Russia Defence Forum

Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

Military Forum for Russian and Global Defence Issues


+57
Yugo90
Mig-31BM2 Super Irbis-E
Arkanghelsk
Krepost
Sujoy
calripson
d_taddei2
jhelb
dino00
andalusia
Mir
x_54_u43
ATLASCUB
zorobabel
Odin of Ossetia
Isos
Walther von Oldenburg
thegopnik
TMA1
nero
GreyHog
Karl Haushofer
JohninMK
GarryB
Firebird
littlerabbit
Russian_Patriot_
Big_Gazza
limb
medo
higurashihougi
Backman
owais.usmani
VARGR198
slasher
lyle6
Azi
Rodion_Romanovic
ChineseTiger
Arrow
ALAMO
Hannibal Barca
Vann7
franco
LMFS
par far
flamming_python
SeigSoloyvov
George1
Hole
lancelot
PapaDragon
Cowboy's daughter
miketheterrible
PhSt
auslander
kvs
61 posters

    The Situation in the Ukraine. #30

    avatar
    owais.usmani


    Posts : 1821
    Points : 1817
    Join date : 2019-03-27
    Age : 38

    The Situation in the Ukraine. #30 - Page 29 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #30

    Post  owais.usmani Mon Dec 06, 2021 1:45 pm

    Hole likes this post

    avatar
    owais.usmani


    Posts : 1821
    Points : 1817
    Join date : 2019-03-27
    Age : 38

    The Situation in the Ukraine. #30 - Page 29 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #30

    Post  owais.usmani Mon Dec 06, 2021 1:54 pm

    VARGR198 likes this post

    PhSt
    PhSt


    Posts : 1435
    Points : 1441
    Join date : 2019-04-02
    Location : Canada

    The Situation in the Ukraine. #30 - Page 29 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #30

    Post  PhSt Mon Dec 06, 2021 3:02 pm


    Then Muslims go a step further and commit love jihads and kill people who they don't like. Authorities can't do much cause they are scared.

    I thought Modi's BJP was able to turn this situation around?
    PapaDragon
    PapaDragon


    Posts : 13455
    Points : 13495
    Join date : 2015-04-26
    Location : Fort Evil, Serbia

    The Situation in the Ukraine. #30 - Page 29 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #30

    Post  PapaDragon Mon Dec 06, 2021 3:47 pm


    Can we go back to 404?

    You guys went over half the Asia here

    JohninMK, VARGR198, miketheterrible and Mir like this post

    avatar
    Arrow


    Posts : 3400
    Points : 3390
    Join date : 2012-02-12

    The Situation in the Ukraine. #30 - Page 29 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #30

    Post  Arrow Mon Dec 06, 2021 6:29 pm

    https://edition.cnn.com/2021/12/06/politics/biden-putin-call-ukraine-sanctions/index.html

    The US promises huge sanctions on Russia when will attack Ukraine .Also disconnect for swift. What a stupidity of the USA. Russia does not plan to invade Ukraine unless Ukraine will start the war.
    franco
    franco


    Posts : 7029
    Points : 7055
    Join date : 2010-08-18

    The Situation in the Ukraine. #30 - Page 29 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #30

    Post  franco Mon Dec 06, 2021 6:32 pm

    Arrow wrote:https://edition.cnn.com/2021/12/06/politics/biden-putin-call-ukraine-sanctions/index.html

    The US promises huge sanctions on Russia when will attack Ukraine .Also disconnect for swift. What a stupidity of the USA. Russia does not plan to invade Ukraine unless Ukraine will start the war.

    That perhaps is the point... to force Russia to not get involved when Ukraine attempts their final solution for the Donbass.
    Hole
    Hole


    Posts : 11097
    Points : 11075
    Join date : 2018-03-24
    Age : 48
    Location : Scholzistan

    The Situation in the Ukraine. #30 - Page 29 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #30

    Post  Hole Mon Dec 06, 2021 7:01 pm

    Russia has her own SWIFT, her own credit cards. In less then a year half of the world would be connected to the russian systems and the west would lose another tool of repression. So please, go ahead and "sanction" Russia.

