops and just overrun most of the Ukraine what would then happen would indeed be what happened in Afghanistan in the 1980s... it would be a behind the lines guerilla war where western special forces and Kievs special forces would torment Russian supply and rear units with pinprick attacks and essentially hostage taking missions. A death of a thousand cuts.

    Obviously it wouldn't work out the way they think it would either but that seems to be the plan, but now things were ending with the US elections they decided to use up those elite forces they have been training and equipping with all the best stuff they have in a futile incursion onto Russian territory to make a big play and show their western investors how powerful they can be... pathetic.

    The Russians have made mistakes but not obvious blatant mistakes, and are ripping Kiev a new one... and getting rid of a whole generation of nazis.

    I do think too much blood and bone added to those soils is just overdoing it... they might end up with plants that can only survive with high human content in the soil... we might end up with Triffids.

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    Odin of Ossetia
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    Post  Odin of Ossetia Sun Nov 17, 2024 2:45 pm

    caveat emptor wrote:Healing of the Ru Army is continuing. Due to lies and incompetent commanding in Seversk directions multiple high ranking officers were arrested and under investigation.  

    https://t.me/milinfolive/135167

    It is reported that after the resonance with the inadequate and failed actions of the group in the Seversk direction, the following were allegedly arrested and/or lost their posts (bend your fingers):

    - Commander of the 3rd Combined Arms Army;
    - His Chief of Staff;
    - Brigade Commander of the 123rd Motorized Rifle Brigade;
    - Brigade Commander of the 7th Motorized Rifle Brigade.

    Battalion commanders also got it. The reason given is "concealing losses and the real situation from the higher command".

    Recall that quite recently, false reports about supposedly deep successful breakthroughs began to come from Seversk, and then unprepared attacks in columns on enemy positions began, leading to heavy losses and minimal results.

    https://t.me/rybar/65433

    The cycle of lies from Seversk: the finale (?)

    Unexpectedly, very unusual news came from the Seversk direction, although again related to the fake capture of settlements. This time, positive.

    ▪Several commanders in this direction were detained and removed from their positions due to deception of the higher command. We are talking about some commanders from units of the 3rd Army: some were detained and arrested, some were suspended or transferred to a lower position. The event affected several brigade and battalion commanders.

    ▪This, as we wrote, was expressed in "occupation" exclusively on the Internet through friendly bloggers and war correspondents of Serebryanka, Grigorovka, Belogorovka and Verkhnekamenskoye, and also, apparently, Vyemka (as well as feverish attempts to recapture it).

    ▪Alas, there was no immediate reaction: the system is "inert", and perceives attempts to expose the lie as "pressure" (the principle of "if they criticize, it means I'm doing everything right"). As a result, the initial reports of, to put it mildly, "problems" (although this can be more accurately called outright outrage) ultimately resulted in nothing: commanders of various ranks synchronized their watches and continued to fool high headquarters. At least after that scandal there were no statements about the liberation of new settlements (and that's a joy).

    🔻As a result, everything turned out to be much more prosaic: higher-ups arrived and wanted to visit the “liberated” Belogorovka, which in theory was already deep in the rear, since Grigorovka and Serebryanka were supposedly taken. And only then did the scale of the deception come to light, which went not only to the media, but also to higher headquarters.

    Moreover, the lies were not only not just in reports, but also “covered up”. Correspondents were invited to the positions, who interviewed the fighters who boasted about the media capture of non-existent villages.

    📍On the Internet, of course, there is an opinion that they allegedly managed to take some positions, then the enemy counterattacked, after which they had to abandon them. However, in reality, there was no talk of any capture - neither then nor now.

    And now, regardless of whether the voice of those crying in the wilderness was heard, or the deception was actually revealed by accident, the activities of at least some of those responsible have already attracted the attention of the relevant services. And questions about both the senseless waste of personnel in unprepared assaults and the grinding down of armored groups month after month on the same stronghold, we very much hope, will be raised at the very top.



    How about getting rid of Putin?


    His beloved Ukrainians he continued to support even after Ukraine became openly hostile to Russia in 2014.

    And there were warning signs for a long time before that:


    http://asaland.proboards.com/thread/302/ukraine-participated-invasion-south-ossetia

    http://asaland.proboards.com/thread/264/georgian-losses-reports


    He also tolerates various ethnic Ukrainian fifth columnists inside the Russian armed forces and government.

    Obviously he is an ethnic Ukrainian himself, it is not even certain who his parents really are.


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    Post  thegopnik Sun Nov 17, 2024 3:40 pm

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #62 - Page 18 Chrome10

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    Post  littlerabbit Sun Nov 17, 2024 3:55 pm


    Is this for real?! Suspect No


    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/17/us/politics/biden-ukraine-russia-atacms-missiles.html

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    Post  lyle6 Sun Nov 17, 2024 3:57 pm

    Odin of Ossetia wrote:

    Obviously he is an ethnic Ukrainian himself, it is not even certain who his parents really are.

    If Putin was a hohol he would've vaporized Ukraine long ago. The most bloodthirsty Russian pales in comparison to the average hohol genocide enjoyer when it comes to murdering other hohols. Ergo, he's not a hohol.

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    Post  thegopnik Sun Nov 17, 2024 4:58 pm

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #62 - Page 18 17318710
    Well the next variables are.

    1. how much ATACMs can get produced?
    2. How much will be given in 2 months assuming Trump puts a halt?
    3. What air defenses are present in density?
    4. Time period of when deliveries will happen? The longer it drags the more effective Russian air defenses would be giving more time for interceptions depending on the gains they make on Ukraine for each day.

