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    2020 Nagorno-Karabakh war #1

    Tai Hai Chen
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    Post  Tai Hai Chen Sun Oct 04, 2020 5:50 pm

    Regular wrote:
    Tai Hai Chen wrote:
    Regular wrote:Armenia can't be trusted for security of themselves. It's Azerbaijan, not a Nazi Germany in 39. Azeris have some nice toys, but they are no warriors.

    Toys alone don't win wars. SAA had nice toys and they were totally trashed by determined rebels. KSA and UAE had toys and they were totally trashed by Houthis.

    Yes. Azeris will bog down and try to keep territory for himself.. until they will do this next time some years later.. and so on. No wonder some Armenians want NATO, but without giving up NK they will not get in.

    Armenia never claimed NK nor is NK a disputed territory. Armenia has long suspected Russia of being untrustworthy, and this has been proven true in Serbia where Russia did nothing when NATO attacked Serbia and in Donbas where Russia did nothing when Ukraine attacked Donbas and in Syria where Putin sold northern Syria to Erdogan for a S-400 deal. Armenia can join NATO anytime it wants. Biden is pro Armenia and Biden will win election.


    Last edited by Tai Hai Chen on Sun Oct 04, 2020 5:53 pm; edited 2 times in total
    Isos
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    Post  Isos Sun Oct 04, 2020 5:50 pm

    Wow. Totally failed azeri attack with tens of soldiers walking next to each other in line on a road in front of Armenians watching them. Mortar hit in the middle of them.

    PapaDragon
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    Post  PapaDragon Sun Oct 04, 2020 5:53 pm

    Tai Hai Chen wrote:Obviously the NK is only justification for invading and annexing Armenia proper. Erdogan has repeatedly stated Armenia is land stolen from Turkic peoples. Russia won't do anything when Turkey invades Armenia because of Putin's relation with Erdogan. Therefore Armenia will join NATO for protection from Turkey.

    I guess this is another one of Ultron's / ultimatewarrior's accounts I will have to add to my ignore list...

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    Tsavo Lion
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    Post  Tsavo Lion Sun Oct 04, 2020 5:55 pm

    So Armenia and Azerbaijan will join NATO for peace just like Greece and Turkey did.
    Even if they join or become partners, there won't be peace for them- their soldiers, airmen & sailors will become a cannon fodder for future wars, just like those Turks, Poles, Hungarians, Slovaks, Czechs, Romanians, Bulgarians, Lithuanians, Latvians, Estonians, Ukrainians & Georgians who were sent to Afghanistan &/ Iraq. Turkey is now only nominally in NATO-  she's at odds with France & Greece in/around the Med. Sea; I won't be surprised if/when they come to blows there.


    Last edited by Tsavo Lion on Sun Oct 04, 2020 6:13 pm; edited 1 time in total
    miketheterrible
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    Post  miketheterrible Sun Oct 04, 2020 6:01 pm

    PapaDragon wrote:
    Tai Hai Chen wrote:Obviously the NK is only justification for invading and annexing Armenia proper. Erdogan has repeatedly stated Armenia is land stolen from Turkic peoples. Russia won't do anything when Turkey invades Armenia because of Putin's relation with Erdogan. Therefore Armenia will join NATO for protection from Turkey.

    I guess this is another one of Ultron's / ultimatewarrior's accounts I will have to add to my ignore list...


    It is. I pointed this out to mods.
    lyle6
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    Post  lyle6 Sun Oct 04, 2020 6:03 pm

    Tai Hai Chen wrote:
    Armenia never claimed NK nor is NK a disputed territory. Armenia has long suspected Russia of being untrustworthy, and this has been proven true in Serbia where Russia did nothing when NATO attacked Serbia and in Donbas where Russia did nothing when Ukraine attacked Donbas and in Syria where Putin sold northern Syria to Erdogan for a S-400 deal. Armenia can join NATO anytime it wants. Biden is pro Armenia and Biden will win election.
    Whatever helps you cope bro.
    Tai Hai Chen
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    Post  Tai Hai Chen Sun Oct 04, 2020 6:07 pm

    Putin may think Erdgoan is his buddy now, but when Erdogan annexes Armenia and gives S-400 to Uncle Sam in exchange for Patriot 3 and F-35, he will realize his mistake.
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    Post  AbdulhamidtheSecond Sun Oct 04, 2020 6:08 pm

    https://twitter.com/CeyhunAsirov/status/1312764493869522947?s=20

    It seems our armenian friend's friend is not around. However, Azerbaijani soldiers were quicker than that friend, as they sent this video to an Azerbaijani journalist from recently captured town, Jabrayil.

