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    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #55

    sepheronx
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    Post  sepheronx Mon Apr 15, 2024 5:40 am

    Yeah, its always hilarious how Israel and others demand a lot from Russia yet treats Russia like shit and does what it can to harm it.

    Honestly, Israel ambassador should be kicked out of the country. Make it clear that they are allowed back when they start condemning Ukraine. I know Russia's ambassador would be kicked out, but honestly, what is the point of them? They are useless at this point.

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    higurashihougi
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    Post  higurashihougi Mon Apr 15, 2024 5:49 am

    https://www.rt.com/russia/595930-ukraine-soldiers-surrender-russian-army/

    WATCH Ukrainian soldiers surrender in Donbass
    The servicemen complain of atrocious treatment in the army, the Russian Defense Ministry has said


    The Defense Ministry in Moscow reported on Saturday that nine servicemen from Ukraine’s elite 25th Airborne Brigade surrendered to the Russian Army.

    “Our superiors don’t care about us, they don’t want to go to frontline positions to assess the situation… It seemed better to surrender than to die without understanding why and what for,” one of them was filmed as saying.

    “The commanders send us to die, like waste material, while they themselves are somewhere on the sidelines… When we were captured, our own people fired at us. I guess it means that no one really needs us there,” another said.

    According to the Defense Ministry, the Russian military has set up a separate communication channel for Ukrainian soldiers who want to surrender.

    The number of those laying down their arms has been steadily growing recently, Igor Kimakovsky, an adviser to the head of the Donetsk People’s Republic, Denis Pushilin, told RIA Novosti on Sunday. He noted that the Ukrainian Army punishes soldiers who try to surrender.

    Ukraine has been increasingly reliant on forced conscription to bolster its frontline units, amid a shortage of volunteers and a high number of battlefield casualties. In early February, several Ukrainian commanders told the Washington Post that their units were staffed at around 35% or less.

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    Walther von Oldenburg
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    Post  Walther von Oldenburg Mon Apr 15, 2024 10:15 am

    2 Ukro brigades are gonna be disbanded:

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    Post  GarryB Mon Apr 15, 2024 10:19 am

    And what is the accuracy of these things? How effective are they?

    They have a relatively short range but are designed as depth charges for use against subs so the HE payload is already quite powerful compared to normal artillery rockets like Grad.

    The modifications for land use likely involve the removal of a quite complicated pressure (depth) fuse with presumably an impact fuse which would allow more HE to be packed in there.

    They are reasonably accurate... subs are not small targets, but you still have to get close to be effective. Also their range is generally less than 10km so there is less chance for it to deviate off path and miss by a wide margin.

    For land use they are area weapons intended to be fired in a volley which means accuracy is a bad thing if all your rockets land in the same place then you are not using it efficiently.

    RGB-60 carried a 25 kg explosives load originally, so if they even bother to add some more, it must be enough space to make it relevant.
    A 203mm HE round carries less than 18kg of explosives, so we are talking about a firepower bigger that Pion delivers. Probably about double that ...

    203mm shells are about 110kgs in total weight including fragments but they have thicker walls so the shell itself is heavier. It is probably more fair to compare with a Grad rocket which at 122mm calibre has a warhead that ranges in weight from about 18kgs to about 25kgs.

    Of course the shorter range of these rockets will mean fairly close impact points and with HE fragmentation warheads there would be enough love in the air to make you want to bury your nose as deep as you can into the ground.

    And they likely have enormous numbers of them which are just taking up space...


    Russia has designed a few systems with rocket pods/racks although nothing has been put into production

    It is really a field expedient thing... we have vehicles and we have rocket launchers and we have a lot of rockets... lets solve the last problem by adding the second to the first.


    Then a company in Russia designed this Eskadron" 4x4 Russian Airborne Assault Buggy. Although apparently they weren't interested as it was a two seater only. But in the second picture you can see a Russian four seater has been designed so we might see a rocket pod version yet. There is apparently video footage of Eskadron online somewhere.

    The advantage of that system is that those rocket "pods" are the new aircraft carried pod designs, so using them would allow changing rocket calibres like 57mm and 80mm and 122mm aviation rockets. The previously obsolete 57mm rockets have been improved and put back into production...

    They have shit tons of BM-21 grad in reserve designed for mlrs actions with a good accuracy
    They don't need those dumb mini mlrs that have no real impact on the fight.

