Russia Defence Forum

Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

Military Forum for Russian and Global Defence Issues


+55
Tolstoy
Serberus
littlerabbit
VARGR198
RTN
Hannibal Barca
Ispan
pavi
Arsenic
par far
bandit6
d_taddei2
Odin of Ossetia
Big_Gazza
Sujoy
Krepost
marcellogo
LMFS
Rodion_Romanovic
Arkanghelsk
mr_hd
billybatts91
Eugenio Argentina
Scorpius
Belisarius
Kiko
ArgentinaGuard
Broski
famschopman
lancelot
kvs
sepheronx
mnztr
Mir
Karl Haushofer
SeigSoloyvov
caveat emptor
owais.usmani
franco
PapaDragon
nomadski
flamming_python
PhSt
Isos
Firebird
lyle6
Arrow
GarryB
Backman
Regular
Hole
The-thing-next-door
higurashihougi
GunshipDemocracy
ALAMO
59 posters

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61

    billybatts91
    billybatts91


    Posts : 706
    Points : 708
    Join date : 2022-02-23

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61 - Page 7 Empty Re: Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61

    Post  billybatts91 Fri Sep 20, 2024 2:06 pm

    Bad look for the Russians killing Russell Bentley...WTF did they do that for?
    SeigSoloyvov
    SeigSoloyvov


    Posts : 3910
    Points : 3888
    Join date : 2016-04-08

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61 - Page 7 Empty Re: Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61

    Post  SeigSoloyvov Fri Sep 20, 2024 2:41 pm

    @Alamo

    First off what your calling a falling drone isn't a falling drone, that's about all I need to say in response to your comment

    don't lie because you want to try and score some cheap likes from the other cheerleaders, btw I remember you saying two years ago Ukraine is out of men because of your expert research.....

    How is that claim going for you?

    lets not go into the dozens off other lies you have constantly stated but hey

    Backman dislikes this post

    SeigSoloyvov
    SeigSoloyvov


    Posts : 3910
    Points : 3888
    Join date : 2016-04-08

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61 - Page 7 Empty Re: Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61

    Post  SeigSoloyvov Fri Sep 20, 2024 2:43 pm

    Belisarius wrote:
    Frankly all I see are cheerleaders try to use pics to suit their narrative.

    Said the guy who creates lies to suit his own narrative...

    Naw I am pretty factual, the problem is when you try to have logical conversations with fanboys and cheerleaders, they will receive anything you say as false because it goes against their adjenda.

    Example

    Me "The Russian Duma, Medev, others are unhappy Putin is holding the army back"

    You guys "you LIAR WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEH"

    Me "You can literally go find them saying it yourself"

    So nice try buttercup
    SeigSoloyvov
    SeigSoloyvov


    Posts : 3910
    Points : 3888
    Join date : 2016-04-08

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61 - Page 7 Empty Re: Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61

    Post  SeigSoloyvov Fri Sep 20, 2024 2:51 pm

    One thing I see people fail to realize is why Putin doesn't strike directly against NATO, is because well he can't.

    Putin knows if he starts a war with NATO not only will his forces get overrun, but eventually Nukes will fly.

    the russians have been unable to soundly defeat Ukraine with NATO help and NATO isn't exactly going in overdrive to help Ukraine. Granted there are reasons why, Putin handcuffing etc.

    If Putin attacks even if claiming "self defense" that will make NATO mobilize, production will sky rocket and Russian AD will be whipped out.

    Remember Ukraine alone is able to get past Russian AD, it finds holes, saturates etc.

    Now add in a mobilized NATO, the Russians will not be able hold on.

    Putins problem is he isn't doing what he needs to in Ukraine to bring Ukraine to its knees soundly and again, Russian leaders and what not share the same feeling.

    This is why Putin doesn't really attack NATO.

    The only way he could and not cause an article five is IF A NATO member attacks so brazenly that no one can deny they attacked first but we in NATO know how to strike in such a way, you cannot really prove it, granted this is small scale attacks not large ones that we wouldn't be able to cover.

