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    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #6

    franco
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    Post  franco Sun Mar 13, 2022 1:41 am

    ucmvulcan wrote:

    https://t.me/voenacher/11903

    These NATO mercenary morons must have thought they were going on a safari to hunt Russians

    I don't think they really understand that the Ukraine is no more 'friendly' territory than Iraq or Afghanistan were. Russia has informants all over the place. It gets all the information on the ground about who goes and gathers where and so on. And that in general, everything in this country has its price, and all the more so as the Russians close in further.

    And yet these comedians pitched their HQ right in one of the main hotels of the city

    In a day or two, the New York Times, CNN, or MSNBC will be reinterpreting that building as either an old folks home, orphanage, or shelter for pug puppies.[/quote]

    Vet erinary clinic sounds appropriate

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    Post  nero Sun Mar 13, 2022 1:42 am

    https://t.me/Radioskaner/2815

    Some serious amount of aircraft in Engels, with munitions laying next to the parked aircraft.

    I counted 10x Tu-160's, >20 Tu-95's.

    Now on to the timing discussion in this thread.

    There is no perfect timing for war. Projects are always being built and completed right as new ones are initiated.

    Russian LNG capacity is going to be around 60-100 billion cubic meters by 2030.

    They're still exporting natural gas to Europe via Yamal, NorthStream I, SouthStream, TurkStream, Soyuz, BlueStream, etc.

    They're going to export a serious amount of natural gas to China via Power of Siberia (~60 bcm per year once fully operational) with additional capacity (~10 bcm) from Sakhlin being planned. They already plan to build Power of Siberia from Yamal gas fields, which will likely add an additional ~40-60 bcm per year.

    They'll survive. They have primary resources and you can't sanction those away. If anything, a bunch of Western energy companies are going to bail on a lot of energy projects in Russia, losing billions of USD that were invested there.

    Edit: Look where the biggest banks in the world exist. The Chinese can finance the Russian economy all it wants now that it's the only option. Even if the worst comes to shove, they're going to invest all they can so they can guarantee access to primary natural resources (which Russia has lots of)... so I am not sure why there's so much doomism in the thread. Oh and before you start yapping about how evil the Chinese are or w/e, they're much better and humane than Western financial institutions, which were dominant in Russia.


    Last edited by nero on Sun Mar 13, 2022 2:06 am; edited 2 times in total

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    Post  Krepost Sun Mar 13, 2022 1:44 am

    flamming_python wrote:

    Because how else to explain such a mad decision.

    Look at it from another perspective:

    - This is not a Ukraine war and has little to do with Ukraine (which is just a pawn in the big chess game)
    - This is some sort of a WWIII where Russia (with China at its back) wants to halt the USA's political and financial dominance over the world.
    - This little Ukraine war is just the beginning of much broader things to come

    P.S. I hear Iran has joined the party

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    Arkanghelsk
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    Post  Arkanghelsk Sun Mar 13, 2022 1:51 am

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #6 - Page 14 Img_2026

    Engels airbase

    Heavy duty , probably in few hours the intended targets will be released

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    Post  AlfaT8 Sun Mar 13, 2022 2:13 am

    Mig-31BM2 Super Irbis-E wrote:There is nothing strange because of it. That is normal. A shock is always recognized. The fighting should not find even between civilians instead, so if possible on the entire area.

    What we see is a good counterfraction. The enemy knows how to fight but he is killed immediately. The tank is written off, the crew alive and reusable.

    The push continues. Clean the field next to it.

    I can understand if we're in the heat of battle in the middle of the forest and such, but this was a highway road, recon should have swept the area long ago.
    At this point i am going to have to assume that ambushers are using some sort of IR camo or something.
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    Post  flamming_python Sun Mar 13, 2022 2:32 am

    Krepost wrote:
    flamming_python wrote:

    Because how else to explain such a mad decision.

    Look at it from another perspective:

    - This is not a Ukraine war and has little to do with Ukraine (which is just a pawn in the big chess game)
    - This is some sort of a WWIII where Russia (with China at its back) wants to halt the USA's political and financial dominance over the world.
    - This little Ukraine war is just the beginning of much broader things to come

    P.S. I hear Iran has joined the party

    Yeah I'm aware of all that

    As for the inevitability of this war, I'm not convinced. All we have is the fait accompli - i.e. the operation has started, we didn't have any other choice.

    But I'm not privy to all the facts and decisions, I'm sure it could have been postponed if not avoided, at least for what concerns the Ukraine. Which is already costing everyone dearly.

