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    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #24

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    ALAMO


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    Post  ALAMO Tue Sep 13, 2022 8:23 am

    Sure.
    And we can agree that we don't know the reason for it.
    Pretending different is just an emanation of ego.

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    Post  caveat emptor Tue Sep 13, 2022 8:26 am

    flamming_python wrote:
    He is precisely raising his head because he knows that Russia and the West are busy with one another
    Russia can't really slap him down at the moment because it needs Turkey neutral in the standoff in NATO and access through the Bosphorus among other things to continue
    There this is high time for him to wrangle out better terms for himself and his sidekick Aliev
    That's why this could be perfect opportunity. You're not hitting Erdogan directly, but his dog Aliyev. Akin to what Turks do with Ukraine by providing Baryaktars and other equipment. 
    Inflation in Turkey is only 80%? No problem, lets make it over 100%. And Europe losses almost 10% of nat gas imports. 
    Russia needs to back up its partner Armenia for that reason and so Armenians understand that only Russia is their aly. Also, keep Armenia for the sake of keeping corridor with Iran.

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    Post  flamming_python Tue Sep 13, 2022 8:28 am

    caveat emptor wrote:
    flamming_python wrote:
    Dude, it's simply not possible to '**** up' to the extent that you have virtually no friendly forces in a territory right on the enemy's border that they even publicly deliberate on launching an offensive against

    You can ofc believe Arkhangelsk that this is all the doing of Medinsky and the 5th column in Russia but those guys haven't been around since April if we're serious.
    I'm sure that you know history of your country better than me and for **** ups of similar order of magnitude you don't even have to go that far back. 
    As for Medinsky, he is nobody. There are much bigger players in this game that are heavily invested and involved with the west. And I'm not talking about oligarchs either. Every other Duma representative has a house in Italy or France and Swiss bank accounts. Not to mention people bigger than them. I don't believe in 5th columnists or traitor terminology too much. I believe in interests. And perversion of Russian elites are a well established thing. Let's not fool ourselves about it. You live in Russia. You should see it everywhere around you if you want to. Maybe now, it is more hidden and not as direct as in the '90s, but it is still there.

    There weren't any ****-ups of similar magnitude

    Kiev was not taken as that was not the intent; strategy of destabilizing the regime failed but then it was never too likely to succeed
    Casualties were high in the opening days due to naive tactics but the Russian forces were advancing all the same at a brisk pace
    Chernigov, Sumy and Kiev were abandoned not due to some Ukrainian counter-offensive but because of an attempt at a deal.. but in any case it didn't make sense for Russia to stay there
    Crimea airfield explosions were due to an ammo depot being hit with a bomblet from a small drone. Someone got lucky
    What else is there..?

    Only disaster that would be similar in terms of incompetence would be the Moskva being sunk. But that's the fleet not the army. Army has its eye on the ball. And after the success at Kherson I find it unlikely the same army would simply fold and crumble due to similar tactics being used by the Ukrainians over in Kharkov.

    And yes I do know my own country.
    Executive orders and highest levels of the political elite overrule all these small-time pleasure-seeking interests of whatever United Russia deputies with a villa in Italy or some stolen millions in Switzerland.
    Putin, Lavrov, Naibullina would laugh those types out the room with their petty riches and property.
    Putin signed an order some time ago about state and govt. representatives repatriating their wealth to Russia and selling their overseas property. Some saw fit to ignore it and now they're paying the price. But the same people who ignored it are the same people who wouldn't have known about the launch of the operation in advance or supposed that it could happen. i.e. they are nobody important.

    As Lenin wrote, Politics is basically the concentration of economical power (or something like that). The ones at the lead are able to command and direct the entire economy and their will and their perception of state interests (effectively they are the state and its economy themselves) will override any oligarchical or bourgeois interests of those not in a position of executive political power. Unless said political power and leadership is just outright weak, as it was in the 90s in Russia and as it has been this whole time in the Ukraine.


    Last edited by flamming_python on Tue Sep 13, 2022 8:31 am; edited 2 times in total

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    ALAMO


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    Post  ALAMO Tue Sep 13, 2022 8:29 am

    caveat emptor wrote:
    flamming_python wrote:
    He is precisely raising his head because he knows that Russia and the West are busy with one another
    Russia can't really slap him down at the moment because it needs Turkey neutral in the standoff in NATO and access through the Bosphorus among other things to continue
    There this is high time for him to wrangle out better terms for himself and his sidekick Aliev
    That's why this could be perfect opportunity. You're not hitting Erdogan directly, but his dog Aliyev. Akin to what Turks do with Ukraine by providing Baryaktars and other equipment. 
    Inflation in Turkey is only 80%? No problem, lets make it over 100%. And Europe losses almost 10% of nat gas imports. 
    Russia needs to back up its partner Armenia for that reason and so Armenians understand that only Russia is their aly. Also, keep Armenia for the sake of keeping corridor with Iran.

