kvs wrote:Mercouris is right on target with his analysis. Prigozhin's coup attempt is clearly coordinated with NATzO. In fact, it is predicated
on the slew of NATzO BS about the state of Russia's army and the war. Prigozhin also outed himself as a NATzO bootlick by parroting
the BS narratives about the recent history of the Donbass.
I would agree if there were any reprecautions for him especially in todays times were being a 5th column is treason and a good reason to be vaporized without any trial or court.
The shit show right now was 24h rapid developement with only the West being "OHH MAH GOD, Russia is imploding".
In Russia there was confusion and the common housewives idiots with to much time on their hands causing hysteria in their group chats and amongst friends and relatives. Other than that I am still waiting for actual evidence for either side.
To me it looks like staged maskirovka but a very dramatic one and risky one in terms of reputation and people who are not 100% included into the coup de' expose de' quinto colonna.
Pro Maskirovka
-No, hard facts of dead.
-A helicopter that was standing in a field and burning, while most of the time Mi-8 which gets shot down usually smashes into the ground and collapses the crew compartment from it's own weight and the kinetic energy.
-Commical display in the city of "force" by just being there like a John Travolta meme while people continue their lives
- No actual seizing of anything by Wagner
- Strela 10 shooting against a Ka-52 which has proven to handle 15 incoming Manpads in short period of time (agree risky show of for pretended coup)
- One air plane on video, which has no other footage of the wreck or human remains.
- Speeded up court case against Prigozhin and immediate drop of the case (unlawful by Russian laws) That never existed before
- ON same day of "coup" he relocates to Belarus at the same time when Poland has relocation of forces.
- Current frontal situation obliterates Ukro offensives
- Prigozhin's display of acting resulted constantly in progress on the front and dead Ukros
- In geopolitical terms - turn western Propaganda by 180° and you will be closer to the truth (always)
-Con Maskirovka
- If there are any dead by either aircraft it is a criminal use of western technology and "false flag" attempts
- Reputation decrease
- Uncertainity of reaction by people not fully involved and with fullknowledge of the coup
- reaction of 5th columnists sabotaging, killing and provoking pogroms and all the mayhem that they want to cause
- Since all the time the West has actors Ukro and Russian side actors that are involved in sabotage even within military complexes.
Right now, in all objectivity is to early to say the entire reprecautions that this will have for Prigozhin, Putin or Russia. From the information I have I think it is much more likely, that this was some sort of very risky Maskirovka. The possible 5th columnists which might have exposed we will not know immediately and that probably has some FSB reasons not to tell the enemy that their "assets" have been "neutralized"
Such assets are usually used in waves to have Plan A,B,C...whatever.
I think we only will find out a little bit more without the fog of diception and maskirovka in a few months.
Right now, I see movements of units and by the end of the year we will see proxy involvement of Polish fighters under Ukro insignia on Belarus. That is what I expect. The already Ukrops under "Russian flag" trying to "raid" Belgorod and getting flamed up was a trial and error.
Anyways, I will continue to observe and make my judgement later on. Right now to much propaganda from all sides and our very own Maskirovka shit information is distorting the whole picture.
My personal biased guess is, we are much closer to Belarus and Russia unification than I personally was expecting in 5-15 years from now. I think we are much closer than previously expected. But I am speculating on terms of soley political moves, while real world Belarussians are somewhere 50/50 on that matter. Either they make a big jerk in terms of political push against Belarus where Belarussians would feel part of the war then they might as well become majority in favor of Russia.
Anyways, time has and will always be master of wisdom.
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