    These are different systems... with the Grad they would be gathered together for a fire mission with a dozen or more vehicles really hammering a target, whether it is an enemy position or a location where enemy troops or armour are forming up for an attack. These light vehicles are more like local infantry support where the force will move forward and any enemy position that opens fire will be hit with a couple of carefully placed rockets. It might even have versions with land mines that could be fired into the path of enemy armoured forces to restrict their movement... to stop them chasing you, or limit their ability to run away.

    And don't forget S-8 have a decent variety of different rockets available. The 105mm rockets with 10km range provides decent range.

    Not familiar with 105mm rocket calibres for Russia unless you mean RPG-29/RPG-27 rocket variants?

    If they are aviation rockets then they would be 57mm (S-5) and 80mm (S-Cool and 122mm(S-13).

    It seems that nobody shares your opinion, as improvised MLRS with use of S-5, S-8 or S-13 were in use in every single conflict in the last 60 years.

    Good point, aircraft mounted rocket pods have been strapped to light motor vehicles for decades.

    I understand that there is good news and Russia is very strengthened, but my specific question to the analysts: at what point could there be a general collapse of the Ukrainian front and a Russian advance taking advantage of the situation?

    Don't want to sound like a cold hearted bastard because people are dying every day, but the longer this goes along the longer the Russians will separate from the west and the more territory they will likely end up liberating... which will be good for the people living in those areas to be honest.

    It could be the victory of Donald Trump, which would give the ucros the death card by losing financing, but there could also be sabotage of the US elections as in 2020.

    When Biden wins and all media ban any discussions of recounts then I suspect things might kick off... the democrats just don't know how to lose.

    If there is any agreement made I really hope Russia doesn't accept anything less than, Donetsk, Kharkiv, Kherson, Zaporozhye, Nikolaev, Odessa, Sumy, chernihiv, Poltava, Dnipro, kirvohad. Anything less than that would have made the loss of Russian troops worthless.

    Honestly I think a countrywide referendum that is open and free and fair with no moving people around the different areas to change results... it would have to be monitored and Russian troops should be able to handle that like they did in the Crimea... whether the west thinks that is democratic or not, they have no say in the matter and can't be trusted anyway so who cares what they think or say.

    This is about the people who live in Ukraine... they got a say with voting in Zelensky and he betrayed them. Would be nice for them to have a leader that wont but their only option would be Putin... but who can convince them of that?

    But Ukraine are never going to agree with the first lot of regions nevermind Kiev.

    That is why it continues... eventually they will come to understand the situation. Russia is in no hurry because this has to be done right or it will repeat in 5 or 10 years time... and will be much worse.

    However I feel any agreement done with zelensky/the west will only be abused and not followed through at least not long term and Russia will just have a headache further done the line, with nazis scumbags carrying out terror attacks

    Guerilla forces that do damage do not get local support, which means they wont last. Russia dealt with Chechen nutters... with Ukrainians they claim themselves to not be Russian so dealing with them gives options.

    they basically saying Putin has put the pressure on saying if no agreements before 22nd of May and Ukraine goes into an unrecognised regime mode there will be no agreements and the Russian offensive goes ahead. (Not my words theirs)

    That might be true, but I can't see Putin being so obvious with the timing for any offensive... offensives work best when they are surprises...

    Are you seriously so delusional to think that Biden wants to negotiate in Ukraine?

    Biden wants this conflict to go forever because he thinks it is weakening Russia and of course when it ends there will be trials and I suspect lots of Ukrainians have some interesting information about some business deals the Biden family have in the Ukraine and various details about corruption too that creepy joe does not want airing in public.

    So like OBL and Weinstein there are going to be lots of suspicious suicides in the coming year or so.

    He is the only president who did not maintain a single foreign war, a fact. He is a guy who knows that the United States has an internal enemy that must be fought (the deep state, immigrants, globalists), not an external one beyond its rivalry with China.

    Trump is weak, he is too easily manipulated... they just called him Putins puppet and he imposed more sanctions on Putin than any US president before him... despite claiming better relations as one thing he was going to work on with Russia... not to be their friends, but to further US interests... he really didn't end up doing either and ripped up all sorts of agreements in the belief he could renegotiate them and get better terms for the US. Instead the agreements died on the table.


