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    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #62

    franco
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    Post  franco Yesterday at 6:03 pm

    After 1000 days since Russian-Ukrainian War began #RussianArmy currently control 86818 Sq Km, which corresponds to 14,38% of Ukraine (18,85% with Crimea Peninsula included):

    - Donetsk People's Republic forces controls 17466 Km^2 (65,87% of Donetsk oblast)

    - Luhansk People's Republic forces controls 26457 Km^2 (99,15% of Luhansk oblast)

    In addition, the distribution of control of the other oblasts is as follows:
    Kherson:
    - Russia: 21452 sq Km (75,37%)
    - Ukraine: 7009 sq Km (24,63%)
    Zaporizhia:
    - Russia: 20343 sq Km (74,84%)
    - Ukraine: 6840 sq Km (25,16%)
    Kharkov:
    - Russia: 1100 sq Km (3,5%)
    - Ukraine: 30315 sq Km (96,5%)

    https://x.com/Suriyakmaps/status/1859146614427758832

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    Post  Kiko Yesterday at 6:05 pm

    Sniper reveals who is actually holding Kurakhovo, 11.20.2024.

    Sniper Svetly: Mercenaries from Poland are operating in the Kurakhovsky direction.

    MOSCOW, November 20 — RIA Novosti. Assault groups staffed by mercenaries from Poland are operating in the Kurakhovsky direction, 150th Division sniper Svetly told RIA Novosti.

    "We are facing mercenaries from different countries. Mostly Poles, there are also Germans. Their instructors enter the positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces , but as soon as we start to "strangle" them, they retreat. But the Ukrainian Armed Forces remain," says Svetly. "We also encountered groups formed only of Poles. They have their own uniform, chevrons. They did not have time to escape."

    Kurakhovo, along with Avdiivka and Ugledar, which were previously liberated by Russian troops, is one of those settlements where the Ukrainian Armed Forces have created the most serious fortifications. It is from there that the Petrovsky district of Donetsk is still being shelled . The city is of strategic importance - its loss will deprive the Ukrainian Armed Forces of important supply routes.

    https://ria.ru/20241120/snayper-1984603318.html

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    Post  Firebird Yesterday at 6:09 pm

    Its not about sq km.
    Its about how much trash has been destroyed.
    And a LOT of trash has been destroyed.

    Its not the end of the Pukraine operation.
    But we are certainly seeing the BEGINNING of the end of it.
    If the Banderaturds want to keep fighting... and dying. Fine.

    And Russia has a zillion options to "return the favour" of the proxy war.

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    Post  flamming_python Yesterday at 6:22 pm

    GarryB wrote:
    They launched 6 super uber weapons and caused a small fire that was put out... perhaps by your salty tears.

    They have stepped on the mine and there was no explosion but is it on a timer or do they have to take their foot off before it will explode?

    The line has been crossed and now Putin can do as he pleases up to and including nuclear weapons use.

    What I think is actually most likely is that the plans to stop at Russian territory will be changed and the buffer zone will now be 350km and the war will continue much longer and there will be no peace talks while long range weapons are being used by the enemy.

    If long range weapons are to allow negotiations from a position of strength then no negotiations makes that meaningless.

    All of that amounts to a non-response and will only further embolden Western leaders and convince them that Putin is all talk

    Which is hardly ideal. Yes Putin will eventually be obligated to respond, but by that time we really will end up in WW3 with no room for maneuver.

    Nobody in the West cares about Russia and its nuclear doctrines or its position on negotiations. The former because NATO doesn't believe Putin will ever use them. The later because they have literally spent the last year deciding between themselves what demands they will threaten Moscow with. Kiev objected on some points, they made the demands firmer, and so on. Then they arrived at a unified position and have now presented Moscow with an ultimatum.

    You're saying that what will impress them is if Putin commits to calling off the theoretical possibility of something that's not happening anyway - that being Russian-Western negotiations.
    In fact Putin already called them off when the Ukraine invaded the Kursk region (only for Shoigu to walk that back a little later). And if that wasn't enough, then Zelensky mouthing off about getting nukes again certainly was. There can be no negotiations or agreements that leave such a regime in place, full stop.

