Russian special military operation in Ukraine #18

Debris of Uragan missile.

Sometimes, he makes the opposite - posts materials from the English-speaking media.
That sounds more like that if you ask me.

Macron, Scholz and Draghi are going to Kiev on thursday.

Sounds like an ideal opportunity to take out Zelensky and a few other troublesome rogues...

Lack of troops is NOT a BS excuse, you need troops to guard the lines, you need to hold reserves, you need troops to attack.

Russia just doesn't have the manpower to push them out of range and attack where they currently are.

Your solution to the enemy having dangerous artillery is more man power... is their manpower advantage leading to Russia losing their artillery?

Plus I would call 170K dead nazis a good start... possibly unrealistic but the fact that they kill their own when they try to surrender they are going to have high death vs casualty rates and also when your troops are minced by artillery and air power it can be difficult to get enough meat spread together to cover a decent sized wafer biscuit... how many men were there... who knows... certainly Kiev doesn't care... they will get closer to the truth when asking/demanding support from the west, but I doubt they know or care what the truth is... the numbers they give have an agenda and therefore depend on the audience.... high for more help and low for morale and recruiting more bodies.

I also see you and others call everything they say BS but they say something you like and suddenly they are believable? don't make me laugh

It was the way the west processes information about Russia before, during and since the cold war... if it seems bad it must be true, if it seems good it is propaganda... the Guardian has an agenda that is not helped by faking extra Ukrainian casualties... not that they are likely in any better position than us to guess, their biases would lead them to aim lower than higher in this situation which makes them more reasonable to believe than say their estimate that the Russian forces have lost 3 million and counting...

Great self explanatory video:

Looked like a good spread on an area target... from a decent standoff distance.

And frankly the only explanation I can give for why they've still not been budged from Avdeevka and in general are in a position to carry out artillery strikes on Donetsk is because such is useful for Russia itself to drive up support for the war. At any rate this was a going theory back from the first month of the war. Yes it's cynical but then war is cynical in general.

Nazis will be nazis... they are doing it to distract the Russians from the job at hand.... sending in lots of troops to deal with individual rogue artillery vehicles like Tochka launchers and now perhaps HIMARs would be a total waste of resources... killing orcs where they are killing orcs will end this conflict faster than being a fire brigade saving civilians in this way simply because it is easy to send rogue groups to kill civilians... if they send in more troops to deal with the artillery... well the Ukraine has more troops than Russia... how well have they suppressed Russian artillery?

They have ATGMs and MANPADS and drones up the yingyang so they should be safe from air power and ground forces right?

Hopefully they will be using drones and attack helicopters and Su-25s to hunt the enemy artillery in these areas... it is the fastest way to cover a large area and allows direct immediate neutralisation of enemy vehicles and crews.

In 2014, this scum was 16 y/o
How much "leader" and "active participant" he might have been, is just a debunking of what Ukro propaganda is.

Everyone is stupid when they are 16...

Арха́нгельск, lay off whatever you're smoking. They took half of the country?

Half of the Ukraine worth taking.... half of a half is a quarter... but the useful quarter...

As per him, the main benefit of this tactic is that you are firing from the safe distance and your aircraft is almost invulnerable to the manpads. In the same time, you are using the cheapest and the most available missiles.

And when the target is an area target using expensive guided weapons does not make them more effective... rockets are traditionally used against area targets anyway so as long as you have a digital computer doing the real time calculations it is as accurate as gun or rocket artillery like Grads and MSTAs, but against area targets a good spread of HE is more effective and having it all arrive at once gives less time to take cover whereas gun artillery rounds that arrive one at a time the first few rounds can be effective but slightly off target and as later rounds are walked into the target using drones or other observers correcting, the targets are harder to kill because they are under cover now and trying to avoid your shells.

Thanks for that info. Why do you think Putin and the generals haven't added more in those locations to make it more even?

They are using artillery and air power for much of the work so a numbers advantage on the ground is not as critical as some here pretend.

Like the Afghan government forces destroying the Taliban... as long as they had air support... well Russian troops being well trained and with air and artillery support have enormous advantages against the Ukrainians no matter how much HATO training they have had... tactics wont stop Grad rockets,

Putin knows this is going to take time and there will be no rushing it... doing it right and getting the job done is more important than getting it done quickly or to some timetable.

