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    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #39

    Backman
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    Post  Backman Thu Mar 02, 2023 5:02 am

    Son of a bitch. If they sent Leopards to Chasov yar then they probably are manned by all Poles. That is where Wagner is trying to close the circle.

    Nato is going all in on Bakhmut. They seemed to believe they could hold it. I thought it was just some stupid plan and bloody outburst because they seem to like killing as much Ukrainians as possible. But no. The arrogant bastards really are this desperate to hold it

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    Post  kvs Thu Mar 02, 2023 5:05 am

    How are 12 tanks going to make a difference? Every claim and every two bit contribution from NATzO is being treated with awe and
    respect while at the same time Russia is always attributed with failure and mistakes. People should dial down their chicken little
    frenzy.

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    Post  Mig-31BM2 Super Irbis-E Thu Mar 02, 2023 5:10 am


    @War_Mapper
    A close-up map of the approximate situation around the city of Bakhmut.
    Have advanced further northwest of Bakhmut, continuing to restrict the possibility of a withdrawal from the city.
    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #39 - Page 24 FqLIh1oWcAEBCjr?format=jpg&name=4096x4096

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    Post  sepheronx Thu Mar 02, 2023 5:29 am

    How are 12 tanks going to make a difference? Every claim and every two bit contribution from NATzO is being treated with awe and
    respect while at the same time Russia is always attributed with failure and mistakes. People should dial down their chicken little
    frenzy.

    Backman is known for that.

    I am wondering if that one governor in Russia is still keeping up his offer on how much he will pay for each Leopard Tank captured.

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    Post  Backman Thu Mar 02, 2023 6:02 am

    How are 12 tanks going to make a difference? Every claim and every two bit contribution from NATzO is being treated with awe and
    respect while at the same time Russia is always attributed with failure and mistakes. People should dial down their chicken little
    frenzy.



    They aren't going to make any difference. Thats not what I was surprised about. Just the fact that they would push some tanks into Bakhmut now shows that Ukraine and nato really thought they were going to hold it.

    This would also explain the Transnistria agitation. They are trying to use that as a diversion because they are that desperate over Bakhmut.


    Backman is known for that.

    I am not a doomer. I wasn't implying that Russia had shortages of shit either with the China story. It is evident that Russia will try anything that is cost effective and will give them an advantage. So if China has shit in storage that they could use or some drones they want to try out, why not ?

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    Post  billybatts91 Thu Mar 02, 2023 6:10 am

    Cracks are starting to form. Does America give a sh*t about its own taxpayers and their needs? This war will be Biden's undoing for sure...He's not gonna get a second term if he keeps wasting money on zelensky and co.

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #39 - Page 24 Untitl10

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    Post  sepheronx Thu Mar 02, 2023 6:34 am

    I am not a doomer. I wasn't implying that Russia had shortages of shit either with the China story. It is evident that Russia will try anything that is cost effective and will give them an advantage. So if China has shit in storage that they could use or some drones they want to try out, why not ?

    Like quoting any kind of stupid source or crap being said?  About weapons and ammunition that don't even work on Russia's systems that are already in mass production and in use?

    Soon enough, you are gonna quote some source that says that "China has nuclear weapons near the borders of Russia set up not since 1979" and make it sound like either China will nuke Russia or will send nukes to Russia.

    Anyway, lets just move on and actually report on things actually happening and developing rather than rumors and assumptions.

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    Post  ALAMO Thu Mar 02, 2023 7:01 am

    Would be stupid for Russia not to take any bit of help it can get. Every delivered piece of equipment, shell or whatever else can mean the difference between life and death for any given serviceman. If Russia has an advantage currently in whatever area, so then the task is to widen that gap and improve that advantage.

    Sure, but I guess that kvs is implying something different.
    His point is, that the whole "China supplies weapon hur dur!" thing is a smoke&mirror to be used later.
    We didn't lose with Russkies, but with China, Iran, and the other evil regimes, and that is not so bad, we are still very powerful and mighty!

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    Post  sepheronx Thu Mar 02, 2023 7:06 am

    Sure, but I guess that kvs is implying something different.
    His point is, that the whole "China supplies weapon hur dur!" thing is a smoke&mirror to be used later.
    We didn't lose with Russkies, but with China, Iran, and the other evil regimes, and that is not so bad, we are still very powerful and mighty!

    Ding!

    The west is pushing a narrative to split the world. And they have been working very hard in trying to single out Russia, China, Iran and NK as the axis of evil narrative. They are currently working hard to convince (more like threaten) India and Africa to go against Russia, China and others, even if the "good and honest" western world had exploited the shit out of said country and continent for so long.

