Russian special military operation in Ukraine #61

What to Expect with Zelensky's Regime in 2025, by Gevorg Mirzayan for VZGLYAD. 10.15.2024.

Deprived of the chance to reach an amicable agreement, Moscow will liberate more territories – both from those that are currently part of the Russian Federation and from those that are still Ukrainian, where there are Russian cities.

Wait it out. This is what some experts and politicians are now advising the head of the Kyiv regime, Volodymyr Zelensky, who is demanding a sharp increase in military-technical and economic assistance from the West, as well as written guarantees of providing this assistance in the future.

Their logic is very simple. Firstly, the United States has no time for Ukraine now – the election campaign is in full swing there, and the ruling Democrats are not doing well. Their candidate Kamala Harris is lagging behind her Republican counterpart Donald Trump in the most important states, and all the White House’s attention is focused on this.

Moreover, Zelensky's actions (as was the case during his visit to a military plant in Pennsylvania together with Democrats) could be regarded by one side as interference in the elections in favor of the other. And given Trump's vindictiveness, such interference could come back to haunt the head of the Kyiv regime.

Secondly, the West simply needs to take a break from the head of the Kyiv regime. His strategy of aggressive begging (from the position of "you owe us everything, we protect you from the Russians") irritates not only the leaders, but also the electorate. Which converts this irritation into voting at the polling stations for parties that advocate, at a minimum, limiting funding for Ukraine to the detriment of their own economy. Which is what happened in Germany.

Thirdly, the West needs to be allowed to reboot. After the formation of the new American administration, a new US strategy will be developed towards Europe and the Ukrainian case. A strategy that will take into account the situation on the ground.

At the same time, Zelensky's supporters sincerely believe that if the Democrats win and a hawkish Democratic administration of Kamala Harris is formed, the United States will get a second wind in the Ukrainian issue. That Harris will unite the West, increase funding for the Kyiv regime and ensure its military superiority over Russia.

However, in reality this is not so. The irony is that time is against the head of the Kyiv regime in any case. For a number of reasons.

First of all, there will be no multiple increase in aid to Ukraine. Even if Kamala Harris wins. Ukraine is no longer interesting to the American public – too many events are happening around the US and America has spent too much money (almost $100 billion) on Ukraine. And due to a number of electoral reasons (for example, elections to Congress every two years), the Democrats will not be able to repeat the immortal words of German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock that they are ready to finance the Kiev regime and do not care about the opinion of their voters.

We should not forget about the Congress factor. Sociology shows that the Democrats may occupy the White House, but the Republicans will control Congress – both the Senate and the House of Representatives. And it is Congress that allocates money, and its speaker Mike Johnson has already stated that he has “no appetite for further financing of Ukraine” and hopes “that it will not be necessary.”

And this does not even take into account external risks. A major war is about to break out in the Middle East, and the conflict over Taiwan is becoming increasingly clear on the horizon. The Ukrainian story has clearly shown that it is difficult for the Americans to sponsor even one conflict of such intensity, let alone three at once. And in terms of importance, the Ukrainian story is certainly inferior to both Israel (a US stronghold in the Middle East that must be protected from Iran) and Taiwan (a vital breakwater for containing China).

Therefore, the Democratic administration – as well as the Republican one, in general – will reduce funding for the Kyiv regime. Yes, at the same time, the Democrats (and probably even the Republicans) will not abandon it. The frontmen of both parties say that they will shift the sponsorship of Ukraine to Europe.

And it seems that the Europeans are ready – the head of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen, her new European Commissioners for Foreign Policy and Defense from among the “Eastern European Tigers” are demonstrating in every way their readiness and determination to support the banner. But the math is against it.

If we are to believe US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken, the US currently accounts for almost 40% of the funding for the Kiev regime. Given the shortfall in American spending, the sharp increase in the demands of the Kiev regime (directly proportional to the collapse of the Ukrainian economy) and the need to intensify its participation in the conflict, Europe may need to double or even triple its own spending on Ukraine. And that means tens and even hundreds of billions of euros.

And that's just money. The Kyiv regime needs weapons - air defence systems, aircraft, MLRS, tanks. Where can they get them if the Americans are now going to saturate Israel and their own bases in the Middle East with their systems, and European arsenals, to put it mildly, have long since shown the bottom? Of course, the Kyiv regime can be supplied with all the old junk, including that found in Africa, but this (like the Ukrainian forced mobilization) will negatively affect the quality of the Ukrainian armed forces.

And this is not even taking into account the elections. Following the German voters, Austrian, Czech, French, etc. voters may also speak out against supporting Ukraine. They may speak out – and bring to power a new generation of politicians who (regardless of their personal preferences) will disown the toxic legacy of their predecessors.

Yes, it will take time before this generation of politicians arrives. Yes, the current EU leaders, led by Ursula von der Leyen, will continue to support the Kyiv regime regardless of any mathematical calculations. But this is not good news for the Kyiv regime. European persistence in waging war against Russia will only convince the Russian leadership of the inevitability of further solving the tasks of the SVO by purely military methods. And Europe's inability to actually give Ukraine the amount of money and weapons that Volodymyr Zelensky demands will lead to Russia's military methods being extremely effective. That is, simply put, deprived of a chance to reach an agreement in a good way, Moscow will liberate more territories - both from those that are now part of the Russian Federation and from those that are still Ukrainian, where there are Russian cities.

Therefore, it is pointless for the Kyiv regime to wait for good weather by the western sea. It will only be covered by the eastern storm faster.

https://vz.ru/opinions/2024/10/15/1292328.html

North Korea has it bang on the nose ! Start something when uncle schmaltz is getting busy in ME . Russia too benefits . Only if China threw caution to the wind , instead of criticizing ! And Argentine did too ! A kind of dream of mine ! Call it burden sharing or rabid opportunism , makes no difference . I should do a false flags to start the balls rolling ! ......Taiwan sinks China missile cruiser ? ......or was it Israel sinks Turkey destroyer near Lebanon ?

Up to 20% of ammunition used by the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) turns out to be defective.

What did they expect from the western MIC?

will get a second wind in the Ukrainian issue.

Flatulence, created by eating to much beans.

The fact remains that NATzO's production capacity is a total joke. They couldn't even ramp it up in over 2.5 years. If NATzO could flood the
market with production, then Ukria would be getting new shells and not expired garbage. One has to assume that NATzO's Ukria proxy war
was not some prank and they were serious.

Josep Borrell is a damned hoity-toity 'españolito' (as the Latin Americans refer to haughty Spaniards).

Kyiv disappointed by West's refusal to open 'second front' against Russia, by Alexey Degtyarev for VZGLYAD. 10.15.2024.

Advisor to the Ukrainian president Mykhailo Podolyak expressed dissatisfaction with the refusal of Western countries to participate in military operations against Russia.

The Kiev regime no longer expects such actions from its allies, Podolyak said. "It is obvious that Ukraine will not wait for the allies to open a "second front," he noted, TASS reports .

At the same time, the adviser to the head of the Ukrainian state expressed hope for strengthening anti-Russian sanctions.

EU Foreign Minister Josep Borrell noted that the prospect of forcing Russia into a ceasefire by military means looks very remote.

https://vz.ru/news/2024/10/15/1292608.html

S p r i n t e r
@SprinterFamily
Ukraine risks being left without electricity imports from the European Union due to violations of standards

This warning was given by the director of the Center for Energy Research Aleksandar Harchenko.

He noted that the energy community informed Ukrenergo about the potential loss of certificates confirming compliance with European standards, which could lead to the suspension of the supply of electricity from the EU.

It is said that this is the remains of Challenger in Kursk