Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61

What to Expect with Zelensky's Regime in 2025, by Gevorg Mirzayan for VZGLYAD. 10.15.2024.

Deprived of the chance to reach an amicable agreement, Moscow will liberate more territories – both from those that are currently part of the Russian Federation and from those that are still Ukrainian, where there are Russian cities.

Wait it out. This is what some experts and politicians are now advising the head of the Kyiv regime, Volodymyr Zelensky, who is demanding a sharp increase in military-technical and economic assistance from the West, as well as written guarantees of providing this assistance in the future.

Their logic is very simple. Firstly, the United States has no time for Ukraine now – the election campaign is in full swing there, and the ruling Democrats are not doing well. Their candidate Kamala Harris is lagging behind her Republican counterpart Donald Trump in the most important states, and all the White House’s attention is focused on this.

Moreover, Zelensky's actions (as was the case during his visit to a military plant in Pennsylvania together with Democrats) could be regarded by one side as interference in the elections in favor of the other. And given Trump's vindictiveness, such interference could come back to haunt the head of the Kyiv regime.

Secondly, the West simply needs to take a break from the head of the Kyiv regime. His strategy of aggressive begging (from the position of "you owe us everything, we protect you from the Russians") irritates not only the leaders, but also the electorate. Which converts this irritation into voting at the polling stations for parties that advocate, at a minimum, limiting funding for Ukraine to the detriment of their own economy. Which is what happened in Germany.

Thirdly, the West needs to be allowed to reboot. After the formation of the new American administration, a new US strategy will be developed towards Europe and the Ukrainian case. A strategy that will take into account the situation on the ground.

At the same time, Zelensky's supporters sincerely believe that if the Democrats win and a hawkish Democratic administration of Kamala Harris is formed, the United States will get a second wind in the Ukrainian issue. That Harris will unite the West, increase funding for the Kyiv regime and ensure its military superiority over Russia.

However, in reality this is not so. The irony is that time is against the head of the Kyiv regime in any case. For a number of reasons.

First of all, there will be no multiple increase in aid to Ukraine. Even if Kamala Harris wins. Ukraine is no longer interesting to the American public – too many events are happening around the US and America has spent too much money (almost $100 billion) on Ukraine. And due to a number of electoral reasons (for example, elections to Congress every two years), the Democrats will not be able to repeat the immortal words of German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock that they are ready to finance the Kiev regime and do not care about the opinion of their voters.

We should not forget about the Congress factor. Sociology shows that the Democrats may occupy the White House, but the Republicans will control Congress – both the Senate and the House of Representatives. And it is Congress that allocates money, and its speaker Mike Johnson has already stated that he has “no appetite for further financing of Ukraine” and hopes “that it will not be necessary.”

And this does not even take into account external risks. A major war is about to break out in the Middle East, and the conflict over Taiwan is becoming increasingly clear on the horizon. The Ukrainian story has clearly shown that it is difficult for the Americans to sponsor even one conflict of such intensity, let alone three at once. And in terms of importance, the Ukrainian story is certainly inferior to both Israel (a US stronghold in the Middle East that must be protected from Iran) and Taiwan (a vital breakwater for containing China).

Therefore, the Democratic administration – as well as the Republican one, in general – will reduce funding for the Kyiv regime. Yes, at the same time, the Democrats (and probably even the Republicans) will not abandon it. The frontmen of both parties say that they will shift the sponsorship of Ukraine to Europe.

And it seems that the Europeans are ready – the head of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen, her new European Commissioners for Foreign Policy and Defense from among the “Eastern European Tigers” are demonstrating in every way their readiness and determination to support the banner. But the math is against it.

If we are to believe US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken, the US currently accounts for almost 40% of the funding for the Kiev regime. Given the shortfall in American spending, the sharp increase in the demands of the Kiev regime (directly proportional to the collapse of the Ukrainian economy) and the need to intensify its participation in the conflict, Europe may need to double or even triple its own spending on Ukraine. And that means tens and even hundreds of billions of euros.

And that's just money. The Kyiv regime needs weapons - air defence systems, aircraft, MLRS, tanks. Where can they get them if the Americans are now going to saturate Israel and their own bases in the Middle East with their systems, and European arsenals, to put it mildly, have long since shown the bottom? Of course, the Kyiv regime can be supplied with all the old junk, including that found in Africa, but this (like the Ukrainian forced mobilization) will negatively affect the quality of the Ukrainian armed forces.

And this is not even taking into account the elections. Following the German voters, Austrian, Czech, French, etc. voters may also speak out against supporting Ukraine. They may speak out – and bring to power a new generation of politicians who (regardless of their personal preferences) will disown the toxic legacy of their predecessors.

Yes, it will take time before this generation of politicians arrives. Yes, the current EU leaders, led by Ursula von der Leyen, will continue to support the Kyiv regime regardless of any mathematical calculations. But this is not good news for the Kyiv regime. European persistence in waging war against Russia will only convince the Russian leadership of the inevitability of further solving the tasks of the SVO by purely military methods. And Europe's inability to actually give Ukraine the amount of money and weapons that Volodymyr Zelensky demands will lead to Russia's military methods being extremely effective. That is, simply put, deprived of a chance to reach an agreement in a good way, Moscow will liberate more territories - both from those that are now part of the Russian Federation and from those that are still Ukrainian, where there are Russian cities.