    So the first narrative is to push that "Russia is dumb, incapable, poor, badly developed, weak" in order to show that this Axis of Evil is already bad and incapable of being a threat to drive countries away from them. They go after Russia though because they thought Russian's were dumb enough to fall for the same mistakes of the 90's. They ended up being wrong but will continue this mantra. You will see them use it towards Iran (again) and then China next.

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    Mir
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    Post  Mir Thu Mar 02, 2023 8:01 am

    Alamo wrote:We didn't lose with Russkies, but with China, Iran, and the other evil regimes, and that is not so bad, we are still very powerful and mighty!

    Exactly! They know they are going to loose this battle against "Putin's Evil Empire". Embarassed
    Now bring in the "Axis of Evil" then it won't look so bad Laughing Laughing

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    Post  ALAMO Thu Mar 02, 2023 8:14 am

    Even more than that!
    They were forced to de-escalate, because of fear of the future of humankind.
    While threatened by bloodthirsty regimes with madmen holding the nuke buttons.
    So much responsible they are, look here my dear voters, here we are, your savers!

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    Post  walle83 Thu Mar 02, 2023 8:53 am



    Sometimes you do start to wonder. Best part is when the destroyed tank crew thinks they are going to be rescued by the incoming bmp, and its just turns around 10 meter from them Rolling Eyes
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    Post  d_taddei2 Thu Mar 02, 2023 9:35 am

    @alamo the motherland statue in Kiev is impressive been a few times never climbed it, as one time it was getting renovation inside the part u climb, and second time it was a very hot sunny day and they refuse to take u up as they say it's too hot inside. There was talk of removing it and selling the stainless steel it's made from. But to me what would they replace it with that would be equally or better? Nothing in my eye's. Not sure if u know but it faces in direction of Moscow. Here's a few pics of mine.

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #39 - Page 24 Fb_img37

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #39 - Page 24 Fb_img36

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #39 - Page 24 Fb_img35

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    Post  Arrow Thu Mar 02, 2023 9:37 am

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    Post  d_taddei2 Thu Mar 02, 2023 9:40 am

    Seen an article stating Russia is sending BTR-50 to Ukraine with pictures of it on trains. Not sure if legit or if the pictures are recent or from years back. The article as always states Russia suffering from losses and lack of equipment. But the way I see it the BTR-50 isn't such a bad vehicle it's got the same armour roughly as a MTLB it's bigger and fairly well mobile and it's large. These could be being used for mobilization forces just to get to them through bad ground and closer to the front, or used for bringing in supplies. I highly if they indeed are being used that it's going to be used on active fronts and used in assaults that I don't believe. And the source most likely anti Russian.


    https://defence-blog.com/russia-to-deploy-vintage-btr-50-tracked-carriers-to-ukraine/?amp

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    Post  famschopman Thu Mar 02, 2023 10:15 am

    Even then, what's the point of just keeping these vehicles in long term storage until we have reached the stage of zero gravity propulsion on tanks. Use them, so you make room in long term storage to be replenished with new modern equipment.

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    Post  GarryB Thu Mar 02, 2023 10:16 am

    Until Russia finds a way to take this war right inside continental USA in one form or the other, the war in Ukraine will not come to an end.

    The west wants this to be another Afghanistan for Russia, but this is more like another WWII for Ukraine... including with nazis... in real terms Russia is actually doing amazingly well considering the situation, while the only reason Kiev has not collapsed is the weapons and especially money coming from the west, but economic times are hard in the west and throwing lots and lots of money to the Ukraine with no visible success or progress every few months is going to be very hard to justify politically and so support is going to die faster in the west than anywhere else.

    Just recently a US official was talking publicly about the Ukraine getting all these freebies and about how they are going to have to organise payment for these weapons in an ongoing way for the future (assuming of course that Kiev has a future as a pro west entity).

    https://www.rt.com/news/572237-pentagon-ukraine-pay-weapons/

    A top Pentagon official has insisted that Kiev eventually needs to foot the bill for some shipments

    So not all of the free billions from the west can go into western and Orc pockets... some of it has to be shared back with the western MIC as well... presumably so they can fund the ramping up of production of weapons and ammo.


    I guess that with a good-condition gun and better-stored ammo, they can hit a bullseye with that. Guns were known for very good accuracy for decad

    Hope they are using the old ammo up first, with HE rounds a four shot burst to bracket the target can often be more effective against an enemy position than four direct hits at the point of aim.

