Russian special military operation in Ukraine #31

The offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Kherson can be stopped due to NATO's mistake:

According to the Military Chronicle, for a breakthrough in the Berislav direction, the Armed Forces of Ukraine plan to use small infantry units equipped with VAB light armored personnel carriers made in France and British Husky TSVs, delivered to replace the BTR-70 and BTR-80 lost in battles with an 8 × 8 wheel arrangement.

By the beginning of November, 90% of the 28th mountain assault brigade, the 60th infantry and the 46th brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were equipped with these types of vehicles. According to radio interception, the command of the 46th brigade doubts the effectiveness of this equipment against Russian artillery and at the end of October appealed to the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine with a request to cancel the attack on Berislav without heavy weapons cover.

According to the Military Chronicle, it became known from the radio interception of the 46th brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine that the command of this formation was ready to attack in the Berislav direction only if the 17th tank brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine was supported. However, in this formation, less than half of the tanks needed by the brigade according to the regular structure are in combat readiness.

Serious damage to the French and British armored personnel carriers in the areas of concentration of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is caused by the Giacint-S and Msta-B guns, as well as the division of the special power of the Malka guns of 203 mm caliber from the artillery sleeve of the RF Armed Forces on the left bank of the Dnieper.

The combat work of artillery of the RF Armed Forces in the Berislav direction exacerbated another problem of the Armed Forces of Ukraine - poor staffing with spare parts and specialized tires for foreign-made armored personnel carriers.

Due to the error of equipment senders in NATO countries, the VAB, Husky TSV armored personnel carriers, as well as American FMTV M1083 tractors (transport of M777 howitzers with a protected cab) were delivered to Ukraine without spare wheels. Splinters of 152-mm shells hit the wheels repeatedly, which led to the fact that the armored vehicles had to be written off.

The use of third-party rubber and a different size leads to overheating of the transmission, engine breakdowns and off-road problems.

Before the start of the expected November offensive, losses in light armored vehicles of the Armed Forces of Ukraine can reach 70%. After that, the Ukrainian troops risk losing the possibility of tactical maneuver and will be forced to switch to passive defense.


https://t.me/Slavyangrad/18935

mnztr wrote:

Russia has some significant capabilities but lets be honest. No one has close to the industrial capacity of China. They are spitting out destroyers and cruises like jellybeans. They are about to finish their 3rd carrier a clean sheet design with EMALS. Area where Russia is vastly more advanced is aerospace and Nuclear and subs. But Russia seems to have lost the ability to produce in quantity like it used to in the Soviet days.

Yes and No.

Russia lost mass production capabilities in the heavy airline field due to factories in Russia being downsized considerably. Tank repair, production, small arms, semiconductors for the military and fighter jet they can mass produce rather fast. It isn't any of that, it was entirely the government that doesn't make large enough orders, even now.

Ship building was another issue altogether- for surface ships they didn't know what they want and kept building something different everytime and different shipyards are all doing their own stuff. If they streamlined it and had a few shipyards build same design vessel, then they would also be able to mass produce it. So once again it was a government issue.

Their R&D is also very specific and money isn't thrown around everywhere like it is in China and USA.

[quote="mnztr"]

kvs wrote:

Russia has some significant capabilities but lets be honest. No one has close to the industrial capacity of China. They are spitting out destroyers and cruises like jellybeans. They are about to finish their 3rd carrier a clean sheet design with EMALS. Area where Russia is vastly more advanced is aerospace and Nuclear and subs. But Russia seems to have lost the ability to produce in quantity like it used to in the Soviet days.

Ship building is generally to project power overseas, far from home like the US does.
Why would Russia want to do that in a local land war?

According to various sources, an RF tank ambushes an Ukrainian tank that was rushing forwards to push into the attack.
RF Special forces spotted it and alerted the RF armor it was approaching.