    This is Putins catch 22 in a nutshell.

    flamming_python and Backman dislike this post

    lyle6
    lyle6


    Posts : 2589
    Points : 2583
    Join date : 2020-09-13
    Location : Philippines

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61 - Page 7 Empty Re: Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61

    Post  lyle6 Fri Sep 20, 2024 3:01 pm

    franco wrote:Killers of American volunteer Russell Bentley found. They turned out to be Russian Armed Forces servicemen

    FULL ARTICLE: https://topcor-ru.translate.goog/51728-najdeny-ubijcy-amerikanskogo-dobrovolca-rassela-bentli-imi-okazalis-voennosluzhaschie-vs-rf.html?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en
    Send them to the hottest parts of the front with the convicts. Don't rotate them out until they are either dead or the war is won.

    Big_Gazza, Rodion_Romanovic and jon_deluxe like this post

    Isos
    Isos


    Posts : 11602
    Points : 11570
    Join date : 2015-11-06

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61 - Page 7 Empty Re: Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61

    Post  Isos Fri Sep 20, 2024 3:02 pm

    This also why Nato can't attack genius. No one would care about russian air defence at that point and holes in the cheese.

    Russian startegy isn't to win land right now but kill as many as possible. Only a dumbass would think they couldn't mount attacks and wipe out those 2 or 3 Patriots and Iris-T.

    They let just enough to Ukraine to think they can win so that they keep going in. Most of ukrainian infrastructure was clean 6 months ago. It's obvious they spare most of Ukrainian targets...

    GarryB and Big_Gazza like this post

    Isos
    Isos


    Posts : 11602
    Points : 11570
    Join date : 2015-11-06

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61 - Page 7 Empty Re: Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61

    Post  Isos Fri Sep 20, 2024 3:04 pm

    lyle6 wrote:
    franco wrote:Killers of American volunteer Russell Bentley found. They turned out to be Russian Armed Forces servicemen

    FULL ARTICLE: https://topcor-ru.translate.goog/51728-najdeny-ubijcy-amerikanskogo-dobrovolca-rassela-bentli-imi-okazalis-voennosluzhaschie-vs-rf.html?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en
    Send them to the hottest parts of the front with the convicts. Don't rotate them out until they are either dead or the war is won.

    An american going from bases to bases all accross Donbass. Not something a spy would do... Thry shouldn't allow such things anyway.

    GarryB likes this post

    SeigSoloyvov
    SeigSoloyvov


    Posts : 3910
    Points : 3888
    Join date : 2016-04-08

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61 - Page 7 Empty Re: Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61

    Post  SeigSoloyvov Fri Sep 20, 2024 4:11 pm

    Isos wrote:This also why Nato can't attack genius. No one would care about russian air defence at that point and holes in the cheese.

    Russian startegy isn't to win land right now but kill as many as possible. Only a dumbass would think they couldn't mount attacks and wipe out those 2 or 3 Patriots and Iris-T.

    They let just enough to Ukraine to think they can win so that they keep going in. Most of ukrainian infrastructure was clean 6 months ago. It's obvious they spare most of Ukrainian targets...

    I am not talking about why NATO can't attack buddy, don't put words in my mouth.

    First off you don't know what your talking about Ukraine has more than three patriot launchers, your confusing a launcher with the entire system.

    There is more then one battery per system, this is actually why when russia says they hit a patriot they especially say "launcher".

    Also you're trying to suggest the Russians are allowing Ukraine to have AD which makes their pilots jobs much harder and gets some killed.

    Thats a completely fucking retarded thing to say, if Russia could they would utterly wipe out all of the AD because that would make their job much easier.

    Fact is they have done wave attacks with missiles to try and find the launchers to then target and destroy them

    Once you said this bit of "wisdom" you lost me buddy, please share with me your next bit of genius so I can laugh at that.

    As for the grinding that is partly true, but again you lying their goal is to generally grind down but they also know they need to advance, Russia isn't fighting this war has a only attrition war, they are trying to move forward to seize key ground because they cannot wait 10-15 years to do it.

    get off them internet article General Amrchair.

    Also Ukie infrastructure is alive and well, what in the flying of all fucks are you saying, REALITY SAYS HELLO.