    But never mind. Venezuela has been doing army exercises over the past weeks it looks like, while Biden has been promising increased support to Columbia.
    Columbia's govt. is deeply unpopular and elections are scheduled in May. I suspect they'll fake those elections or cancel them, at which point the conflict will begin. On Venzeuala's side will be Cuba and Nicaragua actively, with Bolivia, Peru, Argentina providing economic support and diplomatic cover, and Mexico trying to take the role of the 'mediator'.
    On Columbia's side will be the US and Ecuador, probably as well with the Soros puppet in Chile trying to sabotage the rest of South America with his psuedo left-wing credentials.
    Brazil will probably stick to neutrality.
    ATLASCUB
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    Post  ATLASCUB Sun Mar 13, 2022 2:38 am

    Nothing of that sort will happen in Latin America.

    Colombian elections will be quite interesting with Petro at the forefront. There has been significant work gone into him for this moment, carrying over from the previous efforts, which were, considering history, exemplary. At the least, from a Petro administration we could get a Juan Manual Santos like administration (an improvement geopolitically from the current regime), but potentially, something like Manuel Lopez Obrador of Mexico, a "pink tide" aligned presidency (posing as neutral). There is a reason NGO's are throwing down the gauntlet in Mexico atm. The U.S is feeling the sting and is working on it.

    The most important one will be Lula's return to power in Brazil. That will clinch and be really felt. Lula will have a lot of grievances with the U.S to settle, on top of his predisposition ideologically to align with the "revisionist bloc". Obviously Lula will have to solve a lot of issues first (broken by the previous administration - economic issues being paramount), and won't shoot himself in the foot while doing it by becoming rabidly anti-American but there are ways to play this game (expect China capital inflows to trickle into Brazil, BRICS revival, and a lot of regional integration work by the second year of his term at the latest etc).

    However, any inroads on one of the most toxic puppet regimes of the U.S in Latam like Colombia stings the empire (the mirage of firm control), and sends a message to the bootlicking elites elsewhere. Petro represents that. Alleviation of rivalry and instability exports by Colombia to Venezuela will be alleviated tremendously, if not outright disappear. That will be a major win for the resistance bloc to stabilize the Venezuelan situation, politically, economically etc.


    Last edited by ATLASCUB on Sun Mar 13, 2022 3:11 am; edited 8 times in total

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    Post  Broski Sun Mar 13, 2022 2:54 am

    flamming_python wrote:
    ATLASCUB wrote:"Agree to a new JCPOA or else...." Iran basically right now.

    Both Europe and the U.S caught by the balls energy wise.

    Finally.... just look at how much Russia standing up for itself does for the world.

    I think the confrontation would have been better done 2-3 years from now. Many of the key Russian mega-projects were due to come online within that time frame.
    Do you think Putin signed off on this military operation on a whim? Or that 500+ Russian soldiers were sacrificed so far because Putin "wanted a send-off" like it's a new years celebration or something. Seriously dude you're a nasty piece of work, keep pretending like the Ukraine is led by reasonable people that Russia could work with.
    Putin fked up I think by refusing further Ukrainian gas transit and insisting on just Nord Stream 2
    When did this happen? Last I checked the gas still flows through Yamal and Russia had no plans on shutting off those taps.
    A smarter strategy could have led to the Kiev regime, which was struggling economically and socially anyway for all of 2020-2021, being in a weaker position and with less cohesion, while Russia by 2024-2025 would have been in an economically stronger position.
    Am I growing senile here or did you just manage to quite literally... literally say nothing in that entire paragraph?
    A smarter strategy could have led to the Kiev regime
    Just shut the  censored up.

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    Post  flamming_python Sun Mar 13, 2022 3:06 am

    Broski wrote:
    flamming_python wrote:
    ATLASCUB wrote:"Agree to a new JCPOA or else...." Iran basically right now.

    Both Europe and the U.S caught by the balls energy wise.

    Finally.... just look at how much Russia standing up for itself does for the world.

    I think the confrontation would have been better done 2-3 years from now. Many of the key Russian mega-projects were due to come online within that time frame.
    Do you think Putin signed off on this military operation on a whim? Or that 500+ Russian soldiers were sacrificed so far because Putin "wanted a send-off" like it's a new years celebration or something. Seriously dude you're a nasty piece of work, keep pretending like the Ukraine is led by reasonable people that Russia could work with.

    I don't exclude that there were domestic political considerations at play. I do believe Putin has been planning to vacate the seat in 2024 since 2020 when the constitutional referendum proved unpopular
    He may be thus encouraged to settle 'unfinished business' before then. But this is only one possible factor


    When did this happen? Last I checked the gas still flows through Yamal and Russia had no plans on shutting off those taps.