    Smile
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    par far


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    Post  par far Sun Oct 04, 2020 6:11 pm

    Tai Hai Chen wrote:I see Iran supply Yasser suicide drones and large caliber sniper rifles and Kornet missiles to Armenia later this month. These are used very effectively in Yemen and decimated KSA and UAE ground forces.


    Why would Iran do this? They have good relations with Turkey and decent with Azerbaijan.
    Tai Hai Chen
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    Post  Tai Hai Chen Sun Oct 04, 2020 6:14 pm

    AbdulhamidtheSecond wrote:https://twitter.com/CeyhunAsirov/status/1312764493869522947?s=20

    It seems our armenian friend's friend is not around. However, Azerbaijani soldiers were quicker than that friend, as they sent this video to an Azerbaijani journalist from recently captured town, Jabrayil.

    Smile

    It's an empty town anyway. Wait till Azeris hit the mountain, quite literally.
    Tai Hai Chen
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    Post  Tai Hai Chen Sun Oct 04, 2020 6:15 pm

    par far wrote:
    Tai Hai Chen wrote:I see Iran supply Yasser suicide drones and large caliber sniper rifles and Kornet missiles to Armenia later this month. These are used very effectively in Yemen and decimated KSA and UAE ground forces.


    Why would Iran do this? They have good relations with Turkey and decent with Azerbaijan.

    Iran and Turkey are historic rivals. Plus they see Azerbaijan as a threat to their territorial integrity considering Azerbaijan may claim Iranian Azeri land as rightfully belonging to Azerbaijan.
    Tsavo Lion
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    Post  Tsavo Lion Sun Oct 04, 2020 6:23 pm

    Tai Hai Chen wrote:Putin may think Erdogan is his buddy now, but when Erdogan annexes Armenia and gives S-400 to Uncle Sam in exchange for Patriot 3 and F-35, he will realize his mistake.
    don't underestimate his political judo skills- if u thought this, he did it even earlier. Sitting on 2 chairs didn't work for Lukashenko & won't work for this want to be Sultan either. 
    His Turkey may eventually be carved up just like Poland, Austria-Hungary & Iraq were.  
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=70IaRcjpD0I

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6xOZIlcy6K8


    Last edited by Tsavo Lion on Sun Oct 04, 2020 6:35 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : add links)
    Tai Hai Chen
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    Post  Tai Hai Chen Sun Oct 04, 2020 6:37 pm

    Iran has been keen to pull Armenia from Russian sphere to Iranian sphere. Considering Russia won't help Armenia due to Putin's relation with Erdogan, Iran will supply arms to Armenia to fend off Azeri invasion. This will make Armenia an Iranian lackey.
    Tsavo Lion
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    Post  Tsavo Lion Sun Oct 04, 2020 6:50 pm

    Putin's relation with Erdogan..
    it's a marriage of convenience at best, to allow Russia more freedom of action in Syria & have good relations with Azerbaijan & other Turkic peoples. But if her interests r threatened in the Caucasus & C. Asia, new economic sanctions &/ proxy battles will bring Ankara in line. 
    Tai Hai Chen
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    Post  Tai Hai Chen Sun Oct 04, 2020 6:51 pm

    Tsavo Lion wrote:
    Putin's relation with Erdogan..
    it's a marriage of convenience at best, to allow Russia more freedom of action in Syria & have good relations with Azerbaijan & other Turkic peoples. But if her interests r threatened in the Caucasus & C. Asia, new economic sanctions &/ proxy battles will bring Ankara in line. 

    Putin is pragmatic. Russia has been losing allies since 1990s due to pragmatism. Erdogan is far more cunning than Putin. Erdogan undertands Putin can't afford F-35 armed Turkey at Russia's doorstep and therefore must appease Erdogan.
    Tai Hai Chen
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    Post  Tai Hai Chen Sun Oct 04, 2020 7:17 pm

    Azerbaijan don't need NK nor has NK belonged to Azeri people historically. Just because the Soviets said so does not make it so. Armenians are spooked due to past Turkic genocide against Armenians. That's why they fight tooth and nail. In fact, not even Houthis fight as hard as Armenians. Think Israel defending itself from Arabs from 1940s to 1970s.
    Maximmmm
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    Post  Maximmmm Sun Oct 04, 2020 7:39 pm

    Isos wrote:Wow. Totally failed azeri attack with tens of soldiers walking next to each other in line on a road in front of Armenians watching them. Mortar hit in the middle of them.