    JohninMK
    JohninMK


    Posts : 15649
    Points : 15790
    Join date : 2015-06-16
    Location : England

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61 - Page 7 Empty Re: Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61

    Post  JohninMK Fri Sep 20, 2024 5:44 pm

    So its going to be no electricity and no food this winter by the look of it.

    Jacob🇷🇺Charite☦ Иагов
    @jaccocharite

    Ukraine's wheat reserves are unlikely to last a month — Info24

    "The country's processing plants are facing a critical shortage of food wheat. Earlier, the director of the Kyiv Bread company, Yuriy Duchenko, warned Ukrainian residents about the threat of a bread shortage," the agency reports.

    Bread factories are on the verge of shutting down due to rising flour prices and energy supply problems.

    GarryB, d_taddei2, Big_Gazza, PapaDragon, Hole, Mir and Broski like this post

    Isos
    Isos


    Posts : 11602
    Points : 11570
    Join date : 2015-11-06

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61 - Page 7 Empty Re: Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61

    Post  Isos Fri Sep 20, 2024 6:26 pm

    Also you're trying to suggest the Russians are allowing Ukraine to have AD which makes their pilots jobs much harder and gets some killed.

    Thats a completely fucking retarded thing to say, if Russia could they would utterly wipe out all of the AD because that would make their job much easier.

    When the bristish cracked the enigma machine, they did nothing to prevent Nazi to destroy ships because it would give away the hint to the nazi.

    Same for Russia. It's easier to deal with Ukraine if it keeps some soviet s-300 and get few Patriot than destroying all and obliging the westerners to send even more AD that they are less used to.

    Same for fighter jets. As long as Ukraine will have mig-29/su-27 it won't get tens of f-16 that would be better plateforms for the nato missiles they use. It's in Russia's interest to not destroy all of them, something they could easily do. Letting ukrainians fly their Su-27 firing blindly their ARM missiles that cost 1 million piece is a good way to keep them busy doing nothing. A f-16 with its integrated sensors and designed to use tge ARM woukd do a better job.

    Russians destroyed plenty of AD, weapons and munition stocks. They know how to find them and how to destroy them. Once there is to much of something they will bomb it to reduce the quantity or if it's really a danger. A patriot or S-300 sitting 700km away isn't a dangerous system, if it intercepts geran-2 it's also a useful dumb system.

    In military strategy sometimes doing nothing is better than doing something because doing something will make the things go faster which isn't always good.
    lyle6
    lyle6


    Posts : 2589
    Points : 2583
    Join date : 2020-09-13
    Location : Philippines

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61 - Page 7 Empty Re: Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61

    Post  lyle6 Fri Sep 20, 2024 6:58 pm

    JohninMK wrote:So its going to be no electricity and no food this winter by the look of it.

    Jacob🇷🇺Charite☦ Иагов
    @jaccocharite

    Ukraine's wheat reserves are unlikely to last a month — Info24

    "The country's processing plants are facing a critical shortage of food wheat. Earlier, the director of the Kyiv Bread company, Yuriy Duchenko, warned Ukrainian residents about the threat of a bread shortage," the agency reports.

    Bread factories are on the verge of shutting down due to rising flour prices and energy supply problems.
    You know Russians still love Ukrainians because they haven't touched the food supply. Mind you this priviledge is only reserved for their kin, the Russians have zero such compunctions against those that are not of their blood. Baltoids, Polacks, and Germoids and other europoids beware.

    GarryB and Big_Gazza like this post

    avatar
    Belisarius


    Posts : 861
    Points : 861
    Join date : 2022-01-04

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61 - Page 7 Empty Re: Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61

    Post  Belisarius Fri Sep 20, 2024 7:15 pm

    because it goes against their adjenda.

    Or because you provided 0 evidence that only one missile was used in the attack or the presence of any valuable missiles stored in that depot.

    GarryB, Big_Gazza, Hole and ucmvulcan like this post

    SeigSoloyvov
    SeigSoloyvov


    Posts : 3910
    Points : 3888
    Join date : 2016-04-08

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61 - Page 7 Empty Re: Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61

    Post  SeigSoloyvov Fri Sep 20, 2024 11:16 pm

    Belisarius wrote:
    because it goes against their adjenda.