    Refusing to prolong the Ukrainian contract past 2024.

    And Russia had all rights to do this. But one has to be pragmatic. If continuing the contract could delay war or avoid it while the Ukrainian regime dies a slow death anyway, then such a strategy would have been preferable.
    Once again, just one factor. We don't know if the US and pals would have forced Russia's hand regardless.
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    Post  sundoesntrise Sun Mar 13, 2022 3:09 am

    Daily update from Strelkov. Briefly about the situation at the front:

    Kyiv front:
    Positional fights. Information about significant advances of Russian troops was not received either from the left bank of the Dnieper, or from the right. Nevertheless, I continue to wait for information about the beginning of the offensive: the complete blockade of Kyiv is a necessary strategic task that can level the "bogging down" on all other fronts.

    The central front (from Chernigov to Kharkov) - without significant changes. Near Kharkov - positional battles and active actions of the enemy's DRG on the communications of the "half-besieging" the city of Russian troops and units of the Russian Guard. The main hostilities are going south and southwest of the "second capital" of Ukraine.

    Donetsk Front - fierce fighting continues in the Izyum region and west of the city. Russian troops bypassed the unoccupied southern part of Izyum and are gradually developing an offensive to the southwest, threatening Dobropillia in the eastern part of the former Dnepropetrovsk (Ekaterinoslav) region. The northern communications of the Donetsk group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to the west of Slavyansk are under threat.

    The central part of the front (Severodonetsk - south of Donetsk) - no changes. At the same time, in the region of Donetsk and Gorlovka, the enemy is redeploying his troops. The possibility of an attack by the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the National Battalions on positions occupied by newly formed units from mobilized reservists is not excluded - with the aim of penetrating into these cities and creating defense centers in them. In purely military terms, such a sortie does not make much sense (in the context of the advance of Russian troops on the flanks of the group), but in the propaganda field, it can have a resounding effect.

    On the southern sector of the Donetsk Front, fighting continued yesterday to eliminate individual pockets of enemy resistance in Volnovakha, but the main forces have already been transferred to Mariupol, where a gradual cleansing of the city from the forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the national battalions has begun. While the promotion is on the outskirts.
    Tactical successes also took place west of Dokuchaevsk, but the main efforts of the DPR Armed Forces are aimed specifically at Mariupol.

    Southern front:
    The most important direction is the area of the cities of Orekhov and Gulyai-Pole, around which the RF Armed Forces continued to conduct offensive operations. The goal is to create a bridgehead for an attack on the southern communications of the enemy's Donetsk grouping. I do not have exact data on the advance of Russian troops in this area.

    Reconnaissance searches and skirmishes went on the outskirts of Nikolaev. Russian troops "probe" here the defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Apparently, it was recognized as impossible or dangerous to continue a further offensive to the north and northwest if the enemy maintains a foothold in the specified city, from where he can try to attack the communications of the group advancing on Krivoy Rog. At the same time, to get involved in another long and bloody assault on a big city without solving the main task of encircling the AFU groups in the Donetsk region and Kharkov - I think, at least, a strange decision. Therefore, there will be an assault on Nikolaev or not - frankly I don’t know. Some decisions of the command The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation seem illogical to me, but I am not "inside the events" and do not know a lot about the real situation.

    General picture:
    The active influence of the Russian Aerospace Forces on the near and deep rear areas of the Armed Forces of Ukraine continues. The main targets of the strikes are clearly visible:
    - maximum destruction of bases and concentrations of enemy troops, their manpower and equipment;
    - destruction of fuel storage bases;
    - destruction of bridges and nodes of transport communications.
    At the same time, despite the attacks of aviation and missile forces, mobilization continues actively in the western regions of Ukraine. And it will definitely not work to disrupt it only with air strikes.

    General conclusions:
    The advance of the RF Armed Forces in all sectors of the front finally "faded", passed into the "tactical" stage in all directions. After the regrouping and replenishment of the shock groups, I predict an attempt to attack in the most important directions: near Kiev and on the encirclement of the enemy's Donetsk grouping. The operation to cover from the south and the complete encirclement of Kharkov also seems promising - but I'm not sure if there are available forces for this.

    Expectations that before the beginning of April the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will clear the left bank of the Dnieper from the authorities are coming out - seem overly optimistic. Personally, I expect the Kremlin to "ripe" for a series of partial mobilizations, without which the war cannot be won even in a few years, since the ratio of "manpower" has already become in favor of Kyiv, and as mobilization measures are carried out, this advantage will only increase. Especially - if the enemy's Donetsk grouping is not destroyed and manages to retreat to Dnepropetrovsk (Ekaterinoslav) with the main part of the forces.

