Western Europe will be the biggest loser in in this.
Longer term a few European countries might grow some balls and realise they are being led by the US like children thinking the US will take care of their interests but clearly is not.
The US is leaving the EU in the car while it goes in to the casino and gets drunk and blows its income and the money it has borrowed from friends and family and a few loan sharks... it just needs this win and all its problems are over... one more sanction will do it and the casino will start giving you an income instead of taking your money...
The biggest winner is China.
The biggest potential winner is everyone except the US, because it is all the US that has to lose... separation from the US and the west is a good thing in the long term for Russia because the independence is worth it... it has shown it can grow and develop on its own... it can certainly partner with others and make amazing things, but the west has taken ownership of most of what they have made so far because they are putting in the money and getting the fruits of Russian brain power and ability. They might get some to continue to work with them, but others might get banned, and the treatment going forward of Russians in the west might further isolate the people and the country but that wont benefit the west at all... but I don't think they will care.
Biden will lose the election on the heels of the "Biden Depression".
He has been an awful president, Trump was attacked and criticised for everything he did and a lot of things he didn't do... Biden got a free ride with most of the media... he claimed Covid was an easy fix... just elect him and he will fix it... he didn't... Any idiot looking at the military plan for exiting Afghanistan would ask why the air power left three months before the ground forces. WTF were those ground forces doing for those three months that was so damn critical. He got an extension on the withdrawal and still screwed it up totally. But now most people will reflect and say 13 soldiers killed in an ISIS bombing is probably not such a big deal as it seemed at the time.
Certainly during withdrawals you get casualties, but the irony is that the Taliban really didn't try to punish the western forces withdrawing... the way they would have punished the Taliban if it was them withdrawing...
While the US has achieved its geopolitical objectives of pushing Russia out of the Western European economy, it has accelerated chinas rise to global leadership.
If the EU and Russia had gotten together and become rather more integrated but where Russia was not led from Washington or Brussels like the rest of the EU is then they would have been a real threat to the USs dominance of the west and even China might have been nervous, but it wasn't Americas party so they sabotaged it.
China and Russia and the other BRICSA countries have a future model of international relations where no country can ignore international law and gather other countries to do as they please where they like, where other countries are treated with respect, but the west was not interested in that, so this current situation of the west rejecting Russia is part of that... and in the near future when the EU realises it needs China and Russia to maintain its nice comfortable standard of living that comes from cheap energy, maybe the EU might take a stand against the US... in which case the US wont control the entire west any more and the EU will have its own voice for its own interests many of which it shares with Russia and China... the US doesn't want silk roads carrying goods quickly and cheaply from Asia and the EU because it does not benefit them in any way... it does benefit Russia and China and the EU though, but even if the trains and ships and aircraft don't get to EU airspace it will still be good for the countries on the silk roads because it improves their access to Asia goods and service and Russian goods and services, so even if the EU misses out I suspect that will be another revelation for them that the US pressure is not in their interests.
The west is not known to suffer very well... we don't normally put up with a lot of shit for no obvious reason.
I am not sure how Russia will do in all this, and if it can continue to get fair treatment from China indefinitely, or if that will all end in tears at some point.
Previous sanctions have made Russia more independent and made them get off their asses and do things they thought about doing, that knew they would need to do eventually but never got around to it. Like making their own jet engines for fixed wing aircraft, helicopters, and ships, or trading in currencies that are not US dollars. They eventually were forced to make changes by western sanctions that gave them little choice.
They did everything they could to integrate with the west short of be the slave the west wanted them to be.
They can say they did everything they could and were rejected so there is no looking back and asking what they could have done to make it work.
The west is a small percentage of the world population but it is the most comfortable, and that is because it is selfish and greedy and doesn't like to share or cooperate unless they get something that helps them stay ahead of the pack.
Russia can cooperate and allow those they cooperate with to grow and develop.... Russia has its own resources and talents but cooperation always leads to improvement and growth and Russia wont be afraid of other countries developing and growing with them.
The west is not happy at being rich and powerful, they want everyone else to look like Cuba and North Korea so they can gloat... if the west was a person it would be a person you don't want in your life.
Russia will do shit out of all this even if the Ukraine capitulates tommorow
Russia is not invading a country to steal its resources... it is eliminating a real threat.
That makes this necessary no matter what the outcome.
Whether it's biolabs or dirty bombs or whatever other stuff. I don't know. I do know that there must have been another way to solve all this.
The only other way would be for Zelensky to grow a spine and follow his obligations under the Minsk agreement.... or for the US or Germany or France to actually pressure him to do the same.
He was doing exactly what the west wanted him to do... because what other choice did he have?
So you think it is an accident the Azov regiment even exists, or such things are also glorified in Baltic states... it is all part of the anti Russia campaign, and bio weapons labs and nuclear weapons are also parts of this puzzle.... are you fucking stupid?
Oooh... we could have done this without bloodshed.... well tell that to the Ukrainian people they were already shelling because they didn't want to learn Ukrainian?
Blood was already being shed with impunity... the irony... the US protects Jews murdering Arabs in the Middle East and Nazis in Europe murdering their own citizens... do you blame the jews and nazis, or do you blame the enablers... the US government?
Either way Ukrainians are going to die because of this, and I would suggest to you that if this happened while you were in service you probably would have wanted to kill some nazis and be the one on the end of the rifle so you could avoid civilian casualties while you were doing it.
I would rather suspect Vlad79 probably would rather have left this world shooting nazis than suffocating as his body failed him with some disease, but I shouldn't speak for him like that.
West have to count on using stand off ranges using very expensive munitions. And very rarely came close range of AD systems and that's because they exactly how good a d difficult they are
The Ukrainians also have older model systems, the newer systems the Russians operate are designed to defend themselves from standoff weapons, and to be even more mobile and hard to deal with even with the IADS is not working, but when it is working they would be even more capable.
My guess is that as long as the Bear gives the Panda cheap gas and food and technical aid on weapons development and research that the Panda will be hand in hand with the Bear.
The west has spent 10 years robbing the Bear blind, and then after another 20 years of rejecting and teasing and poking the bear they found the teddy bear is actually a grizzly bear. They haven't been poking the Panda quite as long but the Panda is expanding world wide looking for trade partners and cooperation and stepping on western toes that liked their colonial relations with the rest of the world, but the Panda is offering partnerships and Russia will be soon too.
If the west wants to poke the Panda they might find they wake a dragon...
When you don't respect others and go into the houses of others and tell them what to do and how to live then some take it... like EU countries.... others do not.
Hi is anyone else getting a download message when refreshing the forum or moving into next page, I get a message saying Russia defence net wants to download multiple files? Odd never seen it before and I don't click download button always cancel it. But still pops up.
It is not anything I have done.
Russia should follow the US Iraq model. Build bases and a massive embassy in Kiev that will be the true seat of power. Maintain
this occupation for 20+ years to guarantee that there is no Banderite revanche. NATzO can keep on bitching but will never
have a real argument. The Russian operation must have a long term component for proper regime change.
They should never follow any US model... split it into three main areas... a western area that is lost and not worth saving, and central northern component that can be neutral and demilitarised, and the south coast and eastern region that can and likely will be independent but pro Russia.
The southern and eastern republic with open trade with Russia should prosper fairly well and can reconstruct itself mostly without extra funds coming from Russias budget, no need for Russian bases or troops, or if you do then state that they will be removed when US bases in Poland and other eastern European countries are removed, but they should be small token bases... security guarantees and regular exercises with the Russian military should allow a strong local military force that can hunt down and deal with local terror cells on their own if need be.