    Or because you provided 0 evidence that only one missile was used in the attack or the presence of any valuable missiles stored in that depot.

    The size of the explosion and the continued burn shows it wasn't just shells.

    You don't get that level of boom of arty shells buddy, you clearly don't know the science involved very well

    The fire kept burning to for a long time, there was missile fuel involved that's the only way you get what you got there.

    As for the missile, drones would not have been able to penetrate that reinforced bunker.

    The only thing that could have is a missile.

    It's common sense and basic logic.

    True maybe more then one was involved but I have only heard mention one
    higurashihougi
    higurashihougi


    Posts : 3413
    Points : 3500
    Join date : 2014-08-13
    Location : A small and cutie S-shaped land.

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61 - Page 7 Empty Re: Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61

    Post  higurashihougi Sat Sep 21, 2024 12:37 am

    https://www.facebook.com/K01Archive/videos/1094016025486261

    Video clip: Zelensky's outflanking attack in Kursk was destroyed by Russians.

    So that is how Zelensky's "trap" for Russia worked. Now we have to wait for the result of his so-called marvellous "plan".

    Reader's comment: Zelensky is a rare breed of genius, before making an attack he always tell all his plans to the public.


    https://www.facebook.com/K01Archive/posts/pfbid02fXybw5BhKJZD5pmTrjjxCrMzucJgGbGwJbwYpcuvaeQ6pohK2iB7RF2z1oYn7uFcl

    Picture: New recruits of 127th Terrirtory Defense Brigade of Ukraine. This brigade was infamous in 2022 with the tiktok video of hugging the border poles.

    At the moment, the outflanking movement of Ukrainians in Kursk is a failure.

    The problem here is before making the attack, Zelensky went on TV show to announced the location of the attack. And then Ukrainians using Leopard ran into the well-prepared fortifications of Russia. Not to mention that for a whole month Ukraine only focus on destroying Russian bridges there without making any timely attack.

    Ukrainian was successful at the beginning of the Kursk attack, but now this second outflanking attack is a complete failure.

    Reader's comment: why the new recruits are all old men ? pwnd pwnd pwnd pwnd

    GarryB, flamming_python, Big_Gazza, zardof and Mir like this post

    ucmvulcan
    ucmvulcan


    Posts : 1367
    Points : 1365
    Join date : 2022-02-26

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61 - Page 7 Empty Re: Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61

    Post  ucmvulcan Sat Sep 21, 2024 1:33 am

    higurashihougi wrote:https://www.facebook.com/K01Archive/videos/1094016025486261

    Video clip: Zelensky's outflanking attack in Kursk was destroyed by Russians.

    So that is how Zelensky's "trap" for Russia worked. Now we have to wait for the result of his so-called marvellous "plan".

    Reader's comment: Zelensky is a rare breed of genius, before making an attack he always tell all his plans to the public.


    https://www.facebook.com/K01Archive/posts/pfbid02fXybw5BhKJZD5pmTrjjxCrMzucJgGbGwJbwYpcuvaeQ6pohK2iB7RF2z1oYn7uFcl

    Picture: New recruits of 127th Terrirtory Defense Brigade of Ukraine. This brigade was infamous in 2022 with the tiktok video of hugging the border poles.

    At the moment, the outflanking movement of Ukrainians in Kursk is a failure.

    The problem here is before making the attack, Zelensky went on TV show to announced the location of the attack. And then Ukrainians using Leopard ran into the well-prepared fortifications of Russia. Not to mention that for a whole month Ukraine only focus on destroying Russian bridges there without making any timely attack.

    Ukrainian was successful at the beginning of the Kursk attack, but now this second outflanking attack is a complete failure.

    Reader's comment: why the new recruits are all old men ? pwnd pwnd pwnd pwnd

    Russia is winning on the battle field? Don't tell Sieg Heil that, all of Russia's nuclear triad is gone, Russia has no more Iskanders, Putin is actively discussing the surrender of large parts of the Russian federation and Ukraine will be in Moscow at the end of the week if the corrupt generals don't launch a coup first or if the cancer and all the other maladies Putin has don't get to him first. . . .