    GarryB, d_taddei2, par far, kvs, VARGR198, DerWolf and Mir like this post

    JohninMK
    JohninMK


    Posts : 15574
    Points : 15715
    Join date : 2015-06-16
    Location : England

    The Situation in the Ukraine. #30 - Page 29 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #30

    Post  JohninMK Mon Dec 06, 2021 8:04 pm

    franco wrote:
    Arrow wrote:https://edition.cnn.com/2021/12/06/politics/biden-putin-call-ukraine-sanctions/index.html

    The US promises huge sanctions on Russia when will attack Ukraine .Also disconnect for swift. What a stupidity of the USA. Russia does not plan to invade Ukraine unless Ukraine will start the war.

    That perhaps is the point... to force Russia to not get involved when Ukraine attempts their final solution for the Donbass.

    If it is it would be typical of Washington's almost invariable misreading of Moscow. Nothing will stop them defending the Donbas, the Russian population would not allow it.

    If it did go down and Russia was disconnected from SWIFT in the winter then Europe would be on its knees, that would be a sight, begging Russia to continue gas supplies using probably the only acceptable form of payment, gold. This would be yet another Washington bullet through foot as it would instantly revalue gold and who has the most? Yes, Russia and China are near the top and the US would have to come clean on theirs.

    GarryB, flamming_python, d_taddei2 and Hole like this post

    ATLASCUB
    ATLASCUB


    Posts : 1154
    Points : 1158
    Join date : 2017-02-13

    The Situation in the Ukraine. #30 - Page 29 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #30

    Post  ATLASCUB Mon Dec 06, 2021 8:27 pm

    Good article on power dynamics from a russophile... and not the Russian propaganda garbage out there where somehow, pro-russian propaganda is equated to Putin criticism. Can't fix stupid for those deep into the Putin personality cult.

    https://www.indianpunchline.com/biden-putin-meeting-is-a-cliffhanger/

    Legal security guarantees on paper....good luck fellas. lol1 lol1 lol1

    The desperation among the Russian oligarchs is kind of reaching critical mass. Just like the empire wants it.

    VARGR198 likes this post

    LMFS
    LMFS


    Posts : 5142
    Points : 5138
    Join date : 2018-03-03

    The Situation in the Ukraine. #30 - Page 29 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #30

    Post  LMFS Mon Dec 06, 2021 9:07 pm

    franco wrote:
    Arrow wrote:https://edition.cnn.com/2021/12/06/politics/biden-putin-call-ukraine-sanctions/index.html

    The US promises huge sanctions on Russia when will attack Ukraine .Also disconnect for swift. What a stupidity of the USA. Russia does not plan to invade Ukraine unless Ukraine will start the war.

    That perhaps is the point... to force Russia to not get involved when Ukraine attempts their final solution for the Donbass.

    The idea is to force a defeat onto Russia, by inaction if they refuse to defend their essential security interests, or to find an excuse to place even harder sanctions on them and force the disconnect from the EU if they react. They make up the amassing of troops as they made up the claims of previous "invasions" of Donbass and can make up the next one. They know their constituency are sheep, no facts needed, just to repeat the same lie enough times will do it.

    So, Russia better do what is better for them in the long run, regardless of what the West threatens, they are and were always just a bunch of cheaters.

    ATLASCUB wrote:Legal security guarantees on paper....good luck fellas. lol1 lol1 lol1

    The desperation among the Russian oligarchs is kind of reaching critical mass. Just like the empire wants it.

    Good luck to you, keeping your parallel commie world safe from the contact with reality thumbsup

    GarryB, kvs and Hole like this post

    Isos
    Isos


    Posts : 11586
    Points : 11554
    Join date : 2015-11-06

    The Situation in the Ukraine. #30 - Page 29 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #30

    Post  Isos Mon Dec 06, 2021 9:15 pm

    It's taking too much time for Russia to respond. They should just wipe out Ukraine and take the control of the Russian part and destroy airports of the rest to forbid any nato deployement there.

    That's the second or third build up aroynd Ukraine. It didn't work previously and it won't do anything now too unless they attack.

    Air superiority and destruction of military airports is what matters. Then NATO help is impossible and ukrainian will turn against their governement once all those nato/eu promises are imoossible to achieve.

    What they should never do is kill ukrainians or do a revenge war. Propagandists will turn it into a massacre/genocid and ukrainian will hate them forever.

