Cyrus the great wrote:I understand that there is an economic dimension to this war and that mobilisation would only put unnecessary strains on the Russian economy... but why can't Russia deploy at least 300k troops?
If the plan is to kill most of Ukraine's most nazified forces in their tens of thousands and defend only a very limited amount of territory, DPR, LPR (who will mostly be local militias reinforced by Russian mercs, counter terrorism specialists, and Russian regulars), Kherson and Zaprozhiye (a land bridge to Crimea and protecting Crimea's water supply might be the primary goal in the south) then only 70 to 100,000 forces in theater using rocketry, artillery, and air power are enough to do the job.
Putin did state that the SMO was to denazify and demilitarize Ukraine, protect the Sovereignty of the DPR and LPR. He, Shoigu, Peskov, and Lavrov also said they had no desire to occupy Ukraine. So for those of you getting mad at him for yielding back territory, keep in mind he never said he would occupy Ukraine.
Don't get me wrong, I would love a mass artillery, rocket, and bombing campaign that would last about a month that would destroy Ukraine's bridges (especially those over the Dniepr), power plants and oil pipelines (especially those that go to EU nations), airports and airfields, rail yards and rail tunnels (and government buildings and homes of Oligarchs as well as power plants and I would all but shut down Ukraine's internet. During this or following this, I'd love a drive to the Dniepr that would bypass towns and take half the country as this (combined with airstrikes on Kiev and Zelensky and the Nazis in the RADA and Oligarchs who back them) would lead to a capitulation.
However, such a war costs a lot of money, would require a lot more troops, possible economic and social disruption, and is not what Putin wants as the longer the SMO goes on the more Ukes die, the more the EU experiences winter and the more it is that calls for new governments opposed to NATO happen. The US can call for NATO to stick together all it wants but if nations quit NATO then it's forces and logistics systems get kicked out.
At the end of the day Putin is sticking to his plan and is so far doing exactly what he said he was going to do. Denazify and demilitarize Ukraine, protect DPR and LPR, protect Russian Sovereignty (especially in Crimea) and force Ukraine to stay neutral. He categorically said Russia had no intent to occupy Ukraine and by and large he fully means what he said. I think at most Russia maybe takes Nikolayevsk and Odessa, keeps Kherson and Zaprozhiye, and that's it. Meanwhile, Ukronazis die, Ukraine and NATO get denazified and demilitarized, and (as the Ukes die) the DPR and LPR get shelled less and less.
For the TLDR crowd, Putin is doing exactly what he said he was and is keeping his word that Russia has no intent on occupying Ukraine. Those complaining that he won't defend liberated territory are needlessly echoing western propaganda and clearly ignored Vladimir Vladimirovich when he said what his aims were and when he said he had no intent to occupy Ukraine. The war is going as planned.