    I don't have any evidence to support Sieg Heil's claims, but nor does he and that has never stopped him before and I do anticipate a shit ribbon response about how I am a "cheerleader" and a copium user etc. . . .

    In all seriousness, yeah while sometimes NATO and Ukraine do things that make me think they are serious (hitting the airfield a few weeks back, hitting the ammo dump, etc), in general I think they are more interested in propaganda stunts that are high on pictures but low on actual accomplishment or substance. I mean some old missiles (and the Soviet Union produced tens of thousands so its likely that a couple drones did hit some older and more unstable Soviet rockets that cooked off and created secondary explosions but no big deal as nothing currently under production was damaged. Ukraine seems to have one halfway decent commander who wanted to dig in, Syrsky I think was his name, and bait the Russians to slog through well prepared defense lines at terrible costs of life, but Zelensky could not do that and nor could the MIC war pimps. No, he had to show that he and his NATO arms were doing a game changer so he terrorized a half dozen farms and a couple hundred cows and ended up losing more than 10,000 troops lots of his NATO supplied weapons and he has absolutely NOTHING but about a few dozen Russian civilian dead (eternal rest grant unto them oh Lord. . . .) and a couple mangy cows and 1 or 3 farms left. So yeah, Putin may not be fighting the big arrow to the Dnieper and Odessa and dig in while keeping Kiev under a state of siege and flattening all Ukrainian industry, infrastructure, government, transportation, and military buildings and structures, but all in all he is waging the war of the sort he wants with its very limited scope while the Ukrainians are losing so much and gaining next to nothing.

    GarryB, Big_Gazza, zardof, Mir and Belisarius like this post

    SeigSoloyvov
    SeigSoloyvov


    Posts : 3910
    Points : 3888
    Join date : 2016-04-08

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61 - Page 7 Empty Re: Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61

    Post  SeigSoloyvov Sat Sep 21, 2024 4:55 am

    Never denied they "winning" I have said they are going to slow and holding back which officials in Russia agree.

    You are apparently American, you should know how to read.

    Or ar you copying Garry's tactics now and putting words in people's mouths to make it appear they said something they never did.

    Pathetic cope attempt buddy, Garry at least does it better.

    Feel free to get one quote from me saying the Russians are losing that isn't taken out of context, I'll wait


    Last edited by SeigSoloyvov on Sat Sep 21, 2024 4:57 am; edited 1 time in total

    Backman dislikes this post

    Kiko
    Kiko


    Posts : 3893
    Points : 3969
    Join date : 2020-11-11
    Age : 75
    Location : Brasilia

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61 - Page 7 Empty Re: Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61

    Post  Kiko Sat Sep 21, 2024 4:57 am

    Russia will make everyone pay their bills, by Victoria Nikiforova for RiaNovosti. 09.21.2024.

    Westerners, demanding blows against Russia, seem to be living in captivity of old cliches from poorly translated novels by Leo Tolstoy. Platon Karatayev, forgiveness, selflessness, non-resistance to evil by violence - all that. No matter what is done to the Russians, they will not take revenge and after their victory they will forgive everyone everything, such is their mysterious soul.

    I would like to tell all these dreamers that Russians have changed a lot in the last decades, and the revolution in the consciousness of our people was completed by the SVO. We have become vindictive and have forgotten how to forgive debts.

    Sometimes our retaliation arrives so quickly that no one has time to come to their senses. The day before yesterday, for example, three of our legendary one-and-a-half-ton high-explosive gliding aerial bombs (FAB) found and hit a building where Ukrainian special forces were stationed. Finding the remains is difficult, since, according to eyewitnesses, "only shavings and fine concrete dust remained of the building."

    Sometimes revenge does not come immediately - first captivity, thorough interrogations, then a trial and a prison term. Hundreds of VSSU officers guilty of murdering our prisoners and civilians have already been sentenced and convicted in the Donetsk and Lugansk republics. The legislation there has not yet been harmonized with the Russian Criminal Code, so the terms are considerable - 27, 28, 29 years. By the way, there, as in fraternal Belarus , the death penalty has not yet been abolished. Similar trials are also taking place in Russia.