    Eu/nato and specially US will loose any interest pretty fast then it's not like they will go at war with 1st nuk power over Ukraine. Kurds will approve that anyday Laughing .
    PapaDragon
    PapaDragon


    Posts : 13455
    Points : 13495
    Join date : 2015-04-26
    Location : Fort Evil, Serbia

    The Situation in the Ukraine. #30 - Page 29 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #30

    Post  PapaDragon Mon Dec 06, 2021 9:19 pm

    ATLASCUB wrote:
    https://www.indianpunchline.com/biden-putin-meeting-is-a-cliffhanger/
    ...
    The desperation among the Russian oligarchs is kind of reaching critical mass. Just like the empire wants it.

    I done know much about Indian humor but traditionally punchline is regularly expected after a joke, even bad one Cool

    flamming_python
    flamming_python


    Posts : 9516
    Points : 9574
    Join date : 2012-01-30

    The Situation in the Ukraine. #30 - Page 29 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #30

    Post  flamming_python Mon Dec 06, 2021 9:39 pm

    ATLASCUB wrote:Good article on power dynamics from a russophile... and not the Russian propaganda garbage out there where somehow, pro-russian propaganda is equated to Putin criticism. Can't fix stupid for those deep into the Putin personality cult.

    https://www.indianpunchline.com/biden-putin-meeting-is-a-cliffhanger/

    Legal security guarantees on paper....good luck fellas. lol1 lol1 lol1

    The desperation among the Russian oligarchs is kind of reaching critical mass. Just like the empire wants it.

    I don't think Putin's offer was a sign of desperation

    Anything that can avoid war is worth it, and at least Russia can go down on record as having floated a peace initiative. This is customary for Russian and earlier Soviet diplomacy.

    There is also no urgency at the moment about such a NATO-Russian treaty. The immediate threat is the Ukrainian invasion of the Donbass and this is what will be discussed between Putin and Biden. Without control of that territory, the Ukraine cannot move forward with NATO membership, at least not until NATO bends its own rules (which it might eventually).

    GarryB, par far, LMFS and bitch_killer like this post

    kvs
    kvs


    Posts : 15808
    Points : 15943
    Join date : 2014-09-11
    Location : Turdope's Kanada

    The Situation in the Ukraine. #30 - Page 29 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #30

    Post  kvs Mon Dec 06, 2021 10:06 pm

    The threat about SWIFT is a moronic joke.  All of the large corporations (Gazprom, etc.) do not use SWIFT.   It is smaller western
    companies operating in Russia that will be sliced off from transferring money out of Russia.   As in 2014, we will have basically a
    swift kick to NATzO's own gonads from such sanctions.  

    Russia has deployed all the relevant infrastructure to weather NATzO's cut-offs.   This includes internet autonomy, which is basically
    localized name servers and hubs, credit card system (Mir), and a SWIFT alternative.   What you will see is countries around the world
    signing on to Russia's SWIFT alternative.   NATzO will have to terrorize the whole planet in order to stop this.   NATzO is already
    overextended and will undermine all of its propaganda efforts by acting openly like a capricious dictatorship.  

    NATzO's one and only hope is for Russia to send troops to Ukraine to cry about it.  But that ain't happening.   As for cheesy propaganda
    along the lines that Russian forces are fighting the plucky Ukrian army in the Donbass, that is intellectually insulting for most of humanity.
    Why all the crying about Russia "building up its forces on Ukraine's borders" if they are already inside Ukraine?

    GarryB, par far, slasher, LMFS, Hole and bitch_killer like this post

    ATLASCUB
    ATLASCUB


    Posts : 1154
    Points : 1158
    Join date : 2017-02-13

    The Situation in the Ukraine. #30 - Page 29 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #30

    Post  ATLASCUB Tue Dec 07, 2021 12:02 am

    flamming_python wrote:
    ATLASCUB wrote:Good article on power dynamics from a russophile... and not the Russian propaganda garbage out there where somehow, pro-russian propaganda is equated to Putin criticism. Can't fix stupid for those deep into the Putin personality cult.

    https://www.indianpunchline.com/biden-putin-meeting-is-a-cliffhanger/

    Legal security guarantees on paper....good luck fellas. lol1 lol1 lol1

    The desperation among the Russian oligarchs is kind of reaching critical mass. Just like the empire wants it.

    I don't think Putin's offer was a sign of desperation

    Anything that can avoid war is worth it, and at least Russia can go down on record as having floated a peace initiative. This is customary for Russian and earlier Soviet diplomacy.

    There is also no urgency at the moment about such a NATO-Russian treaty. The immediate threat is the Ukrainian invasion of the Donbass and this is what will be discussed between Putin and Biden. Without control of that territory, the Ukraine cannot move forward with NATO membership, at least not until NATO bends its own rules (which it might eventually).