    Evening summary of the LDNR (briefly and without details).

    There were street fights in Mariupol. Aviation and artillery of the RF Armed Forces attacked enemy positions in the city.

    It was "very noisy" in the Donetsk area today.
    The DPR Armed Forces were sent in a frontal attack on Maryinka (a southern suburb of Donetsk, which in 2015 was already once devastatingly and unsuccessfully attacked by a “combined team” led by “Vanya Russky” and “Abkhaz”). The attack was repulsed with sensitive losses for ours.
    All day long, the aircraft of the RF Armed Forces inflicted heavy blows on the enemy's defense centers in the Donetsk region. The enemy responded with heavy artillery fire on the positions of our troops and on the city itself.

    In the LPR - fierce fighting in Popasnaya and the surrounding area. While the enemy holds pre-prepared positions.

    According to reliable data, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are experiencing (as a result of purposeful actions of our aviation) an increasingly acute shortage of fuel and lubricants, which is already affecting their mobility and ability to supply troops, as well as maneuver forces.

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    Post  Regular Sun Mar 13, 2022 3:26 am

    AlfaT8 wrote:
    I know this has been said before, but in all honesty, WTF are the Russian recon units doing??

    Seriously, each unit should have their own drones and be continuously monitoring the battlefield and sending almost live updates to various forward moving units.

    Why was a main road not properly checked via drones, are the drones lacking IR capabilities??
    The F is going on??

    Don't give me the usual "You don't know, so don't ask" BS.
    Where the F are the Recon units!

    This video was discussed 300 times already. Reality is... There are recon unit now. Recon by fire. I don't think tempo allows proper recon operations, look where they are, they are deep in Ukrainian territory where fog of war can't be revealed. UCAV would have solved the problem here, but it's not like Russia has thousand of them to cover all territory, especially not to patrol the roads.

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    Post  Regular Sun Mar 13, 2022 3:29 am

    flamming_python wrote:
    And yet these comedians pitched their HQ right in one of the main hotels of the city

    Let me guess - it was done because it was comfy? It's not a business trip. They will hide in the forest now, if not, another Kalibr will hit them.

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    Post  flamming_python Sun Mar 13, 2022 3:46 am

    Regular wrote:
    flamming_python wrote:
    And yet these comedians pitched their HQ right in one of the main hotels of the city

    Let me guess - it was done because it was comfy? It's not a business trip. They will hide in the forest now, if not, another Kalibr will hit them.

    The teroborona of the city (hastily regime-formed volksturm) was also based in that hotel. They were all having a grand old time there until the Kalibr hit

    BTW that hotel apparently was also used as a base for the Maidanists way back in the day, 2013-2014

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    Post  par far Sun Mar 13, 2022 5:11 am

    There were explosions in Lviv.

    https://t.me/intelslava/22166

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    Post  AlfaT8 Sun Mar 13, 2022 6:17 am

    Regular wrote:
    AlfaT8 wrote:
    I know this has been said before, but in all honesty, WTF are the Russian recon units doing??

    Seriously, each unit should have their own drones and be continuously monitoring the battlefield and sending almost live updates to various forward moving units.

    Why was a main road not properly checked via drones, are the drones lacking IR capabilities??
    The F is going on??

    Don't give me the usual "You don't know, so don't ask" BS.
    Where the F are the Recon units!

    This video was discussed 300 times already. Reality is... There are recon unit now. Recon by fire. I don't think tempo allows proper recon operations, look where they are, they are deep in Ukrainian territory where fog of war can't be revealed. UCAV would have solved the problem here, but it's not like Russia has thousand of them to cover all territory, especially not to patrol the roads.

    .............Are you joking, how could they not have drones surveying the area 24/7, especially on the highways.
    None of this is making any sense.
    I can only conclude incompetence on either Russian recon or the frontline units themselves.
    Either way, when this war is over, it is clear where the next phase of Russia's military reforms will be focused on.

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    Post  par far Sun Mar 13, 2022 6:46 am

    https://t.me/intelslava/22167


    https://t.me/intelslava/22169


    https://t.me/intelslava/22171?single


    https://t.me/intelslava/22172


    https://t.me/intelslava/22173





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    Post  Regular Sun Mar 13, 2022 7:13 am

    AlfaT8 wrote:

    .............Are you joking, how could they not have drones surveying the area 24/7, especially on the highways.
    None of this is making any sense.
    I can only conclude incompetence on either Russian recon or the frontline units themselves.
    Either way, when this war is over, it is clear where the next phase of Russia's military reforms will be focused on.