    The work of a Russian investigator does not look nearly as spectacular as the action of high-explosive air bombs. Examination of remains, study of the crime scene, interviews with witnesses, lots of paperwork and reports... The public feels like they have created some kind of bureaucracy: why do this if you can just "bang" and "smash"?

    In fact, Ukrainian criminals should understand: no matter what they imagine about an independent Ukraine , Russian justice will deal with them. Without unnecessary effects, boringly and slowly this machine will get to everyone and restore justice.

    If necessary, this sword of Damocles will hang over them for decades. You can have plastic surgery, buy new passports, run from country to country, they will still get to everyone.

    After the Great Patriotic War, the same Banderites and other Nazi henchmen were caught for many years. Crimes such as the mass murder in Odessa , the shooting of people in Donetsk , the attacks on Sevastopol and Belgorod, the attack on the Kursk region , have no statute of limitations.

    The Western masters of Kiev should understand this well. In 1945, the Russian people showed unimaginable nobility towards the Europeans who attacked us. It was not appreciated. Well, that means that now we will pursue Western criminals as relentlessly and mercilessly as Israel pursued its enemies . Here is a good example of a country that does not know how to forgive.

    And all debts will have to be paid too - Russia has accumulated many bills to pay. No one has forgotten about our frozen three hundred billion dollars, there will be trials, there will be proceedings, let the penalties for late payment grow.

    There is currently a special commission working in the Crimean parliament to calculate the damage caused to the peninsula by Ukraine. The sum of claims for water and electricity cuts, terrorism, and blockade attempts has already exceeded 14 trillion rubles, but the work is not yet finished. Ukraine has no money? That means the bills for payment will be presented to their Western masters.

    A lot of work is being done to bring charges against Germany for the genocide of the Soviet people. Indeed, there is not a single family in our country where ancestors did not suffer at the hands of Nazi criminals. Compensation will also be demanded for all of this. And we should not forget about the vassals of the Third Reich, who also carried out massacres in our country during the Great Patriotic War. The time has come for European countries to pay and repent.

    "Nobody is forgotten, nothing is forgotten" - this Soviet phrase has acquired tragic relevance today: this is precisely why the Russian investigator carries out his unnoticeable work, assembles commissions, requests and draws up documents. All this boring bureaucracy has no less striking power than FABs.

    A lawyer by education , Dmitry Medvedev, wrote about this very well : "The main thing here is inevitability. It is not so important when exactly the reckoning will come. What is important is its inevitability. Well, so that every creature, regardless of its nation, faith, citizenship and position, who committed a crime against our country and our people, or any crazy scum, simply screaming "Kill civilians in Kursk!" - know: they will come for them. So that they toss and turn at night, look around on the street, change their data and even citizenship, carry weapons with them, rush around safe houses. So that they turn into a sick rat..."

    Well, having achieved the triumph of justice, it will be possible to turn on Platon Karataev's regime again. Forgiveness, mercy, selflessness - and so on down the list. But only after our FABs have worked on the enemy, the investigators have completed their routine work, the judge in his robe will stand up and pronounce his sentence. Only in that order.

    https://ria.ru/20240921/rossiya-1973652406.html

    GarryB, flamming_python, Big_Gazza, PapaDragon, JohninMK, zardof, Hole and like this post

    flamming_python
    flamming_python


    Posts : 9547
    Points : 9605
    Join date : 2012-01-30

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61 - Page 7 Empty Re: Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61

    Post  flamming_python Sat Sep 21, 2024 5:42 am

    SeigSoloyvov wrote:One thing I see people fail to realize is why Putin doesn't strike directly against NATO, is because well he can't.

    Putin knows if he starts a war with NATO not only will his forces get overrun, but eventually Nukes will fly.

    the russians have been unable to soundly defeat Ukraine with NATO help and NATO isn't exactly going in overdrive to help Ukraine. Granted there are reasons why, Putin handcuffing etc.

