Russian special military operation in Ukraine #59

Putin will not use any R-33 with a nuclear warhead nor will he attack a NATO base with an Iskander. This is nonsense.

GarryB wrote:

When you sink a ship or 2 they are not easy to replace. So it massively decreases the abilty of the enemy to control that area of sea. When you kill 2000 men, they grab another 2000 hapless souls of the street, and bring them to the next trench line. With an endless stream of weapons and ammo from NATO there is no end in sight here and even though there are signs of weakness, I see few signs of collapse.

For as long as that supply of cannon fodder is happy to be cannon fodder then the problem will remain.

Kiev is solving future problems for Russia by sending troops to Russias shooting range.

When the cannon fodder realises what is happening it is up to them to stop this conflict... or they can march to the front line and die like the guys before them.

They will not run out of cannot fodder anytime soon. 10 million men, even at 10:1 it will cost 1m Russsian lives to kill them all and at 2000 men a day 13 years. Can anyone predict how things may evolve in 13 years? Add maybe 5 million NATO volunteers and then you have a 20 year war. That seems to be the plan we are on. After all Afghanistan went on for 20 years.

mnzr wrote:They will not run out of cannot fodder anytime soon. 10 million men, even at 10:1 it will cost 1m Russsian lives to kill them all and at 2000 men a day 13 years. Can anyone predict how things may evolve in 13 years? Add maybe 5 million NATO volunteers and then you have a 20 year war. That seems to be the plan we are on. After all Afghanistan went on for 20 years.

It does not work like that. After a certain time you reach the tipping point. One particular battle or even the defeat of a group is the drop that broke the camel's back.


Slowly Russia started the military operation with a number of men much lower than the Ukrainian army, and now they are already fielding more people than what 404 currently has.
They will arrive soon at a point in which they cannot hold the line at every place where Russia is going to attack at the same time.

Ukrainian population is also probably at the limit.

Many who before were only hating Russia now are at least as angry with their own government as well.

It is not that they can continue bringing people to kill because they have replacements. Those people are also needed to run the infrastructures, do normal jobs, etc. otherwise they would not be able to maintain logistic for the army as well.

After a certain points the 404 soldiers will not remain anymore to defend the fortifications, or will just use the weapons against their commanders.

F-16s will be stationed at allied airfields to protect them from Russian strikes,” BBC Ukraine reports on how Kiev is drawing NATO countries into the war with Russia.

NATO knows perfectly well that Putin will do nothing. That is why it continues to escalate. They think Putin is a coward.

Rostov on don sunk? https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4nggvg1yggo

Well then it is the BBC taking info from Ukraine. lies upon lies upon bullshit.

S&P downgrades Ukraine's credit rating to "selective default", 08.03.2024.

The rating agency S&P Global Ratings downgraded Ukraine's long- and short-term foreign currency credit rating to SD/SD (selective default) due to Kiev's decision to suspend payments on loans outside the country.

"We have downgraded our long-term and short-term currency ratings for Ukraine to SD/SD. We have also downgraded our rating of the 2026 eurobonds to D [default]," the agency said in its statement.

The rating agency S&P justified its decision by claiming that the Kiev authorities decided to start restructuring part of the loans and suspended payments on the affected bonds pending the restructuring. The payment would have to have been made before August 1, and, although the country still has 10 working days to make it, the agency explained that they do not expect that to happen.

On July 31, Volodymyr Zelensky signed the law on restructuring the Ukrainian state debt, which allows the government to suspend payments on foreign debt until October.

According to the Ukrainian authorities, the country's national debt amounted to 151,000 million dollars at the end of May 2024, having increased by 20% over the year. Ukrainians and local businesses have only lent their government $42.1 billion, a quarter of the total debt. The remaining three-quarters of the debt is owed by non-residents.

Yandex Translate from Spanish.

https://latamnews.lat/20240803/la-sp-rebaja-la-calificacion-crediticia-de-ucrania-a-default-selectivo-1156610099.html

Mir wrote:Isn't the Rostov-On-Don still under repair in a dry dock? Would be difficult to "sink" it if that's the case!

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They floated it out a few weeks ago.