    I think the explanation is simple - there are not enough drones to cover such massive terrain. On some roads Russia advanced 300 km into Ukraine, I don't see how drones can operate like a Sauron's eye in such an environment. Other than that, I am also unpleasantly surprised, but ambushes like these are a daily occurrence, not all of them succesful, not all of them are recorded for propaganda purposes and etc. And yes, Russia should focus building not only UAVs, but UCAVs, suicide drones and come up with new concepts how to use them in EW rich environments.

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    Post  Vann7 Sun Mar 13, 2022 7:50 am

    ATLASCUB wrote:Nothing of that sort will happen in Latin America.

    Colombian elections will be quite interesting with Petro at the forefront. There has been significant work gone into him for this moment, carrying over from the previous efforts, which were, considering history, exemplary. At the least, from a Petro administration we could get a Juan Manual Santos like administration (an improvement geopolitically from the current regime), but potentially, something like Manuel Lopez Obrador of Mexico, a "pink tide" aligned presidency (posing as neutral). There is a reason NGO's are throwing down the gauntlet in Mexico atm. The U.S is feeling the sting and is working on it.

    The most important one will be Lula's return to power in Brazil. That will clinch and be really felt. Lula will have a lot of grievances with the U.S to settle, on top of his predisposition ideologically to align with the "revisionist bloc". Obviously Lula will have to solve a lot of issues first (broken by the previous administration - economic issues being paramount), and won't shoot himself in the foot while doing it by becoming rabidly anti-American but there are ways to play this game (expect China capital inflows to trickle into Brazil, BRICS revival, and a lot of regional integration work by the second year of his term at the latest etc).

    However, any inroads on one of the most toxic puppet regimes of the U.S in Latam like Colombia stings the empire (the mirage of firm control), and sends a message to the bootlicking elites elsewhere. Petro represents that. Alleviation of rivalry and instability exports by Colombia to Venezuela will be alleviated tremendously, if not outright disappear. That will be a major win for the resistance bloc to stabilize the Venezuelan situation, politically, economically etc.


    Something interesting is happening in latin America , that i have never seen before in history.

    And what that is ?

    That in latin america , most political parties , either from left and right are gradually becoming more and more inclined to become neutral , Neither NATO puppets , neither Russian puppets and so they take decisions more in a case by case , from practical point of view. The only exception appears to be Colombia of this ,that wants to be part of NATO with current politicians , but no idea of the future politicians which direction they will go. In Brazil you have a neutral government , with a little bit more towards US but that do business with Russia whenever its good for their interest which is a good thing.. that more and more nations marry no one and just support what is good for their interest in the short medium and long term. In Peru an interesting phenomenon is happening ,is that presidents there don't last a couple of years in power ,they are removed ,from left or right. and not sure if this is some kind of strategy , but looks as it is. Look what happened in brazil.. a pro US ,pro NATO , PRO israel ,hard core , right wing nut ,bolsonaro , turned now closer to the russian side. Shocked

    Exactly the same thing happened with ARgentina , a pro US government Mauricio Macri , moved
    closer to Russia in the end of his administration and now alberto the new president is pro russia more ,than pro US. Mexico is the same. Ecuador amazingly appears to move to the neutral side too. i think the pandemic forced latin America to realize that being a puppet to the west , will literary cost their lives and liked the idea of russian vaccines.. this is a fucking obvious example of how business power , softpower can open the doors to Russia to other nations to potential alliances. this is why it was a big mistake for Putin ,to develop Russia with so much focus in pipelines and gas stations ,where more of the investment is done.. and later in distractions like sports.. but ignore the modernization of russian industries and its economy and business , that is the only thing ,that could help Russia counter the anglowest.. stop their influence in the world , without firing a single bullet.. just by developing brand new high tech business as biopharma health industry is too.

    If Russia was developed as a more competitive nation to US high tech business in those 22 years of putin in power , to directly challenge the most influential business of the west ,that everyone knows world wide , then none of this sanctions will matter for russia , because they will have achieved full independence from american or european business. and even more support Russia will had from ukraine young generations and no longer people call russia outdated or a gas station.



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    Post  ALAMO Sun Mar 13, 2022 8:11 am

    Is it just me, or there is really a difference considering Russian and Ukro gear presented?
    Most of the Russian "troophys" are obviously left for evacuation.
    Ukros are grilled.
    scratch
    Or maybe I watch the wrong movies ...?

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    Post  flamming_python Sun Mar 13, 2022 9:00 am

    Vann7 wrote:
    ATLASCUB wrote:Nothing of that sort will happen in Latin America.