Any fight for Odessa has to take into account the fact that the Romanian border very close by which might lead to a dangerous situation moving forward... if Russian troops are advancing through the centre of the country having defeated Orc positions in the Donbass then orc troops in and around Odessa might agree to withdraw to mutually agreed borders that suit Russia... then it will be a case of securing the areas they want and getting the locals through a strainer to find nazis and war criminals and anti Russian aholes, and then with what remains let them decide what they want preferably via referendum with options that Russia can be happy with and with options like joining HATO or the EU absent. When they decide then Russia can assist with rebuilding and trade links etc etc and the rest of the Ukraine can be dealt with... Russian peacekeeper forces in and HATO and EU people out and then the same process... demilitarisation and democracy for Ukrainians... and then leave with warnings that if they want to become a threat to Russia and think joining EU or HATO will protect them then nuclear weapons will be on the table as options to obliterate the country before it can join the boy scouts.... anti Russian people can remain but pro Russians will be advised to move to the south and east portion of former Ukraine for their own safety.

Then threaten the EU and US... if you try to manipulate these new countries the gas will be turned off to Europe even if it costs Russia some money, and Uranium supplies to the US will stop, as will titanium bits and a slew of other things they never even mention regarding sanctions because they can't live without them.

Then complete the split from the west in everything... close all Russian embassies in the EU and US and close all EU and US embassies in Russia.

Yandex translation. At least part of it.

Lots of little regions would be less of a threat... interesting.

At this rate , Ukraine will be targeting moscow cities with missiles in a matter of weeks, provided by the west , but no discussion about this , lets downplay it as a minor thing..

Fall for their desperate attempts to get a rise and a change of tactics... because that is their best chance for survival... for Russia to stop doing what is working and try something else out of anger.

I doubt there are that many soldiers in Azot alone. This is probably industrial zone plus Borovskoe.

2,000 trapped might include meat shields, or even the families of the soldiers that moved to be with them when they were assigned to bolster up the anti russian sentiment in the south and east.

You can't attack foreign leaders without a disaster.

On more than one occasion US officials have openly stated they would like to see Putin murdered... I say don't assume till they have tried it.

What you can do is blow a big hole in the main runway of the airport they arrived at, so they have to make other arrangements to return home. That will send a clear message that the are not in a safe place.

Not a bad alternative solution...

Ukie forces are more then 200k

No need to kill every single one of them though.

And what is the reason, other than profiting with the PPP gap?

Article in RT mentioned the difference between California and the Mexican capital was house price averages about 750K per house in US, about 65K per house on average in Mexico capital city.... it talked about food prices and rental prices and law and order in terms of crime... all seemed to favour Mexico...

Russia has to regime change Kiev whether it
"annexes" the central part or not.

If Zelensky does not run away then a decapitation strike followed by a coup of moderates could lead to an actually neutral region that has a bit of a grudge against the west for not helping enough...

The numbers I have from different sources are 60.000+ KIA, 60.000+ WIA and 40 - 50.000 MIA, which propably includes 18 - 20.000 POW + deserters and a few hundred or even thousand dead bodies lying in some cellar or wood.

That we don´t see the typical ratio of 3 wounded to 1 dead is due to the massive use of artillery. You can take even a few bullets and survice but 200+ splinters turning your body into minced meat...

The 200.000 number mentioned here were trained frontline soldiers. Most of them are gone by now. The actual number may be bigger but these are mostly untrained Nazi thugs or criminals or even unlucky civilians that got a gun from the regime and are send to the frontlines. Their survival rate is much, much lower then the one of a battle hardened soldier that had month of training.

One point about the ISR stuff used by NATO. The pic is blurry at best, because of russian jamming, feeding false info and so on, but even it it was crystal clear. Man, you can´t stop a 50ton truck with your bare hands even if you see it coming.

There was a discussion why Avdeevka isn´t attacked to stop the shelling of Donetsk. That´s what the Russian Armed Forces are doing. But a frontal attack is stupid because your whole flank would be open for the other Nazi strongholds further North. Well, Severodonetsk is mostly liberated, Lisichansk is next, the battle for Slavyansk is being prepared and then comes Kramatorsk. After that Avdeevka will be cut off from supplies, surrounded and cleared.

To play the cold hearted General staff member for one second: thousands were killed there over the last 8 years, another 100 from the beginning of the SMO to the liberation of the whole Donbass isn´t that bad.

There was a photo a couple of days ago of a Ukrainian S-300V TELAR moving along a road in the Donbass in broad daylight
https://t.me/intelslava/31110

I understand 24/7 surveillance is not possible even over a limited area, but Russia really needs to get its arms around this whole issue. It needs more drones up in the air, more informants, more frequent satellite data, and a better idea of what is moving where and when.
Because a S-300V is really a rather large vehicle and moreover a dangerous one. The situation should not be such that the Ukrainians feel safe enough to move it around during the day on a road.