If it's a Kh-55 all of them are near their expiration date and the Russian inventory is made of soviets ones in direct inheritance (which might have been stored properly) but also of various disguised aid programs and re-buying from other ex-soviet states (most notably ukrainian) that spent years unattended, so some of them failing isn't surprising either.
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Russian military intervention and aid to Syria #4
Bidoul- Posts : 54
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Join date : 2015-06-30
Again if it's a Klub that's fairly normal, same for other type of missiles the SAA uses, it's just a stage of the missile dropping down after separation.
If it's a Kh-55 all of them are near their expiration date and the Russian inventory is made of soviets ones in direct inheritance (which might have been stored properly) but also of various disguised aid programs and re-buying from other ex-soviet states (most notably ukrainian) that spent years unattended, so some of them failing isn't surprising either.
If it's a Kh-55 all of them are near their expiration date and the Russian inventory is made of soviets ones in direct inheritance (which might have been stored properly) but also of various disguised aid programs and re-buying from other ex-soviet states (most notably ukrainian) that spent years unattended, so some of them failing isn't surprising either.
KoTeMoRe- Posts : 4212
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Location : Krankhaus Central.
Dima wrote:That is pretty confident.KoTeMoRe wrote:there's no fire from the ground in there, and as for getting lucky, that's golden bullet kind of lucky.
How far can you see to be so sure there was absolutely no fire from the ground?
I can see only whats inside the FOV of the camera and the hill, nothing beyond it. Moreover the camera zooms in only after it sees the explosion.
Every AA bullet that hits a low flying a/c is a golden bullet as well.
It's not the actual recording sound, the real footage indicates loud boom without ZSU fire. Lemme get it for you.
Bidoul- Posts : 54
Points : 56
Join date : 2015-06-30
The really scary part is that we have some video with missiles flying overhead, the VKS videos showing various planes in formation (including the Tu-22M) doing carpet bombing runs but nothing from the ground...
Did they blast the entire internet/electricity gird?
IS there no Allah ackbar shouting cameraman left alive?
Did they blast the entire internet/electricity gird?
IS there no Allah ackbar shouting cameraman left alive?
ult- Posts : 837
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Join date : 2015-02-20
"Elimination of tanker vehicle columns, which were transporting oil products in the interests of terrorist armed groups"
Werewolf- Posts : 5927
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Why is there not a single human next to those tankers? Looks like a plain desert with nothing in remote distance trucks are all obviously unoccupied since noone tried to flee from the bombs.
Fred333- Posts : 135
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Join date : 2015-05-01
ult wrote:"Elimination of tanker vehicle columns, which were transporting oil products in the interests of terrorist armed groups"
Unbelievable, it is stuff like this that makes me believe the US (+ allies) has been hardly trying to combat IS at all, because it is a convenient group for them in some ways.
Edit: any context to these videos? Are these ISIS trucks? Nusra? Formerly seen alive?
Last edited by Fred333 on Wed Nov 18, 2015 6:36 pm; edited 1 time in total
Dima- Posts : 1222
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Join date : 2012-03-22
Yes plz do. Havn't seen that video with original sound.KoTeMoRe wrote:Dima wrote:That is pretty confident.KoTeMoRe wrote:there's no fire from the ground in there, and as for getting lucky, that's golden bullet kind of lucky.
How far can you see to be so sure there was absolutely no fire from the ground?
I can see only whats inside the FOV of the camera and the hill, nothing beyond it. Moreover the camera zooms in only after it sees the explosion.
Every AA bullet that hits a low flying a/c is a golden bullet as well.
It's not the actual recording sound, the real footage indicates loud boom without ZSU fire. Lemme get it for you.
But for now, decouple that sound from the visuals...its immaterial to that explosion and the video content.
From the video recording, I came to two plausible sequence and why I think it was a shoot down.
1) The person taking that video waited for the (next) cruise missile to come (probably after he saw one or two pass by) and videotaped it as it it passed over his LOS untill it was far off....so he zoomed out from his last recorded location....its probably then that an explosion occurred and he zoomed back in to the area.
2) The person with the cam saw/heard something (or maybe even a cruise missile) coming to/pass over him and by the time he could get a close up it had flew away...so the person just kept the cam to its general direction (or maybe he zoomed in and after the object disappeared off the screen zoomed out) and then the explosion happened which made the person to zoom in to that direction again.
Also, its not a mobile cam video...its a proper camcoder/recorder with good optical zoom. The video is just a cropped version without its original audio or with a corrupted audio.
