JohninMK Sat Oct 17, 2015 8:06 pm
Monarchist wrote: 1. Имеющимися силами спасти Асада невозможно. Можно лишь продлить агонию. Поскольку "партнеры" не дадут этого сделать. Но они сделают всё так, чтобы мы понесли максимальные экономические (а в идеале и людские) потери от своего вмешательства.
2. Достаточными силами в Сирии одержать победу, теоретически, возможно. Но олигархическое государство с гедонистической "элитой" не готово идти на серьезные усилия, жертвы и риски, которые для этого потребуются. И, тем более, проводить мобилизационные мероприятия. Поэтому полноценное вмешательство невозможно. Именно по данной причине, как я понимаю, произошел отказ от разрешения куда более важного для национальных и государственных интересов "украинского кризиса".
Поэтому не будет ни "Левиафанов", ни чего-либо "выгодного" (даже для "Газпрома") вообще. Будет тотальный бардак и маразм со сплошными издержками.
1. With the available forces it's impossible to save Assad. One can only prolong the agony. As "partners" will not do. But they do everything so that we have suffered the highest economic (and ideally human) losses caused by its intervention.
2. Sufficient forces in Syria to win, it is theoretically possible. But our oligarchic state with hedonistic "elite" is not ready to make serious efforts, sacrifices and risks that will be required. And, moreover, to carry out mobilization measures. Therefore, it is impossible to complete the intervention. It is for this reason, as I understand it, there was a rejection of the resolution is much more important for national and public interest "of the Ukrainian crisis."
Therefore, there will be no "Leviathan" or something "profitable" (even for "Gazprom") in general. It will be total chaos and insanity with complete cost.
New Strelkov comments on the situation.
Pity he is showing his ignorance regarding the Syria/Iraq/Iran strategic connection. Syria does not need Russian fighting soldiers, indeed it would be very bad politically for all concerned. What it is getting from Russia is what it really needs, ship loads of 'stuff'. The soldiers that will operate and use that 'stuff, are the SAA plus as as many as are needed to top it up from Hezbollah and Iranian.
Also, now the tide seems to be turning you can bet your bottom dollar that the number of local recruits into the SAA is powering up as people their see there is now hope, less chance of being killed and a chance to get kudos for saving the country. Nothing like being a hero when an awful lot of local males seem to have fled the country leaving behind a disproportionate number of girls!!!