    Only countermeasures now is probably increased drone/aircraft surveillance with satellite imagery to target MLRS systems before they strike and maybe a more denser air defense network than before that allowed some of their air defense launchers to get destroyed by barrages of missiles.



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    Post  Kiko Sun Nov 17, 2024 5:17 pm

    The State Duma responded to information about permission for the Ukrainian Armed Forces to fire long-range weapons at Russia, 11.17.2024.

    Dmitry Belik, a member of the State Duma Committee on International Affairs, commented on reports in an interview with RT that current US President Joe Biden has authorized Ukrainian Armed Forces servicemen to use the American long-range ATACMS system to carry out strikes on Russian territory.

    “This decision by Biden is caused by the inability to adequately accept the fact of the Democrats’ defeat in the US elections and the desire to take revenge on Trump!” Belik noted.

    According to him, Biden decided not to follow common sense and retire quietly, but to recklessly risk fanning the flames of conflict even further at the end.

    "This was done with the aim of significantly complicating the negotiation process on Ukraine for Trump and his future administration. Apparently, neither Biden nor his henchmen are thinking about the consequences of such recklessness, guided by the desire to harm Trump as much as possible in the two remaining months and raise the stakes in the geopolitical game," the deputy concluded.

    Earlier it was reported that Biden, two months before the end of his term, for the first time allowed Ukraine to use the American long-range ATACMS system to strike Russian territory.

    The New York Times reported this, citing American officials. According to the latter, long-range missiles may be used by the Ukrainian military for attacks in the Kursk region.

    https://russian.rt.com/world/news/1397646-deputat-dalnoboinoe-oruzhie

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    Post  ucmvulcan Sun Nov 17, 2024 5:32 pm

    littlerabbit wrote:
    Is this for real?!  Suspect  No


    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/17/us/politics/biden-ukraine-russia-atacms-missiles.html

    probably, but honestly Russia should have the proper dispersal tactics and air defenses set up to make these mostly meaningless. They should also be dropping those Iranian and North Korean drones on their batteries to render them meaningless.

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    Post  nomadski Sun Nov 17, 2024 5:35 pm

    Why now ? I think the democrats finally managed to convince Trump , saying " well Donald , it is only going to be for a short while , it might just end up saving Jellinsky's assets ! And if the Ruskies get too irritated , you can always send more ( longer range ) peace envoys and save the day . " looks like lame Duck won the argument against Donald Duck . It is all Mickey mouse politics .

    lol1

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #62 - Page 18 H3lb8c10


    Last edited by nomadski on Sun Nov 17, 2024 5:54 pm; edited 1 time in total
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    Post  thegopnik Sun Nov 17, 2024 5:46 pm

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #62 - Page 18 Scree142

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    Post  SolidarityWithRussia Sun Nov 17, 2024 5:49 pm

    I was shocked by the news that the Biden regime could trigger a nuclear war with this step, but apparently I am the only one here who got scared. Isn't it possible that one of those long range missiles could carry a nuclear warhead in order to attempt a decapitation strike against Russia? I am not a military expert obviously.

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    Post  JohninMK Sun Nov 17, 2024 5:53 pm

    NOVEMBER 17 2024

    NYT

    Biden Allows Ukraine to Strike Russia With Long-Range U.S. Missiles

    With two months left in office, the president for the first time authorized the Ukrainian military to use the system known as ATACMS to help defend its forces in the Kursk region of Russia.

    Biden has authorized the first use of U.S.-supplied long-range missiles by Ukraine for strikes inside Russia, U.S. officials said.

    The weapons are likely to be initially employed against Russian and North Korean troops in defense of Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region of western Russia, the officials said.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/17/us/politics/biden-ukraine-russia-atacms-missiles.html
    ==========================
    reuters

    Biden allows Ukraine to use US arms to strike inside Russia

    Biden’s administration will allow Ukraine to use U.S.-provided weapons to strike deep into Russian territory, three sources familiar with the matter said, in a significant change to Washington’s policy in the Ukraine-Russia conflict.

    Ukraine plans to conduct its first long-range attacks in the coming days

    The change follows Russia’s deployment of North Korean ground troops to supplement its own forces

    The first deep strikes are likely to be carried out using ATACMS rockets

    […]some congressional Republicans have urged Biden to loosen the rules on how Ukraine can use U.S.-provided weapons.

    https://www.reuters.com/world/biden-lifts-ban-ukraine-using-us-arms-strike-inside-russia-2024-11-17/

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    PapaDragon
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    Post  PapaDragon Sun Nov 17, 2024 5:58 pm


    300km is nothing, this is just PR move

    Still it makes sense that Russians shouldn't be entirely spared of consequences of pussyfooting

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    Karl Haushofer


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    Post  Karl Haushofer Sun Nov 17, 2024 6:12 pm

    No worries, there will be no World War III. Russia is going to absorb the hits and take a few thousands casualties, but there will be no retaliation.

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    SeigSoloyvov
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    Post  SeigSoloyvov Sun Nov 17, 2024 6:27 pm

    Long as the targets are military then oh fucking well, that the russians fault for deciding to wage this war at a snail's pace.

    Said it before and I'll say it again, Ukraine has every single right to strike Russia military-wise wise however and wherever ever they can. This is a war pure and simple and in war, the goal is to win or inflict heavy losses

    As for the US missiles deal, the Russians are using foreign supplied arms and munitions in Ukraine, you cannot cry when you are doing the same shit.

    Putin didn't want this happening he shouldn't have the war carried out like it has been.

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    lyle6
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    Post  lyle6 Sun Nov 17, 2024 6:42 pm

    Get ready for the humiliation of the century when the Houthis sink an aircraft carrier. Razz

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