The Situation in the Ukraine. #23

Khepesh wrote:Zakharchenko has said that Kiev now has enough forces massed in Donbass to launch an assault. He says that the numbers of troops are such that it is more than needed for defence, and is for offence. He says, and I paraphrase, that if they attack it will not stop, [there will be no more Minsk crap he means], and that they will be stopped by VSN and then a counter offensive to liberate all of Donbass occupied by ukrops will begin. http://dnr-news.com/dnr/29817-zaharchenko-kiev-skopil-v-donbasse-dostatochnye-dlya-nastupleniya-sily.html

Khepesh wrote:Well, it is all speculation, except that Ukraine is deploying a new mountain brigade to Galicia. But the situation does have to be resolved at some point in the future. The impasse is that Donbass will not be merged and Kiev cannot take Donbass by force, so what is to be done. Even if everybody sits on ass and chews snot for a couple of decades, which will not happen, a solution still has to be found, just as for all the frozen conflicts. America wants unending conflict or at least fear of conflict to maintain jobs, $ creation and control of populations, and it is clear that their rhetoric, and that of their poodles, is specifically designed to create a new cold war. However, nobody actually wants WWIII as it will be death for all, so to avoid a hot war, a new and stable border between east and west needs to be created, a new iron curtain. The borders are clear from Estonia and around western border of Belarus to Gomel. A border can be said to exist along the eastern edge of Romania, with Moldova being a grey area at this time, but no matter what happens in that area, in the near future there will be an east/west border either at Romania or Moldova. This leaves a huge stinking hole called Ukraine in the center. If Russia invades to take all of Ukraine or at least the old Novorossiya, then possibility of hot war. If substantial NATO forces appear in Ukraine at request of Kiev, then this will be a direct and serious threat to Russia and again possibility of hot war. A solution could be to deconstruct Ukraine and leave a rump state around Kiev, then let the west march into Galicia and Russia into Novorossiya, by agreement with both sides. This solves the problem of Ukraine without a hot war, but the price will be new cold war. America will want this, Russia will not, and I suspect neither will many countries in Europe. If this occurs, then it will need to be decided between Moscow and Washington, either formally or by default, such as failed offensive by Kiev, and action needed to prevent uncontrolled chaos in Europe, if that does not occur anyway due to migration crisis. I think in the end result there will be realpolitik and Moscow and Washington will agree a solution to Ukraine that will bring stability, and to be cynical, for either side not to loose face, this is perhaps best achieved by some controlled chaos being allowed to occur in Ukraine that can be mostly blaimed on Kiev, like a failed offensive, and requiring outside force. It doesn't solve the Russia v America problem, but it brings stability, and even the $ worshippers need stability as far as major issues are concerned. I think this needs resolving before a new US President, and Obama could do with this being resolved while he is still in office to try to save his reputation. I doubt this time next year we are discussing Ukraine, only the aftermath of what happened, looking at what will then be old videos of VSN flag being raised over Kharkov, or the crossing of the Dnepr at Kherson, the march into Odessa, the Poles raising their flag over Lvov, Poroshenko and his gang hanging from lamposts, well, who knows....

Khepesh wrote:Well, a post with paragraphs


Cynical mode on: Seems in Lugansk that when $ is involved, then arrests are quickly made, but not so for murder....  : Cynical mode off