    You are missing one point.
    On daily basis cooperation, Aliyev is much more predictable and capable to carry business as usual approach than the struggling Armenia.
    There are tons of voices from Russia, that it is much better to cooperate with Azeris at the expanse of Armenia until someone sane will come to the real power there.
    This beardy dickhead is able to call for Article 4, and Macron on the same time. This is bloody unreal!

    flamming_python wrote:

    Only disaster that would be similar in terms of incompetence would be the Moskva being sunk. But that's the fleet not the army. Army has its eye on the ball. And after the success at Kherson I find it unlikely the same army would simply fold and crumble due to similar tactics being used by the Ukrainians over in Kharkov.

    Every sight we see confirms the theory that it was just an accident on board a 40 y/o ship. That was not in the best condition, yet was put on high alert because there were no other means to cover the west of the Black Sea back there.

    flamming_python wrote:
    Putin signed an order some time ago about state and govt. representatives repatriating their wealth to Russia and selling their overseas property. Some saw fit to ignore it and now they're paying the price. But the same people who ignored it are the same people who wouldn't have known about the launch of the operation in advance or supposed that it could happen. i.e. they are nobody important.

    And that was a very logical step, as we all saw the outrageous claiming of the Russian embassy possessions in the US.
    Deconnecting Russia from the west started a while ago. It just speeded up lately.


    Last edited by ALAMO on Tue Sep 13, 2022 8:36 am; edited 1 time in total

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    Post  flamming_python Tue Sep 13, 2022 8:34 am

    Aliyev is basically safe as long as he sticks to neutrality in the Russia-Western standoff and doesn't try getting too close to NATO. Getting close to Turkey is annoying but acceptable for Russia as Turkey itself is distancing itself from NATO.

    Aliyev knows on which side the bread is buttered and won't try to compete too much with Russia in oil/gas supplies to Europe as well.

    But shelling Armenia proper is prohibited and this should be expressed in no uncertain terms

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    Post  ALAMO Tue Sep 13, 2022 8:40 am

    Naah, this beardy bastard is pissing me off Laughing
    Let him burn! Twisted Evil

    Edit : power is down in Charkov again this morning.

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    Post  Singular_Transform Tue Sep 13, 2022 8:48 am

    Arkanghelsk wrote:

    but there is a bureaucratic weight placed on the military and they cannot react without statesman saying its okay to hurt the brotherly nazis


    Don't think so.

    As far the current events unfolding, the political leadership defined only the general rules of this military action, but the details, including but not limited the speed, direction, retreat or attack decided by military officers.

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    Post  billybatts91 Tue Sep 13, 2022 8:51 am

    "Many fleeing Russian troops near Kharkiv have exited Ukraine" - U.S. official

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    Post  billybatts91 Tue Sep 13, 2022 8:54 am

    Let's see how Russia does here.

    "The Armed Forces of Ukraine are preparing a big offensive in the area of ​​the Zaporizhzhya NPP and crossings, the transfer of artillery installations, equipment and personnel is underway" - Vladimir Rogov

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    Post  ALAMO Tue Sep 13, 2022 8:56 am

    Seems that Iranian drones announced to join the party officially.

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #24 - Page 17 Photo_33

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #24 - Page 17 Photo_34

    Debris of "something" that is hitting Hoholsk in the Kupyansk area looks very similar to the Shahed-136.

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    Post  Erk Tue Sep 13, 2022 9:05 am

    ALAMO wrote:Seems that Iranian drones announced to join the party officially.

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #24 - Page 17 Photo_33

    Debris of "something" that is hitting Hoholsk in the Kupyansk area looks very similar to the Shahed-136.
    Looks fake, the letters don't seem to be placed on the same angle as the wing is.

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    Post  thegopnik Tue Sep 13, 2022 9:10 am

    good night guys hoping for alot of news tommorow.

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #24 - Page 17 Screen15

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    Post  flamming_python Tue Sep 13, 2022 9:19 am

    For those who understand Russian, by far the most amusing interpretation of Kharkov was by the guest of the show on ITON-TV, a popular Russian-language YouTube channel in Israel



    The guy is talking about the complete rout of Russian forces and another offensive towards Donetsk that will finish them off for good What a Face

    Calls Kherson a feint, and even calls Kharkov a feint just a surprisingly successful one. But that the actual Ukrainian offensive is still to come

    Well the hosts look a bit dumbfounded in response

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    Post  Stealthflanker Tue Sep 13, 2022 9:28 am

    ALAMO wrote:Seems that Iranian drones announced to join the party officially.

    Debris of "something" that is hitting Hoholsk in the Kupyansk area looks very similar to the Shahed-136.
    Do Russians bother to put "Geran" below that serial number ?