The only other reasons (if it is the cruise missiles) could be a technical failure or initiated self destruction.
Bolt- Posts : 109
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Age : 37
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Bidoul wrote:The really scary part is that we have some video with missiles flying overhead, the VKS videos showing various planes in formation (including the Tu-22M) doing carpet bombing runs but nothing from the ground...
Did they blast the entire internet/electricity gird?
IS there no Allah ackbar shouting cameraman left alive?
Dima- Posts : 1222
Points : 1233
Join date : 2012-03-22
It was always an open secret who was behind this. Its just that the western MSM just dont talk about it.Fred333 wrote:Unbelievable, it is stuff like this that makes me believe the US (+ allies) has been hardly trying to combat IS at all, because it is a convenient group for them in some ways.
Edit: any context to these videos? Are these ISIS trucks? Nusra? Formerly seen alive?
It has to be ISIS coz they are the main 'self-financing' oil businessmen in the area.
If the French and US have started bombing the Oil facilities (does not mean oil tankers) among other civial infrastrusture like power house, dams, bridges etc....it can only mean one thing - SAA is advancing and gaining ground with the help of allies. These strikes are only meant to put pressure on the Syrian Govt and Military by denying them these facilities once the area is captured by the SAA.
ult- Posts : 837
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Werewolf wrote:Why is there not a single human next to those tankers? Looks like a plain desert with nothing in remote distance trucks are all obviously unoccupied since noone tried to flee from the bombs.
There are some moving dots that could be humans, like on 0:17 in the bottom left corner on the video with trucks, but the camera isn't zoomed in close enough.
Fred333- Posts : 135
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Dima wrote:It was always an open secret who was behind this. Its just that the western MSM just dont talk about it.Fred333 wrote:Unbelievable, it is stuff like this that makes me believe the US (+ allies) has been hardly trying to combat IS at all, because it is a convenient group for them in some ways.
Edit: any context to these videos? Are these ISIS trucks? Nusra? Formerly seen alive?
It has to be ISIS coz they are the main 'self-financing' oil businessmen in the area.
If the French and US have started bombing the Oil facilities (does not mean oil tankers) among other civial infrastrusture like power house, dams, bridges etc....it can only mean one thing - SAA is advancing and gaining ground with the help of allies. These strikes are only meant to put pressure on the Syrian Govt and Military by denying them these facilities once the area is captured by the SAA.
except these strikes seem to be done by the Russians, or am I being misled by the captions? in any case, it is clear to me that IS has always been a convenient group to bloody Iranian interests with, and therefore not worth too many bombs. Now that Russia is showing the world how it is done, and the lukewarm effort from western powers and allies against IS has backfired in Paris, now finally the gloves come off. This is how I read it anyway. Unfortunately only Robert Fisk is consistently pointing the finger at GCC funding and no one else in the MSM :/
JohninMK- Posts : 15594
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Nail on the head there.Dima wrote:
If the French and US have started bombing the Oil facilities (does not mean oil tankers) among other civial infrastrusture like power house, dams, bridges etc....it can only mean one thing - SAA is advancing and gaining ground with the help of allies. These strikes are only meant to put pressure on the Syrian Govt and Military by denying them these facilities once the area is captured by the SAA.
Infrastructure scorched earth policy. Just like Iraq and Libya so they have had plenty of practice. Mind you, in the past it seems to have been done partly in the expectation that US contractors would pick up the reconstruction business. Fat chance here.
Mind you, very surprised that the RuAF hit that tank farm. Trucks yes, but infrastructure?
JohninMK- Posts : 15594
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No rest for the wicked, another day more fire from the heavens. Looks like a major end of line stock clearance sale, before the stuff had to be scrapped. My highlight.
MOSCOW, November 18. /TASS/. Aircraft of the Russian air group in Syria on Wednesday delivered a second massive strike at Islamic State terrorist group facilities in the Syrian provinces of Raqqa, Deir-ez-Zor, Aleppo and Idlib, the head of the Main Operations Directorate of the Russian Armed Forces General Staff, Col. Gen. Andrey Kartapolov, said.