    Russia wants to avoid war. The U.S is pushing war to extract strategic concessions.

    If Russia wants to avoid it, Washington will want something in return. If Russia wants "legal security guarantees on paper", Washington will want A LOT in return for that.

    The idea that Russia will get everything and the empire will walk empty handed by somehow been outclassed by 5D chess grandmaster Putin is a dimwits pipedreams. The man got toyed with in Ukraine twice and is still reeling from the ineptness of letting the whole thing take place twice while holding the majority of the cards then - now paper dust. But but.... "it was inevitable".... yet somehow Belarus wasn't inevitable, Cuba wasn't. More like getting caught with your pants down twice, and not being smart enough to combat the enemies stratagems properly at the time. In other words outmaneuvered, outclassed. The Iranians had to go to the Kremlin with a plan for Syria just so Russia could get involved.... despite knowing for a fact the intentions of powers behind the whole regime change push. That is, export terrorism and build a pipeline crossing Syria, through Turkey to **** over Gazprom/Russia. Give me a fucking break.

    Russia won't get shit for free. If Russia doesn't cave somewhere, then all Washington has to do is let the dogs of war unleashed or continue its anti-Russian project there, at its current pace or accelerate it. They set the clock. Ukraine is expendable.

    Here's what I'm 100% sure about. A Russian oligarch/banker cares significantly more about being disconnected from the Swift and losing billions than say witnessing a slaughter of the Donbas or other Russian people abroad. It's an easy choice for such people - the overwhelming majority of them. That's what Russia signed up for when they decided to become a classical capitalistic oligarchy like those of the West. The only thing arbitrating between them and the people is indeed Putin and the Russian intelligence apparatus. As we've seen with the degradation of the empire, we know who ultimately wins out that power tussle, and it's usually not the people.

    What does the U.S want?

    Throw under the bus roulette:

    Cuba
    Venezuela etc..
    Latin America as a whole.
    Any "ally" really.
    Extend gas transit in Ukraine.

    Grand prize: Ditch China.

    Putin's choice to make.


    Last edited by ATLASCUB on Tue Dec 07, 2021 1:20 am; edited 1 time in total
    kvs
    kvs


    Posts : 15808
    Points : 15943
    Join date : 2014-09-11
    Location : Turdope's Kanada

    The Situation in the Ukraine. #30 - Page 29 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #30

    Post  kvs Tue Dec 07, 2021 12:49 am

    Russia is not looking to make concessions. It is making demands.

    It is the USA and its bootlick EU regimes that are going to have to make concessions.

    If they think that starting WWIII is a viable option, then they are lost causes and cannot be negotiated
    with.

    The post Cold War period is over.

    VARGR198 and LMFS like this post

    Isos
    Isos


    Posts : 11586
    Points : 11554
    Join date : 2015-11-06

    The Situation in the Ukraine. #30 - Page 29 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #30

    Post  Isos Tue Dec 07, 2021 12:52 am

    There is also no urgency at the moment about such a NATO-Russian treaty. The immediate threat is the Ukrainian invasion of the Donbass and this is what will be discussed between Putin and Biden

    It's been 10 years now they can't invade Donbass. That won't change today because Russia keeps them just as strong enough every time. No need for a russian invasion.

    Real threat is Ukraine in NATO bd more missiles there yo try to decapitate russian nuclear forces. Stupid americans could try that.

    GarryB likes this post

    ATLASCUB
    ATLASCUB


    Posts : 1154
    Points : 1158
    Join date : 2017-02-13

    The Situation in the Ukraine. #30 - Page 29 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #30

    Post  ATLASCUB Tue Dec 07, 2021 1:01 am

    kvs wrote:Russia is not looking to make concessions.  It is making demands.  

    It is the USA and its bootlick EU regimes that are going to have to make concessions.

    If they think that starting WWIII is a viable option, then they are lost causes and cannot be negotiated
    with.  

    The post Cold War period is over.


    Demands, what demands? "Please lets make a deal"? lol1 You do understand what the definition of a deal is right?

    But but WWIII.... please.

    "We demand you stick and implement the Minsk accords, not invade the Donbas or push Ukraine into NATO membership or else we will invade Ukraine and/or or set the Novorussian forces loose"....

    Washington: Go right ahead Putin.