    Looks to me like it's another Russian Suicide UAV's.

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    Post  limb Tue Sep 13, 2022 9:35 am

    I wish Russia would start bombing Azerbaijan under article 4 of the csto treaty. Also declare a mobilization since it will foght a 2 front war
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    Post  limb Tue Sep 13, 2022 9:36 am

    Stealthflanker wrote:
    ALAMO wrote:Seems that Iranian drones announced to join the party officially.

    Debris of "something" that is hitting Hoholsk in the Kupyansk area looks very similar to the Shahed-136.
    Do Russians bother to put "Geran" below that serial number ?

    Looks to me like it's another Russian Suicide UAV's.

    Could be license produced.
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    Post  nomadski Tue Sep 13, 2022 9:36 am

    It looks like Russia , from the beginning of the SMO , had a cap or limit on troop levels and set itself objectives . As time passed , it became clear that troop levels were not enough to achieve these objectives at all in some areas , such as Kiev , and hardly enough in others , such as LDPR . There were advances in some places in the South , but some objectives seem beyond reach , such as Odessa or Nikolayev .

    Heavy reliance on artillery and missile and air strikes , may have taken a heavy toll on Ukrainian side , but by itself has not enabled further rapid advances . The Ukrainian side , recently has managed to put together a sizable force , armed with some western supplied weapons and concentrating forces , to make advances against thinly spread Russian units .

    It seems Russia is at least capable , in the near future or mid- term ( in the next six months or a year , economy permitting )  , to put together a force to reinforce the units in Ukraine . Carry out pincer movements against advancing troops . And drive out the Ukrainian troops from Russian speaking areas in the East .

    The reason , this has not been done , is not clear . Military considerations favour the build-up in Ukraine . Since Russia does not face any real or serious threat from the East or Southern borders , needing deployment of conventional force . The only real threat is from the western border by NATO . Either a strike through Ukraine or through  another country , say Finland !

    There is no choice here . If Russia doesn't deploy more conventional forces in Ukraine , then it is in danger of exposing itself , along this border to Ukraine backed by NATO . Not to mention that Russian speakers in their millions will leave their homes and become refugees in Russia . But this leaves other European borders exposed to conventional attack . Yes , but then Russia has reached the limit of it's conventional forces , and has to be ready and willing to escalate to non- conventional war , in this existential battle for survival .

    The other possible reason for lack of response by Russia ,for not deploying it's full forces , could be political . Some say " Atlanticists" are to blame ! Who knows ? But to me , it is clear that ,the spectre of ethnic genocide against Russians in Ukraine or Kazakhstan , will be a catalyst for more positive action . But better sooner than later .

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    Post  Stealthflanker Tue Sep 13, 2022 9:48 am

    limb wrote:

    Could be license produced.

    Or it's a legit Russian UAV's.

    Like why Russia cant scale up from KUB is kind of mystery.
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    Post  par far Tue Sep 13, 2022 9:50 am

    After listening to Scott Ritter, it is obvious that Russia needs more troops in Ukraine and Russia needs to step up its aggressiveness in Ukraine.

    Scott Ritter mentions that the Ukrainian troops that attacked in Kharkov, were trained in NATO countries and they have another 40,000 more training in NATO countries. Scott Ritter says Russia knows that they needs to stop this cycle.

    Scott Ritter says NATO troops are on the ground in Ukraine, they have Ukrainian uniforms on but they are NATO troops. NATO is commanding this whole operation, it is Russia vs NATO.

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    Post  Erk Tue Sep 13, 2022 10:34 am

    par far wrote:After listening to Scott Ritter, it is obvious that Russia needs more troops in Ukraine and Russia needs to step up its aggressiveness in Ukraine.

    Scott Ritter mentions that the Ukrainian troops that attacked in Kharkov, were trained in NATO countries and they have another 40,000 more training in NATO countries. Scott Ritter says Russia knows that they needs to stop this cycle.

    Scott Ritter says NATO troops are on the ground in Ukraine, they have Ukrainian uniforms on but they are NATO troops. NATO is commanding this whole operation, it is Russia vs NATO.


    So in other words, is NATO training up Ukrainian troops faster than Russia is taking them out?
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    Post  mr_hd Tue Sep 13, 2022 10:53 am

    par far wrote:...
    Scott Ritter says NATO troops are on the ground in Ukraine, they have Ukrainian uniforms on but they are NATO troops. NATO is commanding this whole operation, it is Russia vs NATO.
    ...

    Utter nonsense, no NATO troops will ever cross on the Ukrainian territory- at least as long it is war there. Situation for miscalculation and catastrophically large mistakes to happen would be real - no one sane will ever do that, that statement is pure fantasy and no one should believe in that crap.

    NATO is also not commanding operation there, it has no capacity nor political will for such risks, again nonsense, NATO is fully dysfunctional dinosaurs from another era btw.