    Shooting at air targets a good spread of shots through the target box is better than absolute precision because once fired the shells have a fixed trajectory so if the first misses the remaining shots are likely to miss too, whereas a less accurate gun spreads the shells around the point of aim... the point of aim is where the target should be if it continues at the same speed and same direction after you fire and till the time your rounds arrive, which might be several seconds time... especially out to 8km, so a bit of spread is a good thing so that you have a chance of a hit even if the target changes its flight path or flight speed... one shell will do serious damage for most targets so most of the time one hit will get the job done... you don't need all four rounds in a clip to get hits.

    Of course the 2S38 uses a new version of the same gun so the ammo will have gone back into full scale production and with newer ammo with a range of new types including APFSDS and new types of HE with smarter fuses and of course guided and airburst rounds.

    Another factor of course is that putting the gun, which is automatic and fires from a clip, just on the back of a standard truck is not the ideal setup for extreme precision anyway... it would be like firing a sniper rifle from a childs swing... in bursts of four rounds...

    China has tons of Soviet ammo and guns, and obviously can supply if asked.
    Yet knowing the types would require some more detailed knowledge.

    And you can bet anything you like that in private the Americans are probably asking China to make 152mm and 122mm calibre ammo so they can ship it to Kiev, the way they wanted Venezuela and Iran to sell the US oil when they were trying to restrict Russian sales... and would want Russia to increase its sales when it was trying to restrict Iranian and Venezuelan sales too... they are conniving bastards... and everyone knows it.

    Yes, makes no sense for Russia. There is no shortage nor need to fill the gap.

    That is the point though really... Russia does have an enormous shortage of 155mm calibre artillery... in fact they don't have any deployed anywhere...  Twisted Evil

    I would think that loitering munitions would be more of an interest for Russia. They don't need much maintenance or logistics, they don't put crews at the risk, Chinese would also be willing to do a test run of advanced systems, especially against western equipment and jamming. It would fill the niche and Russia already has operational know-how.

    I agree that drones, especially suicide drones would be useful but they are not the same as artillery... when 300 men are attacking your position through a light forest a dozen suicide drones are worthless to stop the attack... two batteries of 152mm guns and the odd Grad batteries can blunt the entire attack even if they don't kill every single attacker. They can also harass the retreat too and get even more kills.

    It is the same issue with air attack... a helicopter can take out half a dozen vehicles very quickly but an enemy armoured formation might have rather more vehicles there so rocket artillery with anti armour top attack submunitions can take out a lot more vehicles in one strike without risking pilots...

    Either way drones are useful to find targets, to monitor attacks and to determine if follow up attacks are needed.

    I am not saying Chinese will the war for Russia, but I am saying that drones are never enough and would give new Wehrmacht larper tankers to regret their profession.

    That has to be qualified though because the Orcs are using HATO jammers so most store bought cheap drones are useless... anti drone technology on the Russian lines will also effect drone performance so just sending lots of drones might reduce the fire power potential for units rather than boost it, but military standard drones are what is needed and Russia has been looking at drones from all sorts of sources but seems to prefer to make their own as shown by the all Russian component made Forepost-R and now the Iranian drone design they are clearly making for themselves... why would they panic and buy off the shelf untested Chinese drones?

    Not saying they wont have good drones, but there are plenty of Russian companies that have been working on drones the last decade or so that have come up with some interesting stuff more likely to be tested first.

    Interesting point, also their plan for a deep water container port on Crimea. Whilst the need for the port, to link into an about to be reduced EU need for Chinese goods, is probably no longer there, the need for food is.

    They were working to increase trade between Europe and Asia and Ukraine is on that trade route so it would make sense to take advantage of fertile soils and a broken economy to get land and probably good conditions like low tax rates that were on offer when Kiev was sane... but now they are zombies... controlled by an evil wizard.

    You mean all the bare basic stuff that Russian MoD should have provided their troops with long ago?

    I remember reading a report about a British soldier who was a tank crew member that died because he got shot and had not been issued with body armour yet because there was problems getting it to the soldiers in the volumes needed at the time because obviously when they need them they need them all at once so supply can sometimes struggle to keep up even in a modern western force.

    If Ukraine loses the US is not going to send in troops to take their positions on the front line.... certain people who know too much will either be paid off handsomely to keep their mouths shut with the threat that them and all their family will be killed if they spill the beans, or they will just have a collective accident in a bus crash or helicopter crash or aircraft accident and it will all be tied off and forgotten faster than the last time this happened.

    This guy looks like sliding down the route into madness.
    And I mean it, just look at him.

    He was never a good poker player to begin with but his hand he is dealt is awful... and he is playing against an expert that wont fall for bluffs or tricks or cheating.