    Too easy. Now that the jokes are over. There is this Maduro guy sitting on the world's largest untapped oil reserves. Also, we very much like the Lithium in Bolivia. But if we really want to get serious, why don't we start talking about your relationship with China and Iran.
    kvs
    kvs


    Posts : 15808
    Points : 15943
    Join date : 2014-09-11
    Location : Turdope's Kanada

    The Situation in the Ukraine. #30 - Page 29 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #30

    Post  kvs Tue Dec 07, 2021 1:21 am

    There are neocon masturbatory fantasies in NATzO that it will move its forces inside Ukria and/or send it substantial weapons
    systems (lots of Abrams tanks, etc.). Somehow Russia will just sit there and watch or will be forced into into some sort of
    massive invasion. This rubbish is intellectually insulting.

    The options for Russia are clear, just as with embassy expulsions. As soon as NATzO deploys forces to Ukria, Russia will
    symmetrically deploy to the Donbass. NATzO will shriek about invasion, but NATzO propaganda only really works on the NATzO
    "citizens". If NATzO sends offensive weaponry to Ukria, Russia will do the same for the Donbass defenders.

    Net result: no advantage for NATzO.

    GarryB, d_taddei2 and JohninMK like this post

    flamming_python
    flamming_python


    Posts : 9516
    Points : 9574
    Join date : 2012-01-30

    The Situation in the Ukraine. #30 - Page 29 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #30

    Post  flamming_python Tue Dec 07, 2021 3:18 am

    ATLASCUB wrote:
    flamming_python wrote:
    ATLASCUB wrote:Good article on power dynamics from a russophile... and not the Russian propaganda garbage out there where somehow, pro-russian propaganda is equated to Putin criticism. Can't fix stupid for those deep into the Putin personality cult.

    https://www.indianpunchline.com/biden-putin-meeting-is-a-cliffhanger/

    Legal security guarantees on paper....good luck fellas. lol1 lol1 lol1

    The desperation among the Russian oligarchs is kind of reaching critical mass. Just like the empire wants it.

    I don't think Putin's offer was a sign of desperation

    Anything that can avoid war is worth it, and at least Russia can go down on record as having floated a peace initiative. This is customary for Russian and earlier Soviet diplomacy.

    There is also no urgency at the moment about such a NATO-Russian treaty. The immediate threat is the Ukrainian invasion of the Donbass and this is what will be discussed between Putin and Biden. Without control of that territory, the Ukraine cannot move forward with NATO membership, at least not until NATO bends its own rules (which it might eventually).

    Russia wants to avoid war. The U.S is pushing war to extract strategic concessions.

    If Russia wants to avoid it, Washington will want something in return. If Russia wants "legal security guarantees on paper", Washington will want A LOT in return for that.

    The idea that Russia will get everything and the empire will walk empty handed by somehow been outclassed by 5D chess grandmaster Putin is a dimwits pipedreams. The man got toyed with in Ukraine twice and is still reeling from the ineptness of letting the whole thing take place twice while holding the majority of the cards then - now paper dust. But but.... "it was inevitable".... yet somehow Belarus wasn't inevitable, Cuba wasn't. More like getting caught with your pants down twice, and not being smart enough to combat the enemies stratagems properly at the time. In other words outmaneuvered, outclassed. The Iranians had to go to the Kremlin with a plan for Syria just so Russia could get involved.... despite knowing for a fact the intentions of powers behind the whole regime change push. That is, export terrorism and build a pipeline crossing Syria, through Turkey to **** over Gazprom/Russia. Give me a fucking break.

    Russia won't get shit for free. If Russia doesn't cave somewhere, then all Washington has to do is let the dogs of war unleashed or continue its anti-Russian project there, at its current pace or accelerate it. They set the clock. Ukraine is expendable.

    Here's what I'm 100% sure about. A Russian oligarch/banker cares significantly more about being disconnected from the Swift and losing billions than say witnessing a slaughter of the Donbas or other Russian people abroad. It's an easy choice for such people - the overwhelming majority of them. That's what Russia signed up for when they decided to become a classical capitalistic oligarchy like those of the West. The only thing arbitrating between them and the people is indeed Putin and the Russian intelligence apparatus. As we've seen with the degradation of the empire, we know who ultimately wins out that power tussle, and it's usually not the people.

    What does the U.S want?