    Mountains are just a mess. Reminds me of all those yemeni vids; ambush after ambush.
    Question is how many of those are syrians and libyans, since while cannon fodder dies, the political pressures on the azeri side remain low.
    lyle6
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    Post  lyle6 Sun Oct 04, 2020 7:47 pm

    Maximmmm wrote:
    Mountains are just a mess. Reminds me of all those yemeni vids; ambush after ambush.
    Question is how many of those are syrians and libyans, since while cannon fodder dies, the political pressures on the azeri side remain low.
    Quite a bit, though it appears the Azeris have been pressing the minorities into the frontlines to make up numbers. They'd eventually have to send in their own soldiers, but I doubt they'd be any more effective than these rabble. The past flare ups had Azeri special forces leading the way, but they got chewed up for their trouble.
    Tsavo Lion
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    Post  Tsavo Lion Sun Oct 04, 2020 7:51 pm

    Rubbish: he almost got killed in the coup & it was Putin who saved him. Norway & Japan also have F-35s, Russia can deal with them with her own S-400, etc. & was going to sell Turkey Su-35/57.
    Stop posting nonsense!


    Last edited by Tsavo Lion on Sun Oct 04, 2020 8:01 pm; edited 1 time in total
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    Post  slasher Sun Oct 04, 2020 7:53 pm

    Armenian wrote:
    Tsavo Lion wrote:Hold ur breath. Saakashvili lost his job & is now wanted by the authorities in Tbilisi; the same fate may await Pashinyan in Erevan.
     
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wB2m0Ci0skw

    Compering Saakashvili with Pashinyan? Are you serious?

    In my opinion Pashinyan is even more Pro-Russian than Serj Sargsyan. That stupid misinformation is done exactly by Soros kinda people to drive Armenian and Russians away from each other.

    Hope people coming with that BS is aware of that.


    It's not at all propaganda. That's a cop out. There is an undeniable pro-western leaning among a sizeable proportion of the Armenian population. The 2018 protests had an outright "get out Russia" element. The country, like all others once part of the Soviet sphere, is divided along which path to take for the future. But one cannot serve to masters as the saying goes. In Armenia's case, they are literally caught between a rock and a hard place, with Turkey to the west and Azerbaijan to the east. Only Russia can guarantee their security.

    Unfortunately, many there don't see it that way. It is incumbent on Armenia to prove it is an ally of Russia, not the other way around. You quite correctly pointed out some examples (re: Ukraine, Syria) where Armenia showed its friendship. But, as @kvs keeps saying, you cannot sit on two chairs. Playing the balancing game will go both ways. If it's to be a commercial or transactional type relationship like what Russia has with Germany or even Turkey, no problem. An alliance is much deeper than merely relying on superficial or past commonalities or shared histories.

    That said, I do sympathize with that proportion of the country that do consider Russia an ally and share close ties. Unfortunately, I can't see Russia investing geo-politically too heavily anywhere right now, including Armenia, only to have some itself be made a mockery of in some domestic colour revolution that sells itself out to the West. Russia has to adapt it's geo-political outlook and posture to these new realities. Alliances can no longer be assumed or taken for granted as long term, and Russia should only give as much as it gets. This is becoming quite evident in observing Russia's approach to what is happening here in the Caucasus.
    Russia shouldn't be like the US and impose itself on others, there's no need to. Let the US overextend and overspend itself into oblivion. Who wants to join Nato or whatever can go. In Armenia's case, good luck with that, because even if that were to happen, there is no way the West can guarantee any sort of security in that neighbourhood. Russia already has an aspiring member right on its southern border and is managing that quite skilfully. I don't see the big fuss over Armenia's possible shift, apart from the fact that it's virtually dead on arrival. If that what the country decides, fine by me. But if the distinct majority and the government in any country is united in a commitment to an alliance with Russia, then i highly doubt Russia would be so deliberative in its reactions, as it with Belarus for example as well.

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    Tai Hai Chen
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    Post  Tai Hai Chen Sun Oct 04, 2020 7:58 pm

    slasher wrote:
    Armenian wrote:
    Tsavo Lion wrote:Hold ur breath. Saakashvili lost his job & is now wanted by the authorities in Tbilisi; the same fate may await Pashinyan in Erevan.
     
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wB2m0Ci0skw

    Compering Saakashvili with Pashinyan? Are you serious?