    The ATACMS strikes in turn, are a separate issue that have nothing to do with the Ukraine except for the fact that they're being launched from its territory. And it requires a response directly to NATO.

    LMFS wrote:In that regard, I will not speculate on how they can respond to the ongoing aggression, since there are enough painful ways of doing this. But it would be indeed much better to identify the individuals behind this particular decision and make sure they will not enjoy a happy retirement, than to derail any possibility to have a less confrontational relationship with the next US administration, which is exactly the goal that the outgoing administration is seeking.

    That amounts to a non-response too

    Western leaders are not interested in any future hints pertaining to their personal harm (which will never materialize in any case) by a Russian regime that they are convinced they will overthrow or destroy. 
    No such thing will deter them from escalating things further once they figure out that Russia won't enforce its own red lines.

    Firebird wrote:Its not about sq km.
    Its about how much trash has been destroyed.
    And a LOT of trash has been destroyed.

    Its not the end of the Pukraine operation.
    But we are certainly seeing the BEGINNING of the end of it.
    If the Banderaturds want to keep fighting... and dying. Fine.

    And Russia has a zillion options to "return the favour" of the proxy war.

    Objectively speaking this war can still go on for 12-18 months. Especially if Zelensky lowers the conscription age further, which he will.

    And over that time, in fact in little time at all, the range and scope of NATO missile strikes against Russia can steadily increase.

    It also can definitely not be excluded that NATO will introduce ground forces once Russian forces advance to the Dnepr or threaten Odessa.

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    Eugenio Argentina
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    Post  Eugenio Argentina Yesterday at 6:37 pm

    ❗Denmark announces €130 million package for Ukraine, 19 more F-16s

    Denmark has delivered six F-16 fighter jets to Ukraine, with 13 more to be delivered later, Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen said. She also announced another aid package for the Ukrainian military.

    Meanwhile, speaking to reporters, Zelensky once again found time to threaten Russia with Western-made missiles.

    https://t.me/geopolitics_live/37614

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    lancelot
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    Post  lancelot Yesterday at 7:09 pm

    caveat emptor wrote:You're right. Automatic welding line was scrapped during the 90's and sold as scrap metal. Also, UVZ had 6 lines for tank production and now has almost 2.
    Omsktransmash also doesn't produce new tanks, it is only doing T-80s upgrades to BVM standard, even if they're now talking about possibility of restoring full production.
    "Peace dividend". Russia lost the Kharkiv tank factory to Ukraine. They closed down the tank factory at St. Petersburg. The one which produced the heavy tanks in WW2. And the UVZ and Omsk plants were hollowed out.

    The US fared even worse, they used to have two tank factories, they closed one, and were in the process of closing the last one when Trump cancelled it. But even so it cannot make ANY new tanks.

    It is easy to say the Russian MIC degraded vs Soviet times but it is also easy to forget the Western MIC degraded even worse.

    In the case of the T-72 the cast turrets used to be made in Ukraine. With the dissolution of the Soviet Union the Russians had to come up with a welded turret to make the T-90.

    Substantial investments have been made since 2014 to increase production at UVZ. We keep hearing about them all the time. For example V-12 engine production was substantially improved, and more automated facilities to produce it are available than used to be the case.

    You continue to persist with this falsehood that Omsk is not producing whole new T-80 tanks.

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    Post  higurashihougi Yesterday at 7:17 pm

    Upper image: Kiev fascist regime presented the "Korean missile fragment"

    Lower image: A liar named Collin Powell presented the infamous "Iraq chemical weapon."