    Throw under the bus roulette:

    Cuba
    Venezuela etc..
    Latin America as a whole.
    Any "ally" really.
    Extend gas transit in Ukraine.

    Grand prize: Ditch China.

    Putin's choice to make.

    Russia floated the NATO-Russia treaty as a starting position for bargaining. Sort of like setting the price too high at a bazaar as you know the customers will try and negotiate down.

    It's not an urgent issue. The urgent issue is avoiding any Ukrainian offensive on the Donbass and that's what Putin will try and squeeze out of Biden, in actuality, as well as an agreement to avoid NATO moving assets into the Ukraine, any missiles, etc... 'under the radar' so to speak.

    Putin gets that and he will be happy. The US and pals can keep the Ukraine, time is not on the regime's side there.

    About giving up Venezuela, Cuba, China, whatever - on what basis? Putin has no reason to trade them away. Again, I repeat, this negotiation is over NATO extending itself into the Ukraine and the Ukraine extending itself into the Donbass and what will happen if they try. If they don't try, then there's no problem. Russia wants to preserve the status-quo, but it has no intentions of giving up any allies in return just to keep said status-quo, such blackmail won't work. If Biden insists on it, then he'll be rejected and will have to give the Ukraine the green light to try for an invasion of Donetsk and Lugansk to act out his threat, and at that stage Russia will just take Kiev's forces out.

    A trade only makes sense if the other side gives something and you give something. If the other side tries to blackmail you with a war in return for you ditching your friends, then you tell them to f-off. Putin has never given up his friends nor personal ones, nor national ones, and he's not going to start doing so.

    And you are entirely correct that the ones keeping the oligarchs in line are Putin and the intelligence agencies. Them and the Russian foreign ministry establishment, and the Defense Ministry. The oligarch's interests are respected, but no-one's giving them the keys to the house. International politics and alliances are worth much more money, as it comes down to gaining and losing entire territories, markets and so on.

    GarryB, JohninMK, slasher, miketheterrible, LMFS and Mir like this post

    GarryB
    GarryB


    Posts : 40415
    Points : 40915
    Join date : 2010-03-30
    Location : New Zealand

    The Situation in the Ukraine. #30 - Page 29 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #30

    Post  GarryB Tue Dec 07, 2021 3:31 am

    No, India is a broken toilet, a dysfunctional dumpster-fire of a nation. It has no potential to be Chinas equal. The Indian elites are some of the most corrupt on the planet, and being infected by the caste system, they hate the very people they are supposed to be representing.

    Even if what you say is true, the elites in the UK and US and France and most other countries are rather more corrupt and hate the people they are supposed to be representing... giving them the vote so they have an illusion of accountability and power for the people, when there are generally only two real choices in any country anyway what difference does it make?

    50 years ago China was a broken toilet, but some lucky breaks and good decisions and any country can turn things around.... even the US.

    The US promises huge sanctions on Russia when will attack Ukraine .Also disconnect for swift. What a stupidity of the USA. Russia does not plan to invade Ukraine unless Ukraine will start the war.

    If Russia gets involved in any way in any conflict in the Ukraine it will be declared an invasion, just as Russian VDV troops already stationed in South Ossetia attacked by Georgian artillery were declared a Russian invasion of Georgia in 2008.

    The amusing thing is that by now everything that might work as a sanction has been tried... cutting Russia out of SWIFT just creates an alternative to SWIFT that the US and West has no control over which actually weakens the west more than the Russians... western companies wanting Russian Gas or Oil or Titanium or other materials and products will then need to join this new system if they want to continue to buy resources from Russia... and they weren't doing it for charity to help Russia out.

    It also gives Putin an excellent opportunity to use sanctions in return to break things Russia has signed and followed but is not to Russian advantage any more...

    That perhaps is the point... to force Russia to not get involved when Ukraine attempts their final solution for the Donbass.

    This is not to stop Russia from starting anything, this is an attempt to get them to stay out of anything Kiev might start... so it is obviously doomed to failure... Russia didn't ignore South Ossetia or Abkhazia, and they didn't ignore the Crimea either... and they wont ignore the Donbass region even though they accept it is part of the Ukraine.

    What they should never do is kill ukrainians or do a revenge war. Propagandists will turn it into a massacre/genocid and ukrainian will hate them forever.

    This is Ukraine vs Ukraine, what the Ukrainians in the Donbass and other regions will do is up to them, but the fact that many want Russian citizenship suggests the hate for Kiev is very strong.