    If Putin attacks even if claiming "self defense" that will make NATO mobilize, production will sky rocket and Russian AD will be whipped out.

    Remember Ukraine alone is able to get past Russian AD, it finds holes, saturates etc.

    Now add in a mobilized NATO, the Russians will not be able hold on.

    Putins problem is he isn't doing what he needs to in Ukraine to bring Ukraine to its knees soundly and again, Russian leaders and what not share the same feeling.

    This is why Putin doesn't really attack NATO.

    The only way he could and not cause an article five is IF A NATO member attacks so brazenly that no one can deny they attacked first but we in NATO know how to strike in such a way, you cannot really prove it, granted this is small scale attacks not large ones that we wouldn't be able to cover.

    This is Putins catch 22 in a nutshell.

    What do you mean he can't?

    You're arguing that you should never defend yourself if it means going to war against a stronger opponent?
    No, that's not how it works. What it comes down to is that Putin will be forced to take Russia into war, regardless of what he does or doesn't want, because the consequence of any indecision would itself be an escalation of strikes against Russia and NATO going to war with it anyway.

    Frankly NATO is a colossus on clay legs. The reigning culture of its societies are hedonism and individualism, it relies on Nazified Eastern European nations to provide the cannon fodder - but after the Ukraine's example who's going to volunteer?

    NATO nations are heavily de-industrialized too. Not only just the industries, but also all the specialist workers that go with that. Can it be rectified? Of course, but it will take a decade of investment and even then at China-levels of work-ethic. In the West at the moment no-one even wants to work a 9 to 5 anymore. Blue-collar jobs continue their nosedive while companies with office workers are having a hard time just herding their workers back into the office away from remote work

    NATO is divided too, by that I mean a lot of countries there really don't want to attack Russia and provoke WW3. And both the people and the political classes in those countries know the difference between Russia outright invading NATO and retaliating in kind against NATO attacks - the later will not convince them to join the war in the defense of Britain or whoever was stupid enough to provoke a crisis.

    So those are the political/economic problems.

    Then we get onto the immediate military ones. On what basis would Russian forces get overrun, if NATO has already sent half its equipment to the Ukraine? Yes it has the other half, and potentially another 100,000 front-line troops that can be gathered within a few months who are well-trained and well equipped, but that won't turn the war; Russia has an advantage in manpower already, at most NATO reinforcements can stop Russia's advances but it would take them a while to get there even then. And then it will come down to mobilization waves for both sides. So the whole war will be prolonged. There can be no rapid breakthrough of the sort that NATO staff fantasize about

    Same goes for Russian air-defenses. If NATO starts launching all its missiles at once, then of course Russian air-defenses will be saturated, but Russia at the same time will be firing back at all NATO launch platforms, and at all NATO targets. The only NATO nation with a respectable stockpile of missiles and long-range drones is the US itself. How does their stockpile compare to Russia's? I don't know. But I do know that NATO has less air-defense means than Russia has, except for their surface fleets. Which may help to preserve their ships as launch platforms, but not targets in Europe or the continental US themselves.

    And then it comes down to the industry. Well, NATO factories are already increasing production of ammo and missiles and whatever else, and at a reasonable pace, but that really won't continue if the missiles start flying - as said factories will be amongst the highest-priority targets. Same of course goes for Russian facilities.
    And then it will be up to South Korea and Pakistan and Japan to produce weapons for NATO, and China and North Korea and Iran to produce weapons for Russia. I think the Russian-side has the advantage here too.


    Last edited by flamming_python on Sat Sep 21, 2024 5:45 am; edited 1 time in total

    GarryB, Big_Gazza, JohninMK, zardof and Broski like this post

    avatar
    mr_hd


    Posts : 136
    Points : 138
    Join date : 2020-12-13

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61 - Page 7 Empty Re: Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61

    Post  mr_hd Sat Sep 21, 2024 5:42 am

    Another ammunition depo was blown by Ukrainisn drones... For those who might wonder why they are successful- they sent 100 drones, so noth much Russia could do against it....it is that simple.
    flamming_python
    flamming_python


    Posts : 9547
    Points : 9605
    Join date : 2012-01-30

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61 - Page 7 Empty Re: Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61

    Post  flamming_python Sat Sep 21, 2024 5:51 am

    lyle6 wrote:Send them to the hottest parts of the front with the convicts. Don't rotate them out until they are either dead or the war is won.

