flamming_python Thu May 28, 2015 6:18 pm
I think many of you are pretty confused.
Support of the coupists in 1991? Really? No-one at the time thought that would be a good idea, not even their own subordinates - and for good reason.
By 1991 it was OVER.
Wayyyyy too late to save the USSR.
Doesn't matter what some communist-party hardliners did or didn't do; they didn't have the support of their own capital city's population; much less the periphery republics of the USSR half of which had de-facto long since rebelled and were busy organizing their own independent statehoods.
War in Ossetia was already raging by that time, while Nagorny-Karabakh had already been going on for quite a while.
Imagine how much more bloodshed there would have been if the hardliners succeeded and tried to re-assert control over everything with military force.
And even if they magically succeeded w/o provoking a massive civil war - what then? Have everyone's personal freedoms and the media rolled back past the Gorby-era, and probably even further to Cuban or NK standards? Desperate attempts to resurrect a zombie economy?
If there was to be any saving of the USSR; Gorbachev's reign was basically the last chance to do it. And honestly, Gorbachev had the right ideas - it's just that the execution left much to be desired, and in hindsight everything was attempted and implemented too quickly.
Change needs to be gradual, otherwise society will experience shock and disruption; while the political system, economy could destabilize and in fact that's exactly what happened.
China took a course of gradual change and reform. It worked out much better.
But really, all these reforms and so on should have started before Gorbachev; if there was to be a good chance of their success. By 1985 when Gorbachev came to power, there were already significant internal divisions and rising levels of nationalism, common people were already highly cynical towards Socialist ideology and the CPSU, the economy was already stagnant and highly dependent on what price the Soviet Union could sell oil and gas to the West too.
It wasn't an enviable situation and there would have been no assurances that the USSR could have been saved even if Gorby turned out to be the greatest leader.
The Brezhnev-era or the end of it, with the coming to power of Andropov - should have been the time to start with change and reform. It's about the time China started out on their new path, don't you know.
Last edited by flamming_python on Thu May 28, 2015 6:23 pm; edited 1 time in total