    The problem of course is that these people see themselves as Ukrainians and even with Russian passports it is very unlikely they want to actually become Russian... they will most likely want to keep speaking Russian and be an autonomous Ukrainian republic separate from Kiev and with open border trading with Russia.

    The mentality of thinking people just want to be like you... America just needs to go in and kick Saddams army and Iraq will just become another America is deluded... the majority Shia meant they had more in common with Iran than with the US and no interest in becoming either.

    Using force wont change anything, which is why when Russia took control in Crimea... handed to them by the Crimeans themselves which is why no shots were fired, they didn't start making changes and started to run the place, they held a referendum and let the people decide... and unlike a US referendum where you pick freedom or you go to jail or get shot, the Crimean referendum was free and fair and they made their choices and Russia respected those choices.

    Any conflict in the Ukraine will be the same if Russia needs to get involved it will likely be minimalist and mostly supporting the Ukrainians in the Donbass and any other region that is interested in Russian Peace Keepers, while they decide what they want to do without Kiev or Washingtons influence... they will likely chose autonomy from Kiev and Russia will most likely respect that decision and help them to achieve that... and then leave.

    Russia wants to avoid war. The U.S is pushing war to extract strategic concessions.

    If Russia wants to avoid it, Washington will want something in return. If Russia wants "legal security guarantees on paper", Washington will want A LOT in return for that.

    Don't confuse wanting dialogue with being prepared to make self defeating concessions... Putin is not Yeltsin, and Russia is in a completely different situation than in the 1990s.

    Putin is suggesting talks as a solution, but when stupid America has a stupid idea and goes ahead with that stupid idea no matter what Putin says.... like the ABM Treaty, like the INF treaty, like the Open Skies Agreement... Russia accepts Americas choices and takes steps to react... now Russia is introducing S-500 and soon S-550, and Poseidon and Buresvick and now land based Zircon lots of other things not possible when these treaties and agreements were in effect.

    Look at the map of the Middle East.... the US has lost face and territory with Egypt and Iraq and Iran and Syria now looking to Russia rather more favourably... even Turkey is buying Russian military equipment at the cost of not getting F-35s...

    You keep hinting at the west being master chess players, but I am not really seeing it.

    Russia won't get shit for free. If Russia doesn't cave somewhere, then all Washington has to do is let the dogs of war unleashed or continue its anti-Russian project there, at its current pace or accelerate it. They set the clock. Ukraine is expendable.

    The more the US does the worse its position becomes, Biden is already very unpopular and he needs a win or he is screwed and the orange man will get back in...

    As you say, the Ukraine is irrelevant, the US does not care about them at all, the issue is Russia and they have to get that sorted before Kiev collapses or a popular uprising in the Ukraine leads to a government that wants good relations with Russia as well as the EU and US gets voted in.

    Ironically the promises of the anti NSII groups have failed to come true... no freedom gas has come to Europes rescue... they got caught trying to get super cheap gas from Russia but didn't realise Russia does not need to sell at very low prices and without long term contracts the instability is always going to push prices up and not down like they hoped.

    Germany can take as much time as they like to sign off on NSII, Russia can simply divert the gas to other customers... and likely for a better price.

    A Russian oligarch/banker cares significantly more about being disconnected from the Swift and losing billions than say witnessing a slaughter of the Donbas or other Russian people abroad.

    And they didn't want to have to trade in currencies other than the US dollar either, but when the US started using it as a weapon they actually did what they had been talking about for decades and dropped the US dollar.

    Now it is no big deal.

    Right now SWIFT is easy and convenient, but when Russia is banned from it then Russia and all the countries that trade with Russia will have to find an alternative... which is great because the Russian alternative will be Russian controlled and therefore not used to generate revenue for the west, and not used to impose sanctions or economic harm on other countries like SWIFT can and is.

    This will make the new Russian system viable and in many cases necessary and other BRICS countries can sign up to it and actually start using it... hopefully it wont be too complex or expensive and so Russia will be even less dependent on the west and other countries will be better able to trade with Russia without the US/West getting a cut of the transactions.

    Throw under the bus roulette:

    Cuba
    Venezuela etc..
    Latin America as a whole.
    Any "ally" really.
    Extend gas transit in Ukraine.

    Grand prize: Ditch China.

    Putin's choice to make.

    But why? What cards does the US even hold?

