Flyingdutchman wrote:
i don't think FLydutch was trolling , he had a valid question..
Let me explain you flyD.
Russia export about 150 Billions cubic meter Gas to Europe every year.
Did you saw the deal $ 400 billions deal Russia Signed with China? That was for only ~40billions cubic meter.. about
1/3 of Europe.. but the thing is , that it was only an introductory contract. China consume right now 170 bcm Gas.
And they buy it from abroad.. So all Russia needs to do ,to end their dependence of Europe is sell all their Gas to China..building pipelines to there. THe previous deal with china was for the eastern side of China..about 40 bcm gas.
There is now in discussion ANOTHER 30BCM for the western side of China.. now we have 40+30 =70Bcm. Not bad.
But there is more.. the needs of China for gas will only increase since they want to get rid of Coil that contaminates their environment. their own numbers estimate they will need about 3x times more Gas in the next decade.. So Russia will be there.. 70 x 3 =210bcm at year that Russia could supply..
This doesnt ends here.. Russia signed a not less than impressive contract with China for $270 billions of Oil for 15 years ,already signed in early 2013. and later in that same year they signed another $100 billions more. so keep
adding. Then you have India saying they want a pipeline too.India all numbers estimate will become the third world largest economy in just 10 years. They are greatly undeveloped nation..with a lot of money. it means huge opportunities to make business there.. building Nuclear reactors and selling weapons Russia have big opportunities there.. and they also needs Gas and Oil..which now they buy from saudi Arabia but will prefer to buy from Russia if there was a pipeline.. something they are discussing now.. crossing China or any alternative route.
But that doesnt ends there. South Korea and Japan wants Gas from Russia too. Australia sells liquid Gas for $700 every 1000 cubic meter of Gas. Russia sells as low as $385 natural Gas. So the opportunity for Russia to expand in EuroAsia are Huge.. and means Russia could easily replace Europe for Asia in less than a decade and end selling more Gas and Oil than the one they selling now.
THis is not including the Huge opportunities Russia have to make money ,bypassing Iran sanctions from US ,and selling weapons and nuclear reactors to them.. IRAN is also very very rich.. their money is not in currency but in energy.. IRAN simply pay Russia in Oil which they have a lot ,and later Russia sell it back to India. Russia have oil too.. but the problem is transportation and delivery.. so this is why IRAN is a gold mine for Russia ,because Russia can easily replace Saudi Arabia business and become the main distributor of iranian Oil bypassing US sanctions on IRAN.
So to effectively isolate Russia energy business , Obama can't do it. .Because they do not control EuroAsia. They could pressure South Korea and japan but not going to happen. Neither i think US could effectively ban Russian gas from Europe.. because the Europeans other alternative is to pay 50% more for Liquid Natural Gas from US ,but also spend billions in building infrastructure to use the Liquid Gas.. because their countries are infrastructure is for natural gas,which they are not going to do. just because Obama says it.. he will be killed first ,assassinated before he can force Europe to commit suicide to their economies and banning themselves from buying Russian Gas.
This is the reason of the Middle east Syria war. The US state department was planning to build a pipeline from Qatar to Europe to isolate Russia.. but Qatar do not have the capabilities to supply as much gas as Europe needs and Russia can. The other alternative was Abkhazis Gas.. but is so little what they can produce and so expensive the pipeline that they have been unable to get investors for the plan. So Russian Gas will still be needed in Europe and now will be expanding into Asia. all said you cannot isolate Russia. Is too BIG their energy market and rare materials and cannot be replaced by any US sanctions. In the next decade Russia have Huge opportunities to make Business not only in EuroAsia but also Latin America. And China is taking by storm all Africa business.. So neither the west can isolate China. The combination of Russia+ China + India and IRAN will be unstoppable. A Block that the west cannot break.. Russia having now Egypt ,Syria and IRAQ buying lots of their weapons is just a bonus.
The major losers will be US,Canada and australia.. because Rusia expansion in to Asia with is energy business means less sales for them of energy. Because North America is not connected by land to Asia or Europe (and the altantic ocean and pacific is very deep.. no pipelines possible),.Russia is connected. They are in a huge disadvantage to Russia energy market. And to make things worse Latin America have energy.. so US and Canada but also Australia in the long future will be doomed with a lot of energy and no one to sell it ,all because of Russia will take all their energy markets.
There is also a prediction of water becoming the next Gold..and that there will be wars for water too ,with the climate changes and increase of the needs of energy ,that requires also water to produce it. Is also cool to know Russia have 80% of the world reserves of fresh water in the world. Russia is probably the only nation in the world that have everything any nation needs for technology and people needs to survive too even the most difficult sanctions or climate changes. US have no Uranium or titanium , for example and buy it from Russia.
In short Russia is a continent on its own.a Super energy power.and they have every thing from A to Z to survive and to develop its nation,even if all countries of the world stop trading with her ever. From the largest production of Wheat ,Water ,Gas and Oil and TImber.. and major exporters of Gold,Diamonds ,Steel and iron and uranium and vodka. So they will be fine..
here is an interesting report of what many experts believe will happen in the future.. when fresh water will become an issue ,in Africa ,middle east but also Europe..since the increase in energy demands more fresh water.Russia will be there to the rescue too.
Water pipeline from Russia to China? It's real!
Listen the very interesting small audio clip.
http://voiceofrussia.com/2010/08/02/14233229/