"Russia’s Aerospace Forces delivered a second massive strike at armed formations of terrorists in Syria at 05:00 a.m. Moscow Time," Kartapolov said at a briefing for journalists, adding that from 05:00 a.m. to 05:50 a.m., a squadron of Tu-22M3 long-range bomber aircraft delivered strikes at six Islamic State facilities in the provinces of Raqqa and Deir-ez-Zor. The targets hit were ammunition and armaments depots, hardware deployment sites, training camps of militants as well as workshops producing explosives. "From 09:00 to 09:10, Tu-160 strategic weapons carriers fired from the territory of the Russian Federation 12 air-launched cruise missiles at Islamic State facilities in the provinces of Aleppo and Idlib," the colonel general said. Three command posts, two armaments and ammunition depots and a field camp of militants were destroyed as a result. Throughout the day, strike aircraft planned 100 sorties from Khmeimim airfield at 190 facilities of various terrorist groups. As of 16:00, 59 sorties were made and 149 facilities destroyed.
"A few minutes ago, a squadron of Tu-22M3 long-range bombers delivered a second strike at six IS facilities in the provinces of Rakka and Deir-ez-Zor," Kartapolov said. He said targets for destruction were a communications node, IS ammunition and armaments depots, a mini-plant producing explosive devices and car bombs and a militant training base.
"The delivery of air strikes continues in line with the approved plan. To ensure security of flights, the time of strikes and aircraft transit corridors are beforehand reported to representatives of the international coalition," Kartapolov said.
MOSCOW, November 18. /TASS/. Aircraft of the Russian air group in Syria on Wednesday delivered a second massive strike at Islamic State terrorist group facilities in the Syrian provinces of Raqqa, Deir-ez-Zor, Aleppo and Idlib, the head of the Main Operations Directorate of the Russian Armed Forces General Staff, Col. Gen. Andrey Kartapolov, said.
"Russia’s Aerospace Forces delivered a second massive strike at armed formations of terrorists in Syria at 05:00 a.m. Moscow Time," Kartapolov said at a briefing for journalists, adding that from 05:00 a.m. to 05:50 a.m., a squadron of Tu-22M3 long-range bomber aircraft delivered strikes at six Islamic State facilities in the provinces of Raqqa and Deir-ez-Zor. The targets hit were ammunition and armaments depots, hardware deployment sites, training camps of militants as well as workshops producing explosives. "From 09:00 to 09:10, Tu-160 strategic weapons carriers fired from the territory of the Russian Federation 12 air-launched cruise missiles at Islamic State facilities in the provinces of Aleppo and Idlib," the colonel general said. Three command posts, two armaments and ammunition depots and a field camp of militants were destroyed as a result. Throughout the day, strike aircraft planned 100 sorties from Khmeimim airfield at 190 facilities of various terrorist groups. As of 16:00, 59 sorties were made and 149 facilities destroyed.
"A few minutes ago, a squadron of Tu-22M3 long-range bombers delivered a second strike at six IS facilities in the provinces of Rakka and Deir-ez-Zor," Kartapolov said. He said targets for destruction were a communications node, IS ammunition and armaments depots, a mini-plant producing explosive devices and car bombs and a militant training base.
"The delivery of air strikes continues in line with the approved plan. To ensure security of flights, the time of strikes and aircraft transit corridors are beforehand reported to representatives of the international coalition," Kartapolov said.
Dima- Posts : 1222
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Yes, it is most probably a Russian strike...but then they had no other option but to strike the local sources financing the war. But what looks awkward is the insane amount of trucks on the ground and its getting bombed from air...the video does show it is not possible to cover everything, better stuff would be the use of Su-25/24 and Mi-24/35 with rocket pods...but that is taking way too much risk in a sector where SAA/Russian ground presence is negligible.Fred333 wrote:except these strikes seem to be done by the Russians, or am I being misled by the captions?
Added the link to the older thread.
https://www.russiadefence.net/t4584p990-russian-military-involvement-and-aid-to-syria-4
Last edited by Dima on Wed Nov 18, 2015 8:14 pm; edited 1 time in total
Fred333- Posts : 135
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Join date : 2015-05-01
Does anyone else have the feeling this war will be over soon now?
For the first time a modern air force is going full out against ISIS/Nusra and the rest.
Even France is on board now against ISIS without being against Assad at the same time.
KSA is overstretching itself in Yemen, will soon have a resources problem to keep their groups funded.
SAA and allies are making firm progress in areas that matter, ie. Aleppo.
Turkey is isolated on the international stage because of the Kurdish question, Russia preempted their no fly zone in the north, so they only have losing horses in the race now (ie. Nusra and northern coalition if they keep being driven back). Only thing they can now hope for is Kurds not going for a de facto Kurdistan in Syria and Iraq, and I suspect those are terms they will discuss with Russia.