    Lithium is also promoted by Elon Munsk and China, I don't know what "eco" agenda you see there. These are expected technological changes, like when oil or electricity were discovered.

    Which shows it is important. The Lithium in Ukraine is the only deposits the EU and west could claim and own directly... their companies could give Kiev peanuts and own it all... forever... or till they had extracted it all...

    The international system does not benefit from guys like Trump and Putin, that is the reality.

    You can't put Trump and Putin in the same sentence when talking about leadership... Trump is better than Hillary and better than Biden but that does not mean he is a good president. Just the best of the two you get to choose from.

    Bandera AD strong!

    More like Bandera ADD. Get them some ritalin.

    Drones donated by whole nato I presume. BTW the other day Russian MoD reported like 330 UACVs were downed. I wonder how Russians can stop massive drone waves without spending expensive AAD missiles'.

    Many of their missiles are not expensive... many are simple command guided like Pantsir and TOR and Kornet...

    Of course they also have jammers and anti drone drones and also apparently laser systems to defeat drones.

    Not to mention small arms and plenty of gun based AD systems.

    I see a few $

    Shame those drones are not carrying incendiary grenades...

    Look at the lawfare waged against him.

    It is a choice between human shit and elephant shit... neither appeals very much but you pick Human shit don't you... just based on the volume...

    Trump is no prize but Biden has shown he wants war with Russia, while Trump might even work with Russia if he thinks the US will benefit from the cooperation.

    Yes those are missile stages as Hole pointed out

    Was it really necessary to repeat all those images?

    I know Russia's ambassador would be kicked out, but honestly, what is the point of them? They are useless at this point.

    When there is nothing to talk about why keep the Russian ambassador in Israel where he is at risk....



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    Walther von Oldenburg
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    Post  Walther von Oldenburg Mon Apr 15, 2024 1:29 pm

    Syrski says Russia will capture Chasov Yar by 9th of May.

    Let's hope he's right...

    Also there are reports of significant reinforcements being deployed from Kupyansk to Chasov Yar.

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    Arkanghelsk
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    Post  Arkanghelsk Mon Apr 15, 2024 2:26 pm

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #55 - Page 29 Img_2376




    🇷🇺🇺🇦❗A sixth group of troops called “North” has appeared as part of the Russian Armed Forces, operating in the Belgorod direction.

    More recently, the units operating in this direction were called the group of troops covering the Russian state border, which has now received its own name.

    Now, judging by the reports of the Ministry of Defense, the area of responsibility of the units of the new group of troops is not just the defense of the border area of the Belgorod region, but the active fire defeat of the enemy in the neighboring Kharkov and Sumy regions.

    Who knows, maybe this is the beginning of something bigger.

    -----

    The new army group has appeared

    IMO they will begin classic combat operations soon, they are already conducting fire defeat of enemy formations

    offensive operations in this sector will begin with DRGs making insertion and cleansing out the area of terrorists and enemy formations

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    Post  ALAMO Mon Apr 15, 2024 2:44 pm

    I must admit that have not noticed that first, but ...

    Scott Ritter put an attention to this.

    Check carefully the compilation that Airbornewolf made, especially 3:34+

    What we can see there, are probably Patriot batteries intercepting the incoming missiles ... only to be targeted by them Shocked

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #55 - Page 29 Zrzut198

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #55 - Page 29 Zrzut200

    Missiles clearly target launch locations, and ... gaining speed before strike.
    That would suggest a dedicated, ballistic air defense penetration missile Shocked What a Face that aims itself at revealed batteries. Independently.

    In general, it seems like Iran has used three types of ballistic missiles.
    One of them unleashes mass of decoys at arrival, creating tens of additional targets.
    The second is antiAD.
    The third one - that strikes the airbases - is a heavy type, which can be seen by it's speed and explosions looks more powerful either.

    Take a look at 6:36+
    Two strong arrivals at EXACTLY the same point. It is not an accident - those missiles are so damn accurate  Shocked

    The whole thing is simply shocking and suggests that the Iranian missile program is one of the most successive and effective in the world. And outmatches anything that the whole west owns ...

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    Arkanghelsk
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    Post  Arkanghelsk Mon Apr 15, 2024 2:55 pm

    ALAMO wrote:I must admit that have not noticed that first, but ...