    In my opinion Pashinyan is even more Pro-Russian than Serj Sargsyan. That stupid misinformation is done exactly by Soros kinda people to drive Armenian and Russians away from each other.

    Hope people coming with that BS is aware of that.


    It's not at all propaganda. That's a cop out. There is an undeniable pro-western leaning among a sizeable proportion of the Armenian population. The 2018 protests had an outright "get out Russia" element. The country, like all others once part of the Soviet sphere, is divided along which path to take for the future. But one cannot serve to masters as the saying goes. In Armenia's case, they are literally caught between a rock and a hard place, with Turkey to the west and Azerbaijan to the east. Only Russia can guarantee their security.

    Unfortunately, many there don't see it that way. It is incumbent on Armenia to prove it is an ally of Russia, not the other way around. You quite correctly pointed out some examples (re: Ukraine, Syria) where Armenia showed its friendship. But, as @kvs keeps saying, you cannot sit on two chairs. Playing the balancing game will go both ways. If it's to be a commercial or transactional type relationship like what Russia has with Germany or even Turkey, no problem. An alliance is much deeper than merely relying on superficial or past commonalities or shared histories.

    That said, I do sympathize with that proportion of the country that do consider Russia an ally and share close ties. Unfortunately, I can't see Russia investing geo-politically too heavily anywhere right now, including Armenia, only to have some itself be made a mockery of in some domestic colour revolution that sells itself out to the West. Russia has to adapt it's geo-political outlook and posture to these new realities. Alliances can no longer be assumed or taken for granted as long term, and Russia should only give as much as it gets. This is becoming quite evident in observing Russia's approach to what is happening here in the Caucasus.
    Russia shouldn't be like the US and impose itself on others, there's no need to. Let the US overextend and overspend itself into oblivion. Who wants to join Nato or whatever can go. In Armenia's case, good luck with that, because even if that were to happen, there is no way the West can guarantee any sort of security in that neighbourhood. Russia already has an aspiring member right on its southern border and is managing that quite skilfully. I don't see the big fuss over Armenia's possible shift, apart from the fact that it's virtually dead on arrival. If that what the country decides, fine by me. But if the distinct majority and the government in any country is united in a commitment to an alliance with Russia, then i highly doubt Russia would be so deliberative in its reactions, as it with Belarus for example as well.

    Putin is too buddy buddy with Erdogan for Armenia's liking. Putin betrayed Assad and sold northern Syria to Erdogan for S-400 deal. This is why Armenia will join NATO for protection from Turkey / Azerbaijan.
    Tsavo Lion
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    Post  Tsavo Lion Sun Oct 04, 2020 8:14 pm

    Like Spain joined NATO for protection against UK which still holds Gibraltar? or France to protect itself from the Islamists?
    I don't think Armenia joining NATO would be any different from Georgia doing the same- both will lose their statehood.


    Last edited by Tsavo Lion on Sun Oct 04, 2020 8:15 pm; edited 1 time in total
    Isos
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    Post  Isos Sun Oct 04, 2020 8:15 pm

    Putin saved Assad and retook half of Syria when he was left with only the coast. And now russians are taking the eastern part.

    Russians patrol in the north and will take it back soon when Erdogan spends another 3 billions on russian systems.

    Turkey's S-400 will become unusable after spending 2 or 3 months without russian maintenance.

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    Post  kvs Sun Oct 04, 2020 8:38 pm

    Stop with the bleating about Russia selling out Assad over northern Syria. It is pure misrepresentation since the Americans are there to secure the oil fields.
    Why should Russia directly confront the Americans? Assad for sure can't.

    Assad should rebuild Syria and the SAA as his top priority. The mop up in Idlib can wait.

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    Post  kvs Sun Oct 04, 2020 8:45 pm

    Armenia has a similar demented infestation of NATzO sychophants like Georgia. It is pretty clear by now that all of the ex-USSR republics
    are afflicted with this brain rot disease. Maybe in Armenia the sobering reality of Turkey is keeping some dose of sanity, but nominally
    Christian Georgia is kissing Erdogan's a**. They even canceled their national holiday celebration of King David IV's victory over the Turks
    because Erdogan's regime snapped its fingers. Georgia has surrendered Adjaria to Turkish control. So much grovelling obeisance to their
    historic enemies but pure, insane hate for Russia.

    Get f*cked all of you hater retards. Russia should take a crap on you and let you be NATzO's problem. NATzO is like the Roman
    Empire, over extended and rotting from the inside.



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