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #62 - Page 28 Koreau10

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    TMA1
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    Post  TMA1 Yesterday at 7:27 pm

    It is pretty apparent to those who could see the desperation in the neocon/neolib acts. If they lose face in front of the world they see it as the coming of their own political deaths and the death of long laid plans for the whole world. I am afraid that Russia has the moral right now to act. To do so carries serious risk of nuclear annihilation for us all. I do not think some people here understand the madness of our elites here. The analytical caution of Putin's regime is understandable and has been quite effective as seen in the transfer of large military presence in Syria after the western guided attempt to overthrow Assad. It was similarly effective in various parts of the African continent. Finally this analytical caution was seen to succeeed in Kazakhstan where color revolution was stifled.

    This though. This situation in Ukraine is wholly unique. It is truly now a game of chicken. A horrific game with hundreds of thousands of lives now lost because of the actions of our neocon and neolib overlords. Many of us were hoping beyond hope that Trump might change things somehow. We can indeed see the desperate gamble in allowing Ukriane to strike Russia with our weapons, putting us in this war directly. Also potentially triggering Russian nuclear doctrine which now has the clause that any proxy attacks on direct Russian territory with western support is grounds for nuclear reprisal.

    It is so dangerous. I understand if Putin's regime tries to find a way out of this without direct strikes on western targets in and out of Ukraine. Still though I understand thr anger and frustration of hard liners as it is indeed the case that the west is now directly challenging Russia and is now clearly, without any ambiguity now, crossing existential reclines. So those hardliners are right that it is now a direct attack on Russian sovereignty. Russia indeed has imo moral right and justification for direct attack on western targets. But is it wise? To me our elites scare me. Not fear in any powerful or noble way. I fear them like I fear a coward or school shooter type with a gun in his hand. I fear their foolishness, recklessness, folly and wickedness. Do you guys know what I mean?

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    Post  Arrow Yesterday at 7:58 pm

    "Fragments of Storm Shadow missiles were found near the village of Maryino along the E38 Rylsk-Lgov-Kurchatov road in Russia’s Kursk region. Earlier, The Times reported that the Ukrainian Armed Forces had been authorized to deploy these missiles deep within Russian territory."

    Except that Scapl/Storm Shadow are almost finished. However, the US allowed its colonies UK and France to attack Russian territory using these missiles.



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    Mir
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    Post  Mir Yesterday at 8:31 pm

    Russian Forces Use 'Wolf Hunt' Tactics to Break Ukrainian Defenses in Kurakhovo.

    https://sputnikglobe.com/20241120/how-russian-forces-use-wolf-hunt-tactics-to-break-ukrainian-defenses-in-kurakhovo-1120942614.html

    Russian forces operating in the Kurakhovo region of the Ukrainian conflict zone have been methodically dismantling Ukrainian defenses using a tactic similar to that employed by wolf hunters, Russia's Ministry of Defense reveals.

    The tactic involves:
    - Russian assault units split into multiple small teams.
    - These teams work to encircle the enemy.
    - They strike from multiple directions.
    - This tactic aims to leave the opposition with no room to maneuver.

    Cut off and constantly pushed back from all sides, Ukrainian militants find themselves unable to hold their positions, no matter how well fortified they are, and often prefer to surrender rather than to continue pointless resistance.

    In August, Ukrainian forces launched an incursion into Russia’s Kursk region in what appeared to be an attempt to force Russia to divert its forces from the Ukrainian conflict zone to counter this breakthrough.

    This gambit backfired spectacularly for Kiev as the Ukrainian assault achieved the exact opposite: the large number of troops Ukraine committed to the attack on Kursk led to Ukrainian forces lacking reserves to stop Russian offensive in multiple areas of the Ukrainian conflict zone, such as Kurakhovo, for example.

    The city of Kurakhovo is important to Kiev from both the military and economic standpoints. Not only does it serve as the lynchpin of the Ukrainian defenses in the region, barring the way to a key logistical hub of Pokrovsk, it also currently serves as the only source of coking coal for the Ukrainian metallurgy industry.