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    Post  billybatts91 Tue Sep 13, 2022 11:14 am

    par far wrote:After listening to Scott Ritter, it is obvious that Russia needs more troops in Ukraine and Russia needs to step up its aggressiveness in Ukraine.

    Scott Ritter mentions that the Ukrainian troops that attacked in Kharkov, were trained in NATO countries and they have another 40,000 more training in NATO countries. Scott Ritter says Russia knows that they needs to stop this cycle.

    Scott Ritter says NATO troops are on the ground in Ukraine, they have Ukrainian uniforms on but they are NATO troops. NATO is commanding this whole operation, it is Russia vs NATO.


    He's correct but let's not forget that Ritter is a pedophile and sexual predator. Scumbag of a guy.

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    Post  Azi Tue Sep 13, 2022 11:18 am

    mr_hd wrote:
    par far wrote:...
    Scott Ritter says NATO troops are on the ground in Ukraine, they have Ukrainian uniforms on but they are NATO troops. NATO is commanding this whole operation, it is Russia vs NATO.
    ...

    Utter nonsense, no NATO troops will ever cross on the Ukrainian territory- at least as long it is war there. Situation for miscalculation and catastrophically large mistakes to happen would be real - no one sane will ever do that, that statement is pure fantasy and no one should believe in that crap.

    NATO is also not commanding operation there, it has no capacity nor political will for such risks, again nonsense, NATO is fully dysfunctional dinosaurs from another era btw.
    BULLSHIT!

    NATO provide training, satellite images and other kind of Intel...and of couse material. Even NATO soldiers fighting in this war...they are officially at vacation or "retired" Wink but these are of course war proven veterans. Proven videos of mercenaries in northern parts of Kharkov!

    NATO is 100 % involved in the operation. USA and atlantic hawks want a regime change in Russia. Ukraine is of ZERO interest for them, even if Ukraine will gets totally annihilated. Russia is the prize they want to win. With Russia on their side they can place Russia against China...same like USA trained and educated Ukrainians like a puppy against Russia, to be some kind of Anti-Russia. Next step in 15-25 years would be a war between Russia and China, with USA as a neutral state...after a maybe nuclear annihilation of both sides (Russia vs China) USA would step in as the winner. And even most likely if no war will ever happen between Russia and China, the USA can deprive China from all natural ressources that Russia is now providing to China. That's the whole plan guys...nothing else! Without Russia USA can never win a war against China.

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    Post  billybatts91 Tue Sep 13, 2022 11:28 am

    While Putin is twiddling his thumbs and Lavrov is talking about talks with Ukraine, this is what the West has planned. They smell blood and Russia is sleepwalking still smh...They better wake the f*ck up soon or Russia's future as a great power and serious country will be diminished beyond repair!

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    Post  mr_hd Tue Sep 13, 2022 11:56 am

    Azi wrote:
    mr_hd wrote:
    par far wrote:...
    Scott Ritter says NATO troops are on the ground in Ukraine, they have Ukrainian uniforms on but they are NATO troops. NATO is commanding this whole operation, it is Russia vs NATO.
    ...

    Utter nonsense, no NATO troops will ever cross on the Ukrainian territory- at least as long it is war there. Situation for miscalculation and catastrophically large mistakes to happen would be real - no one sane will ever do that, that statement is pure fantasy and no one should believe in that crap.

    NATO is also not commanding operation there, it has no capacity nor political will for such risks, again nonsense, NATO is fully dysfunctional dinosaurs from another era btw.
    BULLSHIT!

    NATO provide training, satellite images and other kind of Intel...and of couse material. Even NATO soldiers fighting in this war...they are officially at vacation or "retired" Wink but these are of course war proven veterans. Proven videos of mercenaries in northern parts of Kharkov!

    NATO is 100 % involved in the operation. USA and atlantic hawks want a regime change in Russia. Ukraine is of ZERO interest for them, even if Ukraine will gets totally annihilated. Russia is the prize they want to win. With Russia on their side they can place Russia against China...same like USA trained and educated Ukrainians like a puppy against Russia, to be some kind of Anti-Russia. Next step in 15-25 years would be a war between Russia and China, with USA as a neutral state...after a maybe nuclear annihilation of both sides (Russia vs China) USA would step in as the winner. And even most likely if no war will ever happen between Russia and China, the USA can deprive China from all natural ressources that Russia is now providing to China. That's the whole plan guys...nothing else! Without Russia USA can never win a war against China.

    NATO has no one voice - there are countries inside that are on war terms against each other like Turkey vs Greece, or on cold war terms like France and Turkey, some countries are very pro Russian like Turkey or Hungary etc...
    That is quite big but non functional organization. Some of the countries inside are pro Ukraine and are doing training and other support like US, Poland, UK etc... but it is not one big unified organization - that is pure propaganda and not reality.

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