    Colombian elections will be quite interesting with Petro at the forefront. There has been significant work gone into him for this moment, carrying over from the previous efforts, which were, considering history, exemplary. At the least, from a Petro administration we could get a Juan Manual Santos like administration (an improvement geopolitically from the current regime), but potentially, something like Manuel Lopez Obrador of Mexico, a "pink tide" aligned presidency (posing as neutral). There is a reason NGO's are throwing down the gauntlet in Mexico atm. The U.S is feeling the sting and is working on it.

    The most important one will be Lula's return to power in Brazil. That will clinch and be really felt. Lula will have a lot of grievances with the U.S to settle, on top of his predisposition ideologically to align with the "revisionist bloc". Obviously Lula will have to solve a lot of issues first (broken by the previous administration - economic issues being paramount), and won't shoot himself in the foot while doing it by becoming rabidly anti-American but there are ways to play this game (expect China capital inflows to trickle into Brazil, BRICS revival, and a lot of regional integration work by the second year of his term at the latest etc).

    However, any inroads on one of the most toxic puppet regimes of the U.S in Latam like Colombia stings the empire (the mirage of firm control), and sends a message to the bootlicking elites elsewhere. Petro represents that. Alleviation of rivalry and instability exports by Colombia to Venezuela will be alleviated tremendously, if not outright disappear. That will be a major win for the resistance bloc to stabilize the Venezuelan situation, politically, economically etc.


    Something interesting is happening in latin America , that i have never seen before in history.

    And what that is ?

    That in latin america , most political parties , either from left and right are  gradually becoming more and more inclined to become neutral , Neither NATO puppets , neither Russian puppets and so they take decisions more in a case by case , from practical point of view.  The only exception appears to be Colombia of this ,that wants to be part of NATO with current politicians , but no idea of the future politicians which direction they will go.    In Brazil you have a neutral government , with a little bit more towards US but that do business with Russia whenever its good for their interest which is a good thing..  that more and more nations marry no one and just support what is good for their interest in the short medium and long term.   In Peru an interesting phenomenon is happening ,is that presidents there don't last a couple of years in power ,they are removed ,from left or right. and not sure if this is some kind of strategy , but looks as it is.  Look what happened in brazil..  a pro US ,pro NATO , PRO israel ,hard core , right wing nut ,bolsonaro , turned now closer to the russian side. Shocked

    Exactly the same thing happened with ARgentina , a pro US government Mauricio Macri , moved
    closer to Russia in the end of his administration and now alberto the new president is pro russia more ,than pro US. Mexico is the same.  Ecuador amazingly appears to move to the neutral side too. i think the pandemic forced latin America to realize that being a puppet to the west , will literary cost their lives and liked the idea of russian vaccines.. this is a fucking obvious example of how business power , softpower can open the doors to Russia to other nations to potential alliances. this is why it was a big mistake for Putin ,to develop Russia with so much focus in pipelines and gas stations ,where more of the investment is done.. and later in distractions like sports.. but ignore the modernization of russian industries and its economy and business , that is the only thing ,that could help Russia counter the anglowest.. stop their influence in the world , without firing a single bullet.. just by  developing brand new high tech business as biopharma health industry is too.

    If Russia was developed as a more competitive nation to US high tech business in those 22 years of putin in power , to directly challenge the most influential business of the west ,that everyone knows world wide , then none of this sanctions will matter for russia , because they will have achieved full independence from american or european business. and even more support Russia will had from ukraine young generations and no longer people call russia outdated or a gas station.




    Well yes, it's a sovereigntist bloc that's forming in South America

    Like a South American EU. They're not Russian puppets, they just want to handle their own affairs without any more US meddling.

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    Post  GarryB Sun Mar 13, 2022 9:44 am

    Western Europe will be the biggest loser in in this.

    Longer term a few European countries might grow some balls and realise they are being led by the US like children thinking the US will take care of their interests but clearly is not.
    The US is leaving the EU in the car while it goes in to the casino and gets drunk and blows its income and the money it has borrowed from friends and family and a few loan sharks... it just needs this win and all its problems are over... one more sanction will do it and the casino will start giving you an income instead of taking your money...

    The biggest winner is China.

    The biggest potential winner is everyone except the US, because it is all the US that has to lose... separation from the US and the west is a good thing in the long term for Russia because the independence is worth it... it has shown it can grow and develop on its own... it can certainly partner with others and make amazing things, but the west has taken ownership of most of what they have made so far because they are putting in the money and getting the fruits of Russian brain power and ability. They might get some to continue to work with them, but others might get banned, and the treatment going forward of Russians in the west might further isolate the people and the country but that wont benefit the west at all... but I don't think they will care.