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    Post  Arrow Yesterday at 8:53 pm

    https://t.me/kalibrated/15949
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    Post  lancelot Yesterday at 9:39 pm

    Arkanghelsk
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    Post  Arkanghelsk Yesterday at 9:45 pm

    TMA1 wrote:It is pretty apparent to those who could see the desperation in the neocon/neolib acts. If they lose face in front of the world they see it as the coming of their own political deaths and the death of long laid plans for the whole world. I am afraid that Russia has the moral right now to act. To do so carries serious risk of nuclear annihilation for us all. I do not think some people here understand the madness of our elites here. The analytical caution of Putin's regime is understandable and has been quite effective as seen in the transfer of large military presence in Syria after the western guided attempt to overthrow Assad. It was similarly effective in various parts of the African continent. Finally this analytical caution was seen to succeeed in Kazakhstan where color revolution was stifled.

    This though. This situation in Ukraine is wholly unique. It is truly now a game of chicken. A horrific game with hundreds of thousands of lives now lost because of the actions of our neocon and neolib overlords. Many of us were hoping beyond hope that Trump might change things somehow. We can indeed see the desperate gamble in allowing Ukriane to strike Russia with our weapons, putting us in this war directly. Also potentially triggering Russian nuclear doctrine which now has the clause that any proxy attacks on direct Russian territory with western support is grounds for nuclear reprisal.

    It is so dangerous. I understand if Putin's regime tries to find a way out of this without direct strikes on western targets in and out of Ukraine. Still though I understand thr anger and frustration of hard liners as it is indeed the case that the west is now directly challenging Russia and is now clearly, without any ambiguity now, crossing existential reclines. So those hardliners are right that it is now a direct attack on Russian sovereignty. Russia indeed has imo moral right and justification for direct attack on western targets. But is it wise? To me our elites scare me. Not fear in any powerful or noble way. I fear them like I fear a coward or school shooter type with a gun in his hand. I fear their foolishness, recklessness, folly and wickedness. Do you guys know what I mean?


    They should just launch ASAP tbh , on polish fuel dumps, ammo storage , and some empty land or a runway

    Call NATO and tell them missiles are out 30 minutes before like Iran did with Israel

    And fuckit , NATO won’t do much - maybe they will directly try and strike Russia but I think s400 can shoot their planes down , after all even Israel F35 couldn’t cope with Iranian AD and went for some storages

    The longer Russia puts this off the more danger of nuclear escalation grows

    Ukraine will get nukes eventually if this continues
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    Post  flamming_python Yesterday at 9:54 pm

    Strikes on embassies in Kiev with fair warning will do for the time being.
    Main thing is that Russia doesn't chicken out.

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    Post  Arrow Yesterday at 9:59 pm

    They should just launch ASAP tbh , on polish fuel dumps, ammo storage , and some empty land or a runway Call NATO and tell them missiles are out 30 minutes before like Iran did with Israel wrote:

    Laughing Forget about any conventional attack on NATO. Unless the Kremlin changes power.

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    Post  ucmvulcan Yesterday at 10:43 pm

    flamming_python wrote:Strikes on embassies in Kiev with fair warning will do for the time being.
    Main thing is that Russia doesn't chicken out.

    No, massive air raid on Kiev with NO Warning. I abhor violence but until the viceroys are carried out in body bags and the embassies (awwww jeesh, Russia used the wrong maps, they thought they were striking ammo dumps and state banks) cease to be able to function the stupidity will continue. Hit the embassies with the staffs in them and with 0 warning and apologize for the accident later. After all, Russian doesn't have smart weapons like the west and so it was a most unfortunate accident.

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    Post  Mir Yesterday at 10:43 pm

    Arrow wrote:
    Laughing Forget about any conventional attack on NATO. Unless the Kremlin changes power.

    Be careful you may just choke on your bagel pretty soon! Laughing

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    Post  LMFS Yesterday at 10:57 pm

    flamming_python wrote:
    That amounts to a non-response too

    Western leaders are not interested in any future hints pertaining to their personal harm (which will never materialize in any case) by a Russian regime that they are convinced they will overthrow or destroy. 
    No such thing will deter them from escalating things further once they figure out that Russia won't enforce its own red lines.