    Yeah Im no expert. A couple replies on twitter said they were. I assumed they knew what they're talking about and the chinese copy everthing. It has an auto loader that even wiki says is a copy

    PLZ-05 is reportedly fitted with a fully-automatic loading system similar to 2S19 Msta, providing a rate of fire of 8 rounds/minute.

    The issue is not whether it is a clone or not, or whether it is worse or even better than the MSTA... the core problem is that it is likely a new chassis with a new engine and a new transmission and the gun uses a different type of ammo that Russia does not use... what happens if they buy 100 and find the transmission is shit or the engine breaks down and doesn't like the climate... it is simply not a good idea unless they are desperate and they don't seem to be desperate.

    China might have some extra long range artillery rockets Russia might be interested in and of course some light drones might be interesting too... I think the core idea is that they supply something that is useful but anything they supply will piss off the west and they will jump up and down about China helping Russia at a time when they have sent billions worth of military equipment to Kiev...  this is not about helping Russia as such because I doubt they need a lot of help, this is more about giving the US the finger.  

    That would be the last thing i say to an Russian, me being from the Western world.

    But all Americans still believe Russia is communist... because their media is shit.

    Funny how people here are taking the yap about China sending weapons to Russia seriously. This is grade A BS from NATzO partly
    designed to put pressure on China but also to pacify the sheeple that Russia is desperate and can't outlast mighty NATzO. In the
    real world, it is NATzO that won't be able to outlast Russia

    They are sending billions of dollars worth of weapons to Kiev and it still is not enough as far as Kiev is concerned so how can Russia send a small fraction of its military and operate for a year at a fairly high intensity of standoff weapons and artillery and not be in desperate need for sources of weapons and ammo... HATO countries have exhausted their stocks and are even sending front line stuff they can't replace so how can Russia be doing it so easy...

    Well obviously they have been getting weapons and ammo from allies like Iran and China and North Korea and Vietnam and Cuba and Venezuela etc etc... NOT.

    China may supply ammo and spare parts if they really plan a big offensive. Even Russia can't produce enough ammo for a big war and have stocks full to deter Nato.

    How do you know how well their ammo production and war stocks are going?

    There has not been decent analysis in the west of the real capabilities of Russia for three decades... it has all be stereotype and bullshit estimates based on smoke and mirrors.

    We really don't know what Russia can or cannot produce, but they certainly didn't send all their production offshore to save a few dollars like the west did.


    It's a vital interest for China to not let West win this war. They are next on the list.

    Very much agree with this, but western accusations that China is helping along with threats of what sanctions they will impose if they do help suggests to me that the west is afraid of China helping Russia with arms production because it would also put them more on a war footing and prepare them better for any bullshit the US wants to start over Taiwan or anything else there in the region.

    I think China should make some 122mm calibre ammo and send it to Russia as a token gesture whether they need the ammo or not just to piss the US off and show they wont be bullied by the worlds number one bully.

    If America wants to cut itself off from 1.2 billion customers in the Chinese economy I would love to see the politicians justify this... most likely they will claim it will only be temporary just like with Russia because their economy will collapse and you can go in and make billions... in the chaos that is created.

    Never seems to work out that way though.

    The smoke break - from what I read - is due to the fact that the military is constructing a new doctrine

    Another issue is that logistics is complicated... you can't just boost production by a million rounds and then that magically arrives at the front line on one truck... you need to move the ammo forward and keep them in thousands of different places so that if the enemy hits an ammo dump you don't loose more than a hundred shells or so... each dump might have the ammo allocation for a few batteries to fire for one engagement, and ammo dumps need to be set up all the time in new locations... as the shells are used up some dumps might be reused or they might be repurposed.

    How are 12 tanks going to make a difference? Every claim and every two bit contribution from NATzO is being treated with awe and
    respect while at the same time Russia is always attributed with failure and mistakes. People should dial down their chicken little
    frenzy.

    Most of the attacks we have seen over the last few months by Orc forces either attacking or counter attacking have consisted of a single tank or a couple of BMPs and the rest of the vehicles are civilian cars... most of which get destroyed and the attack repulsed with 80-150 dead Orc soldiers... if they want to start using 12 tanks in a single formation attacking Russian positions then drones with laser target markers and Krasnopol artillery rounds and attack helicopters with long range anti tank missiles are going to be very busy.

    They aren't going to make any difference. Thats not what I was surprised about. Just the fact that they would push some tanks into Bakhmut now shows that Ukraine and nato really thought they were going to hold it.

    Have to agree... I was thinking they would keep them around Kiev for show, or perhaps use them for the invasion of Moldova... but even then I think they would struggle... even Soviet era anti tank equipment would be dangerous for such vehicles and as the Chechen conflicts showed Soviet army training against enemy armour was thorough and effective.