Jordan warming up to Russia, meaning the southern front might soon lose support as well.
All in all a swift reversal of fortune for Assad (although that happened more often during this war, so who knows what might happen next)
For the first time a modern air force is going full out against ISIS/Nusra and the rest.
Even France is on board now against ISIS without being against Assad at the same time.
KSA is overstretching itself in Yemen, will soon have a resources problem to keep their groups funded.
SAA and allies are making firm progress in areas that matter, ie. Aleppo.
Turkey is isolated on the international stage because of the Kurdish question, Russia preempted their no fly zone in the north, so they only have losing horses in the race now (ie. Nusra and northern coalition if they keep being driven back). Only thing they can now hope for is Kurds not going for a de facto Kurdistan in Syria and Iraq, and I suspect those are terms they will discuss with Russia.
Jordan warming up to Russia, meaning the southern front might soon lose support as well.
All in all a swift reversal of fortune for Assad (although that happened more often during this war, so who knows what might happen next)
Fred333- Posts : 135
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Dima wrote:Yes, it is most probably a Russian strike...but then they had no other option but to strike the local sources financing the war. But what looks awkward is the insane amount of trucks on the ground and its getting bombed from air...the video does show it is not possible to cover everything, better stuff would be the use of Su-25/24 and Mi-24/35 with rocket pods...but that is taking way too much risk in a sector where SAA/Russian ground presence is negligible.Fred333 wrote:except these strikes seem to be done by the Russians, or am I being misled by the captions?
yes exactly, targets like that would be the wet dream of any A-10 or Su-25 pilot
Dima- Posts : 1222
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Russia does not have any other option to stop that illegal oil trade. See the video and we can see the large caravan of trucks and even the bombs are falling short in numbers to cover it all. So probably they went in for the production/storage facility to disrupt the trade.JohninMK wrote:Infrastructure scorched earth policy. Just like Iraq and Libya so they have had plenty of practice. Mind you, in the past it seems to have been done partly in the expectation that US contractors would pick up the reconstruction business. Fat chance here.
Mind you, very surprised that the RuAF hit that tank farm. Trucks yes, but infrastructure?
Also, now that the message have been given to all those concerned, hope VKS will now shift from the cruise missile to more precise carpet bombing. From the video we see that Tu-22M3 carries 12 numbers in their weapons bay. Would love to see the FOAB in Tu-160 belly....but for that we need some good target area where terrorists are concentrated. Idlib and Aleppo would have been good if it was just the terrorist coalition, but unfortunately its still having large number of civilians including those who support Syrian Govt.
ult- Posts : 837
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Are you seriously discussing who's airstrikes are those? The video is published on the official Russian Ministry of Defense channel...
max steel- Posts : 2930
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JohninMK wrote:No rest for the wicked, another day more fire from the heavens. Looks like a major end of line stock clearance sale, before the stuff had to be scrapped. My highlight.
MOSCOW, November 18. /TASS/. Aircraft of the Russian air group in Syria on Wednesday delivered a second massive strike at Islamic State terrorist group facilities in the Syrian provinces of Raqqa, Deir-ez-Zor, Aleppo and Idlib, the head of the Main Operations Directorate of the Russian Armed Forces General Staff, Col. Gen. Andrey Kartapolov, said.
"Russia’s Aerospace Forces delivered a second massive strike at armed formations of terrorists in Syria at 05:00 a.m. Moscow Time," Kartapolov said at a briefing for journalists, adding that from 05:00 a.m. to 05:50 a.m., a squadron of Tu-22M3 long-range bomber aircraft delivered strikes at six Islamic State facilities in the provinces of Raqqa and Deir-ez-Zor. The targets hit were ammunition and armaments depots, hardware deployment sites, training camps of militants as well as workshops producing explosives. "From 09:00 to 09:10, Tu-160 strategic weapons carriers fired from the territory of the Russian Federation 12 air-launched cruise missiles at Islamic State facilities in the provinces of Aleppo and Idlib," the colonel general said. Three command posts, two armaments and ammunition depots and a field camp of militants were destroyed as a result. Throughout the day, strike aircraft planned 100 sorties from Khmeimim airfield at 190 facilities of various terrorist groups. As of 16:00, 59 sorties were made and 149 facilities destroyed.
"A few minutes ago, a squadron of Tu-22M3 long-range bombers delivered a second strike at six IS facilities in the provinces of Rakka and Deir-ez-Zor," Kartapolov said. He said targets for destruction were a communications node, IS ammunition and armaments depots, a mini-plant producing explosive devices and car bombs and a militant training base.