Therefore, it is pointless for the Kyiv regime to wait for good weather by the western sea. It will only be covered by the eastern storm faster.

https://vz.ru/opinions/2024/10/15/1292328.html

North Korea has it bang on the nose ! Start something when uncle schmaltz is getting busy in ME . Russia too benefits . Only if China threw caution to the wind , instead of criticizing ! And Argentine did too ! A kind of dream of mine ! Call it burden sharing or rabid opportunism , makes no difference . I should do a false flags to start the balls rolling ! ......Taiwan sinks China missile cruiser ? ......or was it Israel sinks Turkey destroyer near Lebanon ?

Up to 20% of ammunition used by the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) turns out to be defective.

What did they expect from the western MIC?

will get a second wind in the Ukrainian issue.

Flatulence, created by eating to much beans.

Hole wrote:
What did they expect from the western MIC?

As a matter of fact, it is not an issue with the "western MIC" per se.
But what they are being supplied with?
NATO scrached the barrel bottom a year ago already.
It was no other than Czech president who called "alternative supply sources" - which is nothing other than some satrapies that have stored some double-digit numbers of shells. Hardly worth arranging logistics.
It is a stock made in the 70s/80s ...
To be fair, Russkie made a similar drama regarding Korean supply, and I guess for just the same reason. In need, they have grabbed all that could have been provided. Including long storage, substandard ammo with unstable charges.
Have you seen the S-60 ammo ukrs are getting?
Those are oxidized, clearly being the ones folded in Bulgaria and Romania YEARS ago. I can check my records for the matter, but those are the ones.
So they are using ammo that was flooded years ago, storage years before the flooding, and kept undisposed for years after flooding - to end up as "ammo delivery"
And again - being fair - check the records of Russkie using S-60s for fire support. The number of dumbs is very high.

Josep Borrell is a damned hoity-toity 'españolito' (as the Latin Americans refer to haughty Spaniards).

Kyiv disappointed by West's refusal to open 'second front' against Russia, by Alexey Degtyarev for VZGLYAD. 10.15.2024.

Advisor to the Ukrainian president Mykhailo Podolyak expressed dissatisfaction with the refusal of Western countries to participate in military operations against Russia.

The Kiev regime no longer expects such actions from its allies, Podolyak said. "It is obvious that Ukraine will not wait for the allies to open a "second front," he noted, TASS reports .

At the same time, the adviser to the head of the Ukrainian state expressed hope for strengthening anti-Russian sanctions.

EU Foreign Minister Josep Borrell noted that the prospect of forcing Russia into a ceasefire by military means looks very remote.

https://vz.ru/news/2024/10/15/1292608.html

S p r i n t e r
@SprinterFamily
Ukraine risks being left without electricity imports from the European Union due to violations of standards

This warning was given by the director of the Center for Energy Research Aleksandar Harchenko.

He noted that the energy community informed Ukrenergo about the potential loss of certificates confirming compliance with European standards, which could lead to the suspension of the supply of electricity from the EU.

Russian MoD reporting 2170 Ukrainian casualties over the past 24 hours including;

During the day, the losses of the Armed Forces amounted to more than 350 people, destroyed: 21 armored vehicles, including two tanks, three infantry fighting vehicles and 16 armored combat vehicles, as well as five mortars and seven vehicles. Six servicemen of the Armed Forces of Ukraine surrendered.

In total, during the fighting in the Kursk direction, the enemy lost more than 23,550 soldiers, 160 tanks, 75 infantry fighting vehicles, 100 armored personnel carriers, 934 armored combat vehicles, 639 vehicles, 189 artillery pieces, 37 multiple rocket launchers, including nine HIMARS and six MLRS manufactured by the United States, nine anti-aircraft launchers missile systems, five transport-loading vehicles, 48 electronic warfare stations, nine counter-battery radars, three air defense radars, 22 units of engineering and other equipment, of which 13 engineering barrier vehicles, one UR-77 mine clearance unit, as well as three armored recovery vehicles.

https://function.mil.ru/news_page/country/more.htm?id=12533247@egNews

higurashihougi wrote:It is said that this is the remains of Challenger in Kursk

A bit more on these photos

A close-up of the turret of a British Challenger 2 in the Kursk region. The tank of the 82nd Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces was thrown after the detonation of ammunition due to a strike by a Russian FPV drone. Now the 25-ton turret decorates the surroundings of the village of Sheptukhivka. After the retreat of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, Russian journalists reached the site of the destroyed Challenger 2.

They think they are hiding from a drone. But then in comes this devil.

Zelensky's "victory plan"


NATO together strong !

ucmvulcan wrote:
One bag almost closed and on the right, I see another pocket forming

Ukroptithecus are getting slaughtered in Kursk so badly, it almost seems like a cat playing with a mouse. It would seem too optimistic to expect that the Russians could keep reaping kills in the same obvious death zone non-stop, but clearly Ze needs to keep sending meat to the grinder

https://www.politico.eu/article/mark-rutte-nato-military-aid-ukraine-membership-volodymyr-zelenskyy-victory-plan/

Mark Rutte , head of NATO says no to Zelensky victory plan - no NATO membership

https://unn.ua/en/news/ukraine-will-not-be-invited-to-nato-in-the-near-future-us-ambassador-to-the-alliance

Head of US mission to NATO Julian Smith - No NATO for Ukraine

Ouch - the perenoha became a stinking fucking Zrada hahahaah