    We didn't lose with Russkies, but with China, Iran, and the other evil regimes, and that is not so bad, we are still very powerful and mighty!

    And also we are running out of weapons and ammo very very quickly so the Russians must be running out too...

    Seen an article stating Russia is sending BTR-50 to Ukraine with pictures of it on trains. Not sure if legit or if the pictures are recent or from years back. The article as always states Russia suffering from losses and lack of equipment. But the way I see it the BTR-50 isn't such a bad vehicle it's got the same armour roughly as a MTLB it's bigger and fairly well mobile and it's large. These could be being used for mobilization forces just to get to them through bad ground and closer to the front, or used for bringing in supplies. I highly if they indeed are being used that it's going to be used on active fronts and used in assaults that I don't believe. And the source most likely anti Russian.

    There was mention a while back about the lack of ambulance vehicles to recover stretcher patients... BTR-50s would be ideal for such a role as they have excellent mobility and have protection, unlike civilian vehicles, and their tracks would allow them to go off road if needed.

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    Post  d_taddei2 Thu Mar 02, 2023 11:55 am

    @garryb i remember some BTR-50 were converted by some country into an ambulance but it required quite a bit of cutting and welding. These vehicle troop doors and situated on the roof if I remember not easy sticking a stretcher onto a roof and down into the vehicle lol!

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    Post  Mir Thu Mar 02, 2023 12:27 pm

    Walle83 wrote:Sometimes you do start to wonder. Best part is when the destroyed tank crew thinks they are going to be rescued by the incoming bmp, and its just turns around 10 meter from them

    Nothing unusual about that. It's called Fight-or-Flight response. A very basic instinct that in the end means the difference between life and death.
    Very few soldiers actually gets a medal for bravery when under fire Smile
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    Post  Arkanghelsk Thu Mar 02, 2023 12:29 pm

    As I said , has nothing to do with shortages, or lack of ammo

    The military doesn't give a shit about Bakhmut or Ugledar

    What you see now, is a wagner and marine attempt on these small sectors of the front

    The military has what it needs, but needs to train 300k+ men for this new war

    You can't just send these guys into a war with 2 or even 3 months of basic training

    They need more time, and to be familiar with their equipment - and ammo needs to be saved for the spring when the army will step in to stop the Ukrainian suicide charge

    Bakhmut and Ugledar are not that important, and that's why Wagner is the only ones there

    And in Kremennaya it's the same, it's the VDV

    So the most autonomous units are in some skirmishes , while the army machine is training and studying the new war

    Don't get me wrong, Bakhmut is a large battle, but the army proper is focused on greater ambitions

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    SeigSoloyvov
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    Post  SeigSoloyvov Thu Mar 02, 2023 1:02 pm

    Bruh Bakhmut is important, it's in a strategically important, its the last strong hold area until the kramatorsk line, Russia needs to take if they want to advance.

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    billybatts91
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    Post  billybatts91 Thu Mar 02, 2023 1:51 pm


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    Post  Serberus Thu Mar 02, 2023 2:58 pm


    Bryansk: Two civilian killed, and a child wounded. One of the adults was driving 3 children to a pick up stop for their school bus when they came under fire. The adult driver was shot and killed instantly, the 11 year old boy got shot but the bullet went through him, surgery has been done and the boys condition is now stable.
    The other two children managed to flee when the car came under fire, they are safe with their parents and authorities is the latest news.

    https://t.me/gzvonews/4973
    Arkanghelsk
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    Post  Arkanghelsk Thu Mar 02, 2023 3:00 pm

    Bakhmut, and the Kramatorsk line, are important in so far as accomplishing political objective of liberating donbass

    As far as strategic importance, Bakhmut holds little value,  and that's why wagner is devoted to this secondary objective

    Liberating donbass is a political bargaining chip, that will be used for domestic propaganda purposes

    Ofc, freeing the people of donbass is important

    But a higher priority is forcing Kiev to capitulate , and integrating Ukraine into the sphere of influence

    And that will take much greater military efforts then just donbass - at worse it is a reputational nuisance,  that the people who identify as Russians are bombed daily

    But liberating Donbass is not going to end the war - and so the army is concentrated on this much bigger goal

    *** the terror attack on Bryansk highlights this

    The border regions from belgorod north to Belarus are in danger and those areas are where the army should focus an offensive, either before or after the Ukrainian suicide charge

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    SeigSoloyvov
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    Post  SeigSoloyvov Thu Mar 02, 2023 3:12 pm

    In order to do what you want, you need to force a military victory over Ukraine and in order to do that land must be taken, so yes Again Bakhmut is important

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