"The delivery of air strikes continues in line with the approved plan. To ensure security of flights, the time of strikes and aircraft transit corridors are beforehand reported to representatives of the international coalition," Kartapolov said.
How exactly can Tu-160 fire towards Syria from Russian territories ? How much range it is btwn terrorist syrian areas and Russian territory.
Dima- Posts : 1222
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I would have loved to see this war end as soon as possible with the annihilation of the international terrorists.Fred333 wrote:Does anyone else have the feeling this war will be over soon now?
But.... from the start of the Russian campain, I was expecting and thinking about a 18 month period to completely reverse and stabilize the situation with nothing less than a complete victory in this large scale counter-terrorist operation.
i.e 6-8 months to retake lost territory which might also create numerous small enclaves isolated from the outside suppliers/supporters. Rest of 8-12 months to clear these enclaves in lower profile & low intensity counter-terrorists ops. Also, if need an election in parallel after quarantining these terrorists pockets.
Dima- Posts : 1222
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Well after seeing all those drone footage all these months, for a moment had a slight doubt. But clear now.ult wrote:Are you seriously discussing who's airstrikes are those? The video is published on the official Russian Ministry of Defense channel...
Werewolf- Posts : 5927
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That will not end soon, as long there are still the regimes that support and finance them. That is their daily bread to spread terror. If you want to destroy terrorism destroy the countries or their capabilities to finance them. No money no spread of terrorism. ISIS is not financing itself by oil trade that is just a reasoning to give the stupid population why they are so spread around to whitewash the fact that US, Israel, France, Turkey, Saudis, Kuwait and who not are financing their mercenaries.
To sell oil in such quantities it needs more than just some illiterate terrorists to sustain the supply chain, direct and admin the financials with accounts that are under the SWIFT, to have the personal at raffineries work in line, to sustain the maintenance and find distribution to customers. That is beyond capability of that scum.
To sell oil in such quantities it needs more than just some illiterate terrorists to sustain the supply chain, direct and admin the financials with accounts that are under the SWIFT, to have the personal at raffineries work in line, to sustain the maintenance and find distribution to customers. That is beyond capability of that scum.
Dima- Posts : 1222
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+1Werewolf wrote:That will not end soon, as long there are still the regimes that support and finance them. That is their daily bread to spread terror. If you want to destroy terrorism destroy the countries or their capabilities to finance them. No money no spread of terrorism. ISIS is not financing itself by oil trade that is just a reasoning to give the stupid population why they are so spread around to whitewash the fact that US, Israel, France, Turkey, Saudis, Kuwait and who not are financing their mercenaries.
To sell oil in such quantities it needs more than just some illiterate terrorists to sustain the supply chain, direct and admin the financials with accounts that are under the SWIFT, to have the personal at raffineries work in line, to sustain the maintenance and find distribution to customers. That is beyond capability of that scum.
But we need to wait for few more months so that there are minimum credible assets to enlarge the scope of operation and successfully enforce the plan.
KoTeMoRe- Posts : 4212
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Werewolf wrote:That will not end soon, as long there are still the regimes that support and finance them. That is their daily bread to spread terror. If you want to destroy terrorism destroy the countries or their capabilities to finance them. No money no spread of terrorism. ISIS is not financing itself by oil trade that is just a reasoning to give the stupid population why they are so spread around to whitewash the fact that US, Israel, France, Turkey, Saudis, Kuwait and who not are financing their mercenaries.
To sell oil in such quantities it needs more than just some illiterate terrorists to sustain the supply chain, direct and admin the financials with accounts that are under the SWIFT, to have the personal at raffineries work in line, to sustain the maintenance and find distribution to customers. That is beyond capability of that scum.
It's around 3000 barrels worth of oil per day so far (although I suspect the actual volume is close to 10K bbl. That's about 40 million year according to "pro-Moderate beheaders, and about 120 million USD (a barrel is sold 40 USD to Turkey) to Syrian sources.
So my question is where do the rest of the roughly 600 million USD (the 2bln USD year is bogus) come from? Selling oil in such quantities can be done by illiterates if you enforce a L/C type of sale. We did the same with smuggled cigarettes back in Albania, we'd sell Turkish cigarettes to Italy (or stash them) and we'd just get paid by the box. What needs brain, is the situation behind the Turkish border and the refining process in Syria. That's more damning instead the number of oil trucks.
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