RF Tank destroys Ukrainian tank at point blank range

GEROMAN -- time will tell - --
@GeromanAT
·
10h
Zaporozhye NPP, which is under the control of RF, is connected to the energy system of Ukraine.
“At around 10:00 p.m., 750kV power supply at all six ZNPP units was restored, and eight operating emergency diesel generators were turned off and put on standby,” (IAEA Grossi)

Thats a captured BMP-3 right?

limb wrote:Thats a captured BMP-3 right?

Yep, looks like the aftermath of this vid:
https://odysee.com/@airbornewolf:8/DPR-repels-Ukrainian-attack:1

Regarding this particular video, I noted that the lighting made Mercouris look rather grim and waxy, kinda like a Vampire Lord in his lair, hand outstretched as he pepares to drain his next victim  

I've never seen another presentator with such active hands.  Thankfully the Ukrops don't have him, as if they could somehow harness the energy of his extremities they would be able to solve their energy grid problems.  

On Mercouris in general, I think he does a good job for a guy who admittedly has no military background, and his grasp on geopolitics is pretty damn good.  Sure, he does waffle and repeat himself a lot, but what can one expect from someone who is ex-Barrister. Producing daily updates when the primary global event (take down of Banderastan) is on a slow-burn between peaks will inevitably mean a lot of repetition.

Airbornewolf wrote:According to various sources, an RF tank ambushes an Ukrainian tank that was rushing forwards to push into the attack.
RF Special forces spotted it and alerted the RF armor it was approaching.

Just... BEAUTIFUL....

Big_Gazza wrote:

Airbornewolf wrote:According to various sources, an RF tank ambushes an Ukrainian tank that was rushing forwards to push into the attack.
RF Special forces spotted it and alerted the RF armor it was approaching.

Just... BEAUTIFUL....  

Take a peek at my channel for other stuff you might have missed

Airbornewolf wrote:

limb wrote:Thats a captured BMP-3 right?

Yep, looks like the aftermath of this vid:
https://odysee.com/@airbornewolf:8/DPR-repels-Ukrainian-attack:1

Uhh bro what is that based ruskie rock song playing? It needs to get in one of my mixes right quickly.

TMA1 wrote:

Airbornewolf wrote:

limb wrote:Thats a captured BMP-3 right?

Yep, looks like the aftermath of this vid:
https://odysee.com/@airbornewolf:8/DPR-repels-Ukrainian-attack:1

Uhh bro what is that based ruskie rock song playing? It needs to get in one of my mixes right quickly.

it was not my song, came with the vid
but i traced it back to this one:

Big_Gazza wrote:Regarding this particular video, I noted that the lighting made Mercouris look rather grim and waxy, kinda like a Vampire Lord in his lair, hand outstretched as he pepares to drain his next victim  

I've never seen another presentator with such active hands.  Thankfully the Ukrops don't have him, as if they could somehow harness the energy of his extremities they would be able to solve their energy grid problems.  

On Mercouris in general, I think he does a good job for a guy who admittedly has no military background, and his grasp on geopolitics is pretty damn good.  Sure, he does waffle and repeat himself a lot, but what can one expect from someone who is ex-Barrister. Producing daily updates when the primary global event (take down of Banderastan) is on a slow-burn between peaks will inevitably mean a lot of repetition.

Lawyers are Vampire Lord's aren't they?

A while back I suggested the Duran shop should sell straight jackets, and Alexander should wear one to stop doing the hand waving thing.

He is pretty smart, and an absolute wordsmith, though he often seems to think that negotiation is the best solution for the conflict when it's clearly gone past that, which seems a little idealistic, if not naive.

He also has a good grasp of history, so you get an idea of what led up to where we are now in the conflict.
eg. Alexander said that he believed well before the Maidan Uprising in 2014, that Ukraine was 2 distinct cultures which didn't get along, and a dividing line should be drawn to separate them.

ALAMO wrote:

kvs wrote:
Mercouris

I feel really astonished by the fact, that you put so much attention to the guy who is airing his story while sitting in a closet.
Closed one.
He is a perfect Mr. Nobody.
His one and only life achievement was the fact that he has edited texts for the Russian Insider.
That means that he speaks English
Most of you have a more impressive CV, and I really mean it.
Yet, you are commenting and taking for granted a galaxy-sized wisdom from a guy who could be not qualified enough to be your milkman.