    Scott Ritter put an attention to this.

    Check carefully the compilation that Airbornewolf made, especially 3:34+

    What we can see there, are probably Patriot batteries intercepting the incoming missiles ... only to be targeted by them Shocked

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #55 - Page 29 Zrzut198

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #55 - Page 29 Zrzut200

    Missiles clearly target launch locations, and ... gaining speed before strike.
    That would suggest a dedicated, ballistic air defense penetration missile Shocked What a Face that aims itself at revealed batteries. Independently.

    In general, it seems like Iran has used three types of ballistic missiles.
    One of them unleashes mass of decoys at arrival, creating tens of additional targets.
    The second is antiAD.
    The third one - that strikes the airbases - is a heavy type, which can be seen by it's speed and explosions looks more powerful either.

    Take a look at 6:36+
    Two strong arrivals at EXACTLY the same point. It is not an accident - those missiles are so damn accurate  Shocked

    The whole thing is simply shocking and suggests that the Iranian missile program is one of the most successive and effective in the world. And outmatches anything that the whole west owns ...


    It also shows how mid range ballistic missiles are a game changer Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy

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    PapaDragon
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    Post  PapaDragon Mon Apr 15, 2024 3:26 pm

    ArgentinaGuard wrote:...
    The only one concerned about ending the war and supporting stupid Zelensky is Trump and his Republicans because they are intelligent and patriotic. They are the ones who have raised voices in the USA about military spending and looting of taxpayers....

    None of this concerns Russia

    American problems are American problems and are completely irrelevant for anyone outside USA, especially Russia

    Biden voters, Trump voters, it doesn't matter, they are all Americans



    ArgentinaGuard wrote:... (and also valuable Ukrainians for the Russian civilizational project) that they are going to be lost

    There's no such thing as "valuable Ukrainians"

    They all need to burn

    And there's no such thing as "Russian civilizational project"

    There is only Russian national interests, that is all there is, all that matters and all that should matter


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    Post  Eugenio Argentina Mon Apr 15, 2024 4:04 pm

    They are mixing the issues of Iran vs Israel
    JohninMK
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    Post  JohninMK Mon Apr 15, 2024 4:08 pm

    ALAMO wrote:
    In general, it seems like Iran has used three types of ballistic missiles.
    One of them unleashes mass of decoys at arrival, creating tens of additional targets.
    The second is antiAD.
    The third one - that strikes the airbases - is a heavy type, which can be seen by it's speed and explosions looks more powerful either.

    The whole thing is simply shocking and suggests that the Iranian missile program is one of the most successive and effective in the world. And outmatches anything that the whole west owns ...

    Perhaps this is the kind of weapon that the Iskander would have evolved into if the Intermediate Range Treaty hadn't tied Russia's hands.
    Walther von Oldenburg
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    Post  Walther von Oldenburg Mon Apr 15, 2024 4:13 pm

    @PapaDragon

    There is actually a fair number of pro Russian Ukrainians still. They are simply too scared to voice their opinion in banderite Ukraine.

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    Walther von Oldenburg
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    Post  Walther von Oldenburg Mon Apr 15, 2024 5:17 pm

    Krivoy Rog is in the dark. An emergency blackout was introduced. According to the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast governor, this is due to "bad weather".
    Laughing Laughing Laughing

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    Hole
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    Post  Hole Mon Apr 15, 2024 8:39 pm

    Perhaps this is the kind of weapon that the Iskander would have evolved into if the Intermediate Range Treaty hadn't tied Russia's hands.
    Lets hope the Americans do something stupid (again) and put some sort of Intermediate Range Surface-to-Surface weapon on European soil.  Very Happy

    3.000km range successor for Iskander.
    5.000km range successor for Zirkon.

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    Post  GunshipDemocracy Mon Apr 15, 2024 9:44 pm

    Micron started to deliver promises, so did Medvedev lol1 lol1 lol1


    The Russian Armed Forces hit French mercenaries in Slavyansk, the underground reported

    Lebedev: The Russian Armed Forces hit the location of French mercenaries in Slavyansk

    “According to reports from our comrades, it flew to the “location” where the Ukrainian artillerymen and, most likely, the French who brought the CAESAR self-propelled guns to help Bandera were located,” the agency’s interlocutor noted.