    Russia will continue to transit gas through the Ukraine because they still make money doing that but there is no reason at all for them to do any of those other things... with sanctions to date Russian trade and cooperation with the US is at an all time low and its future prospects are pretty poor, so there is nothing at all worth trading.... even Russian trade with Venezuela or Cuba will be better than with the US so why even consider giving that up?

    Trade with China is booming... Russia can't send them enough coal and gas and resources... they are likely making a good profit while helping a neighbour grow and develop... why jeopardise that because western media are stirring up BS lies about a fictional Russia invasion of a region of the Ukraine the west claims they already occupy?

    It is Putin mentioning red lines, not the US.

    Too easy. Now that the jokes are over. There is this Maduro guy sitting on the world's largest untapped oil reserves. Also, we very much like the Lithium in Bolivia. But if we really want to get serious, why don't we start talking about your relationship with China and Iran.

    To which Putin would say we know you are evil censored that do this sort of thing and your interests are as transparent as your propaganda... so **** off.

    Let Kiev invade and we will annihilate them.... and enjoy the process.

    kvs, slasher, miketheterrible and Hole like this post

    miketheterrible
    miketheterrible


    Posts : 7383
    Points : 7341
    Join date : 2016-11-06

    The Situation in the Ukraine. #30 - Page 29 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #30

    Post  miketheterrible Tue Dec 07, 2021 8:58 am

    Atlasclub is a known liar and moron. He misreads and misleads every comment.

    Here is a great breakdown on Putins demands (let's not forget, Stoltenberg had a mental breakdown over russias demands):

    par far and VARGR198 like this post

    avatar
    par far


    Posts : 3495
    Points : 3740
    Join date : 2014-06-26

    The Situation in the Ukraine. #30 - Page 29 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #30

    Post  par far Tue Dec 07, 2021 3:46 pm

    miketheterrible wrote:Atlasclub is a known liar and moron. He misreads and misleads every comment.

    Here is a great breakdown on Putins demands (let's not forget, Stoltenberg had a mental breakdown over russias demands):



    There are Russian red lines and if those are crossed, Russia will respond.

    NATO knows, Bidens handlers know this, Obama's handlers know this, the deep state(inter agency) knows this, the handlers of neocons know this.

    Anyone who thinks otherwise does not get it, are a troll or clueless.

    d_taddei2 and VARGR198 like this post

    medo
    medo


    Posts : 4343
    Points : 4423
    Join date : 2010-10-24
    Location : Slovenia

    The Situation in the Ukraine. #30 - Page 29 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #30

    Post  medo Tue Dec 07, 2021 6:07 pm

    US and NATO is bluffing and Putin know this. Russia will not ditch China and allies and China will also not ditch Russia and allies. They are big allies and US and NATO could do nothing. The great Earth shift of moving global power from the West to the East is getting momentum in it becoming faster and faster for every day. The West could not stop this any more and they know it. This is the last try to prevent the collapse of collective West, which they could not prevent any more. Any new sanctions or stupid action will strike the West harder and harder.

    d_taddei2, par far, kvs, miketheterrible, LMFS and Hole like this post

    LMFS
    LMFS


    Posts : 5142
    Points : 5138
    Join date : 2018-03-03

    The Situation in the Ukraine. #30 - Page 29 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #30

    Post  LMFS Tue Dec 07, 2021 9:38 pm

    medo wrote:US and NATO is bluffing and Putin know this. Russia will not ditch China and allies and China will also not ditch Russia and allies. They are big allies and US and NATO could do nothing. The great Earth shift of moving global power from the West to the East is getting momentum in it becoming faster and faster for every day. The West could not stop this any more and they know it. This is the last try to prevent the collapse of collective West, which they could not prevent any more. Any new sanctions or stupid action will strike the West harder and harder.

    Russia is ditching their allies so much that Putin flew to India right after Lavrov and Shoigu did the same, to strike a military deal until 2030, sell them LNG, reiterate the strategic partnership of those countries and ditch the Dollar for good in their dealings. Meanwhile the dummy got a videoconference, that is how Russia is begging for mercy to the West, with a big fat waving middle finger...

    kvs, PapaDragon, miketheterrible, Hole, lyle6, Mir and bitch_killer like this post


    Sponsored content


    The Situation in the Ukraine. #30 - Page 29 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #30

    Post  Sponsored content


      Current date/time is Tue Nov 05, 2024 9:03 pm