Well I like him
Besides you never know, he might be reading this forum for part of his info, so don't be too critical of the man

limb wrote:

caveat emptor wrote:Let's talk about responsibility.

Against the backdrop of publications from many famous people, now everyone knows about what is happening near Pavlovka.  We won't repeat ourselves.  Let us just recall that about a month and a half ago, on the eve of the announcement of partial mobilization, we, at the suggestion of the military correspondent Filatov, raised the issue that, against the background of tougher penalties for military personnel for voluntary surrender and failure to comply with orders in wartime, there were still no provisions for  there is absolutely no separate responsibility for commanders for their mistakes, tyranny, senseless suicidal attacks without reconnaissance and support.  And so, we have witnessed the fruits of that irresponsibility.

More recently, several waves of criticism of comrade Lapin overwhelmed telegrams, who, following the results of media clashes, got off with a “statement of his own.”  However, no other names were publicly named, and as we assumed, the colonel-general acted as an extreme valve for venting the steam of accumulated popular anger.  And now, for the tyranny and incompetence of the command, the organization of the offensive in the conditions of the superiority of the enemy and the lack of their own artillery, ordinary marines are paying with blood.

Therefore, it is time to name the next names of two hereditary de-generals (wordplay on degenerate) - Akhmedov and Muradov.  For these comrades and their patrons, I would like to remind you that history must be able not only to write, but it would also be nice to read it carefully.  Since quite recently, by the standards of the era, the country was already captured by a wave of merciless popular revolt, one of the reasons for which was the bestial attitude towards people in the war.  It was necessary to understand this even at the moment when the special operation left the format of a distant football match and, together with mobilization, transformed into a truly popular event that could not be hidden behind bravura briefings.
@milinfolive
https://t.me/milinfolive/92978
  One of the named generals is Rustam Muradov, current commander of Eastern military district.

Russian soldiers don't hold back. This is real patriotism. Asking for accountability while risking your life to liberate part of russia. Hopefully, we're seeing an emergence of a "civil society" in russia. Not an astroturfed neoliberal bloc following the interests of russia's enemies, but ordinary civilians and soldiers  fighting against both ukrainian psyops but demanding accountability and improvement in russia's military, bureaucracy and industry.

We already had civil society in Russia, so thanks

And Lapin was dismissed from command after this orchestrated criticism of him in the Telegram nationalist media; so in my mind the curators of both events are one and the same.

As it might be now.
I am skeptical about said new 'civil society' or all this 'honest reporting' from the front.

caveat emptor wrote:@FP

Since you are native Russian speaker and have a good command of English, you could post translation of some of his latest posts here, since most foreign members could understand what is exactly he has problem with. Automatic translation is usually not bad, but sometimes misses on some points he is trying to make.

If you have something in mind then by all means point me to it and I can translate if it's brief

All the Telegram channels I follow are talking about large Russian losses in Pavlovka. I am not a native Russian speaker, can speak some but generally use a translator.

Anybody have any details?

mnztr wrote:he actually does a pretty good job of sifting through a SHIT TON of news and developing a picture of whats happening. Its not easy.

Mercouris I think is on his way up; there's already a lot of speculation that British newspaper journos watch his vids, the British MoD and so on. And he was recently featured as a guest in Dr. Steve Turley's program, so the American audience has become aware of him too

All he needs to do is to stay humble and avoid Podolyaka's downfall really; who just to remind everyone had become convinced that he had become a factor in interstate politics in of himself and was exposed as an ass by starting to make demands of political leaders

flamming_python wrote:
All he needs to do is to stay humble and avoid Podolyaka's downfall really; who just to remind everyone had become convinced that he had become a factor in interstate politics in of himself and was exposed as an ass by starting to make demands of political leaders

That part was funny.
Even more when he started his personal crusade against the other talking heads