    -------------
    On Monday, co-chairman of the Coordination Council for the Integration of New Regions of the Public Chamber, Vladimir Rogov, told RIA Novosti that the Ukrainian Armed Forces handed over a new batch of French CAESAR howitzers intended for shelling the Zaporozhye region.

    -----------------

    Later, Lebedev clarified that the strike occurred near the location of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, which the enemy organized in a music school. There are wounded French mercenaries; they were most likely taken to Pavlograd in ambulances.

    https://ria.ru/20240415/naemniki-1940055559.html


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    Post  ucmvulcan Mon Apr 15, 2024 10:30 pm

    GunshipDemocracy wrote:Micron started to deliver promises, so did Medvedev  lol1 lol1 lol1


    The Russian Armed Forces hit French mercenaries in Slavyansk, the underground reported

    Lebedev: The Russian Armed Forces hit the location of French mercenaries in Slavyansk

    “According to reports from our comrades, it flew to the “location” where the Ukrainian artillerymen and, most likely, the French who brought the CAESAR self-propelled guns to help Bandera were located,” the agency’s interlocutor noted.

    -------------
    On Monday, co-chairman of the Coordination Council for the Integration of New Regions of the Public Chamber, Vladimir Rogov, told RIA Novosti that the Ukrainian Armed Forces handed over a new batch of French CAESAR howitzers intended for shelling the Zaporozhye region.

    -----------------

    Later, Lebedev clarified that the strike occurred near the location of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, which the enemy organized in a music school. There are wounded French mercenaries; they were most likely taken to Pavlograd in ambulances.

    https://ria.ru/20240415/naemniki-1940055559.html



    So sad when young men die of "natural causes" so far from home.  I wonder if they got caught out in the  uh "weather phenomena" that caused the massive power outages.

    Remember kids, smoking is bad for you and so is dancing in the rain in Ukraine

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    Post  JohninMK Mon Apr 15, 2024 10:42 pm

    GunshipDemocracy wrote:-----------------

    Later, Lebedev clarified that the strike occurred near the location of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, which the enemy organized in a music school. There are wounded French mercenaries; they were most likely taken to Pavlograd in ambulances.


    Thought to have been a pair of Iskanders. Certainly appeals for blood went out showing it was serious.

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    Post  ucmvulcan Tue Apr 16, 2024 1:17 am



    Hmmm, where are the Arrows and Haushofers saying the American proxy war is doomed?

    Fire breaks out at US ammunition factory https://www.rt.com/news/596016-scranton-artillery-factory-fire/

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    Post  ALAMO Tue Apr 16, 2024 5:02 am

    Worth to add, that it is the one that was supposed to be "modernized" and "invested with billions".

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    Post  mnztr Tue Apr 16, 2024 5:30 am

    Walther von Oldenburg wrote:Syrski says Russia will capture Chasov Yar by 9th of May.

    Let's hope he's right...

    Also there are reports of significant reinforcements being deployed from Kupyansk to Chasov Yar.

    Lets hope he is wrong and its done by friday.

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    Post  mnztr Tue Apr 16, 2024 5:36 am

    VARGR198 wrote:


    What is he saying? Is it : " i think when this proect is finished I wil be paid in rubles?🤣

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    Post  ALAMO Tue Apr 16, 2024 7:51 am

    mnztr wrote:
    What is he saying? Is it : " i think when this proect is finished I wil be paid in rubles?🤣

    Not as much, but he says that there were at least 5 hits, probably 7. He heard 5, but later he was too busy with other things to pay attention to more arrivals.

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    Hole
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    Post  Hole Tue Apr 16, 2024 9:08 am

    Fire breaks out at US ammunition factory
    The west will build five brand new ammo factories in Banderaland.
    Israeli AD will defend them. 
    lol1

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    Post  ALAMO Tue Apr 16, 2024 9:15 am

    Out of the range of pesky Russkie missiles Laughing Laughing Laughing Laughing Laughing

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    Walther von Oldenburg
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    Post  Walther von Oldenburg Tue Apr 16, 2024 9:45 am

    there is something brewing up within Ukrainian forces.
    The 3rd Assault Brigade (AZOV) refused to go to Chasov Yar - the 67th Mech Brigade (also a known as a "far right sector unit") refused orders and left Chasov Yar and will be dissolved - same with the 25th Air Assault Brigade after a mass surrender.

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