    This is just simplistic, schoolyard level bait. Current dynamics favor Russian and the ones trying to break it are those staging provocations. Then some supposed "concerned friends" of Russia do nothing but seeding discontent and advocate for doing exactly what the side staging the provocation seeks, while forgetting the one and thousand events of the last twenty years in which Russia has caused major, long lasting harm to Western hegemony. Notice a pattern here?

    Explain how the West is going to destroy Russia with one or ten or hundred leakers? They indeed will not stop, even if Russia escalates directly against NATO. On the contrary, this will just help them fight internal dissent, force their vassals in line and accelerate the transition from their ongoing slow political and economic decay into a kinetic phase where they will be justified to invoke force majeure and avoid fulfilling their obligations, addressing exactly the main factors that play in Russia's favor. The current path of events is one in which the West takes extreme care in hiding behind proxies and attacks in a scale which is only useful for the informational war, but cannot destroy or even harm significantly Russia, while their internal rot is advancing faster and faster, inevitably going to eat them up. They don't want to be the ones attacking directly Russia and much less in a way that can be seen as starting a war. All their hopes rely on managing to provoke Russia into doing something stupid that provides them with an excuse for the world conflagration that they are looking for. And you all fake friends are just helping them implement their strategy, in case you have not noticed it.

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    Post  Lapain Yesterday at 11:00 pm

    A couple of Storm Shadow struck a compound near Kursk. "All attacking missiles were intercepted and destroyed" absolute BS as always from the MOD. Wonder how a couple of Su-24 can go so close to the border without being checked is my guess.

    Dismantle NATO's ISR capabilities in space, just keep the US ones. The British and the French will have to be the main targets. Bring NATO to the fight and pick them piece by piece. Trash their economies as well by cutting all gas, uranium, palladium, oil, grain, fertilizers, you name it.
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    Post  Arrow Yesterday at 11:03 pm

    Ukrainians are recording the Storm Shadow strike from a UAV. A Ukrainian drone is freely flying around military headquarters, etc.

    https://t.me/kalibrated/15979

    ll attacking missiles were intercepted and destroyed" absolute BS as always from the MOD. wrote:


    You can clearly see it. As long as it's not fake.
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    Post  caveat emptor Yesterday at 11:19 pm

    Arrow wrote:Ukrainians are recording the Storm Shadow strike from a UAV. A Ukrainian drone is freely flying around military headquarters, etc.

    https://t.me/kalibrated/15979



    Laughing Laughing
    You can clearly see it.
    These are small drones that are easy to slip through, but it seems that most, if not all, Storm Shadows hit the target. As shown before, Russian AA systems have much more problems to intercept Storm Shadows than ATACMS.
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    Post  Mir Yesterday at 11:21 pm

    They just wasted at least 5-6 precious Storm Shadows on just ONE target - that's a solid 99% interception rate I'd say! Laughing Laughing Laughing

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    Post  caveat emptor Yesterday at 11:29 pm

    Mir wrote:They just wasted at least 5-6 precious Storm Shadows on just ONE target - that's a solid 99% interception rate I'd say! Laughing Laughing Laughing

    Great! And whoever got killed in the strike doesn't count. Sound logic. Especially, if this really was command post.

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    Post  Lapain Yesterday at 11:32 pm

    caveat emptor wrote:
    Arrow wrote:Ukrainians are recording the Storm Shadow strike from a UAV. A Ukrainian drone is freely flying around military headquarters, etc.

    https://t.me/kalibrated/15979



    Laughing Laughing
    You can clearly see it.
    These are small drones that are easy to slip through,  but it seems that most, if not all, Storm Shadows hit the target. As shown before, Russian AA systems have much more problems to intercept Storm Shadows than ATACMS.

    Problem is also that heavily contested airspace seems poorly monitored. A whole UkrAF squadron approaching so close to Russian border (200 km) should have been detected and intercepted had proper surveillance been implemented.

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    Post  ALAMO Yesterday at 11:33 pm

    They have killed Putin there. Keep with mantra, you are out of form lately.

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