    Biden will lose the election on the heels of the "Biden Depression".

    He has been an awful president, Trump was attacked and criticised for everything he did and a lot of things he didn't do... Biden got a free ride with most of the media... he claimed Covid was an easy fix... just elect him and he will fix it... he didn't... Any idiot looking at the military plan for exiting Afghanistan would ask why the air power left three months before the ground forces. WTF were those ground forces doing for those three months that was so damn critical. He got an extension on the withdrawal and still screwed it up totally. But now most people will reflect and say 13 soldiers killed in an ISIS bombing is probably not such a big deal as it seemed at the time.

    Certainly during withdrawals you get casualties, but the irony is that the Taliban really didn't try to punish the western forces withdrawing... the way they would have punished the Taliban if it was them withdrawing...

    While the US has achieved its geopolitical objectives of pushing Russia out of the Western European economy, it has accelerated chinas rise to global leadership.

    If the EU and Russia had gotten together and become rather more integrated but where Russia was not led from Washington or Brussels like the rest of the EU is then they would have been a real threat to the USs dominance of the west and even China might have been nervous, but it wasn't Americas party so they sabotaged it.

    China and Russia and the other BRICSA countries have a future model of international relations where no country can ignore international law and gather other countries to do as they please where they like, where other countries are treated with respect, but the west was not interested in that, so this current situation of the west rejecting Russia is part of that... and in the near future when the EU realises it needs China and Russia to maintain its nice comfortable standard of living that comes from cheap energy, maybe the EU might take a stand against the US... in which case the US wont control the entire west any more and the EU will have its own voice for its own interests many of which it shares with Russia and China... the US doesn't want silk roads carrying goods quickly and cheaply from Asia and the EU because it does not benefit them in any way... it does benefit Russia and China and the EU though, but even if the trains and ships and aircraft don't get to EU airspace it will still be good for the countries on the silk roads because it improves their access to Asia goods and service and Russian goods and services, so even if the EU misses out I suspect that will be another revelation for them that the US pressure is not in their interests.

    The west is not known to suffer very well... we don't normally put up with a lot of shit for no obvious reason.

    I am not sure how Russia will do in all this, and if it can continue to get fair treatment from China indefinitely, or if that will all end in tears at some point.

    Previous sanctions have made Russia more independent and made them get off their asses and do things they thought about doing, that knew they would need to do eventually but never got around to it. Like making their own jet engines for fixed wing aircraft, helicopters, and ships, or trading in currencies that are not US dollars. They eventually were forced to make changes by western sanctions that gave them little choice.

    They did everything they could to integrate with the west short of be the slave the west wanted them to be.

    They can say they did everything they could and were rejected so there is no looking back and asking what they could have done to make it work.

    The west is a small percentage of the world population but it is the most comfortable, and that is because it is selfish and greedy and doesn't like to share or cooperate unless they get something that helps them stay ahead of the pack.

    Russia can cooperate and allow those they cooperate with to grow and develop.... Russia has its own resources and talents but cooperation always leads to improvement and growth and Russia wont be afraid of other countries developing and growing with them.

    The west is not happy at being rich and powerful, they want everyone else to look like Cuba and North Korea so they can gloat... if the west was a person it would be a person you don't want in your life.

    Russia will do shit out of all this even if the Ukraine capitulates tommorow

    Russia is not invading a country to steal its resources... it is eliminating a real threat.

    That makes this necessary no matter what the outcome.

    Whether it's biolabs or dirty bombs or whatever other stuff. I don't know. I do know that there must have been another way to solve all this.

    The only other way would be for Zelensky to grow a spine and follow his obligations under the Minsk agreement.... or for the US or Germany or France to actually pressure him to do the same.

    He was doing exactly what the west wanted him to do... because what other choice did he have?

    So you think it is an accident the Azov regiment even exists, or such things are also glorified in Baltic states... it is all part of the anti Russia campaign, and bio weapons labs and nuclear weapons are also parts of this puzzle.... are you fucking stupid?

    Oooh... we could have done this without bloodshed.... well tell that to the Ukrainian people they were already shelling because they didn't want to learn Ukrainian?

    Blood was already being shed with impunity... the irony... the US protects Jews murdering Arabs in the Middle East and Nazis in Europe murdering their own citizens... do you blame the jews and nazis, or do you blame the enablers... the US government?

    Either way Ukrainians are going to die because of this, and I would suggest to you that if this happened while you were in service you probably would have wanted to kill some nazis and be the one on the end of the rifle so you could avoid civilian casualties while you were doing it.