    They murdered one of their ex-comrades in arms, after torturing him. I don't think even a penal squad has a place for them. Just send them to the slammer for 20 years each and be done with it.

    Isos wrote:An american going from bases to bases all accross Donbass. Not something a spy would do... Thry shouldn't allow such things anyway.

    Not up to them to decide who is a spy or not. If that's what they suspected they should have alerted the DNR's security services and let them investigate.

    GarryB, Big_Gazza, PapaDragon and zardof like this post

    avatar
    Arrow


    Posts : 3490
    Points : 3480
    Join date : 2012-02-12

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61 - Page 7 Empty Re: Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61

    Post  Arrow Sat Sep 21, 2024 6:20 am

    But I do know that NATO has less air-defense means than Russia has, except for their surface fleets. Which may help to preserve their ships as launch platforms, but not targets in Europe or the continental US themselves.

    There was a discussion here recently. The US has incomparably fewer AD assets than Russia. It depends on how you count the maximum of about 1000 launchers of all Patriots, perhaps only 500 or even less. NATO defense in Europe is even smaller. So here is a gap between Russia and ALL NATO.

    GarryB, Big_Gazza and zardof like this post

    JohninMK
    JohninMK


    Posts : 15649
    Points : 15790
    Join date : 2015-06-16
    Location : England

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61 - Page 7 Empty Re: Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61

    Post  JohninMK Sat Sep 21, 2024 6:37 am

    Background uncomfortable fact, Lithuania imports up to about 70% of its electricity. Must be some big EU 'consultancy fees' around Laughing 

    Lord Bebo
    @MyLordBebo

    🇱🇹🇺🇦🇪🇺‼🚨 Von Der Leyen: “As we speak, there is a full thermal power plant that is being dismantled in Lithuania and shipped piece by piece to Ukraine, with our support, and then rebuilt in Ukraine.”

    -> The problem is not the shortage of power plants, the problem is that missiles fly into them often.

    So spending months to move and rebuild a power plant in Ukraine … just for a missile to hit it a day later, is beyond stupid.

    GarryB, flamming_python, Big_Gazza, PapaDragon, zardof, nomadski, Hole and like this post

    avatar
    Arrow


    Posts : 3490
    Points : 3480
    Join date : 2012-02-12

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61 - Page 7 Empty Re: Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61

    Post  Arrow Sat Sep 21, 2024 6:48 am

    https://lostarmour.info/news/ptur-bradlya-ugledar-freeukrainianrepublik-10605

    These M2A2 Bradleys are incredibly tough. Russian designs look much weaker.
    lyle6
    lyle6


    Posts : 2589
    Points : 2583
    Join date : 2020-09-13
    Location : Philippines

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61 - Page 7 Empty Re: Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61

    Post  lyle6 Sat Sep 21, 2024 7:03 am

    Lucky hit to the front along the passenger tunnel. Happens when you're too good of a shot and you forgot the very center of IFV's with side mount seating has nothing but air. Razz

    GarryB and lancelot like this post

    JohninMK
    JohninMK


    Posts : 15649
    Points : 15790
    Join date : 2015-06-16
    Location : England

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61 - Page 7 Empty Re: Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61

    Post  JohninMK Sat Sep 21, 2024 7:11 am

    Another crumb from the food shortage. Another reason to leave the country.

    A critical wheat shortage has arisen in Ukraine.

    According to Rodion Rybchinsky, director of the "Millers of Ukraine" union, many enterprises have less than a month's worth of grain left. Factories are forced to "chase" even small batches of wheat.

    "Enterprises that process hundreds of tons per day are chasing a volume of 20-30 tons," he complains.

    @ukr_leaks_eng

    GarryB, Big_Gazza, PapaDragon and Mir like this post


    Sponsored content


    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61 - Page 7 Empty Re: Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61

    Post  Sponsored content


      Current date/time is Thu Nov 21, 2024 7:29 pm