    I would rather suspect Vlad79 probably would rather have left this world shooting nazis than suffocating as his body failed him with some disease, but I shouldn't speak for him like that.

    West have to count on using stand off ranges using very expensive munitions. And very rarely came close range of AD systems and that's because they exactly how good a d difficult they are

    The Ukrainians also have older model systems, the newer systems the Russians operate are designed to defend themselves from standoff weapons, and to be even more mobile and hard to deal with even with the IADS is not working, but when it is working they would be even more capable.

    My guess is that as long as the Bear gives the Panda cheap gas and food and technical aid on weapons development and research that the Panda will be hand in hand with the Bear.

    The west has spent 10 years robbing the Bear blind, and then after another 20 years of rejecting and teasing and poking the bear they found the teddy bear is actually a grizzly bear. They haven't been poking the Panda quite as long but the Panda is expanding world wide looking for trade partners and cooperation and stepping on western toes that liked their colonial relations with the rest of the world, but the Panda is offering partnerships and Russia will be soon too.

    If the west wants to poke the Panda they might find they wake a dragon...

    When you don't respect others and go into the houses of others and tell them what to do and how to live then some take it... like EU countries.... others do not.

    Hi is anyone else getting a download message when refreshing the forum or moving into next page, I get a message saying Russia defence net wants to download multiple files? Odd never seen it before and I don't click download button always cancel it. But still pops up.

    It is not anything I have done.

    Russia should follow the US Iraq model. Build bases and a massive embassy in Kiev that will be the true seat of power. Maintain
    this occupation for 20+ years to guarantee that there is no Banderite revanche. NATzO can keep on bitching but will never
    have a real argument. The Russian operation must have a long term component for proper regime change.

    They should never follow any US model... split it into three main areas... a western area that is lost and not worth saving, and central northern component that can be neutral and demilitarised, and the south coast and eastern region that can and likely will be independent but pro Russia.

    The southern and eastern republic with open trade with Russia should prosper fairly well and can reconstruct itself mostly without extra funds coming from Russias budget, no need for Russian bases or troops, or if you do then state that they will be removed when US bases in Poland and other eastern European countries are removed, but they should be small token bases... security guarantees and regular exercises with the Russian military should allow a strong local military force that can hunt down and deal with local terror cells on their own if need be.

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    Post  nomadski Sun Mar 13, 2022 9:45 am


    Some observations :

    ( 1 ) Simple siege of towns will result in defeat of Rats , hiding in cities . No need to take towns . Patience .

    ( 2 ) " volunteers " could be planted in recruitment points in Europe , Iskandered in collection points , as done lately .

    ( 3 ) Convoys can be protected from Javelin , by using plate armour on wheels , attached to outside of vehicles .

    ( 4 ) The Iranian " missile strike , " was insignificant , in every possible way .

    ( 5 ) The siege forces , to allow " space " around cities , invite them into these spaces , away from civilian structures . Killing grounds .

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    Post  flamming_python Sun Mar 13, 2022 10:08 am

    Looks like foreign instructors could be dead now, that were supposed to all have left, after the attack on the Yarovsky Training Grounds near Lvov

    So far some Ukrainian military casualties have been admitted to, like 8 dead and over 50 wounded.



    That object was attacked with no less than 8 Kalibrs

    https://t.me/opersvodki/1553



    More mercs coming in

    https://t.me/opersvodki/1567

    Bonus. Road sign in Kiev (think it's a mannequin of some description). "Death to occupiers"

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    Post  auslander Sun Mar 13, 2022 10:37 am

    That will leave a scar, but look at it this way. Worms will be well fed this early spring.

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    Post  ATLASCUB Sun Mar 13, 2022 10:42 am

    "supposed to have left" lol...

    Unless they're systematically wiped out consistently by Russian missile strikes they won't stop pouring in. It's a deterrence equation. Can Russia do enough to deter them... clearly capable. The decisions only need to be taken. The intel of their movement will exist. Can't hide non Russian speaking foreigners.

    Cruise missile attacks are too expensive in my opinion. High altitude precision bombing is much more suitable for this task. We're talking staging areas in Western Ukraine... the part of Ukraine that's clearly not on the cards except for termination. Protecting collateral should be more relaxed there.

    Scare tactics only work for so long. You also need to create massive graves. A bombing run can do that for you in spades. Several, well, no we talking...

    At some point, not even for a million will they "volunteer"...


    Last edited by ATLASCUB on Sun Mar 13, 2022 11:07 am; edited 3 times in total

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